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Neal Stephenson's book is in the list:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome#In_fiction

In the same way that flu season is basically the premise of "World War Z".

The first line of Seveneves is "The moon exploded with no warning and no apparent reason". The Kessler effect is involved, but its not really about space junk at all

It is excellent though

I believe it's in the afterword of Seveneves, that space debris was mentioned as one of Neal Stephenson's inspirations for the plot of that book.

The moon is destroyed on the first page of Seveneves. So not quite.

(spoiler ahead - go read the book instead of this post)

The moon breaks in half in the first page, but a cascade event happens about a hundred pages into the book, then further changes happen :) . So I think it is accurate to say that it is analogous!