Five arrests in 'fully loaded' Kodi streaming box raids
bbc.com
bbc.com
Just like electricity, people will always take the path of least resistance. If I open Netflix to watch an episode of something, and they only have half of the series/season, I'm just going to use Kodi to watch it for free. Why would I order a DVD and wait for days? Or buy it and wait hours to download it? Or setup another subscription service for a monthly cost? Why do any of this when I can be watching it within seconds, cost doesn't even factor in, it's just so easy and convenient.
If Kodi/Exodus was a fully legal, licensed platform whereby I could pay monthly/per-show (at an agreeable price), I'd pay - because it's so easy to use and it has almost everything.
Until that day though, I've cancelled all streaming services (as they removed my favourite shows or only offer series/seasons I don't want) apart from Prime as I like the delivery times and cloud storage. I don't even have a TV aerial anymore as that broke, I just have 3 TVs, 3 Firesticks and a Chromecast, job done.
Because it is stealing. Some people still believe in paying for value.
Prime has a boat-load of movies and tv shows available for free or pay to watch on demand. I think their prices are a little high for 24hr rental (3.99$), but still it is legal. It is better to not go to jail than to feed one's entertainment lust.
In theft you take something from someone else, and they are then deprived of what you took. I take your loaf of bread, you have one less loaf of bread.
If I copy your movie, you still have your movie.
Now, if I (somehow) get hold of a copy of a digital file you want to sell me, you'll be less likely to be able to get me to buy it (although, studies have shown that those that copy content a lot, also tend to pay for content a lot).
So we need another word than "theft" - and that word certainly isn't "piracy" - people that violate copyright, rarely murder people or disrupt trade routes and critical infrastructure.
I'm not saying we don't need some system of compensation if we want to continue to produce art - but just as a boycott is a very passive act of resistance, so is not paying for crippled (DRM) content. Unfortunately it doesn't seem that there's a need to prove that someone watching a copy for free would be more likely to pay for that copy than go outside and play a game of catch if the content wasn't available for copying.
If we accepted your handwaving, people charged with actually robbing someone's home and people charged with downloading half a season of Glee would face the same sentencing standards. That is obviously deranged.
So, no. The debate must continue, until consensus is reached and the matter fixed in law.
Can you expand on this? Seems like a non-sequitur.
I'd argue that merely the observation that many intelligent, morally sensitive people here on HN feel differently should be enough to realize that this is not a 'tangent' that can be 'put to bed'. Why would you even put it like that, knowing that there is such disagreement?
Suppose I bake 100 brownies and try to sell them one morning. I sell some and as I'm packing up my booth you take one and eat it. You argue, "I was never going to pay for a brownie, I didn't want it that badly, and anyway you can't sell them tomorrow because they will be stale."
There is something deeply wrong and immoral about this way of thinking. The idea that you alone get to value someone else's work output to be zero and then take that output and claim it has no value, and that the taking causes no harm.
It is theft. But you don't want to be called a thief. So you play semantic games.
Either you can't see the moral argument, which leads me to believe you really are unable to see that piracy is theft. Or you simply don't want to see it and then I fall back to think this is motivated ignorance.
If you don't care to engage with the idea then I don't care to continue.
The harm caused is that you are denying the copyright owner their legal monopoly rights on distributing copies, therefore devaluing their virtual asset.
What does matter is marginal cost of providing service. In this case it is ZERO. So no, it is not stealing. Nowhere close.
Say that I have an idea for a copyrightable work. It is going to take me one year to create it, working 8 hours a day. To make it simple, put a price of my time at $100,000 for that one year.
Now I could find someone to give me $100,000 as a fee for creating that work (assume that I have no other desire to make it for myself, so I would only do that if someone pays me). But now the problem is, to almost any potential customer, that work is only worth $10.00. So it doesn't get created.
Or, I could find 10,000 people to each give me $10.00 in advance to make it. Now this is in the realm of possibility. Kind of like the Kickstarter model. But now everyone either has to pay in advance, then wait a year to receive it. Or sign a legally binding contract that they owe $10.00 each once the product is delivered. This all adds friction to the system.
Can we invent some technique to remove this friction? How about, I'm willing to take a chance on the popularity of my work, and build it in advance. I really don't know how many people are interested -- it might be 10,000; maybe 5,000 or possibly 50,000. So with copyright, I can safely take that chance -- over time, if I create enough works, some may lose (not be popular enough), some may win big (and I make much more than the time I put into it). As long as it averages out, society in general is better off (assuming you think it is worthwhile for the works to exist to begin with -- I'm guessing this is true, otherwise you wouldn't be interested in obtaining it to begin with).
Now, does anyone have any other models (I mentioned the Kickstarter model already) that can equally reduce the above-mentioned friction? That is, allowing a creator to take a chance on making something in advance, and then on average extracting the fair fee for everyone who wants that service?
Patreon?
And I don't really care about mega-production Hollywood. It can burn today if I care.
Copying someones work for your own consumption? Nothing is wrong with such behavior. Nor with non-commercial sharing. Not until you have disposable income. Then consuming and not chipping in is meh.
Legal positivism is has it's stronger sides, but this is victimless crime.
And what about your views? :)
I don't think whether or not you have disposable income is an important discriminant. Who decides whether you have enough disposable income to justify paying for content?
I think there are a lot of issues with laws regarding intellectual property and content. Even though I disagree with them, I don't think flouting those laws is right or some sort of civil disobedience.
Same with copying someone's work for personal use or non-commercial sharing. The existing framework is the one we've got, and there are currently ways authors or content providers can make it clear that they are willing to do so: Creative Commons licenses are one example. Likewise with other patronage models, such as Patreon. In other cases, you're benefitting from their work without them receiving compensation. There's no agreed upon transaction. Whatever term is used to describe it, I don't think it's right.
Concerning 2): many people I know who pirate, say, a particular show, would simply not watch if piracy was not available. On the other hand, once this show becomes easily available and accessible on something like Netflix, these same people happily pay for the content. It seems inaccurate and dishonest to call them 'thieves' by the conventional definition.
tl;dr: I wouldn't defend piracy in most cases (you could just not watch the show), but I think calling someone doing this a 'thief' is a morally worse because of what that words means to most of us.
Are you only harmed if I remove your access to those records?
Theft: you have a painting. I took it.
Copyright infringement: You painted a painting. I took a picture of it and sold/gave away prints to all my friends.
Violation of privacy: I got into your phone and looked at all your dick pics.
Warrantless search: The police got into your phone and looked at all your dick pics, possibly finding evidence of a crime.
They are different issues which can look similar at times, but are actually completely separate. Pretending like they are is just adding muck to this discussion.
Piracy: You have a ship. I climbed aboard, murdered some of your crew, and took control of your ship or stole some of your belongings.
If you reproduce my song without my consent, that's a violation of a very specific law which allows me a temporary* restriction on your rights. The ethical question raised, I think, is of a very different nature.
*temporary: used to be ~20 years, now is until 70 years after I die.
Disclaimer: I do not condone piracy, I just believe you've made a logical fallacy.
Copyright infringement isn't theft, it's counterfeiting. It's 100X worse because instead of just stealing some physical items like a television, it's devaluing the television to the point where it can no longer be sold.
It's not that people wont pay for media content, it's that they won't allow rent seeking behavior to stifle cultural innovation and enjoyment.
I view trying to silo culture to extract maximal rent as considerably worse than taking away their artificial monopoly in response.
What if the copyrighted material was code instead of media?
Suppose company A invests $500M in writing code for a major new product. Development finishes and they begin selling the product and slowly recouping their costs. Now, company B comes along and surreptitiously hacks into company A, copying their their source code (they haven't stolen the source code, only copied it). Company B now begins selling a copycat product for far less than A wants to charge, destroying A's ability to earn back its investment. Has company B committed a crime?
Certainly company B let company A keep its source code, but by copying the source code it did not let company A keep its way of earning money.
But I think you've got a couple of holes in your simile. Source code is a much more powerful thing to have than the final product. I can't remember a time where a movie's entire set of footage and effects assets were leaked/stolen, and the equivalent of a movie being leaked is compiled binaries being leaked, and that happens all the time. I'd also judge selling an illegally copied thing to be a worse offense than giving away an illegally copied thing.
> Certainly company B let company A keep its source code, but by copying the source code it did not let company A keep its way of earning money.
And yet, companies still make software, movies, music. I'd be more worried if those businesses were made non-viable due to copyright infringement losses and more sympathetic if I thought something copyrighted today would exit copyright within my lifetime.
But there are circumstances that might mitigate how the public (and perhaps law) feels about that, eg, if company B bought a copy of the software and slightly modified it to work on a new operating sysem, then sold just the changed version.
But apparently not all people believe in charging for value, since a lot of shows, movies, etc. aren't available to stream.
What good is half a season of something, especially if it's the second half? I've not watches shows just because there's no way to catch up to where the current Hulu/Netflix/Whatever offering was. Sometimes I'd pirate it, but sometimes I wasn't really sold enough on the premise to bother.
I wonder what the marketing department would think of that. "Your attempts to sell me something failed so hard, I refused to bother stealing it."
Obviously, the traditional model was designed to subsidize creating something for everyone. But, now, it has been subverted to improve margins by creating everything for everybody / lowest common denominator. On the off chance that it fits my tastes, I still have to buy the rest of the crap just to view what I want.
I'll pay for content, but I want to be able to buy what I want. Content creators have always had a tough time monetizing the content vs the mode of delivery. You pay for the theater when you go to the movies, you pay for the bandwidth when you stream, you pay for the dvd printing when you buy a DVD. It would be nice if the licensing per item were fixed, and the mode of delivery were left up to the buyer.
Instead we chose to ignore that lesson, and now we're collectively suffering for it today.
If you are uncomfortable with that mental gymnastics, here is a slightly less harsh approach. I currently pay for Netflix, HBO Now, Spotify, and Audible. So I am willing to pay $40-50/month for access to high quality commercial-free content on unlimited basis. But back when iTunes was the only option for streaming at something like $1/episode and $5/movie, I would not dream of it. So I guess the cost I am willing to pay is not quite $0 per each piece of content, but it's definitely not $20 each. I think a market adjustment is coming for content producers because I do believe lots of people have similar price points.
https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20160317/09274333934/why-a...
i.e. the advertisers entire business model is lowering their costs by pushing those costs onto me.
Then after I install an adblocker, they complain that I'm the one who's stealing. No, I'm trying to read an article. If Forbes refuses to let me read articles with an adblocker in place, I'll just go somewhere else.
And that's ignoring all of the arguments around artificial monopolies, and the perverting of the copyright system through the "immortal mouse".
I'll care about people stealing from an oligopoly when people care about regulating natural monopolies and oligopolies to the point they behave reasonably.
In any case, the moral argument doesn't appear to work. People just don't care.
Why would it work? You could equally successfully try to shame people into not breathing without payment.
While I agree with your post overall that ideally the end consumer shouldn't access such content illegally, the days of the end user going to jail or being fined over illicit downloads are long gone. The content companies and the governments finally woke up to the reality that going after those who profit from making the content available, rather than the end user, is the correct thing to do. As the GP said, people will naturally take the easiest path, and often downloading a TV episode from an illicit source is easier than attempting to purchase it legally (for some shows one must subscribe to as many as four streaming services to get all seasons/series).
All of that said, it really is a game of whack-a-mole the governments and content companies are playing by going after the little guys distributing the content. Just as with the war on drugs and the war on terrorism, it's a war that will never be won.
>go to jail(for watching)
So much hyperbole. The article refers to people selling preloaded piracy boxes for profit, which is different than setting up your own.
For example jay-walking is wrong because it's dangerous but many people do it anyway and it's not generally villianized. So then is the solution having police patrols in the streets fining/arresting people as a deterance? Will that reduce the problem and legitimately help both pedestrians and drivers? Or will educating people on the risks, creating alternatives such as adding more crossing points, improving cars ability to detect pedestrians, etc, etc, be a better solution?
Not everything is black or white, good or bad.
Is it then immoral to walk under the road when some people interpret that as technically jay walking even though you're not directly effecting anyone in the way that the law assumes you will?
The tunnels are private property, with a sign saying "Private Property - Do Not Enter", and nothing gives you the inherent right to use them.
You're conflating laws and morality. Wouldn't it make more sense that the people pirating movies don't see it as morally wrong, instead of people pirating movies because they are amoral?
> It's shocking to me the way so many people, especially in the generation after me, have proudly abandoned any pretense to morals or ethics. Sure GenX has its share of amoral people, but at least they had the good taste to lie about it. I mean, that's kind of admitting that morality is important
You are either saying saying society is more immoral now (which is irrelevant and off-topic), or saying the piracy is immoral, which is debatable. But then you don't provide any points to back up your argument.
Your first sentence, that piracy is illegal, is true but also besides the point of morality. Slavery was legal for a long time and I'm pretty sure we can all agree it was not moral just because it was legal. Apparently it's illegal to have an ice cream cone in your back pocket in Alabama, does that immediately make it immoral?
You keep calling it stealing, which it is not. If you want to bring legality into the debate, piracy is legally not stealing. Loaded words like that do nothing to help a discussion.
> You guys do in fact proudly believe it is right to steal someone else's work product
And where are you getting this info? I haven't pirated anything for years and am generally against it. I certainly don't believe it's anyone's right to do so. I bet many people here feel the same way.
However at the same time, realistically, I don't believe piracy is causing as much harm as anyone makes it out to be. Anecdotally, I don't know anyone who pirates things or has pirated things that would have purchased it otherwise. They just don't view/listen to/use the thing.
Often the most successful software products are the ones with the highest piracy rates. Anti-piracy measures generally screw over the average consumer more than they screw over pirates.
I liken it to jay-walking. Is it illegal? Sure. Is it bad in some circumstances? Sure. Should we dedicate a giant task force to jaywalking, create city streets that have anti-jaywalking barriers, and lock up anyone who does it? That would do more harm than good.
If that's your morality then everyone after GenX surely dodged a bullet. You'd prefer someone act like a psychopath rather than admit they don't agree with your moral code.
Equating one nation's laws at one point in time to morality and ethics is just the icing on the cake. Perhaps you still think that African-American men who marry white women or use non-segregated bathrooms are immoral too?
Not moral or ethics? I don't think so. Do you mean different morals and ethics that yours, maybe?
That comment about the new generations is so old as the first generation, by the way.
If there's a specific law they're breaking, I'd be surprised.
It looks like the law stems from European Directive 2001/29/EC (2001) [2][3]. That directive isn't law in itself, it's an instruction for the EU member states to implement law to deliver that directive (in fact, the UK were initially convicted of failing to implement it by the 2002 deadline).
At a guess, the relevant law is the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, Section 24 [4]:
Secondary infringement: providing means for making infringing copies.
(1)Copyright in a work is infringed by a person who, without the licence of the copyright owner—
(a) makes,
(b) imports into the United Kingdom,
(c) possesses in the course of a business, or
(d) sells or lets for hire, or offers or exposes for sale or hire,
an article specifically designed or adapted for making copies of that work, knowing or having reason to believe that it is to be used to make infringing copies.
[1] http://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/kodi-box-cou...[2] http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A6...
If that's actually the case, then it's hard for me to see how selling the fully-loaded Kodi box is more illegal than selling a computer with an internet connection. After all, there's third party software for computers that give access to pirated content as well, right?
edit: Ah, I guess I misunderstood the article. Some people are selling boxes preloaded with Kodi, and other people are selling boxes preloaded with Kodi+the third party apps, I guess?
In fact, I think it's a fact that shows just how messed up the law is. That people can be overwhelmingly against harsh penalties for copyright violation, yet they still exists...
[0] https://torrentfreak.com/piracy-socially-acceptable-110228/
But I don't understand your comment really. Law shouldn't reflect the will of a powerful minority, it should reflect what the population in general finds acceptable.
If most people find copyright violation acceptable, I can't see any argument for harsh penalties in a democracy.
...in the US.
I'm sorry, where is the value FOR ME in paying for something that is constantly taken away from you, and where the inventory is always in flux? It's essentially pointless. It's like having a membership to a gym where they're always changing out the equipment, but never have enough variety to get a full workout.
I _do_ want to pay for these services, but they need to provide value.
I get value from the sun, but I don't cut a check to it every month. Economics shows that on any large scale, people aren't going to pay more for something equivalent to something they get for free.
Every company has their own stupid fucking platform, which you may or may not be able to get on your device, or which may or may not support streaming to your streaming device. I am someone who wants an elegant simple solution to something like this in my house, why the fuck can't I just have one god damn app that can load ALL of my shows/movies/livetv and takes care of payment to whichever company is providing the content or gives them a way to insert ads for free content.
It is no wonder that people use Kodi.
why the fuck can't I just have one god damn app that can load ALL of my
shows/movies/livetv and takes care of payment to whichever company is providing the content
Which is what Apple have tried to do with the TV app [1]. Except it doesn't include Netflix. Or Amazon [2]. And I'm sure there are plenty of others. Walled gardens eh?[1] http://www.apple.com/newsroom/2016/10/apple-unveils-new-tv-a...
When kickass went down, people said it's like hydra. But I can't figure out where the new heads are. I'm down to piratebay and usenet only.
Sure I could spend time figuring it all out again, but that takes time and effort. So I end up buying stuff.
They'll never stop all piracy. They just want to make sure the masses don't know how to easily pirate. It's an 80/20 situation.
So just about like broadcast TV
> Sometimes it'll run ads AFTER the show ends so you watch ads to see the credits, or in order to see the next episode!
Also just like broadcast TV. The horror!!!
> They have literally made streaming worse than regular TV
Sounds more like they've just foolishly brought the worst of broadcast to the web.
I'm sure you realize Hulu has an ad-free option, right? So in order to save yourself the $2-$3 it would cost you to go ad-free on hulu you've decided to just take it instead. Why? Because you deserve to get it for free? Does Hollywood simply exist to entertain you at no cost?
That's a hell of a sense of entitlement you've got yourself there kiddo...
I'm a long time Hulu subscriber, and when I signed up the amount of advertising in a given program was MUCH more reasonable and there were more shows available. The quality of service has actively degraded over time since I became a customer, and their solution was to offer a more expensive option that does not actually remove ads, since plenty of shows still have them. Frankly, I feel like I am entitled to some free TV at this point, for the sheer volume of advertising Hulu has gradually warmed me into thinking is reasonable to be exposed to in a 20 minute program. It shouldn't take 40 minutes to get through an episode of Daria.
That gets to a point I left out of my original post - I really wouldn't mind spending a couple more bucks if I could still watch the shows I originally signed up for, but Hulu is now removing most of the old programming I like (Daria, Chapelle's Show, etc). Their original programming is clearly not as good as they seem to think it is and three melodramatic shows about weird psychics doesn't make up for the programming I actually want to watch, which is now literally only available on DVD or on Kodi. Hollywood doesn't exist to entertain me at no cost but there's literally nothing for me to "just pay for."
You've conveniently skipped the mention of ads that require interaction, which is far worse.
> $2-$3 it would cost you to go ad-free
It appears to cost $12,and apparently only removes ads on some shows... so, no.
That's a hell of a sense of superiority you've got yourself there kiddo...
> Also just like broadcast TV. The horror!!!
Broadcast TV has a workaround - the DVR/timeshifting. Does anyone worth monetizing not use DVRs? I simply don't have the time to watch a show with ads.
My aging parents who have about 1/5 my income combined do watch without the DVR, but they also are stingy and don't need anything.
It feels more like "I already pay for Netflix, so why do I have to pay anyone else for content Netflix doesn't have?" That's a bit like asking why you should pay for CNN and HBO. Basic cable should come with ALL the content, right?
I am not saying the content providers owe anyone a streaming option. But grandparent is right about path of least resistance.
Cable would force OP to buy 37 useless channels whose content is being subsidized by people paying for the 5 channels they actually watch.
OP was right, streaming services are fractured and disjointed right now and nobody offers everything. Netflix has shifted primarily to their own content and increasingly only carries independent and foreign films and shows. Hulu is an ad packed disaster area on top of having a horrible streaming experience on current content designed to try to prop up the failing cable subscription model. Amazon is the best bet for most other content but is of course the most expensive of all the options since it isn't a proper subscription service like Netflix or Hulu but instead more closely emulates the Blockbuster Video model of old. None of the options is a really fully satisfying replacement for a cable TV subscription, but each is just good enough that it's still better than cable TV. In aggregate, the experience is definitely the best option, but it's still really frustrating (not to mention expensive) to constantly need to juggle between the three major services (and the dozens of smaller ones) in order to access the content you want when you want it.
Yeah. They don't have everything I want to watch, but they have enough decent stuff that I find something interesting easily enough.
I am slightly cheesed when something I was watching was taken off before I finished it... I understand why they don't advertise when they'll loose the rights to a particular show, but I'd sure like some way to know how long some shows will be available.
To add insult to injury, the competition often delivers this experience for free or even at a loss (eg. buying the BR to rip it, re-encode it, and add subtitles)
The problem is with piracy plugins.
Let's not besmirch Kodi, it's really a shining example of successful non-commercial open source.
Piracy is about wanting stuff for free. Nothing more and nothing less.
iTunes has 99% of pirated content. You can start streaming damn near any movie or TV show you want with about 4 clicks. It takes less than 30 seconds. But it costs money.
Piracy isn't a convenience problem. It's a not wanting to spend money for things problem.
Except the likes of iTunes and Steam have shown that if you provide an affordable, reliable and convenient distribution channel, people will flock to it over the napster/kazaa/torrent alternatives.
How it it streamable on Kodi, but takes so long to download from a legitimate source?
They should all be looking into expanding their web tech. Serve ad's to people that want to watch your content for free, have a pay service for those that don't want ad's.
On the other hand I had sky... I paid £70 a month which is A LOT compared to netflix etc, and everytime I wanted to watch something I had to be served with 3 x 1:30' ad' sessions for a 20' episode of friends... I mean why do I even pay if you going to serve me intrusive ad's. No thank you, I prefer having netflix and amazon prime that has a lot to watch and if I want something specifically that isn't available to those 2 am gonna torrent it like a boss.
The marginal cost of offering a movie for downloading must be pretty close to 0. Why can't studios simply tap the opportunity of cheap hassle-free downloads?
As a result, studios cannot simply offer a film or TV series online at the same time for everybody. As the regional contracts expire and the studios restructure them, I expect to see more direct distribution via online channels.
Instead of consolidating and simplifying their terms, they are digging deeper and getting more complex. It's not uncommon to see a setup like:
* Show airs during primetime
* Available the next day on on-demand (not that same night)
* Expires from on-demand after 30 days
* Last 5 episodes but not the most recent episode available for purchase per-episode on something like google-play or amazon.
* Large gap between the last 5 episodes and the previous season where it's literally impossible to buy or watch an episode legally.
* second-to-most-current season available on Hulu-Plus
* All seasons previous to that available on netflix or amazon prime (not both)
And that's just in one country, not even taking into account the various restrictions and petty limitations like no HD and no ability to rewind or even pause in some cases. Not to mention the hardware you'd need to watch all of that on a regular TV. You are looking at least at a Fire-stick, Roku or chromecast, a STB from the cable company, and in some cases a PC that can HDMI over to the TV.
Disney do this with the Disney Vault[1].
Each Disney film is available for purchase for a limited time, after which it is put "in the vault" and not made available in stores for several years until it is once again released.
However, Disney may be the exception here.
The most pathetic irony here, is Disney, who made a small fortune milking public domain fairy-tales and yet have fought to prevent their extremely popular figures to become part of that same public domain - even after they clearly are part of a common world-spanning culture - much like 1001 nights, or the Greek mythos.
Uh, a lot of money?
There is no way that a torrent with a $1 tip function would make the same amount of money they make through all the distribution deals, advertising, $6 24-hour HD rentals through cable providers and Amazon, etc.
> Technologically it's a weekend project for a small team
Famous last words.
Do you know anyone would watch 25X more content if it were cheaper? I wouldn't.
And the movie industry taps this demand in other ways. They eventually sell the movie to netflix/amazon/tv station.
They don't need to watch more, just start paying for what they watch.
It's been hard to get people to accept iOS apps should be more than a 99 cents.
http://www.zdnet.com/article/apples-app-store-2016-revenue-t...
The whole of DVD and BluRay sales is a poultry 13bn dollars:
http://variety.com/2016/digital/news/home-entertainment-spen...
So I guess your ideas about the App Store are wrong or cheap yields loads of revenue... Hey, when selling more is essentially free sell more, right?
Just to hate on AMP a little more it took me 3-4 times longer to unampify the bloody URLs on those links.
A single exclusive deal for a season of Game of Thrones for a specific release window with a local/regional PayTV provider brings in, say, ten million bucks. And you make this deal in a nice 3 Michelin Star restaurant.
Compare that with actually delivering 10 million streams to end users, on iPhones, iPads, Androids, AppleTVs, Chromecasts, [edited: with] payment gateways and support for technically challenged people.
I think the big problem going forward will be peoples willingness to pay. Just look at the current landscape of OTT services and people are beginning to get annoyed over paying for so many. I personally don't think the individual OTT market will keep pushing forward the way it is because at some people will get fed up with paying for so many different services. And while you can cancel at anytime, who wants to deal with remembering to sign up and cancel every time a new show comes along? Never mind the annoyance of traversing in and out of services to watch different shows or watchlists -- this by the way is where I feel TiVO got it right by combining regular recordings with online.
My hope and likely dream scenarios is we begin to see a shift away from TV distributed over COAX and proprietary boxes, and instead consumed through services like Vue / SlingTV. These platforms advance to being more than traditional delivery mechanisms by allowing integration of OTT services to be consumed like a regular channel.
The ability to make bolder strategy choices is also hampered by the need to enter into distribution contracts with the above-mentioned providers.
If you do the math, I'd guess revenues would be higher doing what the entertainment industry currently does than what you propose. While this will lead many people into pirating, it's still likely a pretty small percentage.
Netflix did $8.8 billion in revenue last year. U.S. domestic box office receipts were around $11.3 billion and were around $30 billion globally.
In the US alone, given Netflix' current subscriber base of 49 million, it would cost each subscriber would have to pay a little over $19 per month extra just to make up for domestic box office revenues. When you factor in that Netflix needs to make some money on top of that, as well as whatever scaling is necessary, that number needs to go up even further. And then you need to makeup all the additional money that comes from rentals and distribution deals outside of Netflix. There is a reason why Netflix only gets a small portion of quality movies -- because companies can make more signing deals with companies other than Netflix.
Would most people be willing to pay over $100 per month for an all-you-can-eat movie service? I doubt it, considering that doesn't even account for all the television programming, which takes up a much larger portion of people's screen time than movies do. First-run television content earns a lot of revenue, as do live shows, particularly sports. ESPN alone costs cable companies $7 per subscriber and that's with lots of ad-supported content. Without ad support, that number would be closer to $12 and that doesn't account for the additional production costs to make up for all the additional airtime that needs filled.
I think to truly create an all-you-can-eat, comprehensive entertainment streaming service, you'd be look at several hundred dollars per month in subscription fees. And you'd still have to figure out some sort of way to incentivize content producers to continue producing the same level of content they currently do and support competition so there is a continued push towards higher quality.
Also I think you're really missing something important, which the entertainment industry is also ignoring... "all you can eat" is not the only way to do it, there is a market for "a la carte" as well. My wife has been trying to find a way to pay to stream 3 or 4 TV channels only, she specifically does not want to pay for ESPN or other trash television we won't watch. It would be even better if we could find it without ads. Of course such a model is probably unthinkable for content producers that want to bundle their losers in with their winners in order to boost their value.
I think the "a la carte" model is much more realistic than the "all you can eat" model but I don't think that model solves what the parent comment was saying. The a la carte model doesn't really work that well for movies either. I still think people would complain and go to torrents. "Why should I pay $15 a month to watch Game of Thrones when I can torrent it?" will still be a question but that's already better than things were two years ago when it was "Why do I have to pay a $70 cable subscription PLUS $15 a month to watch Game of Thrones?"
I would guess Hollywood get's around 80% of overall ticket sales, but it can very a lot. However, production costs can be less than advertising costs. So, the production side might get 60% of stated ticket sales and that's the percentage that Netflix would need to cover.
That said, if Netflix had every movie ever for 25$ a month they would also likely have far more customers and probably be revenue neutral for Hollywood. But, at the same time every studio would want a larger cut and the only way it would work is if there where similar rules for streaming movies as streaming songs.
Not 100% but a pretty high percentage given how much work the distribution & theatre companies do.
But you'd also have to account for DVD/VOD/streaming/tv rights that movies also get aside from just theatre.
Yet they can afford to pay Dave Chappelle $60 million for 3 episodes. I love Netflix, but it's clear they are focused on their own original content, and they do a great job at it. Every Netflix show I've watched is great. They don't have the latest and greatest movies because they choose not to buy them.
Streaming or downloading a full 4k version would mean I'd probably never go to the theater again (and I go roughly 12 times a year).
Some people would still go for the social experience / big screen, but a lot less frequently. I bet most theatres would have to shut down.
Well, they might be able to once, at which point they're going to get some ransomware or become part of a botnet.
You are also assuming the rest of the entertainment complex isn't going to shrink, especially espn which is losing a lot of subscribers.
"Warning, this knife can sever arteries.". Is this better?
"Warning, this machine can access copyrighted content. Buy it at your own risk."
Is this better?
They will only consider real cases, not hypothetical.
> "Warning, this knife can sever arteries.". Is this better?
The courts take things in context. If it was sold by a gangster with that wording used for the purpose of informing customers that it can be used to kill people, then that's one thing. If it's used as a warning label so that adults know to keep the knife away from their children for safety, that's another. Courts are not blind; they are supposed to look at context and intent.
You seem to consider the law as some kind of mathematical function where the same input always results in the same output. This is indeed the aim, but context matters. The law doesn't ignore context, so you cannot expect to do so either.
You might find it helpful to read "What Colour are your bits?": http://ansuz.sooke.bc.ca/entry/23
That article talks about copyright, but the point about the law seeing context, and the same nonsense conclusions when attempting to use logic but ignore context, remains the same.
Attorneys and courts have a wide berth with which to determine what a person's intent was. Instances where you can thumb your nose at basic jurisprudence and get off on a technicality of the text of the law is exceedingly rare.
"They will decide" I thought the intent was mine. How can my intent be decided? My intent was to kill time.
And I have read "What Colour are your bits" before. "The trouble is, human beings are not in general Colour-blind." They are. Truth is, they are. There is no "Colour sense". You can't tell if this pipe was from your grandfather, mine, or if it was 3D printed 10 minutes ago. I could lie to you, you would believe it, and be Wrong. We pretend we see Colour. We tell each other the Colour of everything all the time, because we can't see it. Just as we pretend family matters, and borders exist, and anger is something we must act upon and the sky is up and the floor is down, and fashion is a thing. We pretend these things all the time. I sometimes pretend to want to work where I am right now.
"This idea of Colour is a problem for communication between those of us who work in the world of computers, where Colour does not exist, and those of us who work in the law, where Colour exists and is important." Colour does not exist anywhere. If everyone forgot it, no one would be able to find it again. Other Colours would be created. And we would pretend to like them with the same strength.
When you buy a combat knife, are you buying a killing artifact? Are you buying a weight? A memento of culture? Army supplies?
The world functions because we agree on a lot of things. You seem to agree that Colour exists and the Combat Knife is deadly, but the Americana Knife is not, and the metal assembly is just scrap. Only by force you will convince anyone that Colour exists and it is important. So you will never be right, you will just have won. And the Federation Against Copyright Theft won, and we pretend they are right. I disagree.
Also,
> "Set-top boxes loaded with apps and add-ons allowing access to copyright infringing material are very much illegal and anyone involved in selling these boxes should not be surprised to receive a knock on the door," Kieron Sharp, director general of Fact
The box itself is illegal. An illegal computer. My computer is also illegal right now. Let's pretend this makes sense.
By a court. Depending on where you live, you may end up with a jury of your peers making the decision.
The court system will make a decision and for legal purposes that decision, not the truth, is what will matter. It isn't perfect since we can't read minds. But it's the best system we have.
Thank you for your patience.
Try advertising a butchers knife as "an excellent tool to slit the throats of <insert migrant minority here> pigs", or any less extreme but still illegal activity (like advertising nails for the purpose of puncturing the tires of your annoying neighbours car).
You mean like "combat knife"?
I was going to elaborate on how we should close down classes about rocket science or anything particle physics related. You know, just in case someone manages to learn how to control fission and miniaturize it into bombs.
Dangerous stuff.
The authorities in Canada have been chasing down Android Box sellers at the behest of the cable companies for pretty much the same reason. Most of them come with Showbox installed and preloaded Kodi channels that are pretty shameless about where they're getting the streams from.
If you start selling a PC loaded with that software that's advertised as "download La La Land and 100s of other new movies for free!", it's a different ballgame as the intent is clearly there.
I do wonder how far it goes though, if you look at this listing, it's only implied that the illegal streaming services are on there, but it's pretty clear they are when you look at the customer questions:
https://www.amazon.co.uk/DROIBOX-Android-Player-Amlogic-Blue...
There's also probably an element of tax evasion involved.
People buy them and they work for a week, and then the streams break, etc. and these people have no idea how to update them so they come on the various Kodi support forums blaming Kodi for all the problems. Meanwhile the sellers have disappeared and are selling the boxes under a new name.
[1] https://kodi.tv/the-piracy-box-sellers-and-youtube-promoters...
Recently an absolutely non-tech-savvy friend of mine explained to a bunch of friends how he was streaming pirated movies, TV etc. via Kodi. I was blown away that he even knew about XBMC / Kodi, the classic media center I've been using for more than a decade (though never with subpar, crappy streams).
Needless to say he only knew about it since it was advertised as enabling piracy. He most certainly didn't download it from official sources and will run into problems in no time.
I just wanted to say that I was very surprised to see Kodi reach mainstream awareness and it's a little sad that this was enabled via the infamous piracy spotlight.
Yes, me included. I think that's an entirely different discussion, but let me just point out that I love to buy content that I own. I do it with music all the time. Buying about 5-10 lossless digital albums is a weekly habit for me. I can't do that with movies since content creators / publishers don't allow me to buy that kind of content in a digital, DRM-free format I truly own.
- It has to be DRM-free as I want to play it with my media player of choice and possibly long after the service I bought it from may or may not be around any longer. - While I don't care for the physical medium and would prefer to play the movie in Kodi, it could be Bluray if it wasn't for the long delays between theatrical release, US Bluray release and the release in my country. I don't care for localization. I require the original audio track / language. I'm not content with the delay between US Bluray and local Bluray release while the movie is already available on torrent sites.
Bottom line: I'd gladly pay for movies if it was as easy and consumer friendly as buying music.
But I will not get the same from Netflix. I have to get Netflix, Amazon Prime, Hulu, etc. just to get back to what I actually want. I am not saying Spotify has absolutely everything, but it is so close to everything I don't have to worry too much. I don't even pay for Apple music because they have different content, I only do that because it works better in my car and spotify works better with Echo.
However the Kodi team has made an amazing job simplifying installation on numerous platforms, to the point where the most advanced thing you need to know is how to use a USB stick and 7-zip.
If these people (box sellers) ship it with a remote control, and a self-contained Kodi distro (Ubuntu), I have no problem seeing anyone using it intuitively as plug & play.
Maintaining is mostly an issue with your own library in my experience. If that part is outsourced to third party plugins there's not much to maintain. Though if that plugin breaks/is forked/whatever then you're boned.
I really feel for the Kodi team though, getting blame for piracy, numerous support requests stemming from unaffiliated third party plugins, and all for an amazing open source product they've made for free.
A cousin of mine, who's a dentist in his mid 40's and hmm lets say he lacks behind on technology, found a way to set it up and gave it to them.
They use it and they don't even understand that its using the internet to stream pirated data... I told them that and they were like "no, he bought it for us from amazon, why they sell illegal stuff there, its free".
So yes I have valid proof of 2 people that don't know how to Google - Google fully using it.
It gave access to just about every cable channel and every film and TV show. It cost £50 - his theory was that if he had to buy a new one every month, it was still cheaper and easier to use than the alternatives.
There's a little shop near me that sells Kodi boxes. They used to build PCs when that was a thing, now they do laptop and phone repairs. £69 for the box including installation, £20 for updates. That's a bargain compared to £70/month for Sky. Most people have a geeky nephew who'll sort it out for a bit of pocket money.
It's pretty much dead simple and "just works" - with the exception of what happens when the services they use dies. Then you're in trouble. The quality is also often abysmal.
That's why I'd rather use the Usenet setup (Sonarr/CouchPotato/Sabnzbd/Plex/Emby) and pay $10/mo to a sketchy IPTV service, I know they at least try to maintain their streams and if you hunt around you can find decent quality.
My Kodi install on my smart TV has one purpose: To play things out of a directory on my NAS. Yet I have it added roughly 7 different ways, and have no idea how or why things get cataloged. All I know is I'm too afraid to remove any of the sources because I'm not sure which one's being used.
And I'm not sure I know how to remove a source, either.
I struggled with Kodi on my jailbroken AppleTV2 and it never worked right. At least it does the basic job of playing media from my NAS, so I'm happy. No waiting for Plex to decide to index my content, no fuss, no muss. Open Kodi, play files from NAS.
If they're selling Android Kodi boxes from China (which I suspect they are, since they're widely available, preconfigured and cheap), then I would disagree. These boxes have incredibly flaky UIs.
As for Kodi itself, it's fairly usable, but I would say the process of adding non-public repos for shady add-ons might be a little overcomplicated for a non-enthusiast who just wants to watch a soccer stream.
"fully loaded kodi boxes" are just set top boxes pre-loaded with kodi and a number of plugin that make it convenient to access pirate streams or download content in a style reminiscent of popcorn time. Since These guys are basically just bundling Kodi and some plugins on cheap hardware, they make a quick buck selling that. The torrents and streams are just there anyway, so it's not a cost they need to concern themselves with.
http://arenavision.in/ http://torrent-tv.ru/channels.php
However, I doubt that 'fully loaded' Kodi boxes uses it, most likely it use simple m3u streams harvested from internets.
Kodi is free software built by volunteers to bring videos, music, games and photographs together in one easy-to-use application.
Some shops sell legal set-top boxes and TV sticks, often called Kodi boxes, preloaded with the software.
The developers behind Kodi say their software does not contain any content of its own and is designed to play legally owned media or content "freely available" on the internet."
So is this like Popcorn time, then? Did the sellers break laws? Did the developers break laws?
Kodi does have a lot of plugins to access a wide variety of free content (nearly 400 video content plugins alone). You can see what is available here: http://addons.kodi.tv/
So like when one studio steals the copyrights from another, or from the content creator directly.
I will watch several hours of television and entertainment a night, if I did this via amazon I would end up paying well over $200 a month.
If they can scale that back to something reasonable like $75 a month, I am sure that I would be more willing to pay.
Maybe if Mozilla/Google offered a version of Firefox/Chrome that came pre-configured with links to a bunch of torrent sites and bundled in extensions to download torrents, unpack archives and play media it would be similar.
At the end the only real difference is the advertising of that box - meaning if I would somewhat distribute a firefox browser with the proper links and call it the watch any media for free browser I would be in trouble.
The issue here is that these five people have taken a normal Kodi box, modified it and then marketed it as a device designed to violate copyright.
The real issue here is how these people were advertising and selling the device. It raises interesting questions though - would they get into the same amount of trouble if they sold a generic Kodi box with instructions for the user to configure it in such a way? What if they sold it with just a link to a Google search that had such instructions? What if they provided a script you could download and it would do the configuration automatically for the user but what they sold was actually a generic (legal) Kodi box?
The boxes are specifically marketed for copyright violation, sure. But Kodi is a general-purpose media player. It can manage your DVD tray and all that. Your home videos. Etc.
It's similar to bit-torrent in that it has plenty of legal uses (torrents are great for downloading linux distros).
In the example you're responding to, the computer could easily be marketed in the same way as these boxes, and then there would be little distinction beyond ease-of-use.
Not only that, they're specifically configured for copyright violation.
Assuming these are the Android TV boxes from China, these boxes don't come with vanilla Kodi.
They come with Android apps whose specific purpose is to get copyrighted content (like Showbox), and the pre-installed Kodi comes with a pile of add-ons that do the same.
On a vanilla system, a normal user would have to go get those apps and add-ons themselves.
The Android apps (apks) are easier to find/get than the add-ons for Kodi. You need to know the locations of the repos to get some of the shadier add-ons and that involves legwork that would likely be daunting for non-enthusiasts.
They're not just marketed for it. They come setup so that you go to the TV shows section and see a list of every TV show and every episode that you can play with one click. So comparing to a computer marketed the same way doesn't make much sense. A more accurate comparison would be selling a laptop that is locked down to the Kodi software setup to stream any TV show or movie the user wants illegally. I'm 99% sure all of the features the fully-loaded boxes come with access to in the UI are illegal.
Presumably a great many of them are not related to illegal activities.
Anyway, I've never thought that making it easy to commit a crime was a crime in and of itself. Selling lockpicks is maybe a similar example.
TPB provided direct tracker downloads and/or links to trackers that were illegal files.
These guys are installing some software that is the equivalent of TPB. The software provides "links" (more or less) to illegal video streams, but providing those streams, or the data to find them, is not something these guys have done.
I think this would be more like some other examples in this thread, where maybe you provided a browser or extension that kept up-to-date torrent site bookmarks.
The issue is taking that general purpose Kodi box then making and marketing it as a way to "watch free Sky TV!" and such. The issue isn't that it is a Kodi box but that it is modified and sold with the primary (one could maybe argue sole) purpose of violating copyright.