SpaceX: CRS-10 Hosted webcast
youtube.com
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This launch was an ISS resupply, which is on the low end of fuel requirements. So the first stage can get all the way back to its launch site.
Other launches are in the middle of the fuel range: they just follow their ballistic path to the barge, and do not have the extra fuel to get turned all the way back around for a return to the launch site.
A few launches are at the very high end: the upcoming Echostar mission has such a high fuel requirement that SpaceX isn't even attempting a landing: they're just dumping the whole stage into the ocean like we've been doing for 60 years.
SpaceX is saying that this upcoming Echostar launch will be their last "expendable launch", ever.
> A few launches are at the very high end: the upcoming Echostar mission has such a high fuel requirement that SpaceX isn't even attempting a landing: they're just dumping the whole stage into the ocean like we've been doing for 60 years... SpaceX is saying that this upcoming Echostar launch will be their last "expendable launch", ever.
Can I infer that they won't be doing launches that require high-end fuel usage? Are they just giving up on those types of use cases, or do they have another solution for those moving forward?
The cost of fuel is generally pretty negligible compared to the cost of spacecraft. Even 1,000,000 pounds of kerosene only costs about $500,000 ($3 per gallon at 7 pounds per gallon). I'm having trouble finding current prices on liquid oxygen but it looks like about 15 cents per pound, so a 2.56:1 ox:fuel ratio gives $384,000 for 2,560,000 pounds of oxygen. (500,000 + 384,000)/(1,000,000 + 2,560,000) = 25 cents per pound of fuel+oxidizer (honestly I have to saw wow here, as this is much lower than I expected). If a shuttle launch cost $1 billion, less than $1 million went to fuel at 2017 prices (assuming that more expensive liquid hydrogen and less expensive booster solid fuel roughly match the cost of ox-kerosene). Another way of saying this is that the design tradeoffs of the shuttle cost 100 to 1000 times more than other designs might have (mainly due to reusing the orbiter rather than the first stages). A lot of people knew this in the late 70s and warned about it, but due to political reasons NASA went with the more expensive shuttle system and now here we are.
My guess is that from here on, SpaceX will do incremental launches, using a rocket to carry a stage to LEO and then assemble those stages in orbit into new rockets to go further out, landing the first stages to reuse them. This is scalable all the way out to Mars and further, which is pretty remarkable and obvious in hindsight. It wasn't until I considered how one would land a stage on Mars with such a thin atmosphere that I realized why SpaceX has been so committed to retrorocket landing.
https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/Researchers-and-Policymakers/Ener...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen#Industrial_production
http://www.astronautix.com/l/loxkerosene.html
http://coolcosmos.ipac.caltech.edu/ask/268-How-much-did-the-...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_economy#Current_hydro...
Check http://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities, you'll see both recovery-compatible launch mass and full performance without recovery are.
I can't wait until he's getting excited about these things.
I thought it was weird that the two pieces stayed with the second stage for at least a second or two, which was literally ~five+ kilometers. Perhaps there was an eddy created by the movement of the rocket or some weird space/vacuum effect I'm not well-versed in?
The landing through the clouds, on the other hand, I did appreciate. Once my irritation has subsided, anyway!
I did this for the previous launch, Iridium-1, and was treated to unbroken views live from the first stage on the technical stream, while the hosts narrated and switched views more frequently on their stream.
Yesterday I was stuck with just my phone though, so my 'alt-tabbing' was particularly tortuous :)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUDLxFUMC9c
(Although they don't show the onboard footage for the takeoff, unfortunately. Or in-tank footage, which is always cool.)
I should be able to see ISS tomorrow night from my location. Do you know if I would be able to see Dragon too?