Some Thoughts on the Cost Disease
ansuz.sooke.bc.ca
ansuz.sooke.bc.ca
Some of us pour our attention into games and movies instead of sharing it with those close to us.
Some of us pour our attention into hour long commutes where we spend our utmost effort not to give attention to anyone near us - it might make them uncomfortable.
Some of us pour our attention on those who already have a lot of it, who cannot possibly return it to us - famous youtube personalities, celebrities, porn stars even.
We spend our time fine-tuning our processes to be as "efficient" as possible, from the queue in the supermarket, to the queue in the fast food restaurant, to reduce our shopkeepers and waiters to mere actors following a script efficiently, and in some cases, completely replace them with machines.
We make our workplace a place where colleagues gather for majority of their lives, but make it difficult to form enduring long term friendships.
We spend lots of time worrying about economic inequality but much less time about attention inequality. The only relevant policy we do have is subsidised psychologic care.
It's inhumane to deny human food, that's why we provide welfare. It's inhumane to neglect a child's need for parental love, which is why we place orphans in foster homes (not perfect). And what about adults, what do we do about attention inequality in terms of family, friendship, and sexual partners? We just sort of leave it up to them to figure it out, and then when we read about suicides in the paper, we write a comment "if you feel this way please seek help immediately".
This is a summary of what I find wrong about modern society, and I have no solution besides enjoying the giving of time to those close to me when they ask for it.
We've become a lot more efficient trading away our attention for physical goods that don't really matter to us except to trade in a zero sum game for more attention.
I haven't gotten far enough along in thinking about it to say anything very clear, but I think the relationship between our attitudes about wealth inequality vs attention inequality is important and telling.
To many who don't think deeply, wealth inequality is terrible while attention inequality is natural and no big deal.
The two kinds of inequality cause each other, which is also interesting. But mostly I'm interested in how our attitudes about one kind can or cannot, must or must not, apply to the other.
EDIT: To circle back to your point, I disagree that attention can be "destroyed". I prefer to say that attention can never be destroyed, only shifted from one thing to another. So if you are ignoring your family and playing video games, you have not destroyed your attention, you have instead shifted it to the video game (and its creators).
And I'm happy you are excited to see this phrase. :-)
> Some of us pour our attention on those who already have a lot of it, who cannot possibly return it to us - famous youtube personalities, celebrities, porn stars even.
I think you've got this backwards. Those technologies are ways for the people who have the most attention to give out more attention than they could ever possibly do in person. They're precisely what makes the attention economy positive-sum.
What are those "actual benefits" that players miss out on?
> things like entertainment are no less real-world than physical objects.
but this is false.
A relationship in the real world with a human being is not the same thing as a relationship with an AI that you interact with through a screen. It is less real. Are you still experiencing feeling? Yes. Are you communicating? Yes. Is it real? Yes, of course it is real, just like my iPhone is real, servers in a datacenter somewhere are real, and the medium is real even though it is a different medium. Nonetheless, it is less real because it is not a human being.
From an evolutionary perspective, we enjoy certain things (type A) because they lead to other things (type B) that make our survival and reproduction more likely. This is what the bottom of Maslow's hierarchy is about. When a machine process gives you the type A things but of course cannot ever give you the type B benefits that actually created those evolutionary pressures, then you are on some level being fooled. When I say "less real" this is what I am talking about.
The fact that you point out that a game won't take care of you while you are sick shows me that you get my point.
Email in my profile if you want to take the discussion further. It's getting a bit off-topic here but I am interested in the topic, and yes, in the real, human conversation we are having. ;-)
I'm sure Richard Branson has a soft harem (to borrow the pickup-artist "soft polygamy" terminology). If he has a new girl every day (I'm half his age and I doubt I could physically pull that off) that's still only 365/year. As inequality goes up there are far fewer Richard Bransons as a proportion of the population.
I'm just middle class, and I've often had 2-4 women in my soft harem at any one time. That means 100 guys like me - with no particular excess of money - can easily have the same effect as Branson would.
I did some calculations a while back. If all the high net wealth people in NYC have 10 houses each, they'll have the same effect on housing as building one more NYU. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12022235#12022920
Our shortage of housing and attractive women is caused by an increasing middle class competing for them, and an inability/unwillingness (depending on how you characterize exclusionary zoning and an unwillingness to put down the fork) to increase the supply.
So the frequency drops by 2 orders of magnitude as income ratio grows by 1 order of magnitude.
In the US it's perhaps not 1:100, but it's also unlikely to be anywhere near 1:10.
So yes, the average person "suffers" from competition from people who are near their general level of income way more than from competition from rich people.
However, your argument is flawed in other ways.
There isn't a strict limit after which women will marry a guy for money (what you call a bridgeable margin - it doesn't exist). Obviously this is gradual and different for each woman. So the probability that a randomly selected woman would marry a guy for his money grows with his income.
In this situation, the order of magnitude of inequality becomes irrelevant because the two orders of magnitude richer than average guy will be an order of magnitude rarer than the one order of magnitude richer than average guy (in the worst possible case, in reality they will be even rarer). So even though the extremely rich guy can do "more damage" to the rest of society by hogging something, there are less of them, so in total they hog the same amount. So this order of magnitude doesn't actually make a difference.
16th century: (Henry IV) "If God keeps me, I will make sure that no peasant in my realm will lack the means to have a chicken in the pot on Sunday!"
1928: (Hoover) "The slogan of progress is changing from the full dinner pail to the full garage."
1928: (Republican campaign flyer) Title "A Chicken for Every Pot", text includes "Republican properity has... put the proverbial 'chicken in every pot'. And a car in every backyard, to boot."
It's clear that in 1928 chicken wasn't an the indicator of wealth that the author things; it was (as the flyer says) proverbial.
[1]http://www.nationalchickencouncil.org/about-the-industry/sta...
> Chicken, and eggs, were until the mid-20th century, a seasonal food. Chicken more than a year old is very tough, requiring hours of roasting or boiling to get a fairly tasteless end result. Most chickens lay their eggs in the spring and summer, petering out over the year. Old recipe books will have different instructions for "December" versus "April" eggs, given the quality of the yolks, which didn't used to be the uniformly pale color that industrial eggs look like now. So when the eggs would hatch, the young males would be culled and eaten right away by households, but the variety of cuts were few and the market to sell chickens incidental. Let's fast forward to the twentieth century. Unlike cows and pigs, who are irregular but large, chickens resisted the assembly line innovations of industrial production because they were irregular and small, which means they needed lots and lots of labor to process them.
(https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/1o72to/how_d...)
I googled a bit and found "Management of Young Chicks" by P.H. Jacobs, from 1888, which says[1] "A half-pound chick sells at $1.50 per pound ... A three-quarter chcik sells at $1 per pound. ... A 1.5 pound chick sells at 50 cents per pound ... A pound chick sells at 75 cents."
Meanwhile the price of round steak in 1890 was apparently 12.3 cents/pound.[2] So at least at this point, chicken seems to have been more expensive than beef.
By the 1930s the prices of beef and chicken seems to have been about equal [3,4]. This makes sense, because apparently the 1920s was the breakthrough time in the chicken industry, seeing both the discovery of Vitamin D (allowing keeping chickens in confinement all year, and letting chickens thrive during winter), and also the first broilers (chickens bread specifically for meat rather than egg production). [5]
So the time when the Hoover campaign made the slogan about "a chicken in every pot" also seems to be just about the time when chicken prices had started to come down and making that feasible. But people were still eating much less chicken than pork or beef [6]; presumably people had still not changed their perception of chicken into an everyday food.
[1] https://books.google.com/books?id=XitDAAAAYAAJ&pg=PA24&lpg=P...
[2] http://www.library.yale.edu/thecitycourse/Census_PDFs/USA_Hi...
[3] https://books.google.ca/books?redir_esc=y&id=jzfJ6tNmTvsC&q=...
[4] http://www.thepeoplehistory.com/30sfood.html
[5] http://www.thehappychickencoop.com/a-history-of-chickens/
[6] http://freakonomics.com/2010/12/09/beef-or-chicken-a-look-at...
So the world's first profession would also be its last. How fitting.
"The pattern of Cost Disease seems to be related to things that inextricably require the unsubstitutable labour and attention not just of human beings but of human beings somehow comparable to the buyer."
It also doesn't explain that only the US has these insane cost increases. It all comes down to the weird political and regulatory climate in the US. You can't draw any conclusions on the broader human condition based on such an outlier country.
That said there are knock-on effects that aren't always well-explained - if higher education is free, doctors won't have student loans to pay off meaning they end up with lower salaries.
(It's not just simply "regulatory burden" in general (except maybe healthcare) as explained in http://slatestarcodex.com/2017/02/09/considerations-on-cost-... -- there's hella many industries and services and goods affected by cost disease, and the regulatory burdens too much to be a root cause -- real estate / housing costs is a more likely common cause)
Is this a regional thing (Assuming it's a synonym for American. Google tries to correct me to Usain Bolt, then brings up a page of Usian Bolt typos.)
Note that in Spanish the term Estadounidense (note the similarity to "Estados Unidos") exists, though I don't know how much it's used.
Of course, it's an uphill battle, especially when you consider that the official name for Mexico is Estados Unidos Mexicanos.
And I don't think this usage is particularly "inconsiderate", it's just a quirk of language.
That's seems like it's a pretty silly sentiment, since in common English speech that's exactly what 'American' implies.
As you yourself note, USian could just as easily refer to someone from the United States of Mexico.
I personally think it'd be salutary for our republic if my fellow Americans would refer to themselves as New Yorkers, Californians, Georgians, Texans &c. rather than as Americans (just as Germans, French, Dutch, Danish refer to themselves), but that's a different discussion altogether.
Anyway, I'm not really advocating for one side or the other. In common usage "American" definitely relates to the US most of the time.
I can understand the annoyance of people from other American countries, though. Surely Nigerians, Eritreans, etc. would have a reason to be frustrated if "African" came to refer particularly to "South Africa" and not to the continent.
I think in Mexico they call Americans norteamericanos — but of course both they & Canadians are North Americans.
I don't think there's any reason not to call Americans Americans.
First, clothing is really personal, and funding a second skin that "suits me" and "fits me" requires much wider selection than a rack of time socks can supply.
Second, anyone with a social job that depends on status, or who is in the marriage/mate market, or who works in a job that may wear on clothing but still needs to be presentable, will need more than a few hundred dollars a year for clothing budget.
"The cost disease of the service sector" is a well known economic theory (I leaned it in economics 101 in the '90s) and the real insight should probably be that, as we get better at making stuff, the scarce resource becomes educated human time, but we are still locked in a value model that mainly measures "stuff."
Once robots make all the stuff for basically free, we have to totally change how our society operates its economy. That's fairly close in time, yet nobody is really even making up the words we'll use to talk about the issue yet.
Post-Scarcity and Attention Economics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-scarcity_economy
It's all a matter of degrees. When I was young and in India I could buy jeans and shirts straight from Coimbatore or Dhaka at costs you would find impossible.
Why do I need the clothes I wear now? I don't. I like them. I want them. I don't need them.
And, no, you needn't, and it is inarguably more efficient of time just to buy a new pair. But it can be a pleasant hobby, and I think that as much as anything proves the original article's point.
So you're pretty much in agreement.
The Japanese are just as wealthy, older, and they smoke more, but they have better health outcomes and they spend almost a third per capita on healthcare. Chile spends about a ninth on healthcare and their average life expectancy is a full year more than the USA.
On top of all of this is the fact that people can get into debt at 1% interest. Hard to be cost-conscious when dear old gran needs a $20k (only $50 per month!) treatment to live another three months. Same thing happened to education.
"The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity, and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy"
by David Graeber
Same economist who wrote Debt.
First theory for why public education has gotten so nutty. Like requiring K-12 teachers to have masters degrees and ongoing training (out of pocket) while paying them peanuts.
Frankly, this book blew my mind.
Or, if you prefer, fixing the basis for pricing on the effort involved rather than the exchange value.
Let's not be coy. Does the author mean God here? Or something else?
I found it not wholly unsatisfactory, although a bit rough in spots - on the other hand, it both prefigures and subverts the Rapture of the Nerds avant la lettre, so I'd be willing to excuse quite a bit more than is actually required. Definitely worthwhile, especially if you also found the whole "Singularity" thing grating.