See previous HN discussion on China and the 'Thucydides trap' (2015) [1]

And also - "There is no Thucydides trap' - an essay/review of Graham Allison's book by Chinese history scholar Arthur Waldron - "In this book review, he argues persuasively against a concept that has become a pillar of establishment thinking on China." [2]

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10309448

[2] http://supchina.com/2017/06/12/no-thucydides-trap/