What Do Millennials Spend All Their Money On?
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In the Bay Area, I feel like rent or buy, I'm just working hard so the older generation can continue living well off our backs. The vast majority of them have made no intelligent investments or savings other than property. And they are now incentivized to make life as miserable as possible for the next generation, so they can live out their remaining years as well as they are accustomed too. My landlord whined about how she makes so little, whilst attempting to hold onto 2.8mm USD in property.
I find it hard to swallow... but also inevitable.
I expect the Boomers would have faced the same thing from their parents and grandparents. What saved them was, rather than pushing inwards to city land already occupied by the powerful, they pushed outwards to sprawl, or into racial minority neighborhoods which didn't, at the time, have a legal mechanism to meaningfully resist.
When society saw how destructive this was, it made it much harder to repeat. This is, often, the history of downzoning and the origin of those processes that notify and invite busybodies to stop development. There are moral justifications behind these controls (particularly as they apply to disadvantaged neighborhoods), and to get anything done, we'll have to engage with them.
We're completely screwed now because the door is closed to "urban renewal," and sprawl is at its natural limits (under the levels of investment in public transit currently contemplated), and the impetus to live in cities with these problems is more economic necessity than personal taste.
AFAIK in the boomer years the prevalent phenomenon was the opposite: minorities moving into formerly majority neighborhoods, and the majority moving out. This was known as "white flight".
So any members of Generation X were still children in the 70s or not yet born. I think you mean a different cohort or a different time.
Where are the gay suburbs?
The utility of remote work is great, but its potential effect on urban form has been greatly overestimated.
>Are you gonna make play remote too?
Especially among SF tech workers, play mostly consists of leaving the city for nature sites and hiking/camping/climbing them.
>Dating?
Small cities and towns reproduce at a much higher rate than elite coastal cities. Some of those matches may have been made in college or while working in big cities in early adulthood, but the educated reproduce less. So, apparently yes.
>Art?
Hollywood, television, audio reproduction equipment, the Broadway tour, the music tour, and traveling exhibitions between art museums made art remote. Small, cheap cities often have thriving (though less nationally famous) local theater, ballet, symphony, and opera, as well as visual/performing arts venues capable of receiving more prestigious national tours.
Smaller communities may even have strong community/educational theater traditions and spaces, which while not exactly High Art, are a lot more personal and participatory than anything you'll pay $200 to see in Manhattan. Theater in small cities/suburbs is unique among the art forms in that average people get to work on reasonably high production value projects and present them to their peers and families. Tight real estate markets can't allocate so much space to amateur performance, and it's easier to put an awesome lighting rig in a high school auditorium when you don't have a homeless population.
>Dining
I guess the dining culture is more about what you cook, who you cook it with, hosting potlucks and BBQs and dinner parties in your enormous house and backyard, etc.
>Music?
Any tour that passes through the likes of San Francisco will pass through the likes of Milwaukee, and if not it'll certainly go to Chicago, an always-fun and usually-accessible jaunt from smaller Midwestern population centers.
Do you really think all of those only exist in cities?
Maybe you have some alternate theory as to why remote workers overwhelmingly choose to live in cities?
https://zapier.com/learn/remote-work/how-manage-remote-team/
https://www.forbes.com/sites/karstenstrauss/2016/02/04/the-t...
If you want alternate theories, one influence could be that cities having higher populations means that among the group of people who have remote work, more of those people will live in cities. Also, someone who works as a programmer likely had to move to a city in the first place to get a job and wouldn't want to move out immediately after being used to living there. There are likely other factors too but I'm really not seeing how the quality of food and entertainment is supposed to be better enough in cities that it would be a driving factor.
The trade-off of some additional convenience living in the city might give you, for always having to be on the look out for pickpocketers, no outdoor privacy, not being able to feel as safe being out at night, having to pay for parking or use public transportation (I'd rather not have to only take home from the grocery store as much as I can fit in a backpack and then have to carry around a gallon of milk on the way home), having to deal with aggressive panhandlers and drug addicts asking you for money all the time, and higher cost of living among other things, isn't worth it to everyone, even if that's hard to believe for you. I've spent a fair amount of time in cities and I know that the negatives I listed are enough for me personally to not really want to live in one if I don't have to.
Infrastructure like water and sewer is naturally cheaper at higher population densities. Low density municipalities are finding they don't have be tax revenue to maintain what they've built.
Then there's the environmental destruction inherent in clearing literal green fields for greenfield construction projects.
Then there's the social decay and public health crises like opiate addiction that come when a town built around a small collection of employers loses one or several of its major employers. People don't want to leave these places because they have family ties, so dysfunction festers and enters negative feedback loops. In cities, the same people could stand a chance of obtaining other jobs while still in proximity to their families, and benefit from government services will funded by the industries that didn't evaporate.
Anecdotally it already happens. I attended a Bernie Sanders rally here in Seattle and it was interesting to see the hordes of millenials cheering and chanting the whole time but go completely silent when he starts talking about the importance of social security. Millenials don't care about social security and it would probably be a net benefit for the majority of them if it went away, because the system as it is structured is just a massive wealth transfer to boomers which will be completely neutered by the time they are eligible for benefits.
Yes, stop buying avocado every day, if you do. But also, Australian housing needs to come down in cost if you don't want people like me to be renting forever.
It's not the end of the world if I rent forever, but it is a bit sad. Everyone else got to own a home, why should that be so much harder for me?
Not to mention that it takes considerably greater qualifications now to earn an average wage compared to the past. So I'm starting later and with student debt.
I don't want to completely absolve myself of agency. I plan on doing the best I can with my situation and I will probably own a home one day. But is it unfair? Yes. There really is no argument.
Us modern folk have it easier in many ways, but in terms of home ownership we're not hallucinating that it's harder. Wages aren't going up as fast as house prices, and that's really what it comes down to.
And my friends*. My social group (25-30yo) is generally pretty morbid about the whole situation and most are resolved to wait for some sort of bubble to burst in Australia. Investing in other markets which are stable and easy to enter in the meantime.
It's interesting to read an American perspective from outside of the largest cities. I wonder if Australia's more spread out nature and few high density cities skew the problem more here.
1. Concentration of job market - a lot of industries only exist (or at least, in a large enough volume) in the larger cities (e.g. financial services, tech). I'd say this is largely coupled to the location of higher education, where there is (relatively) less tertiary education once you leave the major cities.
2. Desirability of location - infrastructure and general "way of life" tends to lead people to wanting a more coastal existence. Australia didn't have the boom of city development in our regional centres, look at towns that are considered large in rural Australia, and they barely compare to even the outer suburbs of the major cities.
As much as our deputy Prime Minister would argue "just move to the country", it's not a realistic statement without addressing massive shortcomings in the long term planning of our rural areas.
- When mortgage rates 'peaked' in 1989 at around 17%, aggregate interest payments ate up about 6% of aggregate household disposable income.
- When mortgage rates 'peaked' in 2007 at around 9%, aggregate interest payments ate up about 11% of aggregate household disposable income.
We're more indebted now than we were in 2007. An external shock that causes mortgage rates to rise by as little as 1% (relative to incomes) will probably be enough to trigger our long overdue 'Minksky moment'. [0]
The modest house where I grew up in the D.C. suburbs (1,150 square feet, three bedrooms, built in 1950s, okay school district) is estimated on Redfin around $600,000.[1] That's a $120,000 down payment. According to the article, millennials spend $3,100 a year eating out. Even if they cut that out entirely, it'd take them decades to save up that down payment.
The cost of housing and rent has gotten so out of control in major metro areas that the usual frugality tips don't make much of a dent. What good does cutting out your $4 latte out do (maybe $100 per month), when your rent is $2,500 month for a 1BR?
[1] My parents bought it in 1990 for $175,000. People in my dad's line of work certainly don't earn 3.5x more than what they used to back then.
Easy solution: live with roommates. Cohabitation isnt the ultimate indignity, people are choosing to spend $2500 or more when they could spend less than half that. Even in Manhattan you could live uptown and pay less than that living alone, and be able to catch an express train downtown during the week. With a roommate your rent might even be sub 1k.
I know plenty of yuppies living beyond their means, spending $3000/mo on tacky "luxury" apartments, without much leftover even for things like $4 coffees. Cant say i feel too bad for them.
Or live alone somewhere far from the city center. Get a dumpy apartment in Worcester or Hoboken or [insert cheap city near your metro] and spend a couple hours on the train. Wont be fun but you sure wont be spending 2.5k on rent.
Millennial, two STEM degrees, live in a 2nd-tier city, and likely a decade more before I can afford a down payment.
So uhhhh....checkmate?
As someone who bought their house with a smaller than normal down payment it was quite frustrating. I wound up starting to bid much higher than I wanted in an effort to put more room between myself and normal down payments
Note that this only really matters in a hot market where sellers can pick and choose
I imagine most millennials aren't lucky enough to be able to do this.
Property prices in popular metros mean they should probably be looking elsewhere, but the list of attractive places probably isn't that long. Detroit, maybe? Baltimore?
About $1,000 more on health care.
About $1,500 more on pensions and Social Security.
About $2,000 more on overall housing (rent, maintenance, utilities, etc.).
About $700 more on education.
Seems boomers are to blame.
More importantly, the vast majority of boomers didn't spend anything. "The overall college enrollment rate for 18- to 24-year-olds increased from 26% in 1980 to 41% in 2012."[1] The lost leverage by having taken on these costs at a young age, by a much larger portion of the population, seems to be directly responsible for the struggles of the millennials. The indebted people with student loans are left with no ability to say no when they feel they are getting a raw deal.
[1] https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/newsroom/c-span/20...
However, there is no chance of me buying property in my country anytime soon (probably for at least a decade, if I'm lucky). At the current rate I could max save at, I'll only come within striking range in 50 years.
The answer is, I could come within striking range of a 20% down-payment on current prices, but once I factor in 1) the 10-15%/year price increase every year, and 2) the 10-15%/year rent increase chipping away at what I can save, it's hopeless.
I'm kind of thinking about investing (part of) this fund in REITs, so that I have exposure to the same growth I'm trying to compete with. However, this precludes the only truly winning scenario (I have a lot of cash available during a housing market crash).
You can get a liveable boat with out a shower, used without a shower for 7k US. Think microhouse with Manatees in the winter.
If you'd like to live in Palatka FL contact me: virmundi at gmail.com.
I'm not a boomer.
I have recently bought a house and will be a slave to the bank for decades.
But: I don't live in a major tech city = house prices are cheaper.
I rented for years and years slowly building a deposit before looking for a house.
I had ZERO expectation of buying a house on leaving university. Why would I expect to do that?
I didn't and don't buy retail coffee every day. (in fact i don't buy retail anything everyday day).
In my twenties computer games used to cost approx the same as aaa console games, none of this freemium/app pricing schemes also DVDs/CDs were full priced, no free streaming. And because I couldn't afford more stuff the answer was to just buy less.
slowly slowly.
For what it's worth, this whole 'Avocado toast' thing comes from the "Australian Housing Affordability" 'crisis' that's going on at the moment, where housing prices have raised 70% just in the past 5 years alone.
- overseas investment
- generous tax incentives where you can reduce your taxable income to zero, "negative gearing"
- higher interest rates
- change in government taxation
- inability for people to pay higher rents
What the what?!
Not clear if it includes compulsory retirement savings though. In Australia you get 9% of your salary paid into a retirement savings account. If the "income" figure includes things like that then that might explain the higher apparent savings rate.
I have the added expense of flights every now and again since I'm working in the US but my girlfriend and family are in Australia. It's a temporary arrangement. But without that my savings rate would only be a little bit higher. Maybe 45% instead of 35%.
Yeah, you're not on average wage. HN is awfully biased, and I'm certain almost none of us here have actually lived on minimum to average wage for a long time.
Include comment about personal experience under this post.
More realistically, that same amount is a small studio in e.g. Austin, TX.
Now, the trick is that the average income might be $55,836.79, but the median personal income is ~$41,520 [1]
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personal_income_in_the_United_...
I know that would not be possible in all markets, but it would take the same HN bias you mentioned to think that everyone lives in SF or NYC.
I am not renting my own place, I'm in a share house. My rent is US$900 per month (including utilities).
A more accurate calculation shows that this is about 27% to 28 % of my after tax income.
> it would cost more than 57,000 avocado toasts to buy a loft in Detroit.
But also, while the joke implies that Millennials are stubbornly, consciously making the mistake of living lavishly instead of frugally a) avocado is nutritious (has Big Food has warped the national discourse so much that health is seen as an extravagance?) and b) capitalism encourages buying; it’s highly hypocritical to expect those who earn less to opt out of this model.
(Artisinal? "It’s like stuff you would normally buy, but it costs a lot more. And it has ingredients from places I haven’t even heard of, like Detroit.")
Ah, yes, 'du-twah'.