I mean I don't even feel the Apple Watch will still be around in the next few years.
The frustrating thing is that Pebble could have had a nice $20M p.a. business selling their smartwatches. Not big enough for Apple & Google, but definitely enough to make a good profit for a small company.
That 2015-2016 smartwatch hype may well have killed the market for everybody. It reminds me of the VR hype in the early nineties that killed the market for ~20 years.
And I do like getting notifications on my Garmin watch as well as using the GPS for some activities. But, in a world where so many people also carry their smartphone with them almost everywhere, people aren't going to fiddle too much with the small device on their wrist when they can pull a phone out of their pocket.
Definitely. The jump from dumbphone to smartphone was pretty huge. I can do a lot more on the go now than I could before. The jump from smartphone to smartphone + smartwatch is smaller, and possibly just lateral rather than forward. It doesn't enable many more things than just a smartphone, but it offers you a slightly more convenient way of doing some things, at the cost of another device to charge and keep track of.