Revised executive order bans travelers from six countries from getting new visas
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
Muslim immigrants commit fewer crimes than natives.
[1] http://www.nber.org/papers/w13229.pdf
[2] https://www.cato.org/blog/immigration-crime-what-research-sa...
Trump has has ended reality; words have no meaning now, and numbers doesn't have meaning either.
2) Eventually people will be tired of outrage in general, at which point the executive branch can do whatever it wants.
That's a non-sequitur, as this order isn't targeted at "Muslim immigrants". Furthermore, the categories "Muslim immigrants" and "natives" both contain substructure. That means that a simple comparison between the two can be misleading.
Please note I'm merely pointing out a flaw in your argument, and not taking a side on whether the order is a good or bad idea.
Not sure whether you're acting naive to prove a point, but the countries represented aren't majority Muslim by accident - they were picked for a specific reason. Not to mention, Trump himself alluded to a "Muslim Ban" with a similar structure before, as did multiple aides. He's run on a platform of xenophobia. It's not a stretch whatsoever to make that point - everyone understands why the poster is labelling it that way.
The implication that the person that posted is injecting ideology into that comment is ironic, since willfully choosing to ignore the political context of the ban is just as bad.
> the categories "Muslim immigrants" and "natives" both contain substructure
Yes, all language does.
>not taking a side on whether the order is a good or bad idea
You're taking a side by turning a blind eye to the ideological ramifications and context of the ban. "I'm just playing devil's advocate" is always problematic because it purports that injecting something dangerous like this into the conversation "doesn't count".
The people doing this think it qualifies, and this is a case where we should probably believe them.
But he didn't...
Instead, he or his team chose to use a list of seven high-risk or non-cooperative nations drawn-up by the DHS over a year ago for the purpose of suspending Visa-waiver travel. That affected ~20% of the Word's Muslim population.
1. Trump talked a lot about banning Muslims from the US.
2. Giuliani said the first travel ban was what came out of Trump asking him to implement the "Muslim ban" legally.
3. Neither the first one nor this new one is a very effective Muslim ban.
What are we to conclude from these facts?
We could conclude that, despite the insistence of Trump that he was going to implement such a ban, and a Trump insider saying that the first order was their first attempt at it, that order was not in fact intended as a Muslim ban.
Or we could conclude that it was intended as a Muslim ban, and the people responsible either don't understand that Muslims and Arabs aren't the same thing, understand but don't care because it's pandering to their supporters, or understand and see it only a first step in a process of getting a full ban in place.
Given how everyone in this circus has behaved so far, my money is firmly on door #2.
I point this out strictly as a response to your reading of the GP's post, not as support of the travel ban.
My point was that there are 50 Muslim-majority countries. So if you want to argue against the ban, argue that visitors / immigrants from those countries commit less crime than "natives", rather than arguing that Muslim immigrants in general commit less crime than natives.
>> the categories "Muslim immigrants" and "natives" both contain substructure > Yes, all language does.
The point here being that different "native" demographic groups commit crimes at different rates; and I'm guessing it's likely that different "Muslim" immigration groups commit crimes at different rates. e.g. approximately 1% of Chechen immigrants to the USA are terrorist bombers.
These are are the countries where the US is fighting wars against ISIS, and Iran.
I don't support the ban, but I can see the point of being careful about accepting immigrants from areas with active enemy armies.
The particular language of this order may not be. But we've learned to take Trump "seriously, not literally."
In that light, the above quote is a falsehood.
If you look at the mass casualty incidents since 9/11, only at best ~50% of them were instigated by immigrants, let alone Muslim immigrants. A leaked DHS report apparently concludes that even most of those immigrants who did commit terrorism were radicalized post-entry, although this should have been the reasonable assumption of anyone who cast a cursory glance at the evidence.
The exclusion of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Pakistan, and now Iraq, as well as the inclusion of Iran on the list (Iran's support of terrorism is pretty much limited to proxies whose targets are limited to Middle Eastern governments (including Israel) and have no inclination to carry out attacks in the US or Europe) indicate that the set of targets is chosen less for which countries are liable to produce terrorists and more for which countries the US government doesn't like.
As I've pointed out in the past, the number of terrorists who might be stopped by a travel ban like this is probably 0 and maybe as high as 2. The number of people for whom this would be the tipping point in their radicalization is probably between 0 and 10. This may create more terrorism than it catches.
But I've been really giving thought to what I can do as an average citizen to make the slightest change in public policy.
Students, family members, and others following the rules are the targets. The goal is to increase hassle, expense, uncertainty and humiliation for Certain Visitors in order to have less of them.
(Edit: That's assuming OP meant terrorist incidents. MCIs are so common that immigrants would be implicated in <1% of them.)
Thing is, we'll probably never know. Will that information ever be shared with the public? How many people were prevented from entering the US over the past 8 years for "ties to terrorist organizations?" I have no idea.
It happened in early 2016 to Indian students.
http://fusion.net/story/272029/indian-students-denied-entry-...
Happened in mid 2016 to Syrian refugees.
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/2016/08/09/substantial...
A reported 2015 rise in Muslims being denied entry
http://www.dlgvisablog.com/blog/2015/12/29/us-increasingly-d...
But without news reports or blog articles, how are we to ever know that X number of travelers were denied entry? We can say it's probably between 0-2, but there's no evidence to back that up and I don't know how we even begin to search for the evidence other than heavily redacted FOIA requests.
[1] https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/7470/germany-migrants-cri...
Is he just allowed to keep issuing more orders every day forever or rather shouldn't the states be very concerned by this centralised power grab? I'm equally concerned by Obama or Bush using these powers, it's not just about Trump.
Politically it's another question. Advocates on immigration reform have pointed out for years that the immigration laws are both impractical and unjust, and there's majority agreement about this. but every effort at reform has been stymied by a nativist minority that is opposed to any immigration, which bloc was successfully (albeit unexpectedly) marshaled into a winning majority under the US' rather arcane Electoral College system. As we now see, the political impetus is to a highly militaristic central state, abandoning as many administrative functions as possible and dropping those into the laps of the several states where they will either be burdensome or ignored.
In the case of immigration, quite a lot of power rests with the president, so the president making changes to immigration policy is nothing unusual.
We seem to have lost our way being able to give and take and discuss meaningfully our goals and how America could develop a better immigration policy while trying to minimise unfairness on individuals.
Just a thought.
I don't take this order at face value though. I think it is a political move rather than an attempt to do any good for the country. So being better than that is a pretty damn low bar.
I'm not sure if he even grasps the concept of being "president" but still having to work with 535 other people he did not choose and may not like in order to get stuff done. If he does grasp it, he certainly shows no desire to actually follow it.
But it can also be things like "don't enforce this law" or "always deny these visa applications", where you have to worry about the President making law instead of following it.
Whether EOs are a good thing or a bad thing generally depends on whether you support the president that issued them. In the face of an obstructionist congress, I supported Obama's EOs, but the problem with them is that they are much more fragile, as they can be more easily reversed by the next administration.
You might also be interested in Cole's paper from 2003: "Are Foreign Nationals Entitled to the Same Constitutional Rights As Citizens?" http://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?ar...
maybe creating secular activities for them other than mosque would help them.
1) isn't trivially avoidable ("are you now, or have you ever been, a Militant Islamist?"), and
2) doesn't rely on extending the surveillance state further.
"Do you hate America?"
"No"
"K, let him in"
This is getting ridiculous!!!
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/06/us/politics/travel-ban-mu...
The Pentagon raised concerns that the previous ban on Iraq hindered many Iraqi citizens (translators etc) who were actually helping the US.
Even today a story on CBC news a woman born in Canada, speaks English denied entry told she needed an immigrant visa not just a visa which is weird an immigrant visa. Her two white friends passed through with no trouble. http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/montreal/canadian-denied-...
US border guards have always been assholes, I got detained recently because the border guards are, to put it mildly, idiots (they thought visiting family in the US for the weekend was strange). Remember at one point Canadians used to be able to visit without a passport; that ended long ago.
I mean, my solution is to avoid the US whenever possible (never take layovers there, avoid travelling there unless someone really, really wants me to visit), but it is rather annoying to be treated like shit by a country where we're supposed to be able to enter without problems. I've never experienced the same issues travelling to the EU.
She was told to fill out a form her fingerprints were taken then told there was a computer problem and she couldn't enter the US. They came back the next day and were allowed in.
But then the latest crossing attempt the border guards asked her why she was stopped in December?! It was the border guards who did it.
It's like in grade school a bully grabs your hand and pushes it into your face asking "Why are you hitting yourself?!"
The expense of changes without demonstrable nor explained benefit.
The expense of all the CBP officers spending all this time and energy screening and rejecting entrants who manifest NO demonstrable security risk nor connections to persons and organizations of real concern.
People ARE talking about Trump spending millions every weekend to go down to Florida. Itself, as I see it, an egocentric, inconsiderate act of self-indulgence. All the more so in the face of his campaign rhetoric.
I guess I could also mention the outsided security expenditures for Trump Tower.
And here we have the Administration and CBP spending enormous amounts of time and money on a policy that as yet has no direct, rational explanation.
It may and probably does have explanation in domestic and international political posturing and manouvering -- one of debatable merit. Effect and merit that SHOULD be better identified, reported, analyzed, and discussed.
BUT WHAT ABOUT THE COST OF ALL THIS???!!!
Once again, "the Right" complains while vastly increasing what they complain about.
We'll end up needing another Obama to hopefully clean this up -- or, as to some extent in his case, simply to balance the books.
P.S. Today's reporting features a natural Canadian citizen (born and raised there) of Asian heritage that gives her darker skin, being stopped by CBP at the start of a day trip to Vermont, interviewed, and ultimately turned back and told she will have to apply for a visa.
Ok, I'm for cost-effective government. What was the bill for this? I'm not particularly in favor of paying for this entirely ineffective action -- on the face of it, entirely unnecessary.
Is THIS why I have to give up my ACA health insurance policy? (No subsidy for me, by the way; just, FINALLY, a mandate that allows this older, independent worker to purchase a health insurance policy. Along with laws, such as "no pre-existing conditions", that level the playing field for me vis a vis corporate workers with employer-provided insurance.)
I'm following the money, and it smells.
We couldn't keep up with this even if we tried. We'd need individual and autonomous teams dedicated to triaging and resolve each of these issues. Who even knows whats really going on in the background.
even if you think this policy is necessary, this is still a shitty policy because it doesn't go far enough to satisfy its stated aims in addition to being morally repugnant. you shouldn't support this policy because of how flawed it is.
there are plenty of countries that are incubators of islamic terrorism that aren't on the ban. if the goal is to prevent islamic terrorists from abroad committing terror acts here, that's still entirely possible. osama bin laden wouldn't be caught by this ban or the previous one because he was a saudi. think about that for a minute.
and now the border patrol / tsa will be even more inspired to make life hell for the law abiding people who are coming here or returning here from abroad from countries not mentioned on the ban.
this is killing the usa's tourism industry. this is preventing highly educated people from abroad from coming here to let us make use of their talents. this is an embarrassment.
anyways, i challenge any supporters of this policy to defend it here in public. you won't last long.
What claim does a random foreigner have on the USA that ranks their desire to visit above the commander in chief's desire for them not to visit, in other words why is the desire of the elected president believed by some to rank lower than the desire of any random non-citizen human visitor? It seems an incredibly peculiar ranking.
Why are some countries allowed to control who visits them, and some are not? Why is the USA one of the countries that is not allowed to have any border controls? Is that, pragmatically, successful?
Why is the battle almost exclusively being portrayed as it being immoral and unethical for only the USA to have any border control at all of any form, rather than the somewhat more likely and seemingly easier to convince specifics of this individual border control ruling being wrong?
If this regulation or law needs to be repealed because it can be "proven" wrong (where proving amounts to yelling really intimidatingly loud) then why is only this regulation or law being targeted as opposed to NORML or the IRS or a bazillion other laws and regulations which are both more likely to be nonsense and hurting more people?
Context is everything. The US is already regarded as having a well-working, effective screening process for visa and refugee applications. This means that it's hard to find any justification for drastic, emergency-sounding restrictions. Particularly since Trump was well-known for espousing a religious test ("Muslim ban") on the campaign trail, Giuliani says this is what he suggested when asked how to implement the Muslim ban, and the government hasn't offered any evidence for why the additions are necessitated for national security, it is rather easy to assume that this is an attempt to ban Muslims. And imposing a religious test runs afoul of the Constitution, even if there were good reasons for it.
On the issue of privilege vs human rights, the US is populated by immigrants and many of them who argue against bans like this see themselves in new immigrants. The Trump/Bannon/Miller argument is that since immigrants are stealing jobs and are weakening the value system of the US, we need to cut back on immigration. That sends a very strong signal to present immigrants that their presence is harming the country. The outrage against Trump stems from this kind of signalling from his administration.
> Why is driving a privilege, yet visiting the USA is seen by some as a human right for all of our species?
The comparison makes no sense. A non-non-sequitur question would be the same comparison about guns, given that guns are essential for the livelihood of far fewer people than cars, it would be comparing deadly objects to deadly objects instead of humans, and legal standards would actually match up in a slightly more sensical way that might produce an actual answer[1].
But to ignore the multiple ways it makes no sense, an answer would look something like, because piloting deadly weapons with a modicum of skill is something many people find positive, whereas travel in the abstract is considered by many people a fundamental human right.
> What claim does a random foreigner have on the USA that ranks their desire to visit above the commander in chief's desire for them not to visit
The president's status as "commander in chief" means nothing in a civilian context, and I see nothing in the constitution about Presidential Whim being a meaningful legal basis - can you point to the SCOTUS case establishing "do what thou wilt shall be the the whole of the law"?
> Why are some countries allowed to control who visits them, and some are not?
I have no idea what you're talking about, or what it has to do with Muslim bans in the US. If you can point to someone of relevance making that claim in relation to the Muslim bans, please do share.
> Why is the battle almost exclusively being portrayed as it being immoral and unethical for only the USA to have any border control at all of any form
This is what a red herring looks like.
> why is only this regulation or law being targeted as opposed to NORML
I dunno, perhaps because NORML is not a sitting president currently banning Muslims? Perhaps because people see different relevance to their lives between different bad laws? Perhaps because this is happening now, we want less of it, and the best way to get less of something is to nip in in the bud? Perhaps because many people see banning people based on religion abhorrent to the character of their country in ways that bad taxation doesn't?
How about I flip that around- when there are so many other absurd laws, is this the only one you want to defend? Why aren't you throwing your rhetorical skills at some other battle?
[1] The answer, of course, is the constitution.
Driving involves heavy metallic objects moving at high speed. The US makes it harder to drive than to own and operate guns, which isn't logical either. Migration is a human right for all people.
What claim does a random foreigner have on the USA that ranks their desire to visit above the commander in chief's desire for them not to visit, in other words why is the desire of the elected president believed by some to rank lower than the desire of any random non-citizen human visitor? It seems an incredibly peculiar ranking.
Because it's a bullshit comparison, as you know. But let's get right to the core of the issue: on the one hand, the US holds itself out as the beacon of liberty and democracy, takes great pride in its ability to take people in and turn them into liberty-minded democratic Republicans, and is so proud of this that it likes to be symbolized by Lady Liberty. On the other hand, it's also a country that was founded in part on slavery, and which has a large demographic that still depends on the economic logic of slavery for commercial gain. Pick one.
Why are some countries allowed to control who visits them, and some are not? Why is the USA one of the countries that is not allowed to have any border controls? Is that, pragmatically, successful?
Quit with the talk of 'not allowed'. Many people within the US wish to change the existing system because they consider it pragmatically flawed. It's not some external agency being unfair to the US and telling it that it can't, it's a majority of the American people saying that existing policy is no good and should be reformed.
Yes, not having border controls is pragmatically successful. That's why you don't have to show a passport when traveling between US states. Do you honestly think the US economy would be as strong and resilient as it is without free movement across its internal borders? If there were passport controls and tariffs between states? No, the federal government was set up precisely to prevent that outcome.
The fact is that economic growth takes place most easily when there is relatively free movement of both capital and labor. As regards relationships with other countries, the US has made it super easy for capital to move all around the world in search of opportunities, and the same should apply to labor. Making it easy for capital and difficult for labor has led to the formation of a huge underclass, which is nothing but slavery by a new name.
Why is the battle almost exclusively being portrayed as it being immoral and unethical for only the USA to have any border control at all of any form, rather than the somewhat more likely and seemingly easier to convince specifics of this individual border control ruling being wrong?
It isn't, spare me the false-premise arguments.
If this regulation or law needs to be repealed because it can be "proven" wrong (where proving amounts to yelling really intimidatingly loud) then why is only this regulation or law being targeted as opposed to NORML or the IRS or a bazillion other laws and regulations which are both more likely to be nonsense and hurting more people?
A bullshit argument whose only rhetorical purpose is to poison the well of debate by implying bad faith on the part of your interlocutors. Actually, people are opposing all kinds of laws all the time, and there is no ranking of the different issues that says immigration is more important than ending the drug war or reforming taxation or whatever. You chose to come into a thread about immigration and ask 'why is immigration so important.' Nobody was making the argument that immigration has to be addressed before this or that other issue until you came along to punch that particular straw man.
Not only are the issues you mention, and many others, the subject of their own hot debates, they're also the site of a great deal of political activism by voters who are exercised about those issues. One significant difference with immigration from many other issues is that you have a population which can vote making life-changing decisions about another population that can't vote. Similar to penal policy and restoring the voting rights of felons, massive asymmetries in equity and political representation create incentives for abuse; having once created an underclass, some see their political benefits in the maintenance, perpetuation, and even expansion of the same. The privatization of incarceration for profit is an outstanding example of this.
Partisan rants are not welcome on HN. We ban users that do this and have warned you before, so please stop. Even if your underlying views are right, you're damaging the site.
It looks like you have been using HN primarily for political argument. That's not what HN is for; we eventually ban accounts that do that too. HN exists to gratify intellectual curiosity, and accounts that post comments need to comment primarily in that spirit—otherwise we'd soon become a very different place. Fortunately you've posted that sort of comment as well, so it's a matter of adjusting dials.