Everything might change. Not everything will change.
I think the problem I have with your principle is that many of the techniques to accommodate change (the "IOC, interfaces, etc" you mention) can have a real and immediate cost when it comes to understanding a codebase, and that's the fundamental sin when it comes to maintainability.
Abstraction and indirection have value, obviously, but on balance I'm with GP; don't add 'em until you actually need 'em. In particular, don't add an interface and a factory and whatnot until you actually have more than one implementation.
This may depend on your languages and dev environment; something like IDEA where large-scale but mechanically trivial refactorings can be accomplished quickly and safely are more suited to KISS than e.g. dynamic languages where tooling is much much weaker.