Political polarization may emerge because of conflicting desires, not beliefs
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
My desires are almost certainly incompatible with yours.
Politics is a process for distributing scarce resources. Brokering how, and when people can exert power to the detriment of others is an inescapable part of it. There are many bad actors who seek to do so - not as many as one might lead to believe, but they consistently find themselves at the top of the social food chain.
I'd also point out that those are strategies to achieve desires, not desires themselves. The associated desires might be something like financial security, a sense of importance, freedom etc.
Sometimes, though, compromise is impossible. If you say that 3+3=6, and I say that 3+3=10, you'd be a fool to compromise on 8. This is made all the more obvious when we consider which of us gets to frame the debate. If I really wanted 3+3 to be 10, I'd just demand that we make 3+3=14, and I'll get exactly what I want, once we split the difference.
Everyone wants freedom, and everyone wants agency, and everyone wants health and happiness. There's plenty of all of those things to go around. Many of us also want power, though, which is more likely to be a zero-sum game.
There's a lot of that happening...
When two cultures cannot agree, the only real solution is to segregate them, the US is too big, it needs to break down into several smaller countries where different cultures can go their own direction.
> The Cavaliers – the nobles who had fought and lost the English Civil War – fled to Virginia. Historians who cross-checking Virginian immigrant lists against English records find that of Virginians whose opinions on the War were known, 98% were royalists.
> These aristocrats didn’t want to do their own work, so they brought with them tens of thousands of indentured servants; more than 75% of all Virginian immigrants arrived in this position. Some of these people came willingly on a system where their master paid their passage over and they would be free after a certain number of years; others were sent by the courts as punishments; still others were just plain kidnapped. The gender ratio was 4:1 in favor of men, and there were entire English gangs dedicated to kidnapping women and sending them to Virginia, where they fetched a high price.
> The Virginians tried their best to oppress white people. Really, they did. The depths to which they sank in trying to oppress white people almost boggle the imagination. There was a rule that if a female indentured servant became pregnant, a few extra years were added on to their indenture, supposedly because they would be working less hard during their pregnancy and child-rearing so it wasn’t fair to the master. Virginian aristocrats would rape their own female servants, then add a penalty term on to their indenture for becoming pregnant. That is an impressive level of chutzpah. But despite these efforts, eventually all the white people either died, or became too sluggish to be useful, or worst of all just finished up their indentures and became legally free. The aristocrats started importing black slaves as per the model that had sprung up in the Caribbean, and so the stage was set for the antebellum South we read about in history classes.
> The Virginian Cavaliers had an obsession with liberty, but needless to say it was not exactly a sort of liberty of which the ACLU would approve. [...] No, they said, we wouldn’t be free if we had to work, therefore we insist upon not working. No, we wouldn’t be free if we were limited by poverty, therefore we insist upon being extremely rich. Needless to say, this conception of freedom required first indentured servitude and later slavery to make it work, but the Virginians never claimed that the servants or slaves were free. That wasn’t the point. Freedom, like wealth, was properly distributed according to rank; nobles had as much as they wanted, the middle-class enough to get by on, and everyone else none at all. And a Virginian noble would have gone to his grave insisting that a civilization without slavery could never have citizens who were truly free.
From: http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-see...
Incidentally, the fact that we can't enter indentured servitude anymore is much maligned in some libertarian circles. (Mostly among people who think that they will be the masters, rather then the other way around.)
No doubt. You did posit it as the alternative, however. Mentioning the idea that some people are ok with indentured servitude (freedom to relinquish your freedom) and try to claim that liberty is the ultimate virtue of these same people seems quite odd.
No, he posted it as a snarky example of why you simply can't always find compatible beliefs. His point had nothing to do with feudalism or indentured servitude. He was simply making the point that when one group wants to oppress another, there are no compatible compromises to make when the oppressed don't want to be oppressed.
Live and let live only works when you don't try and control others but most of our conflict comes from those trying to control others and those others resisting.
Abortion would not be an issue if those who didn't like them didn't get them and left everyone else alone. Religion wouldn't be a problem if the religious didn't continually try and impose their morals on the non-religious; don't like gays, don't be gay, but trying to cure other people from gayness is trying to control others. This could go on and on, trying to control others leads to conflict and that's mostly what politics is about, resolving those conflicts.
This would work well if the two sides lived on different planets on the opposite sides of the galaxy, each one outside of the other's light cone and causal domain.
...it's not really that simple, though. It's not like you're picking two discrete options. Let's take a viewpoint like pro-choice/pro-life. A society that permits abortions doesn't prevent an individual from choosing not to have one. A woman who thinks abortion is immoral is free to hold and practice that belief herself...the "lifestyle" of being pro-choice is not forced upon her. Contrast that with a society that bans abortion.
Yes, but the objecting individual is not fighting for his or her own rights. Pro-lifers consider themselves to be fighting for the rights of the unborn child.
Similarly, a society that permits slavery doesn't prevent an individual from choosing not to own slaves.
The society is not forcing its lifestyle on the objecting individual, per se, but it's forcing its lifestyle on the slaves, whom the objecting individual is concerned about.
You cannot ban guns and still make them freely available to people who want them.
You cannot combat global warming and still enable people to drive as they desire.
You cannot simultaneously allow trans people to use their preferred gender's bathroom while allowing the people who so desires to only have cis people of the same gender in the room.
You cannot simultaneously allow drugs and ban them.
Indeed, as the days go by I am becoming more and more convinced that the only solution is the one outlined in this essay: http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/07/archipelago-and-atomic-...
To pick an example: Why is gun control even an issue? It didn't used to be - therefore something has changed that makes people want to ban guns. What is that? Is banning guns the only solution?
You can use the same logic with most of these.
> How do you do that with abortion? (Just picking a controversial topic)
> there is _literally_ no common ground
I don't think that's true. Ignoring fringe lunatics, everyone agrees that after a baby is born, they should not be allowed to be "aborted". Likewise, virtually everyone agrees that sperm and unfertilized eggs do not have rights as humans. Those two endpoints on the continuum are common ground.The question then is where do people stake their claims on the line between those endpoints. Some people think if the fetus is old enough to be viable if born that early, then it should be illegal to abort it. Others, if the fetus has a developed enough brain and heart to conceivably feel pain. Others, if its implanted. Others if it's fertilized.
And, of course, it's not a straight line, but more like a space. Some fetuses, regardless of age, are not viable because of genetic deformities and people pick different regions in that space where they are comfortable with terminating. There is another axis in the space related to how the pregnancy occurred—rape, incest, etc.
Within this space, you can find regions and boundaries where many people do have agreement. This is how governing works. There are no perfect solutions or black and white problems. It's about finding consensus and compromise, and picking something that is the most acceptable to the most people.
The real problem, I believe, is that there are powerful people who want to deliberately sabotage that process to their own ends. They want to convince us that there is no common ground, and that those who have a different preference are evil people who cannot be tolerated, much less worked with. They've found that if you create an enemy for people, you can get them to show up for polls and keep people in power. That's the real goal. They don't give a shit about abortion. They care about tax law and gerrymandering and other legislation that keeps the powerful in power. But abortion gets them to the polls.
See:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_coalition https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_Majority
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federalist_No._10#Madison.27s_...
When you have communities of mostly that type of person, you can just make each community into its own little experiment, and tell everyone to go on a Gulliver's Travels-esque journey to find the right community for them, then settle down.
When your communities, on the other hand, are full of "entrenched" families/clans—groups of people who, for reasons of proximity or tradition, just won't move no matter how bad things get where they're currently living—then the Great Republic Experiment breaks down a little.
Specifically, it breaks because you'll get people who just really don't fit in a place, and would be better suited to some other system of laws available in some other state or municipality... but want to stay where they are anyway, despite suffering strong disutilities. You'll get large numbers of such people, in fact. (See: Detroit.)
A large part of the reason for federalization comes down to helping those people by guaranteeing certain minimum quality-of-life benefits in all those communities, whether the majority there support them or not. Which results in communities that need to share more laws than not, and rapidly lose much of the benefits of separation.
If everyone had kept the "immigrant mentality"—of being willing to drop your existing life to find personal liberty somewhere else—then the US wouldn't much need a federal government (beyond a sort of inverted border-police, working to ensure that people aren't being inhibited by local laws from crossing state lines—a "non-underground" railroad.)
But Americans haven't kept that mentality, and I'm not sure there's a way to re-instill it. It's just, as far as I know, a personality trait—one that happened to have 100% representation in the 18th century US, but then reverted to the mean in their descendants.
This is a really great point, and I am admittedly biased as someone that grew up moving 4 times across state lines. Meeting new people and figuring out the local 'vibe' was part of my upbringing.
Moving is hard, but it's doable. I write this as a much less ambitious person than most seem on HN (and older).
Why couldn't a government incentivize these people to move (say by offering subventions for moving out of some given place) instead of of incentivizing staying (as I understand your description to be)?
I'm fully ready to believe that government just can't be trusted with such far-reaching and non-obvious schemes, but I'm curious to know if someone can think of a way such a scheme would fail in practice (in other words: how is it like communism)?
So you are right, I cannot accept this because it isn't compatible with reality.
Please visit a city council meeting.
> When you shit, it goes into everyone's water supply
When I take a shit it most certainly affects no one outside of Texas. There isn't a river in the country flowing fast enough to make my assertion false.
This is covered by tort law. If you can prove damages, you can have your grievances addressed.
If we adopt nationalized health care, your argument is that you should be able to dictate my dietary choices? Even if my goal is to do it like my grandfather that never once visited a doctor (died at 68, which is plenty for me)?
Edit: To be clear, the basic premise of yours that I quoted could be used to justify just about anything. That is a power I refuse to grant to any entity, no matter how good their intentions.
The idea that one of two political ideas is 'right' or that that even matters is utterly absurd.
The whole point of politics is to find solutions that resolve conflicting desires.
Polarization happens when the solutions simply don't do that.
The problem should not be framed as 'how to get people to change their desires and beliefs' to match a political ideology. The challenge is to come up with some new ways of looking at things that resolve the differences.
More recently, as you say, it often works by having 'sides' that marginalize each other.
I'm assuming that it's not going to be like that for the rest of human history, and suggesting that the polarization might not be a necessary outcome of people's desires, but rather an artifact of a politicians who don't know how to resolve them.
It potentially could just be the outcome of the two-party system needing referendum itself where the coalition democracy designs at least naturally require some level of consensus making from top to bottom.
Probably the most important change along these lines would be to replace first-past-the-post voting with a system that allows people to express more complex preferences, such as approval voting, ranked choice voting, or range voting.
Other ideas include publicly funded elections, mixed-member proportional representation, redistricting via the shortest splitline algorithm, and compulsory voting.
If we don't face a significant external threat, I wonder if there are any options other than for political polarization to continue to grow until... well I'm not sure what happens. I suspect it won't be pleasant.
I'm curious what would explain this.
In the wake of the financial crisis, a lot of Golden Dawn-esque nationalist parties have crept up and are finding more success than I'd initially expected.
It feels like we're moving more authoritarian right to me.
Not trolling – I might be wrong –people more knowledgeable about the left/right dichotomy are welcome to shed some light onto this.
You're absolutely right. There is only one side organizing at grassroots level (indicating that these are not isolated occurrences, but rather are coming from the groups shared ideals) across the country to shut down the political speech of the other, violently in many cases, and that is the left.
http://atlantablackstar.com/2017/05/15/white-supremacist-ric...
I even linked to an left-wing incident that happened over the weekend, with an order of magnitude more people.
http://college.usatoday.com/2017/05/30/protests-erupt-over-r...
http://ktla.com/2017/05/30/portland-man-accused-of-stabbing-...
organized censorship is practiced, historically, by organizations as diverse as the Ayatollah of Iran, the Chinese Communist Party, the NAZI party, and by some microscopic evangelical Church in Arkansas that you've never heard of. Now a certain kind of deranged college professor (and the students they influence) are doing it too.
So what is the left and what is the right? the categories we're accustomed to reading about have broken down. it's something else now and its time to acknowledge it.
Just yesterday a mob of left-wing students tried to assault a professor over a social issue.
http://college.usatoday.com/2017/05/30/protests-erupt-over-r...
Both the left anf the right talk a lot about personal liberties (though they focus on different specific liberties). Both the left and the right have domains where they generally favor government control. And both the left and the right have factions which are more libertarian (focussing more on the areas of personal liberty favored by their respective side) and factions that are more authoritarian (focussing more on the areas of central control favored by their respective side.)
Historically, the left is generally the side favoring, on balance, democratization of power and greater liberty, but that's focussed on breaking power down from wherever it is centralized which isn't always formal government.
And then you factor in the the original Progressive Party came out of the Republicans (i.e. Roosevelt).
Would be more interesting if conducted around desires and beliefs about deeper outcomes than who wins an election.