HTML5 is not a Flash replacement and shouldn’t be seen that way
andrewgreig.com
andrewgreig.com
HTML5 removes that advantage, so the installed base of Flash will decrease, causing more and more sites to not develop for a Flash-audience.
So nominally, the post is right - HTML5 doesn't replace Flash. It renders Flash obsolete.
Remember Shockwave? Also a browser-plugin, but only used for small niches, games etc. Never had the ubiquity of Flash. This is where Flash is going after HTML5.
Adobe keep rolling out the '99 percent' argument, and it is false. This argument is essentially 'hey look, everybody is already running our proprietary virtual machine so there is no need for a standards based solution!'. If we all thought like that, there would never be any progress.
HTML5 is not a flash replacement, but HTML5 + CSS3 + Canvas + Javascript + SVG + new DOM etc. sure is
When most articles refer to HTML5, they are often refering to the combination of new technologies, rather than the markup standard itself (ie. what was initially 'Web Applications 1.0' from WHATWG).
Answer: Yes. But if you can do it natively in the browser, why bother with flash!