Going faster doesn’t make you happier; you just drive farther
cityobservatory.org
cityobservatory.org
Slowing down a metro area by, say, forcing a modal shift towards bicycles will not make conveniently located housing any cheaper. If anything, it'll be more desirable and therefore more expensive. Absent a change in housing spend, commute times will rise and free time will sink.
EDIT: I'll add that while I don't live far from work for a bigger yard, I do live far from work so I can have my own apartment, instead of roommates. Having lived both with roommates and without, I'm confident I really am happier this way.
[0] http://www.huffingtonpost.com/kirsten-dirksen/happiness-rese...
Not at all! Happiness _is_ correlated to shorter door-to-door time, but higher speed does not equate to shorter times if the distance grows as well. From the article:
> We have a strong hunch as to why traveling faster might not generate more satisfaction with the transportation system. Faster travel is often correlated with lower density, and longer travel distances to common destinations, such as workplaces, schools and stores.
Basically the study finds that trains go faster if there's a larger gap between stops. Not really that interesting a result. It then has a headline that implies a causal relationship where clearly none exists.
It's easy to move farther out in response to faster travel. Low housing prices in the outer suburbs with reasonable commutes attract people to a city. How are people going to move closer in if fast travel is eliminated? Should the people who can only afford the outer suburbs just leave?
Exactly! This is also related to the The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: building new roads just allows people drive more. (See Duranton and Turner.)
You can view this as an equilibrium. People will prefer uncongested roads until they become congested.
Surprising, yet simple when it's pointed out.
Insufficient roads, poor zoning, etc all add up into a complex whole. But, roads reduce the value of some peoples property which is why you get such strong opposition.
PS: Importantly, congestion has a cost not just for the average commute but the number of hours in the day that are congested.
Average commute time is not the desired metric here, see Duranton and Turner[1].
[1]: http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Economics/Faculty/Matthew_T...
Not only that: it allows more people to drive.
I'm not the first to say this: people will choose to drive into congested agglomeration as long as the alternative (public transport) yields a longer door-to-door time.
I have a 6 mile/10 minute freeway haul to the last suburban train station on the way to work, then 20 minutes on the train. They've announced a plan to demolish the parking lot at that station and build offices, with the intention that people like me switch to bicycles. There are good reasons to do this, but I think it's absurd to suggest that we'll be equally happy with ~40 minutes added to our daily roundtrip.
There are some good arguments. BART will make money from those offices, meaning it needs to ask for less from the taxpayer. There will be fewer traffic accidents near the station, and less polluted air (though the real air pollution problem there is urine). I merely argue that the happiness of the reluctant bicyclists isn't one of them.
That would be by far the best way to make a dent in the Bay Area housing shortage.
What's proposed for these sites is mostly commercial, with a little bit of lottery housing for homeless seniors, at-risk veterans, etc. Market rate housing, if proposed, stalls out (see MacArthur).
Or they could align their charges to their costs, and have the users pay for the service.
Now, consider the case where the current prices could actually cover costs if utilization was high enough. (I don't know if that's true for BART, but it's certainly possible for a public transit system.) Wouldn't it make much more sense to increase ridership than prices?
This strategy is hardly unique to publicly-funded projects. Lots of businesses sell a new product at a loss, expecting to grow their sales of it until they can use economies of scale to make the product profitable.
A policy of naively basing prices solely on recent demand and current costs misses a lot of possibilities. It's very worth considering how increased demand changes economies and pricing with a long-term plan in mind.
In peak hours, BART seems pretty close to capacity. My favorite is that while fewer people travel south of the city, rather than east, because of all the "back-trackers" looking for seats (but adding 10 minutes to their commute), even the other direction is pretty crowded.
(Happened to me yesturday when roadworks closed the bridge sidewalks. City didnt provide the shuttle vans they normally do in such circumstances and one biker decided to make a point. Or, more likely, the vans were there but he didnt want to wait.)
Being in a car makes you feel like your drive gets 10x longer when stuff like this happens (whether it's a slow car or a slow bike), but the reality is that we're rarely stuck behind someone slow for more than a minute or two, and for that minute or two you're still only going maybe 30% slower at worst. In other words, it's mostly perception.
Totally untrue. The DC area has plenty of two Lane roads whose speed limit is higher than the average bicyclist can maintain, with the predictable result that you'll have a line of cars being held up by a bicycle. It's especially bad on the Virginia side; many very pretty Virginia roads are virtually undrivable on nice days because of slow bikes.
I drive 3x as far at my new home to my job as I did at my previous home but since my workplace is on the edge of the city and I moved to a rural home I drive 90% of the way on highway. Set cruise, set podcast, arrive at work in 20 minutes (+/- 5 minutes). Old home? 15 minutes but through a dozen intersections and several road merges and lane changes.
Much happier now.
EDIT: I should say that my first career job was about 2km from my home. I could choose to drive and battle 10 intersections and then the hell that was parking, or I walked. It took 15 minutes longer but it was consistent and smooth any day of the week, regardless of construction. Highly satisfied.
I can always get a Lyft in a minute or two in a major city. I might pay slightly more for that at certain times of the day.
(Side note, what's with all the super bright headlights in the last 2-3 years? I see about 20% of new cars with these ridiculously bright lights that just shred my eyes at night -- is it a change in the law or a change in the tech that's allowing these to become so prevalent? Feels like these people are driving cars with their high-beams on... and I can't help but think that the drivers are assholes for doing it.)
I found this became easier to handle when I considered it a different kind of puzzle : how do I navigate that traffic without stopping or even using my brakes.
This usually involves increased following distance. Then I get to watch all the people who can't look past the gap in front of me rush in, realize this isn't helpful, punch their brakes , and switch back to a different lane. Endlessly entertaining!
Added benefit is that people behind you will start hanging back as you do (those not rushing around and failing to get ahead anyway)... Part of the puzzle is seeing how much of a smoothing effect you have on the traffic behind you.
An example... I drive a manual and there's a long slow hill with a stoplight near my house. I don't need to tap my brakes, I can just coast up it and come to a stop by the time I hit the light... but inevitably some idiot see me slowing down a half-mile before the yellow light and doesn't get why (see your comment about them not looking past the car in front of them). Anyway one day I was out driving and this idiot teenager in a massive SUV ran into me with like a 30 MPH difference. Totaled my car, and jacked up my back. Her claim, "I didn't see your brake lights, so I didn't know you were slowing down." (The things people say after an injury accident are pretty astounding -- why you should always get witnesses contact details as well as call a cop.) Of course the whole thing was ruled her fault, but 12 months of PT and years later my back still hurts from time to time. Also... wrecked a perfectly good Honda S2000. So now I just go as fast as I can right up to the light, like all the other lemmings, and mash my brakes when I get there. (=
I've never had the greatest night vision, so all the extra light is really bothersome. That, combined with my aging, computer-cooked eyes (that are slowly turning to ash), has led me to all but stop driving at night. The upside is I get to work a bit earlier. The downside: I now spend more time in traffic.
0: http://www.toyota-global.com/innovation/safety_technology/sa...
I'm in the same boat as you man... I'm buying Visine by the gallon and just hoping that how dry my eyes get after seeing bright lights at night isn't some kind of warning sign I'll get eye cancer or need glasses soon... getting old is only slightly preferable to the alternative. (=
An excellent balance of bandwidth and saturation and average distance, makes most drivers here really easy going and happy.
...unless your trying to get to East Ave Wegmans at 5:30 pm on a Friday :)
Full disclosure - generally I like to drive fast. I have a sporty car and do several track days per year. I just leave the fast driving to the track (and the mountains in certain cases).
The pictures from before the 1950s vs. after are stark. http://iqc.ou.edu/2015/01/21/60yrsnortheast/
My happiness is strongly correlated with my commute time NOT the speed at which I'm driving.
We keep establishing the second part of human nature, for instance better insulation resulted in bigger homes, not energy savings[1]
[1] http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/11/09/as-american-...
Taking hours in a comfortable train, with my laptop, a power socket and 4G is not the same as in the sub suck standing between to a fat sweating smelling dude and a crying baby.
It's not the same if I have an appointment or if I'm going to my holiday.
It's not the same if it's cold and raining or sunny with birds singing.
People don't just go fast for the sake of speed. It has a purpose.
So yeah, slowing down in life is a good advice. Chew and taste the food, exercice, take the time to read, stop to talk to your kids, etc.
But all lifes happen in a context.
The context is not the same when you have a shitty underpaid job with heavy commute in terrible conditions and 2 kids to drive to school, or, if you are like me, in the sunny south of france driving your cool-ass motorbike. Yeah I take my time, there. But I guaranty you, when I'm in the US traffic, I really don't want to take my time.
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/10/06/the-true-cost-of-c...
That being said, my commute time has gone from 30 minutes a day to an hour a day as the areas in between where I work and where I live have become more popular. It's a large part of why I'm considering a new job. The commute to work isn't bad, about 20 minutes or so, but the commute home can be more than twice that. The added commute has definitely made me a less happy person in general, due to things like added stress, less free time, etc.
Edit: I live in Chicago, and looking at the data the only place that has a slower average speed is Miami. I think the higher than expected satisfaction is from the reasonably good public transit. I'd be much happier if my commute allowed me to easily take the L to work. I'd be interested in seeing individual results from within the city though. I wouldn't be surprised if there was a binomial distribution of some kind.
I think you could bike every day, if you wanted to.
Fenders would keep dirty road water off you and a rain shell with rain pants would keep you dry. Or if it's warm you can wear shorts and change once you get to work.
If it's too snowy to safely bike, should you really be driving? And how much does it really snow anymore? This year Chicago had the first January without measurable snowfall in recorded history :(.
Even if I have a change of clothes with me, I still need to wash myself, and find a place to stash my wet and smelly clothes I rode in on. Giving myself a sponge bath in the handicapped stall and hanging my sweaty clothes up to dry in the basement is not a winning idea.
Also, my car has winter tires, AWD, enough gas to run for 8 hours at idle, food, water, blankets, etc. I think that's a far safer thing to be in a snowstorm in. Not to mention the fact that cars are inherently stable, unlike bikes, so I can go as slow as I need to be safe without falling over. Plus, if someone else who is less patient hits me, I'm far more likely to be safe in a car.
Regardless, the biggest issue is the fact that physical exertion makes me sweat, doubly so when I am wearing weather-appropriate gear, and I don't have a shower at work.
> It's not about safety
but then you present several arguments about how the car is safer.
I bike all year in a similar climate. Take a hot shower before you leave. It kills surface bacteria that produce odor. Change clothes when you get to work if you're really sweaty.
> the biggest issue is the fact that physical exertion makes me sweat
You specifically mentioned rain and snow before so that's what I addressed.
As you acclimate to the heat you'll sweat less. Also on a bike you naturally produce a breeze. With experience you can balance your effort and the cooling affect of the air to minimize how sweaty you get.
Most people drive to work and think that's fine and normal. I'm just saying what's stopping you from biking to work is not the weather but what you've decided to value.
I ride my bike to and from work almost every day from April to October, 8 miles each way. I think I have enough experience to say the barriers to cycling more. Perhaps if my ride was 2 or 3 miles I'd probably be able to ride my bike at a leisurely pace, but at that point I could also walk.
I think the argument that you acclimate to the heat is baloney. I play pickup basketball in a gym without AC 5 days a week, and despite that and the bike riding I still sweat a lot. Some people sweat more than others. It is just a thing. There is one guy I play with who literally looks like he stood in the shower ten minutes after we start playing. Other people can play for an hour and look like they just stepped on the court.
Either way, it's still a bit ridiculous to claim that if I really cared I'd ride my bike to work come hell or high water. There have been days when I've been able to drive to work where winds have been high enough to shut down the train lines, and when I'd almost certainly be blown off my bike.
If the grocery store is a mile away, and it takes 5 minutes to drive there it is equivalent to being a couple of blocks away and it taking 5 minutes to walk there. (This assumes walking and driving are equally as easy). Or likewise if I had to commute to work every day by car for 1 hour, it doesn't matter how fast the car moves. I lost 1 hour of my time and that hour is traded for transportation happiness.
I would argue that the faster regions have things spread out so far that it doesn't make up for the faster travel. I lived in both the Southern U.S. and now in San Francisco and I easily see this as being true. Travel by car in the south is MUCH faster than in SF, but it doesn't make up for way things are spread out.
"We have a strong hunch as to why traveling faster might not generate more satisfaction with the transportation system. Faster travel is often correlated with lower density, and longer travel distances to common destinations, such as workplaces, schools and stores."
Also, there's another reason I think people like to go fast. If you're stuck behind someone that's going slower than you've been going, you feel trapped and frustrated. It seems like this happens even if the person in front of you is only going a few MPH slower than you were.
Indeed, who ever thought that speed alone could matter? Time is the key. 2 km at 30 km/h is much better than 60 km at 120 km/h.
http://www.preservenet.com/theory/Illich/EnergyEquity/Energy...
I am really lucky to live where people are happy to accommodate motorcycles (cars make room for motorcycles to split lanes when we have slow moving traffic) and I use one to commute to work everyday. I do sincerely wish more people could share in the joy of riding a motorcycle :-)
However, I am aware that there are places where people are hostile to motorcycles. I just hope that some day things get better.
I'll bet Italian scooters aren't like this though.
Sure there is risk, but that is inherent in anything that can hang with a bugatti. The reward is a perhaps shorter life you enjoy living.
If it's self-driving cars you're thinking of instead of trains (and self-driving cars are a ludicrous solution, with all the drawbacks and none of the advantages of both cars and trains), they're a fad, and they sort of market themselves. When they fail to deliver in 5-10 years, we'll be free of that crap.
The majority of this sentiment is the millenial preference for living in cities like traditional civilized peoples, instead of out in plastic suburbs with no commerce except retail chains and no social activities except TV, Evangelical megachurches, and sportsball. Kunstler's Geography of Nowhere might be worth reading on this subject.