California has the USA’s highest poverty rate, when factoring in cost-of-living
politifact.com
politifact.com
(I think this is a variation on Simpson's paradox.)
Both countries? How's that work if it's poor Mexicans coming here?
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-obama-deportations-20140...
Which I'm sure you'll find credible since it's a left-leaning source.
It also takes a minimum amount of ambition; lazy slobs can't be bothered. Fearful people don't want to risk being robbed or spending weeks out of work to end up deported and gaining nothing.
My relative's wife made the crossing because her husband was abusive and beat her and her son; he threatened to kill them both and had the connections to get away with it.
The routes they takes are often batshit crazy - the usual Afghanisthan-Egypt/Turkey-Europe route or the Guyana-Mexico-Texas/Cali route (this all the way from India!).
Thus their departure would raise incomes in Mexico while lowering it in the US. So your point is mostly right, at least as it relates to this story.
One of the most obvious examples of this - for generations, health care professionals in low-development nations have been emigrating, seeking higher incomes in the developed world. That's despite the fact that they're almost always middle class or higher in their own country. You could see this in action over the last 50 years across poor nations in Asia, Eastern Europe and Latin America. Currently the middle class is flooding out of various poor Eastern European nations, seeking a better life in eg Britain.
There were about a dozen articles posted on HN about this concept when the Syrian refugee crisis was peaking.
Increased wealth and better access to information and information technology in African and Asian countries is what's pushed the recent migration towards Europe (via Turkey, Libya or Morocco) on the move.
The doctors, etc are a minority. A visible minority, because their move harms their country of origin more than a loss of a builder from a social perspective but still a minority.
I don't think that is a good argument, since once they move to the US they would be making middle class wages in the US, since they have the relevant skills to be employed in middle class jobs.
NAFTA fucked rural Mexico as a tidal wave of cheap corn flooded the economy and killed the smaller scale agriculture, just as it did in the US. You also have periods where economic crisis and monetary devaluation in Mexico wipes out a lot of middle class type people. A lot of laborers and construction guys came because of this.
You also have an insurgency in many parts of Mexico where the cartels have taken over and often little functional government exists. People there bug out if they can.
Many of the "peasant" immigrants are from Central America and pass through Mexico.
As far as economic impact, it's a complicated issue there too. The big land interests in Western States generally control the senate delegations pretty tightly. A lot of people are making a lot of money off of illegals, so if there were some major change, you'd see some sort of guest worker visa or change to labor laws (especially minimum wage, workers compensation and overtime) to keep the farms picked and slaughterhouses running.
There is literally a second City of tents in Oakland under the freeway that stretches for miles. San Francisco has a similar problem, although it isn't as clear.
LA, San Diego, and other south west coast cities have beech bums and equal homeless problems. The fact is, homeless can survive here, where they wouldn't survive in Chicago, DC, New York, because it simply doesn't get too cold there.
I befriended a homeless guy I saw every day walking to/from work. He never asked for money. I struck up a conversation, offered to buy him food and we talked for months, every few days (when I would sometimes buy him food). He had been a machinist in PA, got laid off, and got to N CA somehow. The weather made it easier to live outside, year round. I pushed him to get an ID, which is needed for pretty much anything, and he did. I haven't seen him in a couple of months, so I hope he got into a shelter.
So, the weather and tolerance is a big reason people come to CA when they are homeless or near homeless.
The poorest people are rural whites and southern/inner city African Americans. The immigrant communities, especially Hispanic immigrants and some asians are harder to assess because they do old school immigrant things like pool resources in the community/extended family and work a lot, but off the books.
I don't agree.
There are very large numbers of Central/South Americans who come to Cali, largely unskilled, and they occupy the biggest part of the economic underclass.
Think of how many are not even 'on the books'? I'd argue it's very difficult for an undocumented person to make that much.
It's not a 'moral' statement, it's just a reality of the blending of people from different civilizations in one pot.
Large scale migration from poor countries will definitely be a factor.
And as one commenter above noted - the 'weather' does as well.
Nice weather attracts more vagabonds. This is true in Canada s well, BC has way more street people than Ontario where it's extremely cold and extremely uncomfortable for street people in the winter. Again, not a moral statement. Just fairly rational human nature.
36% of SF's homeless are African American, versus 7% of the general population.
The data doesn't back you up. The very poorest unable to even find housing are statistically more likely to be African American than Hispanic.
[1]:http://sfmayor.org/sites/default/files/FileCenter/Documents/...
Moreover, it's not even the 'Bay Area' - it's a tiny, unrepresentative spot of 700 000 people.
Also - 'homelessness' is not the same thing as 'under the poverty line'.
California is 33% latino, and less than 7% African American.
African Americans might be more likely to be 'in poverty', sadly, but there are nearly 5x more Latino Americans than African Americans in California.
This does not even include a large population undocumented people, who are far more likely to be Latino than Black.
Here is the data:
https://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-17.pdf
In the US, Latino Americans are just slightly less likely to be 'in poverty' than African Americans. In California, with a 5x more population, that would very roughly boil down to 5x more Latino Americans in poverty than African Americans.
Hence my point.
You also need to be very careful with context and analysis of "latino". Statistically, Latino is an overlay term representing cultural origin. Many African Americans identify as Latino.
Again, NYC is not America.
Again, we're talking about poverty rates, not homeless rates.
Yes, I understand 'Latino' is not always central/south American in the classic sense, but fyi - Latino's are far more likely to be classified as 'White' than 'African American' - i.e. Spanish, Cubans etc.
The median home price in San Jose, CA is about $850,000 at present (March 12, 2017) according to Zillow.
The average rent for a one bedroom apartment in San Jose is about $2473 per month (https://www.rentjungle.com/average-rent-in-san-jose-rent-tre...)
The US Census lists a median home price for the United States as a whole of $221,800 in 2010 (https://www.census.gov/const/uspriceann.pdf)
Median monthly gross residential rent in the United States was $934 in 2014 according to the Census ACS survey. (http://www.deptofnumbers.com/rent/us/)
Other living expenses are often 10-25 percent higher in the major urban areas in California where most people live than other parts of the United States. (personal experience)
It is housing and rental costs that dominate the disparity with much of the country however.
Couple this with the fact that California is entrenched in bureaucratic red tape, and you can see why nothing ever gets done about it.
Who wins the political clash? Are there more voting owners, or voting renters?
Generally there are more owners, though California has one of the lowest home ownership rates at around 53%. Cities draw this average down -- most suburbs have higher ownership rates.
With this in mind it shouldn't be a surprise that owners outvote renters.
Doesn't matter. Owners win because we live in capitalist society, and capitalism means you must be an owner to get full rights. Non-gentry are second class citizens (no free movement, no access to clean water, no right to work the land, no right to build shelter).
No free movement: I can't travel to many places without a car because property owners decided only people who own cars should be legally allowed to access a place.
No access to clean water: water is a resource owned by corporations, the people drink at the corporation's pleasure.
No right to work/shelter ones self: all land has been sold off, new people born into this world must first serve the gentry until the gentry decide to pay them enough to buy some land of their own.
NYC exists under the same capitalist system as SF or LA or wherever.
Nothing you have described (need to drive, no clean water, etc.) applies to NYC.
Therefore, your gripes aren't caused by the capitalist system you are blaming.
[0] https://www.forbes.com/sites/timothylee/2012/06/03/infrastru... [1] http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/10/nyregion/10tunnel.html [2] http://www.tenant.net/Oversight/50yrRentReg/history.html
This system heavily favors existing home owners over the general public.
Very few buy gas from the pump with the expectation of selling it again once the price rises.
Housing as an investment object is a disease of the mind.
Probably the best way to think of America is a society of land speculators. Europe was full, so we moved over the pond to settle a new land. During the expansion westward, communities built their towns up in the hopes that theirs would be the one that makes it big.
Today, renters are treated as slightly suspect drifters with 'no sense of community,' which is a coded way of saying they're okay with falling property values. Which is threatening in a society where the majority are invested in real estate. It's not too hard to look at policies and see the implicit high property value bias. Environmental regulations, property tax moratoriums, public schools, interest rate policies, urban growth boundaries, public transportation; they all tie in, if a bit obliquely.
So I'm not surprised in a country where 63 percent of people own the home they live in, that high housing prices aren't a political priority. When we've all collectively made a bet that home prices go up, should we be surprised when policies are voted in to support that opinion?
The median home price in Plano, TX is $317,800 according to Zillow (March 12, 2017 https://www.zillow.com/plano-tx/home-values/)
One bedroom apartments in Plano rent for $956 a month on average and two bedroom apartment rents average $1293. (according to RentJungle https://www.rentjungle.com/average-rent-in-plano-rent-trends...)
Plano (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plano%2C_Texas) is a suburb of Dallas-Ft.Worth where many people who work in the Telecom Corridor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telecom_Corridor live. It is similar to the Silicon Valley and more generally urban areas in California but with much lower home prices and apartment rental rates.
The high housing prices are not a consistent nationwide pattern.
- Clean running water - Electricity - Heat - Phone, now plus internet access - Paved roads - Access to basic health care (for now, thanks Obama!)
Disclosure: I went through bankruptcy and foreclosure, so I know exactly how much not having money sucks in this country, but I would take being broke in the US over being broke almost anywhere else, with one important caveat, if you have a long term physical or mental disability and do not have family to support you, then you are truly fucked (but that would be true anywhere outside of northern Europe or Canada as well).
In the US we should be comparing ourselves to the best countries with the least amount of poverty, the highest socioeconomic mobility, and the healthiest populions.
We can't and won't improve if we always look for the lowest denominator then pat ourselves on the back because we are better than that.
Consider Finland. Five million people, 82% white, extremely anti-immigration, and they don't have to defend themselves for the most part. The US military shield has mostly taken care of that for them (thus their 1.3% of GDP military spending despite having a frequently hostile Russia on their doorstep). So you want to compare their outcome, to the US?
Comparing a wildly diverse nation of 330 million against Sweden, Norway or Finland type nations, is absurd. Those are the absolute elite outcomes of the world and Europe in particular.
Compare Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Minnesota, Virginia, New Jersey, Vermont, Washington, etc. to those nations. They all have median incomes equal to or higher than Switzerland (and that's before adjusting for the better cost of living in those states vs a Switzerland type nation) and are much closer on a population basis. Those are the elite outcomes of the US collection of states.
Or would you rather compare various of the bottom 25 US states to the relatively impoverished half of Europe nobody ever wants to talk about? Bulgaria, Belarus, Russia, Moldova, Hungary, Ukraine, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Latvia, Lithuania, Serbia, Croatia, Macedonia, etc.
The fact is, most developed nations struggle to match the median incomes of the poorest US states. Japan as one example has a median income 20% below Mississippi and Louisiana (and it's likely to continue losing ground to those states). Germany is about on par with Kentucky.
Can you provide sources for that? What are you comparing? Median disposable income? Median household income?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_income#Gallup_gross_med...
> Japan: 34822
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mississippi
> MS: 40037
I grew up without heat on many days. It was the 80s. Inflation ate into parents' earnings to the point where you had to cut something -- housing, food, heat. They cut heat. We used multiple blankets. Showers were usually with warmish to cool water.
I agree, we now have access to healthcare. Back then, we'd go to the ER for everything, you'd have to gauge whether the illness was worth 6 or 7 hours in the hospital. Those times might come back depending on where legislation heads.
Don't forget the Antipodes.
How do you make things like housing, health care, and education more abundant, cheaper, more competitive in CA?
No one seems to know.
There's a reason the poor have been migrating out into the sub-suburbs: that's where houses can actually get built.
Everyone knows. Get the cancer known as the state out of the business of picking winners and losers.
Agreed. In addition, migration and re-establishing a new life in a new place is stressful and not cheap.
Or because you were born here and can't afford to leave; the share of California's population that is native born Californian has been growing for the last decade or so.
Here's a 15 page list of apartments under $500 in LA.
California's public funds are increasingly going towards paying public employee pensions. Given how generous these pensions are and how they can be manipulated for maximum payout I would consider it corruption.
That has nothing to do with Prop 13 or money, though. You pay more in taxes today than you did pre-Prop 13, and in constant dollars we spend double what we spent on k-12 education in the early '70s.
>California's public funds are increasingly going towards paying public employee pensions.
Yes. By and large this is where the money is going.
I'd rather keep my money thanks
We had one in town when I was a student. The thing had a name. It was called Schweinebunker.
For 1900 $/mo, you can get a bedroom in a really nice 2 or 3BR place in the desirable neighborhoods or a studio/1BR in the undesirable neighborhoods (sunset/richmond). I don't understand why the people in that article are living like that (Poor credit? Desperation to find a place fast? Ignorance of the existence of Craigslist?), but they're very, very far from being representative of SF real estate.
A purchasing power metric (that includes cost of housing) would indicate that.
a) Includes income transfers, like SNAP, housing assistance, EITC, etc.
b) Is based on the affordability of a bundle of food, clothing, shelter, and utilities consumed at the 33rd percentile.
In other words, after including most government anti-poverty transfers, is the person able to afford food, clothing, shelter and utilities equivalent to that consumed by the 33rd income percentile.
It is relative, but it's not strictly relative, because it's based on a small basket of necessities.
So much for progressive politics
"poverty"
https://www.dosomething.org/us/facts/11-facts-about-global-p...
"more than 3 billion people — live on less than $2.50 a day."
You can't do any of that in California, in any reliable way... and in many parts of the state, $30k/yr just isn't enough to rent an apartment and cover the basics (food, transport, medical care). So yes, the poor in the US are both better and worse off than poor in the developing world.
Pre-Katrina New Orleans was popular because survival was similarly cheap, not for the same quality of survival, but the bottom possible was lower.
Nevertheless, SF actually has pretty good services for the homeless. That's why there's a lot of homeless people there.
Given also that the median black household income in California is $35k, it sounds like you can actually survive of $30k in Cali without your kids dying of dysentery. Alternatively, if you want to 'scrounge crude shelter', there's 11 million square miles of public land in California.
In short, my eyes just about goggled out of my head when the response to "kids die from drinking dirty water" is "yeah, but they can live wherever they want".
Oh no, I can't afford beach front property or a mansion in Beverly Hills on $30K a year? Poverty!
http://www.apartmentcities.com/Los-Angeles-Apartments/Los-An...
15 pages under $500 in Los Angeles.
>and worse off than poor in the developing world.
So you won't mind moving there and living on a local salary, eh?
"I agree with that [immigration is a net benefit to nearly everyone] and support more or less open borders" - yummyfajitas
Unfortunately most poor Americans refuse to work, commit disability fraud and otherwise exploit the taxpayer, and commit disproportionate amounts of crime. (Far more than Indians - I've never felt unsafe in any slum here, unlike in the US). You don't get any comparative advantage from people who refuse to trade and merely take things from you.
A regular income person is a millionaire in South Africa. It caused some problems.
$30k for a family of 4 is $20 per person per day. That's 8 times more than $2.50, but the cost of living in CA is (probably?) approximately 8x the cost of living of Africa, rural India, China, etc (where these 3 billion people live.)
http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/35884-on-the-news-with-th...
Development is hard.
"Teach a man to fish..."
It really is. That's what Lothrop Stoddard called 'The Burden Of Civilization'. Essentially, this is to say that, in as much as civilization can be a good thing, it is also very difficult to attain and sustain; some people are willing to push themselves as hard as they can to do this and some people just aren't equipped to handle civilization.