Apple appeal in Japan is turning the tables
news.cnet.com
news.cnet.com
I go to Japan every spring for 3 weeks or so, and I am always looking around to see what electronic gadgets people are using, so I am always checking out everyone, especially on the train.
Spring 2009...before arriving, I was quite interested to see how many people were using an iPhone. I was quite surprised to see only the the odd iPhone here and there. The iPhone had already been out for a long time, with great success most everywhere else, so I thought maybe there was something unique about the way they use their phones (the Japanese are constantly reading or typing on their phones) such that the iPhone was inferior (I still don't know the answer to this).
Spring 2010...iPhones everywhere. On any given train, of the people visibly using a cell phone, 20% to 40% of them had an iPhone. It was a pretty impressive conversion in the span of one year.
I did see the new Sony XPeria in the stores over there, it did look like a fairly nice device. But the advantage the iPhone will always have is the app store, there are some really cool Japan only apps that (for now) you can only get on the iPhone.
Maybe Japanese cell phone companies should just standardize on Android and try to come out with the slickest Japanese implementation first, then try to re-tackle the international market if they can pull that off.
Your estimate of 20~40% is probably off by a factor of about 10, though. Think about it. Softbank is one of the 3 major mobile carriers in Japan. In fact, the other two are still bigger. Even all of the dozens of Softbank models combined probably don't add up to 25% of market share.
Also, each carrier has had their own app stores way before iPhone existed. Of course, iPhone has the novelty factor, a great interface, etc, but existing stores have plenty of apps and also a subscription model.
i imagine the visibly using a cellphone is the key part, as i'm sure most people on bart have cellphones but the only ones people play with on the subway have either an iphone or android phone. same case w/ iphone market share vs iphone mobile browser usage share.
But get outside the cities - you know, the other 90% of Japan - and I'd wager a guess that the amount of iPhones you see in the wild drops considerably.
So you're right in a way. There's probably very high market penetration within big cities. But outside the cities where its high school kids, X-corp salarymen, factory workers and housewives, other models dominate.
So far as I can tell, more than half the population of Japan is in major metropolitan areas.
I thought maybe there was something unique about the way they use their phones (the Japanese are constantly reading or typing on their phones) such that the iPhone was inferior (I still don't know the answer to this).
A few perceived demerits of the iPhone in Japan, in no particular order:
1) No or poor support for standard emoticons and "decorated" (HTML) email. That's a big minus here, especially among women.
2) No mobile wallet support. This was not a completely standard feature 2 years ago but it was already fairly common.
3) The camera is not so good: relatively low resolution, few features, no video recording.
4) No infra-red device. This is used to exchange contact information. This is a completely standard feature, even 0-yen phones have it.
5) No push email. Also a standard feature.
There are others. Personally, I don't mind the issues above except for 5). For me, the main problem is that the response can be horribly slow when typing, but I don't know if this is a widespread problem or just a glitch on my own device.
I recently went to a neighboorhood meetup (オフ会) near my home in Kobe. At some point I got out my iPhone to look at the time. Someone said "oh, you have an iPhone?" At which point fully HALF of the other attendees pulled out theirs and began discussing.
Yes, sampling bias and all that, but it's still a bit surprising. One guy who didn't have one expressed his loyalty to an opposing carrier that doesn't have the iPhone.
Still haven't seen an iPad here, but it hasn't been very long.
I'll let you know if Ginza/Shibuya is an iPad-fest this weekend.
I think the appeal of the iPhone is that it is marketed like a luxury good rather than a commodity, like the Japanese-made cell phones are. The Apple Store in Tokyo is in the super-ritzy Ginza district, after all. (Although the same is true in the US; the Apple Stores are always in the high-end retail districts, and the iPhone is a luxury where its competitors are faceless commodities that you "pay" ninety nine cents for every two years.)
Another thing I see going for Apple is that, it seems, people in Japan are actually willing to pay for consumer electronics. In the US, we go for whatever's cheapest (go to Best Buy sometime, not a high-end item in sight), but the Japanese seem to be more discerning. At least in my experience.
(I am typing this on a Y30,000 keyboard that was imported from Japan. The most expensive keyboard I can find on Amazon is $100, and only because it has a shit-ton of stupid bells and whistles, like LEDs and a text display. This keyboard is a regular 103-key keyboard without a numberpad. No lights, no display, no wireless. Just a good keyboard. Only in Japan...)
Wow! Which brand and model?
I also have a "Siig MiniKey" or something acquired new in box from a cheap/used electronics reseller, with Alps switches.. for $5.
Actually my friend bought it on a whim. They had a huge crate of them there, all new in their boxes, recovered from a sell-off from some corporate warehouse or something. I got it from him later, when I saw it, and I could instantly tell it had Alps switches in it. He said it was only $5 so we ran back to the place immediately -- but someone had already scooped up the entire crate of them. The place selling them had no clue they were worth a bunch of money. Otherwise, I would have bought all of them myself. I guess someone else had the same idea as me.
Oh, and this is true of both the Realforce and the HHKB Professional; same switches, different layout.
Of all the things in an ordinary office or home (including toilet seats and such) phone handsets and computer keyboards tend to have the most germs. One anti-germ measure I use is to replace my keyboard every year or so, but replacing the Topre every year is more than I want to spend. Replacing just the keycaps would control germs just as well as replacing the board, but where would I buy keycaps for a Topre?
Regarding electronics from the USA (China?), there simply have not been any worth buying until the iPhone and iPad.
Of course, that's because it has a shit-ton of stupid LEDs. (don't it make you want one, though?)
This thread has proved useful, I may have to nab one of the keyboards mentioned... good keyboards are worth a lot IMO, given how much they'd get used.