Yahoo Embraces The Semantic Web - Expect The Internet To Organize Itself In A Hurry
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
There has been a very long period of ramping up, experimentation and hype, but it may only take a few good tools, some well written blog posts and some serious incentives (e.g. Yahoo's embrace) to tip it from dream to reality.
This announcement may not actually reflect the tipping point, but its a certainly a good sign, and a major step in the right direction.
I'm skeptical. It seems like you'd have to either solve some pretty tricky AI problems, or get people writing for the internet to do all this extra work. It might still to feature in some larger, professionally developed sites, but I'd be surprised if it took off.
Like remember how after web standards became a hot topic, no one produced websites that only worked in Internet Explorer anymore? That was awesome.
That level of effort needs to be grassroots, but I don't see how it is going to be motivated.
I really hope they can stave off Microsoft, because I don't see the big M$ attempting to innovate like this if they took control.
Standardization and openness do not benefit the dominant player (or players, in close competition) in a market.
Standardization and openness tend to benefit all players that are not dominant in a market, by comoditizing the market and forcing value based competition.
If the majority of a market is locked up by the dominant player(s), standardization tends to not happen.
If the majority of the market is not locked up by the dominant player(s), things tends towards standardization.
As it pertains to Yahoo they're still an internet powerhouse, but their markets are eroding at a pace that they are probably falling out of the dominant category into the leader-of-the-non-dominant-pack category. Yahoo does some stuff very well, and I suspect commoditization of parts of web-space would be in their favor. The question is if they'll be able to push hard enough fast enough to make some of this stuff catch on while people still care.
Here's some more theorizing: I think it would depend on how saturated the market was. If standardization would cause the market to grow such that a smaller percentage of a bigger market was larger than a large percentage of a small market, the company could still benefit from standardization, but they'd also have to diversify in that time so that when saturation approached that they wouldn't get stuck in a commodity market while their competitors could catch up.
Yahoo's recent openness binge is so strategically opposite to Microsoft that I wonder if they aren't doing this in part to impede the takeover, or as a sort of post-takeover insurance.
A soon-to-be-ex-colleague wrote a good piece on this recently.
http://getluky.net/2008/03/04/is-the-ie8-standards-mode-a-re...
"Trying to use the Semantic Web without SPARQL is like trying to use a relational database without SQL." - Tim Berners-Lee, W3C Director, 15 Jan 2008 Press Release (http://www.w3.org/2007/12/sparql-pressrelease)
"SPARQL's focus on querying the data models saves time for developers; there's no need for a host of little Web services to retrieve different aspects of the state of a system. This allows the user of the SPARQL endpoint to ask any question -- it is as though they could design their own interface instead of having to work with a limited set of fixed services." - Lee Feigenbaum, Chair of the RDF Data Access Working Group (i.b.i.d.)
Argh. 8week cut me off.
Bad grammar today. Meant to say 'isn't complete until an AI reads the semantic web' Time to go back to testing.
Common sense reasoning is a dead end IMO.
(Or maybe we should drop the revision numbers altogether?)
Seriously, I wonder if we shouldn't be thinking bigger. Adding "meaning" to web pages is important, but it seems like a smaller goal on the way to, I dunno, maybe the realization of The Metaverse (ala Stephenson). Or something big like that.