Android overtakes Windows as the internet’s most used operating system
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
Meanwhile according to the same stats, Android sits around 37.9%, and I have to wonder just how many of those devices are still impacted by for example the 2015 libstagefright vulnerability. Given Google's guiltless ongoing "throw code over the wall" approach to security and passing the buck on to vendors who almost never ship firmware updates for old handsets, perhaps now is the time for us to begin holding Google to the same standard we applied to Microsoft a decade ago.
Google Security Team, here's your call to stop pontificating on the Project Zero blog and throwing cheap muck at Microsoft. You've got an even bigger and more complicated mess to clean up, you dug the hole yourself, it's going to take you longer, and you should have started on it years ago
edit: If it weren't clear, the tragedy here is that instead of most devices being governed by a well-tested security process owned by a single responsible vendor, they're at the mercy of a plethora of downstream vendors who do nothing, with the ultimate upstream washing its hands and paying little more than immature lip service to the issue, never mind having anything that even remotely resembles a solid process.
The triggering factor for this was the worms though. No such similar thing exists in the Android space.
The only texts I ever recieve nowadays are automated (2FA etc...). Even though unlimited texts come with every SIM.
SMS has remained the great constant throughout all these games. Turns out people don't get in touch if you don't use WhatsApp but shows how much they care eh!
There clearly hasn't been any major deployment of this - especially at the scale of Blaster or Conficker.
It's "trivial" perhaps for a single device but every device is different and it'd require its own exploit code, exploit mitigation features cause it to be difficult to actually exploit too - making it quite problematic to deploy in practice.
It's not trivial - there's a lot of devices and exploiting mitigation techniques to deal with, there's not even a reliable PoC that works on real-world devices with ASLR enabled.
These exploit mitigation techniques and differences in builds have basically saved it from becoming the disaster it sounds like at first glance.
I guess to answer your question, yes, yes we are that moronic. Not many people will care unless it's proven rapidly and readily exploitable.
It's been about 2 years since Stagefright was disclosed. Are we still waiting for it to explode? And if so, can you give a timeline for when this explosion will occur?
No it's not. Where are all of the Stagefright exploits? This was supposed to be Android's security armageddon according to the scaremongering bloggers. And yet nothing happened. According to Google's telemetry of over 1.4 billion phones there has not been 1 case of a Stagefright exploit in the wild. So your assumption that Stagefright is "trivially weaponizable" is inconsistent with your knowledge of Android security and mitigations.
The sad part is that the 2016 security report just came out and they brag how the whole security improved, without mentioning the elephant in the room.
Google IO is around the corner and I bet they will keep talking as if everyone could upgrade right away to Android O, with N now having barely 2%.
Personally, I place all the blame on Google for not making the upgrades possible from their side. It should be easy to upgrade the core operating system as easy as updating Windows, OSX, and Linux.
This makes no sense. "People associate X with Y" is not the same as "Y is responsible for X". If I associate Android with Linux, is Linus now culpable for Android's security problems?
> Personally, I place all the blame on Google for not making the upgrades possible from their side. It should be easy to upgrade the core operating system as easy as updating Windows, OSX, and Linux.
If we were living in a fantasy land where you could wave a wand and things would happen instantly, this would be the case, but mobile devices are not desktops and the challenges they face are entirely different. Google has already been moving logic as much as possible into apps like Google Play Services (updateable without OS changes_, and the fact that they haven't moved everything should make all but the most technically illiterate think "There may be technical challenges involved", instead of your "They're not making this easy" approach.
This is ridiculous. Linus in Android is a component, not a whole system, and phone vendor own SW are way too accessory in the ecosystem and add so little value in it that they don't render Android a mere component in the same way: the base Android is the system, whereas drivers and 3rd party GUI or other minor stuff are what should be sufficiently decoupled so that Android can be updated without vendor consent.
Doing otherwise has proven to expose users at risk, and given its situation Google is responsible, not a swarn of phone vendors.
I might not be saying that if Android was really open, but then Android might not have that market share. Well, in the end, even that reinforce the argument that Google is responsible...
I understand that, but many of the non-tech savvy people I know do not understand that Google is not responsible for most versions of Android that run on their phones.
> ...but mobile devices are not desktops and the challenges they face are entirely different.
I do not see how they are much different. To many people, their phone is just as important as their desktop/laptop. I do not see anything stopping updates to Android being invisible to the end use as most other updates. iOS is pretty good about updating in a way that is unobtrusive to the user and Windows 10 is getting closer.
It should have been called a "platform", and, since Google has the ability to say so, they should have told each hardware maker to come up with an OS name "on Android". Tizen on Android. NexusOS on Android. So on.
OR, they should have gone Apple and said "you will have this OS, Android, and it will look as such, and it will be patched as such".
For most people a computer, a phone, or a tablet is an appliance.
We are getting closer to the point where being secure and up to date is almost painless. That should be our goal in the tech industry.
As for the other OEMs, there is this thing called contracts and legal obligations.
No updates, no access to Google services from invalid devices.
It is as easy as that, if Google actually cared about the consumers.
Google would like you to blame the manufacturer, but you need to realize the fact that you even can blame the manufacturer is a design flaw in the OS which Google designed.
>Google would like you to blame the manufacturer, but you need to realize the fact that you even can blame the manufacturer is a design flaw in the OS which Google designed.
This sentence makes so sense. Google cannot update an OS that they did not create. The OEM rolled the OS so only they can update it. How exactly does Google update an OS from an OEM they don't even have the source for? It's the OEM's responsibility and if that OEM doesn't do their job in updating their OS then maybe it's time to start looking for an OEM that does do their job.
2. Google created the OS. In fact, OEMs are forbidden from forking Android, and therefore, cannot "roll their own OS" from Android, without violating their agreement with Google. Yes, they sprinkle some of their own apps and drivers in, but this is a design flaw in Android: Google needs to be updating their own software independently of manufacturer-specific components.
I know for a fact you and I have had this discussion before.
[1]Someone will mention the Kindle. The Kindle does not compete with Google products, as it is perceived in the market as an e-reader more than a "tablet". And Google barely even does tablets anymore anyways.
Forbidden from forking Android? Every OEM version of Android is a fork. What Google does not allow is for an OEM to distribute a version of Android that does not pass the Android Compatibility Test Suite.
>therefore, cannot "roll their own OS" from Android
Do you know how OEM's "roll their own OS"? They take the AOSP source code that Google drops and then they add all of their source code and then build and distribute their own version of Android that only they can update.
>Yes, they sprinkle some of their own apps and drivers
I'm not sure you really understand all of the changes OEM's make to Android if all you think they do is "sprinkle some of their own apps and drivers in"
>this is a design flaw in Android: Google needs to be updating their own software independently of manufacturer-specific components.
No it's not. Google does not build Android for the OEM's. They create their own version of Android and therefore are ultimately responsible for updating it. Once again, Google cannot update an OS they did not build.
>Google barely even does tablets anymore anyways.
Android is still the marketshare leader in tablets.
Yep that's a insanely huge design flaw, coherent with: "Google needs to be updating their own software independently of manufacturer-specific components."
Is Debian also responsible for Ubuntu's security flaws?
Why do we fault the company for taking steps to pull Android as a brand together?
Google uses their agreements with OEMs to force them to bundle apps and including Google's branding, and protect their business, but refuses to use those agreements to ensure even basic security for their users.
Because we already lived in that world, and it was less secure than the one we live in now, to my memory. Security issue in one of the Android libraries that are now part of Play Services? Good luck; wait for your OEM to update your OS.
Also, they could isolate the Java VM layer further such that it could be updated independently of the Linux kernel and related userland.
The Pixel XL was released in October of 2017 which means updates stop one year away from today in April of 2019. Top of the line is $968 and you want top of the line for best memory performance. Why buy one of those phones and purchase sub par performance? It's a waste of money. So if I wanted one I'd pay $80/month for a device that's replaced in October of this year (Pixel 2 is supposedly an end-of-year release) and dropped from feature upgrades not too long after that.
Google need to fix their feature window by extending it to two years and fix their supply pipeline by ordering apple-like quantities of product. Otherwise they're not really competing with Apple.
This is why they can claim that anything shipped from 2017 onwards will support Android apps, but maintain a list of potential devices from before that. Because said support need various container related features only found in newer kernels to work.
Effectively Google has further masked but not really fixed the issues that makes major updates to Android devices such a hassle.
And this mentality is eating its way into all corners of IT as there is a generational changing of the guards. More and more Linus Torvalds (Linux) and Daniel Stenberg (cURL) staying with a project for decades are massive outliers rather than a norm.
But let's follow this silly thread anyway. On average, the lawsuit would take three to seven years to resolve.
Assume they win: great, they get some small amount of damages and everyone stops using Android. They can't and won't ever get the remedy of forcing security updates. It's not even something available.
Assume they lose: great, they get nothing and everyone stops using Android.
...
What did this solve again?
Suffice to say, if it was as easy as waving the magic wand you think it is, it would have happened already.
Instead, if you tried to wave it, handset makers would have walked and just done something else. Heck, some did!
Besides, why stop at Google? Why not blame the carriers for devices like this be on their networks?
By your logic, if Verizon told Samsung tomorrow said "you must update your phone monthly with security updates in order to stay connected to our network" it would have just happened!
Maybe instead of assuming a vast lack of caring or outright maliciousnss, you should consider that maybe it's not the trivial thing you are making it out to be, and that's the real reason it hasn't happened yet.
Walking away from Android is not currently a realistic option for most of them (recent Sony Sailfish news non-withstanding).
If only they had thought of this. Oh, that's right, I forgot, it's not that this is much more nuanced and complex ecosystem interplay, it's that it's very black and white and they uniformly don't give a crap.
Yes some have and some more would have. And then it would have been up to these holdouts to come up with a viable OS. Good luck with that. Almost everybody who tried has failed.
There is no doubt in my mind that Google could force it successfully, but why would they? Everything is moving in their direction anyway and users don't seem fazed.
Surely Google is not intentionally refraining from solving the high fragmentation it is suffering from (which makes developing for Android harder, and keeps some people from receiving security updates)
Because it causes friction, it's a distraction for management, and there is a danger that some of those rebel handset makers could have some success or get poached by Microsoft/Bing even if they fail at creating an alternative OS.
There is risk without much upside for Google compared to the gradual approach they are taking now.
Sadly this also leaves us with the current sorry state of affairs. I don't think much "could've" and "would've" would be helping there, but I would very much like to see a major economic force guaranteeing some common grounds for devices. Imagine what an "IBM clone era" of phones could mean - all it would take would be a common ground w.r.t booting and a couple of drivers.
Sometimes I'm really left wondering why we can't have such nice things...
As a poweruser, I have installed new versions of Windows AND new versions of Android.
To the average user, neither is feasible.
To a technical user, both are possible.
I don't like this comparison. Many of us switch out AndroidOS's very frequently. It's actually not hard at all to install a custom recovery and load a different and custom version of android.
In fact, considering how defined the android ecosystem of alternative OS's is, and how undefined the Microsoft one is, one could easily suggest that Android is far less locked down.
After all, some Android replacements like Cyanogen/Lineage are far more developed and popular than Windows replacements.
1. Insert install disc/USB. 2. Boot to install disc. 3. Spam the next button.
Installing new Android OS versions manually often involves custom third party unlock tools from sketchy download sites.
I worked in a Computer Repair shop for years through college and believe me, the average user has ZERO interest in installing or re-installing an OS. They will pay >$100 to have someone "spam next a few times" as you put it.
I would call that a distinction without a difference. End result is the same: non-technical users do not do it.
What would make a phone hardware able to install anything that compiles to its CPU architecture the same way a PC can?
I get Windows security updates on every damn computer I buy. Yes, the computer is pre-loaded with bloat, but I still get updates like everyone else.
Meanwhile, on Android, I mostly get nothing. What is so fundamentally different between PC and phone? Why is it so hard on mobile phones?
But it's still Windows.
I just wonder why that is. Maybe Microsoft has stricter licensing?
- Android breaks compat with old drivers every update - HW makers only ship (often vulnerable) binary blobs.
They update just fine, sometimes even on the major versions. E.g. my phone initially had windows phone 8.1 and now it’s windows mobile 10. And despite the phone is 3 years old, I'm still regularly getting OS updates.
That’s why I don’t believe ARM hardware is responsible.
Then they mandated secure boot with keys that cannot be controlled by the user, so that other systems can not leverage the platform on W10M hw :p . (That's in the spirit of what BG wanted for ACPI: something somehow incompatible with other OSes -- MS eventually managed to do this with a sidestep, but well, this did not really help their market share :P )
The The PocketPC and Windows Mobile situation was not much different from the Android situation today, i believe.
This is why things like SBSA (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Server_Base_System_Architectur...) were needed before ARM servers could even be talked about, and why things like Rasberry PI's are not directly compatible with BeagleBones, etc, at least for the low-level stuff..
Nothing to do with ARM itself; just lack of ARM standards.
This was similar in the early PC days and had similar headaches - compare the various CP/M machines with what became the 'standard' MS-DOS/IBM-PC 'platform'..
Stable binary driver ABI. Hardware monoculture. Expensive driver certification program. Letting hardware vendors release binary drivers without releasing the corresponding sources. An opt-out automatic update mechanism.
(Disclaimer: I work at Google, but not on the Android team.)
But the reason I brought it up is that Fuchsia OS will have a stable driver ABI.
IMO the key point out of the things you mentioned is the hardware monoculture, because that definitely does help people get Linux running (and keep it running) on new hardware. I'm skeptical about most of the others.
With PCI and later the OS can ask each device on the bus to ID itself and thus figure out if it is a known device type or not (and if not, ask the admin to install drivers).
On ARM You have things sitting off various buses that expect the kernel to know what they are and how to talk to them from the word go.
It has gotten better as now there exist something known as a device tree that can be read by the kernel at boot. But not every SoC provide support.
However, to say that HW interfaces on the PC have been stable since the age of IBM PC clones is a joke. In the DOS days, users manually had to manually set IO memory addresses and IRQ levels. Early Windows sat on top of DOS, so still had to do it there. Plug'n'Play didn't show up until Windows 95, and even then it was hit and miss. Some devices worked, others required manual configuration. RTM Win95 didn't support USB, either. That took the equivalent of a service pack (although, IIRC, they went by a different name back then. I want to say OSR1 added USB 1.1 support). Windows drivers didn't really get friendlier until the push to the NT kernel & it's HAL. Win2k had limited, but good support. WinXP got better. Vista was a step backwards. Win7, 8 and 10 have incrementally improved on Vista. Even on Windows 10, though, I have updates that "forget" a subset of my USB controllers. Windows doesn't know about drivers for my HOTAS. Most recent windows updates cause it to forget about my secondary monitor. Half the time after an update, my USB keyboard doesn't work (I have to login on my desktop using an on-screen keyboard to correct settings). I'm probably one of the only (or a small handful) of people that have a Geforce 690 & 1080 in the same system. Sure, PC might be better in that most peripherals go over USB. But, not all USB devices work with a generic driver, and Windows often doesn't include non-generic drivers for all but the most popular devices.
The core system of PC is highly compatible with OSes in pretty much all directions. (Well now even if I don't ignore the non-PNP ISA configurations stuffs, it does not really change the situation: those were not for core system stuffs)
Then you have drivers for various bus controllers and peripheral, some of which are crucial for using your PC in practice, but as soon as the necessary driver exists, loaded by the kernel way after the core boot, and highly abstracted on all modern OSes (it only access the HW through functions abstracted by the OS)
For non-ancient PC, you even have with ACPI some abstracted functions, provided by the HW, and used at the runtime by the OS. It's to be considered as part of the core plateform, as if it was a pure HW interface, given what we are discussing about. The NT HAL, btw, is a vestigial of early NT years, and is of zero interest for the purpose of PC compatibility today (there is only one HAL that is in use on modern PCs, and IIRC switching the HAL was not even enough when multiple were in use IIRC, other MS binaries still needed to be recompiled -- so the NT HAL is merely an internal detail that bring no consequence in backward or fw compat as far as decoupling of binaries and their update of a partial subset in a system is concerned)
Now the situation for ARM SoC for Android is NOT the same. You just don't boot a generic ARM Linux kernel to driver your random ARM SoC of your random phone. Because even what could constitute an equivalent core system as what exists for PC, follows no standard.
The kids today don't know how easy things are with unified drivers for audio on Mac OS etc. I mean, even USB coming out was amazing instead of serial devices and guessing the COM port? Which LPT1?? And dial up etc etc so easy now.
Heck, if you crack open the ARM based Windows RT tablets you will find quite the odd duck of an ARM SoC inside. One more reminiscent of a x86 PC than what you find in your average Android device.
(And device manufacturers do this too, but it's a ton easier to, say, fix flash with a shim than it is to fix networking.)
Qualcomm (by far the most popular hardware vendor for Android devices) doesn't care about supporting their released hardware.
Quite often these days when a part is initialized, the driver uploads firmware as part of that.
If you look at most Linux distros they have a package of firmwares that various companies have allowed to be distributed with the kernel.
Meaning there is a small part of the Qualcomm blob that needs to interface with the kernel to upload the firmware.
And the interface changes as the kernel changes. This because Linux devs don't want the hassle of trying to debug a kernel panic only to find that it is happening inside a third party blob, and thus they can't fix it. Instead they want companies to either work with them to maintain drivers or hand them the information needed to maintain a open driver within the kernel source.
The reason your question is "stupid" is because you think your phone is just one computer.
In fact, you can do just what you describe - and it wouldn't be that difficult - but it would only be for the application processor and you would end up with a nice PDA.
In order to make phone calls you would also need to control the other two, fully functional, general purpose computers inside of your phone: the baseband processor and the SIM card.
Currently, there is no way for you to control either of those in any meaningful way.[1]
There are deeply entrenched economic and technical forces standing in the way of controlling your own baseband processor and we are nowhere near to doing it.
[1] Osmocom on 2G phones is not meaningful, no matter how impressive and interesting it is.
Google's inept 'management' of the android ecosystem has left us with openness for hardware vendors like Samsung but not end users. Their design of android deprives end users of regular security updates that iOS users enjoy but also deprives them of the right-to-modify that licenses like the GPL were intended to guarantee.
I don't know what everyone at Google intended, beyond 'let's beat Apple', but the way android turned out looks awfully evil to me.
By the way, the upstream Linux kernel supports the Nexus 5X! http://www.phoronix.com/scan.php?page=news_item&px=Linux-4.9...
And the bootloaders are based on fastboot pretty much everywhere I think? At least that was the case with the non-Google-related HTC phone I've had.
Android is the emblem and sigil of Tivo-ization. And Google was the key enabler of this. I get that this was successful - after all, "Android overtakes Windows as the blah, blah," is very successful. And maybe if Google had behaved ethically Android wouldn't have been the success that it is. Just don't give me any of the "don't be evil" BS. When threatened, Google was every bit as evil as Microsoft was at the height of the browser wars.
Have look at Redhat, how far got them requiring UEFI at server ARM boards. That's market, where the buyers have much more impact on the design than mobile.
Linux and its wide adoption, the ability of users to pick and choose hardware and software would simply not have been possible if Microsoft and Intel took the Google-ARM model to 'openness'.
Google and ARM pay lip sync to open source but users are locked tightly to their devices and OS. Users cannot even install updates let alone things like Linux which Android is based on.
The drivers work perfectly on Android yet users trying to install Linux on ARM socs cannot use these drivers? Open source developers struggle for years with ARM and Google with no results. How exactly did this come to pass without by design? There can always be myriad 'reasons' and excuses but the fact is ARM completely controls the hardware and Google completely controls the software and it's their design and decisions that drives net negative results for users and open source.
You are looking at the past with rose-tinted glasses, or you got very lucky with drivers. New drivers were required for every new Windows version from Win 2000 to Windows 7,even for the display (or if you are unlucky, Ethernet). The only way to get those drivers was via support from the vendor. I distinctly recall trawling dodgy 4th party driver aggregation websites, downloading and burning them to CDs in internet cafes multiple times.
Google uses Linux within Android but instead of allowing the underlying parts to be updated via package management-like functionality, the kernel level stuff is only distributable as images in one "big bang" go.
You could have a bug in a single binary at the kernel level, but instead of a tiny 1Kb diff patch you wait a year for a giant 1.2 GB vendor update that also contains a lot of other changes you have no interest in.
Example: https://arstechnica.com/security/2016/12/fedora-and-ubuntu-0...
Android on the other hand, has isolation mechanism built in as the central thesis of its apps system. Additionally, it also has some additional layers on top.
Unfortunately since nothing gets updated it maybe all moot, but I don't think somehow Linux distros are more secure.
Arguably the security model of main desktop OSes is bad enough so that they are also easy to penetrate. That should not make us dismiss the problem of the way too many unmaintained Android systems!
But the entire system as a whole doesn't get updates to lower parts. E.g. Updating your java app doesn't solve the problems in the underlying C libraries the system uses. We're at the mercy of vendors for that, if ever.
Only with Windows 10 Mobile they engineered a strong way to upgrade the OS without needing vendor intervention too much (or at all?), it is a shame Windows Mobile market share as fallen so low and Windows Mobile is not even a priority of MS anymore :/
On Linux side, some (most?) phone vendors are most of the time not supposed to distribute the kernel and their binary-only driver the way they do it, because most of those distributions are likely GPL violations. The sad thing is some high profile organisations (Linux Fondation comes to mind) don't give a fuck about licence compliance, which is insane given the technical side NEEDS licence compliance in order for the end result to work well and not be dangerous for end-users for a large part of the ecosystem. (Worse, the Linux Fondation happily accept obvious GPL infringers at the highest levels.)
Anyway the kernel part is a small part in an Android distribution, and I'm not sure anything is available to handle the security update problem, or that somebody is even working on it... The technical update model MS has chosen is the way to go and Google is endangering us all by having such a huge market share and not wanting to take any responsibility that should come with it. (It's even worse given how Android has reached this market share levels, using practices that would make look past MS ones as respectful of competition!)
Linux has a driver API; the interfaces are not as stable as windows but they are there - the vendor shoehornning has more to do with closed hardware blobs, drivers not being developed in the open, and profits than a few struct member tweaks here and there shifting across android releases..
the handset manufacturers have no profit incentive to ensure that the phones are compatible for a longer term, and keeping the hardware drivers closed/behind version-specific blobs serves as convenient way to facilitate planned obsolescence
plenty of windows hardware doesn't get new drivers across OS release boundaries for the same reasons so slightly better API stability is not really a very good argument here on its own..
Security patches are not 1+ GB in size - no where close to it. You're referring to OS updates that completely replace the old OS.
Wouldn't this require phones to compile their own kernels?
https://android-developers.googleblog.com/2017/03/android-se...
Apparently now all OEMs are playing nice with updates and everyone that bought a phone in 2016 got their updates.
On the manufacturing side, a huge team is assembled with piles of money and resources to design and build a complete product out of hardware, firmware (blobs), and software, test it, document it, and then hand it off to marketing. That entire team is disbanded into a pool from which a whole new team will be created for a whole new product. Maybe less than a dozen people remain on a product team following release, and that's just to cover major bugs found once it's in the field. After about 6 months, it might be a team of two people. If it's a small market product, it might be a team of handful that cover multiple similar products.
Anyway, after 18-24 months there's essentially no one around from the manufacturer to support the product. It's not at all the same business model as say, Apple, where it's a giant team supporting a dozen handsets post-release, with coordinated roll outs for bug fixes.
If you want a newer OS on the Android phone, it's a do it yourself proposition. Lineage OS. Hopefully your phone has a relatively easy to unlock bootloader. And while Lineage OS will have a much newer kernel than the stock OS, the code to support, e.g. the NFC, may not be upstream because it's got some patent encumbered code, or maybe something new in the kernel breaks some driver and no one is around who knows enough about it to get it fixed. The exact sequence to put components into low power state, if not correct can cause battery life to suck. There are all sorts of ways this can not work out well, but at least it's an option.
What Google has done since Android 5 is emphasize library stability and security through Google Play updates. New features and bug fixes happen via Google Play itself being updated; it appears to be just an app update but it's actually what the bulk of 3rd party apps use. The low level stuff including the kernel isn't user space, and while your handset gets stuck for life, in effect, with an old kernel, Google are pushing out a chunk of bug and security fixes this way.
On Google devices starting with the Nexus 5X/6P, there's a separate /vendor partition for blobs, and Google publishes monthly updates for that. I'm not sure if other vendors do this…
Maybe it's related to browsing habits? IE? I mean, you aren't going to get hit by a drive-by attack on any major websites -- even in the heyday of malicious advertisements.
So, what I'm really asking is: where did this metric come from, and why does it get spread so often?
Two minutes is probably too short, but an hour? Maybe not.
Windows even included a utility to let people use it as a router on home networks to "share internet connections". https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/help/310563/description-...
I witnessed this myself back in the day. I was probably about 14 at the time, had just freshly reinstalled a machine, installed AV (from a CD, hah.) and connected it to the internet for the first time via PPPoE DSL. Within minutes I had AV popups from having been hit by Blaster before I could even update Windows. In that day, few people had routers or WiFi, many, my family included just had a single machine connected to a modem directly and so had no NAT.
It was never individual attackers - it was worms running on other systems that had reached critical mass and were just hitting random IPs on the internet with the exploit in an attempt to infect more systems.
You're extremely unlikely to see something this bad with a modern OS - most of the time you're behind a NAT, provided by your router or your mobile provider which effectively blocks inbound connections. There's also exploit mitigations like NX and ASLR which are pretty much how the Stagefright bug didn't turn into a nice new MMS worm - it just sounded scary, but over a year later we've not seen any major attacks from it.
If you plug directly into the internet or DMZ your machine, you'll still see this type of stuff. I've heard it called "internet background radiation" - old worms out scanning for possible targets to this day.
Today, yes. But back in those days? I'm not so sure. IIRC, almost everyone had a public IP.
I had a single device and had to do a fresh install from factory settings. This meant I had about 30 mins before my 500kbps connection would grind to a crippling halt from all the accumulated malware.
This meant I had to incrementally procure protection, save it, then fresh install and repeat until I could access the Internet safely.
I don't miss those days.
You could check how frequent the attacks were by yourself. I was using a custom firewall software, called ZoneAlarm, to see how many attacks I was receiving in a day. The log said literally every few minutes, the infectious Blaster worm packet was received. It was like how frequent your SSH server is attacked with random passwords - you can see this from the SSH server log too.
Why did you turn it on in the first place?
At the peak it got so bad that IPSs were blocking affected ports on all consumer connections just to save bandwidth.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blaster_(computer_worm)
At the peek couple of months your computer would BSOD _during_ installation process, right after initializing network interface and RPC service.
You will see random scanning attempts within minutes. Same principle , minus the effectiveness.
You could basically do "NET SEND 12.34.56.78 my spam message" and it would appear on the screen of your victim.
And i don't think the problem is so much that people do not value security, but that they approach a computer like it is an appliance. Meaning that they do not internalize that it can do things without them being physically present and setting things in motion (i find it unnerving that Windows 10 can apparently bring a laptop out of shutdown to do updates in the middle of the night, thanks to programmable timers embedded in the BIOS/UEFI).
I really wish that a modern PC got more "blinkenlights" not less (i hate helping my mom with her laptop, as the damn thing do not even have a HDD activity light).
Heh, I remember when Apple used that as a feature. Instead of updates, it downloaded your email and other things you'd want to have already available when you open your laptop.
Also, macOS does not force a system update schedule on you, unlike Windows 10 Home.
It does, but it's also operating in a much more hostile environment. At least windows had regular updates though, that's not the case for most android phones.
My work laptop and one or two of my private machines have no HDD light, either. It drives me crazy.
For Windows, there is a tool called HD Activity Indicator. It only works after logging in, obviously, but still better than nothing.
And more competition in the h/w space? Common, you already have an insane amount of competition for Android phones, and even some of the biggest multinational don't give a shit about maintaining SW for their product beyond a few months, even for security purposes. The only think we can do is prescription to every people we know: ex. tell all your non technical friends to never buy e.g. a Samsung phone.
It's ridiculous, because Android is the worse ecosystem for security purposes. If you want to be somehow protected, you can stick to iPhones, or, in a funny way, Windows 10 Mobile.
That competition is only on the surface. For SoC, GPU, baseband, radios etc., you are stuck with Qualcomm. Or maybe Samsung's exynos, which isn't necessarily better.
And then on PC too, you pretty much only have competition on the surface; then it's Intel and AMD. Given how modern CPU are SOC (and chipsets are now paired with CPUs, and with no 3rd party licence anymore), you have almost all of what matter in your system (for system compat) there...
I'm wondering what blog posts on the Project Zero blog you consider to be "cheap muck"? There are a lot of posts on the Project Zero blog about Android as well.
[0] https://bugs.chromium.org/p/project-zero/issues/list?can=1&q...
As somebody who has been following Android for a while, this statement is incredibly unfair. The Android ecosystem is huge and remarkably safe. For those actually interested in the details, the Android security team releases annual security reviews, and the report for 2016 was just released: https://security.googleblog.com/2017/03/diverse-protections-...
The tldr: the number of devices with a harmful app is 0.05%, and for 1.5B devices extremely impressive. Basically, if you only install apps from Google Play and never enable unknown sources (the default and the vast majority of users) you are safe.
While the argument that most devices aren't running the latest security patch is certainly valid, it's important to note that there are many services running on device and in the cloud provided by Google which are doing most of the heavy lifting. If anything, the example of Stagefright actually shows the safety of Android - many many devices have never received any security patch to address Stagefright and yet most users aren't affected.
Also, quote from linked blog post:
> only 0.05 percent of devices that downloaded apps exclusively from Play contained a PHA.
1. What percentage of Android devices download apps exclusively from Play? They don't say. I, for one, have quite a few not so technical friends who sideload stuff. Also, pretty much all Android devices in Mainland China don't qualify for this criterion, and that's a huge number.
2. Given the track record of malware in Play Store, the number of devices containing a PHA is probably much larger than that of ones containing a known PHA.
> many many devices have never received any security patch to address Stagefright and yet most users aren't affected.
Not sure how you even know that. Not all exploits are visible.
stagefright is the last major Android vulnerability I'm aware of. Do you have sources for these? In my experience it's far less than weekly. Maybe yearly at most.
According to Adrian Ludwig, Android security director, not 1 Stagefright exploit has ever been seen in the wild according to the telemetry they receive from SafetyNet and the 1.4 billion devices it's installed on.
Source: ask any female hollywood celebrity.
On the other hand, I referenced a report with actual numbers of devices impacted. Obviously you should be skeptical, but as you point out, if millions of devices affected is true, shouldn't we be seeing millions of instances of Android spam, remote roots, SMS fraud, botnets, etc.?
Yes, it is true that some users sideload, and threats to Android users vary a lot by country. There is only so much Google can reasonably do, and this is appropriate given Android is open source and has so many participants (device vendors, carriers, app stores, etc.). But it turns out with good integration with the developers, the distribution platform, and regular check ups, you can do a decent job at protecting your users.
You can also compare to other platforms and recall how devastating actual malware on Windows was, and how long Microsoft struggled (and still struggles) to protect their users. In Android, yes there are many vulnerabilities like Stagefright found, but in the end Android users are surprisingly safe.
Scary-sounding headlines, sure. But there usually is actual evidence.
> I referenced a report with actual numbers of devices impacted.
No, there is no "actual numbers of devices impacted". A number 1.4 billion is thrown out to impress; the pool of devices to which their analysis applies is much smaller, and of which only a percentage is given.
> if millions of devices affected is true, shouldn't we be seeing millions of instances of Android spam, remote roots, SMS fraud, botnets, etc.?
First, what you mentioned do exist. Maybe not in large numbers (not sure), but there's no guarantee they're not rising. Secondly, there are plenty of easier and more profitable channels for hackers these days. Please don't equate vulnerabilities not being exploited with being invulnerable.
> There is only so much Google can reasonably do.
Changing the subject? I was responding to "The Android ecosystem is huge and remarkably safe", and specifically how you quoted the blog post to back that up.
> ... in the end Android users are surprisingly safe.
Webcam users are surprisingly safe too. Not realizing their webcams are DDoS'ing some poor website right now, or their video feed is being streamed online.
Actually, there usually isn't any evidence. Scary headlines sell, finding evidence is a hard work that most readers will not understand anyway. Guess what happens then.
The entirety of China doesn't even have Google Play Store.
Chinese Government.
>Why doesn't Google allow it to be installed on all devices?
You can install it on devices (with varying difficulty depending on if you can unlock bootloader). It just doesn't come pre-installed on any device sold within China.
When media reports security bugs for Android, it is hardly clear whether the bugs affect AOSP or the Google branded Android, and to what extend.
"If the Google Play Store app still isn't showing up, contact your carrier or manufacturer for help. "
Android is open source, after all. Not much Google can do there.
If Microsoft can pull it off Google can do it too. No excuses.
So instead of believing metrics gathered from Google's SafetyNet telemetry from 1.4 billion devices you would rather believe scaremongering blog posts that have no concrete data to back up their claims?
>If Android is so secure, why are we seeing (often more frequently than) weekly headlines on Android security woes, often containing something like "millions of devices affected" (and often enough, no fix in sight)?
Do you really think it's that easy to exploit an Android phone? Once you have an exploit you must then chain it with other exploits to get around all of the Android security mitigation's in place. And then there's the fact that every OEM creates their own version of Android so not every exploit will work on every device or OS version - you can thank device and OS fragmentation for that one.
So this is why bugs like Stagefright never panned out to be the security armageddon that these click bait blog sites all wanted you to believe. Just because an exploit is discovered doesn't really mean it's being exploited in the wild.
This becomes less and less true every year.
I also have an anecdote to share. The only app I've sideloaded and helped others sideload was the one I created myself. Out of 10 teenagers who are the most probably to tinker, 0 of them usually install apps from sources outside of the play store.
So if I give you a knife to cut fruits, and clearly tell you that you can also do juggling with it but it's not recommended and you should do it at your own risk, will you still blame me if you get hurt by knife juggling?
If you're interested in the Android update situation, Adrian Ludwig just gave a talk at Next, the Google cloud conference about it (he even references the Wikileaks CIA breach): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zm6ziX5pqt8
He talks about the task starting with only 5 OEMs to keep their flagships updated. And you start to see the insane complexity of running the update train: this meant 29 devices. Multiply by the 351 carrier partners, which goes to 5000+ builds and variants. That all need to be tested by all the parties. =/
The dasboard tracks versions in the wild, not the amount of users that were blessed with an update.
The report is presented in such a way, as if during 2016 the OEMs had a change of heart and now all provide updates.
Google constantly shot that down and said how it works (agree to everything before downloading) was intentional and expected behaviour. They have finally changed that model now, but in my opinion this was pretty inexcusable and reckless.
I was unable to find the issue in the Android bug tracker now, but it's a pretty long thread.
Maybe "lazy" is the best word, but moving from Android's classic "grant permissions on install" to "prompt for permission" is a major change that they spent a long time working on (I think Android 4 already had a lot of the backend for this?).
It's not like it was secretly granting permissions to apps, and you could always choose to not install something that took too many permissions.
You could say they made the wrong choice, but we're a long way from "this binary can do everything on your files" model of Unices/Windows
Perhaps they were working on it for a long time, but they were actively defending their stance for years after many people were requesting this, and after many incidents of Play Store apps intentionally doing more than expected (uploading contact lists, tracking location, etc...).
As someone who has developed and published Android apps, it was super frustrating to spend half your app description justifying each and every permission used, and still getting negative reviews simply because you had to request some scary looking permission for the most mundane feature addition.
P.S. don't get service from US Cellular if there are other options
It's kind of like with RHEL - the fixes are backported in the old kernel vesion and that's it. It has nothing to do with your operator, you can thank Qualcomm and other SoC manufacturers, that they are not willing to make platform support packages for newer kernels for a given chip.
Except for the half a billion Chinese Android users who can't access Google Play.
Android smartphones sold in China almost always have unknown sources enabled.
Is Linus Torvalds criticized as strongly as this, when many of the hundreds of Linux distro maintainers fail to ship kernel security patches speedily? No? Google puts a lot of effort into securing Android and patching vulns quickly, but ultimately it is the fault of the MANUFACTURERS and OPERATORS for failing to update their commercial works derived from Android OS.
Yes, because it's better to let hackers continue to exploit Windows than inform users and MS that their OS is at risk.
>You've got an even bigger and more complicated mess to clean up, you dug the hole yourself, it's going to take you longer, and you should have started on it years ago.
Security patches are given to OEM's 1 month before they are publicly released. Google patches their devices promptly. Unless I'm mistaken, I'm not aware of technology that allows Google to take an OEM's source code, apply patches, build it, sign it and then release it to all of the OEM's customers.
Taking over a machine thanks to autorun.inf, crashing machines with ping, unsecured shared folders, worms spreading everywhere, rendering fonts on kernel code, and a long list of other stupid defects... No. Android has never included this level of idiocy therefore it is not fair to hold it to the same standard.
Installing Windows was once the same as installing a rootkit in your computer. Android might have issues but never as bad as Windows. Windows holds all the incompetency records.
Then, "the operating system released 16 years ago" (Windows XP) is the 3rd most used operating system. It is still causing problems today.
What? That is complete nonsense. Yes Windows security has improved over time but it's still pretty abysmal compared to macOS, iOS, Android and any mainstream Linux distro. Windows still defaults to your main user being an administrator with administrator privileges at all times.
Not to mention the fact that Windows now comes baked in with malware and not only defaults you into turning it on without giving you the option to turn it all off easily during setup, but the major patches that have come out since will re-enable a lot of Microsoft's tracking code and make you jump through hoops to disable it.
You don't have 1000 toolbar crippling your mama's android browser.
I never had to reformat my mobile to "make a clean" install, and certainly not every 6 month like I used to do with windows.
We never had any large scale infection on Android like confiker.
Reports of anything bad, virus, worms, rootkits... happening on Android are incredibly rare and never happened with my relatives.
Clearly we can't hold Google to the same standard as MS, because they are not even on the same level.
What are the worst 2017 android malware doing to the world?
I use a Moto G4 and the experience is shockingly good for a device that costs less than a bar tab. It's no wonder that low-end Android's are winning, based on my experience with it. It's not the same caliber of phone as a new iPhone or a Pixel, but the difference is not worth $800.
And all of this is mostly open source, runs on Linux using Java, and can be developed on for free. This seems like a good timeline! (even if the API isn't that great)
Most of the magic in Android today is housed in Play Services, one of two things Google can push an update for (the other being the Play store app) without any dialog or concent from the device user.
This makes a lie of the whole notion that Android is open source. Yes, the skeleton is open, but the guts are proprietary. And the skeleton on its own is useless.
Android (AOSP) forks are numerous, yet competing with Play Store/Play Services seems expensive and onerous. Nontechnical consumers don't see Amazon's Fire as Android, just an Android-like system that runs many Android apps. Nontechnical consumers thought the same about CyanogenMod (the Company)'s efforts. Samsung's Cold War seems so desperate, from the outside, because they are trying to walk that fine line between remaining a consumer Android and yet still distance themselves from Google's control.
But yes, in rest of the world non-Google Android is struggling.
Without any first hand knowledge, I'd assume that the balance of things towards WeChat and away from Play Store/Play Services in China might mean that "Android" really does mean something different in Chinese markets? It's easier to sell an "Android" device if the benchmark is "runs WeChat" rather than "runs the apps I see advertised everywhere" (given the near ubiquity of Play Store emblems on American ads) and "runs the collection of apps I've bought over the last few years from the Play Store".
I don't know where you learned about the misinformation that is "the balance of things towards WeChat and away from Play Store/Play Services in China", which is frankly quite ridiculous because WeChat is just a messenger app with a few added functionalities (social timeline, payment, etc.) — it's not comparable to an app store or a service SDK at all.
Back to my original curiosity, outside of my supposition you think is clearly wrong, do you have an impression that Chinese phones that have forked AOSP and don't have access to the Play Store/Play Services still count as "Android" in China? If so, can you give an indication why that might be different than in America where Play Store/Play Services are nearly synonymous with Android?
Nothing about open source requires that they in any way stabilize their web-side APIs, the process they would follow could be the same as their binary releases, just with open source code released at the same time.
This is assuming that Google wants people to see and be able to use these APIs in the first place.
I understand the concern, but I'm not sure I believe it's really that significant.
1. They could release source and provide no guarantee of supporting API backwards-compatibility, exactly as they do today, only with the source available publicly.
2. They already deal with API deprecation. Owning the client doesn't get it to every device instantly. Even logic pushed into Google Play Services requires a (sometimes lengthy) rollout and relies on customers to approve the install.
To be clear, the discussion isn't about whether Google should pull things out of AOSP and put them into Play Services. The discussion is about whether Google can open the source for those components. So long as Google owns the copyright, the answer is a clear yes.
"Led to believe"? Is there any dispute about the fact that most Android manufacturers deliver major updates very slowly and often not at all?
One of the two things Google _chooses_ to do this for. Nothing prevents them from doing the same thing for other pieces of software, except, perhaps, their own policy.
I think it's still a far cry from the state of affairs on iOS or MacOS, and the fact that you can fork it if you are willing to replicate those apis is still reassuring.
Yes, they can. Google makes a conscious choice not to make them open source. There's no fundamental law or anything saying that they can't.
I think the better question is: Why do those services need to phone home? There are plenty of apps that should work just fine without doing that, but don't.
If Google had made the services modular, it would probably be easier to replace them with homegrown ones, but they made it a blob because that gives them more power. There are efforts to replace this blob with other manufacturers' blobs (like the one Yandex is working on, or microG) but it looks like this is not easy and it's not going quickly.
We also probably get a typical reverse-engineering situation where Google's services will always be several steps ahead of anything anyone else can offer as a drop-in replacement, so the alternative looks less and less enticing to the average consumer and they'll probably go with the blob :(
but they made it a blob because that gives them more power
They made it a blob because they need the data to generate revenue. Googles services are free, if you let them have your data. I'm 100% certain that a paid alternative would not survive because people does not want to pay a reasonable fee for the services, when they can have it for free if they let Google save some, to the User, harmless data - they even get personalized content in return. compile 'com.google.android.gms:play-services-gcm:10.0.1'
but, i get the impression that's not quite what you mean when you say "install the whole blob."i guess you're talking about the Google Play Services library, which is updated independently of my app. or something like that.
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.google.and...
not quite sure. trying to clarify this for my own understanding.
Glad to see someone else lives it up at the bar
I had a barely-used lenovo that I had put xubuntu on that I wanted her to try first to gauge her size and performance requirements, but she wasn't ready for linux. I searched around a bit (knowing putting windows 10 back on there was not an ideal experience) and came across RemixOS, a version of android for PC.
That's when it clicked for me. She didn't need a traditional PC. What she really wanted was her phone in a bigger form factor (with usable keyboard). I was able to get all her apps on in a few minutes and she had a workable system with nearly no learning curve. I suspect this will be the case for more people as time goes on. I'm in favor of a competitor to windows, and I now think that is android, not linux.
There's an open source version of ChromeOS that you can install on normal PCs, but I'm not sure if this version comes with Android support.
Also, Samsung demoed their Galaxy S8 the other day. And one of the big tings was Dex, a dock that turned the phone into a desktop computer. Microsoft has in the last year or so been pitching a similar system called Continuum.
Android is Linux.
I was thinking, since our generation has affordable personal computers, when our generation become adults, the world will finally embrace the efficiency of computer where everything is computer-friendly and everyone can write code.
I was wrong.
The birth of so called "smartphone" made everyone dumb. The smartphone does not encourage its user to write code or text. They mostly consume the information provided by a handful of people who can use efficient input device, the keyboard.
My generation and the next generation were infected by the smartphone. Those hand-sized, touch-screen pathetic computer is the only computer most people ever use nowadays.
I refuse to own a smartphone. Since our society become so smartphone-friendly, not owning a smartphone makes me really inefficient at daily life. But I don't want to own a computer which tried so hard to prevent me to replace OS, modify the software, writing code and text.
What a dystopian world I live.
That is your loss. You're blaming the tool instead of the people.
And then you renounce said tool, when it could be used (as the tool it is) to improve your life and your work. To create greater things.
Before the smartphones, people were made dumb by the TV. And before that, by the radio, and before that it was something else, and something else.
People that want to passively waste their time could always do that, and will keep doing.
Rings any bell?
There is no loss. Everything a smart phone can do, a laptop can do better. All a smart phone does is keep people bound to their online lives in an unhealthy way -- constantly beeping at you, notifying you of pointless shit, and spying on you. No thanks.
I don't own any phone, but if I did it would be a dumb phone with week-long battery life.
> tried so hard to prevent me to replace OS, modify the software, writing code and text
It's pretty easy to install a new OS on a typical Android phone. 1 million registered LineageOS installations already, many many millions of CyanogenMod installations before that.
How do smartphones try to prevent you from writing code and text? Apple even made this: https://www.apple.com/swift/playgrounds/ For the iPad, of course, because phones are small… but not impossible to use for code. I have edited websites over SFTP with https://textasticapp.com/iphone.html on an iPhone 4 back in the day! Also don't forget http://omz-software.com/pythonista/ And you can make Android apps on an Android phone: http://www.android-ide.com
Honestly the worry about "omg smartphones are turning everyone into consumers who don't create anything" is ridiculous. People write blog posts, edit photos and videos on smartphones a lot. A LOT.
> a handful of people who can use efficient input device, the keyboard
I really like my mechanical keyboard with blank keycaps, but I do type a lot on my phone's onscreen keyboard as well, and it is pretty efficient!
For every S7 (or S8 these days) there will be 100s and 100s of cheap ones sold that nobody over at XDA or similar with ever grace with an alternative firmware.
People already have full time jobs, sometimes two or more. The last thing they want is another, likely unpaid one, when they come home and sit down before the computer.
Where we're headed is multi-level architectures. At the bottom is what you think of as "all programming". It's low level code, with manual deployment, using a wide range of fairly arcane tools. You need to be a professional to do it.
What is slowly emerging, which you suggest is impossible, is a layer on top of that. It is written in highly constrained code. You can't import random libraries, and you can't write spaghetti code, because you are writing in a highly constrained DSL. It's still real code. It's still a Turing machine. But you are working within a sandbox that your professional software engineering colleague built for you.
Most of us software pros don't think about development this way. We think we're supposed to be releasing finished apps to end users. But 20 years from now, we'll think of our job as releasing libraries for "non-programmers" to use. DSLs that are foolproof, which end users will string together using simple function calls and literals and nothing else. Languages in which it's very difficult to express broken ideas.
There's no reason the marketing team can't write this file:
post("miami", "Bienvenido a Miami!")
image("miami", "http://static.flickr.com...")
paragraph("miami", "We've gotten more requests for a Miami location than the rest of our...")
Well, there is a reason. It's almost certain that the programmers down the hall, like you, don't believe that a marketing professional could handle the "hours of thinking and planning" required to write that code. But again, they are all mistaken. Any smart, computer-savvy person could write that code after a few minutes of instruction.But first you'd have to build that API, and a realtime preview, that is editable from a nice simple web app. You could do the "hours of thinking and planning" so that your colleagues could write the high level business code.
That's where this is all going. There will be a lot of programmers that work inside a sandbox like that, a few hours a week. Most programmers will work like that. And there will be a smaller number of seasoned pros will maintain those sandboxes.
Actually I think what you're saying is the biggest mistaken belief in the programming industry. The industry has been chasing the dream of making programming accessible for everyone for as long as computers have existed. This was the reasoning behind COBOL, BASIC, and Scratch.
> You can't import random libraries, and you can't write spaghetti code, because you are writing in a highly constrained DSL. It's still real code. It's still a Turing machine.
If it's Turing complete then someone can and certain would write spaghetti code. Every constrained environment that ever existed for lay people to use ends up in the hands of frustrated programmers.
> There's no reason the marketing team can't write this file.
There's no reason why they couldn't just drag and drop such logic and prefer to do it as well. Most people have trouble understanding how to work with Turing complete languages to accomplish advanced tasks. Programmers aren't purposely trying to make their environments difficult -- in fact making everything as easy as possible has been the goal since the beginning.
> You could do the "hours of thinking and planning" so that your colleagues could write the high level business code.
Honestly that High level business code that you sort of dismiss is the hard part. Knowing to gather requirements and codify them is the job a programmer. It's a job in itself different from other jobs. It will never be a job for non-programmers and maybe not even junior programmers.
Yes, and it's working. All of those projects helped. A child will learn far more in their first year of programming today than I learned in my first year of BASIC. I think that trend is accelerating and we are very close to the hockey stick part of the accessibility graph. There are a LOT of people who have at least dabbled in programming today.
> If it's Turing complete then someone can and certain would write spaghetti code.
Sure. And yes, some poor schmo will have to deal with it.
But most of the code won't be spaghetti code. Most of the code changes will just be string edits. Marketing has a vested interest in not breaking their pipelines.
I honestly think a little instruction goes a long way here. It's not that people won't be learning coding best practices, it's that you won't need a year of training up front just to get started. I'm not talking about eliminating the learning curve, I'm talking about making it shallow and linear.
> There's no reason why they couldn't just drag and drop such logic
Visual logic programming has been a mixed bag. It does work well for some very constrained kinds of programs, like shader pipelines and audio programming. But generally research into visual programming has not gone well.
Text has one very important benefit over visual programming: it's linear. That's nice because much of code execution is linear. It's actually a tree, but it's definitely not Cartesian.
Drag and drop is also not very intuitive for most users. It's an invisible affordance. It requires dexterity. And it's also not very constrained... You can drag anything into anything.
Most programming will be text. I don't think it will be pure ASCII but it will be linear text.
> Programmers aren't purposely trying to make their environments difficult
Of course not. They are trying to make it just easy enough for a full time professional to figure out and no more.
> High level business code that you sort of dismiss is the hard part. Knowing to gather requirements and codify them is the job a programmer
I think you're forgetting about some programmers. You know the kind... They just want something complicated to do. Like "rewrite the entire system using a custom memory store instead of SQL" and then they disappear into the wilderness for 4 weeks and come out with it finished.
Some requirements mean a lot of code to change. Some requirements require almost none.
What will happen is the "mostly talking, with fairly obvious code changes" part of the job will get absorbed into other roles. Marketing, support, finance, they'll just do that coding themselves. At least they'll do the patch and submit it for review.
And the other stuff... Stuff that's more about code than business needs, that will still be the domain of the professional programmer.
Current programmers will have a choice. Do I want to stay in mostly code all day and solve thorny problems? Or do I want to drop the "programmer" title, still do some coding, and move to marketing/support/finance alongside other "non-progeammers" who are doing a decent amount of high level programming.
My point is ultimately marketing/finance/administration people do not know, fundamentally, what is a lot of code and what isn't. That's knowledge for programmers. https://xkcd.com/1425/
> What will happen is the "mostly talking, with fairly obvious code changes" part of the job will get absorbed into other roles.
There is no such thing as "obvious code changes".
> Marketing, support, finance, they'll just do that coding themselves.
Never happen.
> Or do I want to drop the "programmer" title, still do some coding, and move to marketing/support/finance alongside other "non-progeammers" who are doing a decent amount of high level programming.
My software team develops all the software for the marketing, finance, HR, and support departments. They are deeply involved in the design of their products (some departments more than others) but ultimately none of them can or want to program. Even basic SQL is beyond the skills of most them -- although we encourage anyone with interest to do their own queries.
You massively under-estimate the skill and experience involved in even the most basic programming tasks. Programming, version control, deployment, database design, systems design, etc. These people have their own professions with their own issues to deal with.
What about "there's a letter missing in this heading"?
> Even basic SQL is beyond the skills of most them
I would put SQL in the category of "advanced programming". It's declarative programming, which is not easy for beginners, and you can literally do any operation at all from any place in the code. There's zero separation of concerns.
> You massively under-estimate the skill and experience involved in even the most basic programming tasks.
What's so hard about changing a letter in a string on Github? Anyone who can send a text message could do that. To me, that's the "most basic programming task".
What's impossible about:
Hi Fred,
Thanks for noticing that typo! You can fix it yourself... The code is here:
https://gist.github.com/erikpukinskis/198a752e2fd286f2179b16... Just click "Fork" and then "Edit" and make the change. The system will send
me a notification and if nothing is broken I'll merge it, and it should be
live within the hour!
Best,
Erik
> ultimately none of them can or want to program.OK, so that's a cultural barrier. If you want to really lure people in, it will require a little more than an email like the one I suggested. I think to get people to bite, you need a few things:
1) Web-based editing, with instant preview (no downloading anything, no commands to type)
2) No repos, just editing single files
3) Very high ratio of domain-specific language to implementation language. Most programmers don't bother separating out their domain language (customer, sale, analysis, etc) from their implementation language (page, element, server, etc) You can't have a sidebar with node_modules, src, view, etc, it distracts people.
All this really requires is writing an extra layer of domain code that wraps your implementation code. It's not necessary if your code is only ever read by professionals so most programmers don't bother doing it. It's extra work after all.
4) Use only functions, function calls, and literals. No loops, no classes, etc. That stuff can go in the implementation layer, but you can't expose it. This also means no SQL, no CSS, etc. One language, three language constructs.
5) Separation of shared code from sensitive code and data. If you can do something like:
import "users"
users.delete_all()
... you're screwed. People will never feel safe making changes in that environment. You need real separation of concerns where the code being edited is mechanically separated from everything but the few functions you want to expose to people. Think of each source file as a custom sandbox for just one non-programmer employee.Get all five of those, and you have yourself a changed game. Building all of those things is a bit of work, but there's nothing fundamentally mysterious about how to do it. It's just work that most companies don't do because you can just wall off your code within your professional programming team instead.
The advice of my window manager, i3, regarding source installs is: don't. Disregarding that advice, and after fighting with my package manager to get the required libs, `make` made it extremely easy to build. From there, the edit I wanted to perform required changing the value of a constant from 3 to 0. Not hours and hours at all.
Making this feasible for everyday users is within reach. If the focus of the free software movement had been on making software that users can modify on a physical and practical level, rather than just a legal and technical level, we might see everyday users patching their software. That didn't happen, and it doesn't seem many people care about making it happen, and so the situation won't change.
It is odd that computers are meant to work for us but we spend such a long time using them and working on them, in a huge perpetual cycle of production and consumption cantered around the computer itself, particularly in the software industry.
Odd.
The Information Age would be a dud without constant access to said information from anywhere for anyone.
The smartphone has also made it super easy for the average person to enjoy the fruits of programmers labor via app stores. Overall it has been a positive for the world.
What about people who write iOS or Android Apps for those phones. The device itself isn't well suited to writing code.
If you're looking for alternatives, there is stuff being developed. Google's Fuscia is intriguing, and there are other non-Unix kernels from other organizations in the pipeline. IMHO, the difference this time around is that the web is the new compatibility target. If you design a new OS today and manage to get a full working web browser with javascript and Web Assembly, you'll be in good shape.
There are lots of companies selling JVMs, many of them with extensions, and none of them got sued.
Why? Because they play by the rules, instead of trying to be different.
And at least on those platforms I can make use of proper Java 7 and 8 features, not the cherry picked ones on Android.
Google was pretty much aware that GPL with Classpath exception was only for Java SE, not targeted at embedded deployments, but paying the license required for embedded deployments was too expensive apparently.
According to Gosling, Sun would have sued Google if they still had any money left on the bank, instead Jonathan decided to make the public support announcement, angering quite a few folks internally.
His blog posts are no longer live, but old references are quite easy to find.
Me saving around 500€ on today's money, because I got to use my savings on a no name OEM PC running DR-DOS/Windows 3.1, instead buying an IBM PC with OS/2 2.0?
OS/2 was offered as option instead of IBM PC DOS + Windows.
Actually you just made me search for the model I had as option, the IBM PS/2 Model 35 SLC.
It was a PS/2 model, even if without MCA and the only way to legally get OS/2 2.0, where I was living.
Getting a PC compatible and a OS/2 2.0 box just to try out if something works wasn't an option.
Actually regarding OS/2, IBM had lots of blame as well.
They didn't managed the whole situation properly and trying to use OS/2 to get back into the game of selling their own PS2 architecture didn't help win the hearts of the buyers.
I would have had to pay almost 500 € extra, on today's money to get a PC capable of running OS/2 properly, instead of the one I got with Windows 3.1.
[1] They often bundled a CD with lots of free software with their magazine issues, e.g. different distros of Linux, server software, utilities, etc. All free or trial software, usually. I remember they bundled the QNX OS once, and I installed it and tried it on my PC. It was very light and fast, had a GUI too - Photon, IIRC. They might even have bundled BeOS once. I think I tried installing that too, but it did not work on my PC.
http://www.filfre.net/2016/08/ibms-new-flavor/
OS/2 was to go along with the PS/2. A update on the PC platform that was much more bespoke IBM compared to the largely assembled from off the shelf parts that was the PC/AT.
>OS/2 was to go along with the PS/2. A update on the PC platform that was much more bespoke IBM compared to the largely assembled from off the shelf parts that was the PC/AT.
Yes, I was aware of those points, that Warp was a late or last version of OS/2 and that IBM tried to make the PC architecture closed with the PS/2 line - after it being originally open with the PC (which was what led to its success as a platform, due to the adoption and all the clones and extension cards and software for it). Had read about it. That doesn't change the fact that Warp had good reviews. Didn't try it out personally though.
OS/2 3.0 (Warp) came out a couple of months before Windows 95. Compared to Windows 95, it was much more stable, but lacked compatibility for Win32 programs.
However, OS/2 2.0 was only available to those with enough deep pockets to buy a IBM PS/2 Model 35 SLC, back on the city I was living.
There weren't any shops selling OS/2 2.0 boxes without an IBM PC to come along.
Is there any reason to believe less than 100% of the code was new?
In the case of OSes, it is beneficial to formalize these similarities into a single API. As long as the operating systems remain conceptually simmilar, there is no point in unnessasarily fragmenting the API. When there is need to deviate from the common Unix system, Unix-like operating systems have no problem doing so. But there is not strong enough reason to through out the massive amount of investment, both in software and human expertise, that has been built up on the common Unix base.
Actually, despite its syntax, Rust is more closely related to the ML family than the Algol family. The original Rust compiler was written in OCaml and it definitely shows in the algebraic data types, functional idioms, and immutability by default.
More to the point, maybe a new OS could gain meaningful adoption by seeming superficially like Unix while actually taking significant inspiration elsewhere.
"A consequence of this principle is that every occurrence of every subscript of every subscripted variable was on every occasion checked at run time against both the upper and the lower declared bounds of the array. Many years later we asked our customers whether they wished us to provide an option to switch off these checks in the interests of efficiency on production runs. Unanimously, they urged us not to--they already knew how frequently subscript errors occur on production runs where failure to detect them could be disastrous. I note with fear and horror that even in 1980 language designers and users have not learned this lesson. In any respectable branch of engineering, failure to observe such elementary precautions would have long been against the law."
-- C. A. R. Hoare, Turing award lecture in 1981,
Apple was able to do it, because they sell hardware, not software, but the transition from Classic OS to OSX was hard and rocky even for them and could have failed.
It's a pity, because neither Unix/Linux clones nor Windows are really good and technically sound desktop operating systems from a modern perspective, and it would be possible to develop something way better. As for mobile, I don't know, it's a different thing.
Not to mention the heavy Java push they made for a while, which didn't end up becoming much in the long run but did provide one more way for developers to get their applications onto the platform. And developers like Omni that followed NEXT after their purchase by Apple.
Once it was clear developers were ok with using Objective-C, Java Bridge was shown the door.
QWERTY keyboards, Electronic forms, Combustion engines, Agribusiness refinements, Byte-oriented computers, Genetic technology (outside of GM crops), Building construction/insulation, Monorail and near-sonic trains, Pharmaceuticals, PlayStation, 8086, TDMA, USB, PHP, VHS...
The most common link between them is a low barrier to entry, which has multiple facets.
1. Intellectual Property
If you patent technology, it makes it hard or more expensive for others to license and/or implement it, which leads to a loss of market share unless you completely monopolize the market your product occupies. Any alternative technology which is both cheaper and more ubiquitous will dominate.
2. Cost
More advanced technology is, almost by default, more costly. It is costly for manufacturers to develop a new process to manufacture it, it is more costly for developers to learn to develop new products that use it, and it is more costly for consumers to buy it, both because of the lack of manufacturers and developers for it. It also will inevitably require one to learn a new way to use it.
3. Doesn't address a critical need
If there are two competing technologies, and both provide for the same need, the one that best addresses a need and costs less will win out. If one does not provide for a critical need, it will be left in the dust. Often that "need" is as simple as being faster or easier to operate, but it can also include specific functions.
--
The earlier you are able to introduce a technology, and as long as a newer technology does not beat you on platform support, cost, and critical features, you will remain on top.
Browsers are a good model for how this has changed hands over the years. The barrier for entry is smaller because you can make them for multiple OS platforms fairly easily, but sometimes one would have a monopoly. So to compete with the monopoly, one browser would remove a barrier to entry - cost - and develop new critical features. But then the other competitors could adopt the same changes and compete again.
Another example is Intel x86. Intel tried several times to end the x86 product line. But as the industry refined standards around it, it became too expensive and complicated to try and introduce a complete replacement. It was even forced to adopt features that competitors introduced.
UNIX (and C, since a lot of people lump them together) has stayed around so long because it has a low cost, low complexity, is ubiquitous, can adopt new features easily, and is highly compatible/portable. Even if you have a new critical feature, it can usually just adopt it.
In the end, kernel design has nothing directly to do with how it is adopted by users. Kernel design affects how software developers, and later manufacturers, will use it. And that affects what is left for users to adopt. Nobody really notices a kernel; what they notice is the ecosystem.
There must be some fundamental dynamic at play which favors the 85%/15% market share duopoly.
[0] https://www.netmarketshare.com/operating-system-market-share...
The hard part this time is all the closed source drivers. How did Linux solve that back in the 90s?
It never did perfectly. It's about the same as it is on Android currently. All the basic stuff works but you need proprietary firmware for a few things like WiFi and cell radio. Some even have cell radio working.
Replicant has done a good job doing this on Android devices, see http://redmine.replicant.us/projects/replicant/wiki/Replican... looks like they even have cell working on some Samsung devices.
If mostly-open is good enough though, flashing a stock AOSP build or LineageOS without GApps will get you there, you can install software from sources like F-Droid too.
Would be interesting to find out details about these dynamics.
Source: my own intuition.
Back in the early days of the micro-computer, many games used a virtual machine of sorts. The game logic was implemented in VM bytecode and then the VM engine was the only thing that needed porting between systems.
This was to a greater or lesser degree aided by the limited hardware of the time, and that said computers were single task more often than not.
Think of games like Maniac Mansion or adventure writing software like PAWS.
The VM approach was in absolute terms actually pretty unusual in the late 80s/early 90s, AFAIK. Perhaps counting only cross-platform games or adventure it was more common, though.
This is where all the money Google pours into government comes into play.
So no at all like IE/MS in the 90s
I think the fact that a service is given away for free has been the loophole for Google and Facebook to create large and powerful all-encompassing monopolies on things which really shouldn't be monopolised.
I do find some satisfaction in this, though, because another browser comes to mind. Firefox won its brief market dominance not through intrinsic quality (although it had some potential, and was surely better than IE), but through marketing campaigns, just like Chrome. Now the once-mighty are falling, and they ask themselves what went wrong. Well, when your product's only selling point are extensions (mainly developer extensions) and instead of focusing on performance, features and security you keep spouting "safer faster better" [1], there will come a time when someone with more marketing money to throw around will take your place, because your foundation isn't solid. Also, "good enough" works for most people, so if the IT person in their family set up Chrome for them, that's what they'll be using (just like they were using Firefox a decade ago).
[1] There used to be a "Firefox myths" website, it's not up anymore. http://www.gilsmethod.com/whyfirefoxnotsaferfasterbetter
Might be more of an interesting headline written this way.
GNU/Linux dominating Windows as a "most used" consumer OS has been a long-term push for the entire community. I would see this as achieving it, albeit in a form different than some would expect.
I guess it depends how you look at it :) I would see it as "not using Windows" but your statement seems to be "not using any closed-source software".
It's an effort with variable goals and there are different opinions what is meant. If you ask rms he'd agree with you. :)
And given the stats likely come from analytics which are blocked, it seems reasonable to assume these numbers are sckewed
https://truemarketshare.com/operating-system-market-share?op...
Clear the 'Desktop/Laptop' filter and it gives share on all platform types. I think the difference in numbers may be due to this service is measuring only browsing activity.
It also removes 21% of traffic detected as bots, so that may also have an effect.
Up to now, though, enough bits in OEM-specific drivers will go out of date to prevent Google controlling updates of all Android devices.
There is renewed urgency to solve this problem in general for Android Things. Having billions of unpatched things in the field for a decade or longer will be an even bigger disaster than phones that churn out of the installed base in 3 years. Google is building a field upgrade framework for IoT that should be applicable to handsets, too.
That MIGHT take enough OEM responsibility out of the picture to enable updatable Android phones.
https://truemarketshare.com/operating-system-market-share?op...
I have a theory: - Bots don't show up as Linux, they spoof Chrome, iOS, etc. - Since this service filters out bot traffic, it is removing non-Linux traffic. - Hence, Linux share is actually much higher than is generally reported.
It IS the year of Linux!!
If your site doesn't work well on mobiles, it's high time you fixed it.
At a high level, Android seems to have more than doubled on our site in the past two years, which seems to be a reflection more of our overall site growth. Windows is still enormous.
All snap-shotty anecdotal stuff. If you're a global enterprise beyond US/UK/Australia, I'd think your numbers would be fascinating to look at.
Can YOU PLEASE work on the perception the public has that Android is for cheap people? And the preferred upper class phone is iPhone?
For gods sake your iPhone apps are better than your android apps. Do you not see a problem here? Your developers and engineers think less of your platform.
There is a blatant stance on Silicon Valley as Android is second tier. Change this perception ASAP.
Windows improved the PC market, and android improved the smartphone market.
One reason why they backtracked on Jake and Jill was that they weren't being able to make all the annotation tooling and bytecode manipulation libraries work on the new toolchain.
Anything else is a security breach.