FaceTime will be successful because you don't need an account
sachin.posterous.com
sachin.posterous.com
In Europe this has been a basic feature of all 3G phones for around five years. If you want to videochat you just press the button and call somebody up using their normal phonenumber.
It was pretty hyped up, but it never really caught on because there simply aren't that many usecases where you want to videochat with people on the go. Especially as you have to hold out your phone in fromt of you in a somewhat awkward way. Now it's just old and tired.
I remember six years ago when 3 launched over here and tried to convince everyone and their mother that video calls were the future. I had some colleagues who got their phones, and I saw them use the video call once, maybe twice, only for testing. I also remember seeing some people do video calls on the subway.
It all quickly stopped though as soon as people realized the drawbacks of video calls for everyday conversations and now you never see it, even though all phones have the capability.
Obviously they just need to adapt the technology so the phone can hover in front of you without tiring your arms out.
There are also a lot of other considerations for making a successful video call, you have to be dressed, in a decently lit space, have room in front of you, have silence around you, and be able to focus only on the face in the screen.
Contrast that with voice calls which I can make in the dark, while naked, on the toilet, in my car, on a crowded subway, while walking, while having sex, while lying about where I am, in my bed, without makeup, and so on.
Video calls are awkward, and they don't bring enough value to the conversation to make up for the inconvenience of making one.
They have their places, video conference calls are great. Having small children and calling your grandparents is great. Being deaf and calling someone to sign with them is great. Other than that it's just not worth it.
(2) I often use a headset or bluetooth speaker phone so I'm not holding my phone at all for audio calls -- just as good as the 'hover' your posit! I can't wait to see the rigid hat accessory that props my iPhone in front of my face at optimal FaceTime distance!
No doubt video calls are great for some, short situations -- but holding the iPhone in front of you as pictured in Apple's ads will quickly tire most people far faster than an audio call.
Whenever I'm in a position to video chat, I'll be sitting somewhere, in private, with time on my hands. That means I'll probably have Skype handy.
I've had video calling on my phone since forever, but I've never been inclined to use it – because I tend to call people when I'm on the go, and who the hell would want to watch my dull commute?
Isn't that impossible without an intermediate server?
Edit: OK, thinking a bit, I never looked into the Skype trick much, but I would guess, send a request to a server (that doesn't respond). Then you have an open connection/port listening to the response from the server. If you can tell the other party about that "hole", it can send a packet across the firewall.
While for Skype that is done by a server (if necessary), the iPhone could send the information via the phone line?
As I said, no idea how the details work, just a rough idea. Or maybe they just use a server.
By the way, this article makes it sound like Posterous invented the concept of not having accounts? Even though it was obviously invented by 2channel.
SIP video phones have been on the market for years already.
http://www.blogcdn.com/www.engadget.com/media/2010/06/apple-...
This solves all 3 of these problems. Almost everyone I care to talk to (other than my parents) has an iPhone and will be getting the iPhone 4.
We've had 3G video calls for years. Almost all cellphones except the bottom range have it, all carriers support it, there has been massive advertising campaigns and hype about it when it was introduced, it was the whole point of switching to 3G, and yet it's a massive flop.
I'm sure you and your friends will be very happy getting it, there are always exceptions, but video calls will never surpass voice calls in mass-market popularity, they won't even come close.
I can see no evidence in the facts that they are following the model that you stated.
(Maybe Gizmodo will get some jailbreak pro to make one of their phones selfidentify as Jonny Ive's, then crank-FaceTime Steve Jobs. Or maybe not.)