Google Recalls Staff to U.S. After Trump Immigration Order
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
Nor do any of them have Trump brand hotels in them.
See? It's working already!
He's just riding on the coattails of former admins to expand the scope of the restrictions and sanctions imposed by them.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/trumps-immigratio...
It was on who published it ;)
The NYT is a company, it can't write articles, only people can
Look at my original comment, when did I even come close to mentioning the author or his track record in particular? I mention the NYT and WaPo.
The parent observed that writers in the NYT, whether opinion writers or not, have an established track record of crying wolf in this regard. Pointing out a group or even an individual's track record is not an ad hominem attack because it's an argument about their argument, not their person.
1) The said person dismissed my argument because of WHO wrote it. Classical ad hominem.
2) I did not say my argument was correct BECAUSE it was written by an immigration expert. Hence, not appeal to authority.
I think Trump and his supporters are playing by an outdated rule book and think they can turn the clock back on globalisation and force companies and people to stay within their borders however uncomfortable he makes it. There is a very similar dynamic going on with Brexit in the UK, but this will take years or decades to play out.
the situation in the UK is very different, the political class are still entrenched and not going anywhere, whereas the US seems to be having a clean sweep
Theresa May's position that the UK is still open to globalism and wants to sign as many free trade agreements, and reduce barriers to trade as far as possible as the UK leaves the EU.
As to Trump being a clean sweep, there's nothing clean about his cabinet or advisors - he has one of the most traditional, male, rich, white cabinets in recent history and even includes family in his inner circle and in meetings. I don't think it's clean in any sense, neither new nor free of corruption.
I haven't seen any evidence of this, outside of the tabloids (which would be business as usual)
> As to Trump being a clean sweep, there's nothing clean about his cabinet or advisors - he has one of the most traditional, male, rich, white cabinets in recent history and even includes family in his inner circle and in meetings.
clean sweep as in the old guard and their policies are gone (not the case in the UK)
Recent examples from the conservative conference:
Exhibit 1: Amber Rudd vows to stop migrants 'taking jobs British people could do' and force companies to reveal number of foreigners they employ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/04/jeremy-hunt-nhs-d...
Exhibit 2: On immigration and jobs, Theresa May employs the post-truth politics of Donald Trump http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/05/on-immigration-an...
Exhibit 3: Official policy is to cut migration to tens of thousands (that order of magnitude cut would leave many industries short of staff with an ageing population)
1) has been thoroughly debunked: she never said what the press accused her of saying. try and find the speech where she's talking about employers making lists of foreigners... you won't be able to because it doesn't exist.
I looked quite extensively at the time for it, as I was horrified by what press were reporting her as saying... shame it's fake news.
(in actual fact it was one of many potential ideas in a briefing note before the speech)
2) is an opinion piece, not evidence
"The speech was followed by a background briefing by an aide who suggested firms could be required to publish lists of foreign workers. Rudd herself confirmed the next day that such lists were an option, but the idea was quickly dropped." https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/12/amber-rudd-...
And I should add that the idea was dropped only after an outcry by businesses.
headline: "Amber Rudd vows to ... force companies to reveal number of foreigners they employ"
simply not true, so it's fake news
2) You missed the direct quote from May in the article? Her opinions are very clear on this and neatly mirror Trump's populist nationalism. To quote directly, she claims that British people are:
out of work or on lower wages because of low-skilled immigration
Given that employment is close to an all time low and most products bought are imported and thus nothing to do with low skilled immigrants this is clearly untrue. They may be out of work or on low wages due to globalisation, robotics, austerity, the markets, the dominance of china, the decline of British industry etc, but tying this to immigration is mendacious, dangerous, and entirely without basis in fact.
As robotics continues to take over, and most manual jobs disappear in the coming decades, this explanation of foreigners taking our jobs will become more and more appealing and more and more dangerous.
their job is to consider options, and they binned this one (thankfully).
normally this sort of transparency would be seen as a good thing, unfortunately with the vehement overreaction of the press to an immature proposal as if it was policy, I suspect in future we won't find out until the ideas are beyond the proposal stage.
if you take a single quote, and ignore everything else they've been saying and doing for the past 6 months, you could indeed say that the UK Government is similar to Trump's administration, but it's simply not an objective assessment.
You're right that the old power structures are still intact and if they decide to assert themselves over the Conservative party then Theresa May could be removed (it's not like she was elected into the position to start with).
There are many more sensible political responses but they don't come from the establishment, they come from the left wing, and establishment/business interests/the media in the US and the UK is fanatically hostile to the left wing.
Hitler's electoral rise was a similarly a response to wage repression by the Weimar Republic who was similarly fanatically hostile to the German left wing (KPD).
London, Berlin, Barcelona are names I always hear when they talk about tech start-ups in Germany.
With the Brexit an this EO, maybe the dream of Berlin to become THE start-up hub of Europe will finally become true.
A surprising number of Iranians get PhDs from Stanford, MIT and CMU. They're exceptionally talented and kind, in my experience.
This stuff makes me worry about family back 'home' - and whether I'll be able to get back out again. Do I risk not seeing my spouse or do I hold out on visiting family? My spouse, who is not American, refuses to go back with me if I do.
Edit: Some things I thought of after I hit send:
I realize this may be unfounded, but things are so... unsure ... right now that I don't trust the government at all. In addition, I'm relying on news and it looks pretty dire. This looks like the sort of policies that American's used to laugh at.
It is sad that many illegal immigrants will be deported, but if we provide a path to citizenship, it sends a message to others thinking about coming illegally that if you come and wait long enough, you'll gain citizenship. That's a dangerous message in my opinion.
Or, you know, we'll just import whatever it is for 2 cents more instead of paying people to do it. Unless you start to make it artificially expensive to do that through tariffs. In which case, you are essentially trying to prop up the entire economy on a house of cards. Which is what got us into a mess in the first place.
You can't build a sustainable economy on pretending things aren't actually cheap and that people aren't willing to get paid next to nothing to do them.
It's the same thinking that, for example has us building m1 abrams tanks that we toss in the desert, never to be used again, because "these people need jobs", despite the military not actually wanting to build them anymore and desperately trying to get congress to let them cancel it.
In the best case, this kind of silliness lasts until things get automated. In most cases, this kind of silliness lasts a lot shorter time period than that because your economy is not competitive with others who aren't pretending (IE China, et al).
So unless step 2 of this master plan is "somehow completely isolate ourselves from the rest of the world while making tons of money, ..."
Edit: to those downvoting me, can you please explain?
You simply aren't going to be able to provide a lower class a comfortable life by giving them work that doesn't actually need doing. Worse, trying probably ends very badly.
But that's the problem right there: It will not work, and in fact it will make things (possibly much) worse.
As for "until the system changes": How do you think the system changes if you try to band aid it? Who is then fighting to change it?
Systems change not generally in smooth realization that things are not going to go well 50 years from now, but instead when things hit the breaking point and the lower class revolts.
See,e.g., the history of the world elsewhere.
Sad, but true.
This may the the only real hope. But what about these people until then?
Rather than doling out welfare, it looks like Trump is shifting wealth around by increasing the incentive to hire Americans at the cost of more expensive goods and slightly smaller margins.
It's unorthodox, but is it foolish?
What about the negative externalities that come when a country no longer has an industry that many others rely on? When it comes to things like quality and having a stable supply chain, those kinds of things can be glossed over when "it's always 2c cheaper from china".
Steel is a good example, the main reason why china is still banned from trading steel on the open market even though it's so much cheaper is their lack of QA and also their government's lack of market reforms which would prevent china from effectively pumping and dumping on the world market.
Or what about food? Sure you can just import 100% of your food and let all the farmers in your country go out of business to the subsidised farmers from other countries because it makes economic sense, but anyone could see the potential dangers that could occur in the long term that would make such a plan more trouble than it would be worth.
Adidas has moved almost all their textile production back to Germany, for example – it’s all automated now, cheaper than in China, and the QA is the best in the world.
There is no way the US can ever compete with that.
Whether or not local manufacturing jobs never come back, I just don't see why you would want to continue with something which seemingly has so many negative externalities (ethical, environmental, as well as a loss of means to innovate).
[0] https://srconstantin.wordpress.com/2016/11/19/industry-matte...
Production in Germany (~30% renewable, ~20% nuclear) or France (~85% nuclear) or Norway (~100% renewable) is far better for the environment than in the US (~3% nuclear and renewable combined).
Additionally, you can’t produce everything in every country – so producing as much as possible at one place and then shipping it out will be better.
First sentence: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renewable_energy_in_the_United...
It might be cheaper in the short-term and supported by all of the most progressive corporations but the damage we're doing will affect all of us eventually.
Edit: I'm not saying that globalisation is all bad, but in the war against Trump it seems people are forgetting all of the bad parts...
I'll type this until I'm blue in the fingers, but the fundamental issue driving the wedge is that any savings is prevented from actually benefiting consumer prices, due to explicit national policy.
If Walmart comes in with imported goods and cuts prices in half, then people's cost of living should go down. Even though work is leaving, people should actually need to work less to support their same lifestyle.
But as market progress would cause the CPI to decrease, the federal reserve explicitly creates enough new money to compensate and then some. The new money inflates prices precisely where it can be injected into the consumer economy - anything that can be financialized (eg houses, cars, healthcare, education).
The people are correct to be upset about their economic position - they're bearing the downsides of market progress while sharing few of the gains, by policy. Unfortunately their ire is easily misdirected toward other unfortunate victims, to keep this society-scale wealth extraction scheme going.
Source?
Tl;Dr - wages for lower class/lower educated minorities are hurt, but employers gain an advantage (lower labor costs). There's also a paper by professor in econ from Cornell about African Americans suffering the most from it, but my phone won't link to the PDF.
Outside of academia you just have to go to your local home depot to see how much cheaper you can get someone to come work for you for the day, or go to any massage shop charging $25 / hour instead of $60+ while employing illegal immigrants.
> while employing illegal immigrants.
It's important to note what the original claim of the parent comment was. It was not "illegal immigrants" but "uncontrolled immigration" which includes both legal AND illegal immigrants.
Here's an article talking about them. http://www.sciencemag.org/careers/2015/05/economists-h-1b-vi... (the direct link to the study is in there as well)
Edit: I should clarify - this isn't the only way to immigrate / cover all use cases, etc etc - just that in this & my first comment there does seem to be some wage suppression occurring in some forms related to various immigration.
I'm not the one who mentioned H1B. I mentioned "legal immigrants".
> Is immigration uncontrolled? Yes immigration is not 100% controlled, hence illegal immigrants are a thing.
I could say the other way too. Immigration is not 100% uncontrolled, so it is controlled. However, what we do have is controlled immigration to a large degree and there are some uncontrolled immigration too. The ratio of controlled to uncontrolled is very high. So, I can not see how one can make the claim that immigration is uncontrolled to being with.
> Not sure what you're looking for... you asked for a source - seems clear that yes, wages for some groups are "artificially suppressed" by "uncontrolled immigration".
There is nothing to say that immigration is uncontrolled. Further, there is nothing to say that legal immigration suppresses (not lowers down) wages "artificially". The words used in the parent comment "uncontrolled", "artificially" and "suppress" have specific meanings which replaced by "illegal", "supply-demand" and "lowers down" change the impression of that statement.
However... what? > I could say the other way too. Immigration is not 100% uncontrolled, so it is controlled. However, what we do have is controlled immigration to a large degree and there are some uncontrolled immigration too. The ratio of controlled to uncontrolled is very high.
In 2015 1,051,031 people obtained lawful permanent residence (https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/yearbook/2015/tab...). Illegal immigrants are estimated at 1,201,000 for 2015 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_immigration_to_the_Uni...). Is that really the definition of controlled? The "ratio" you stated is completely inaccurate.
The original person was talking about people working for less than minimum wage (because they are illegal immigrants), so do they suppress wages for those jobs? Yes.
You are comparing apples and oranges. Permanent residents (the green card holders as per definition in your link) contain ONLY a subset of legal immigrants.
Feel free to continue to ignoring evidence.
Are you telling us that at a given point of time there are only 85,000 people in the US with H1B visas? In 2009, there are 650,000 H1B holders : 10 times the actual number [0]. J1 visa holders are about 300,000 per year [1]. Even the most conservative estimates makes this 1M legal residents apart from Green Card holders. Even the most conservative estimates, makes legal residents 2x the times the illegal residents. The actual number will be even higher.
Feel free to continue ignoring the evidence.
With your logic we might as well just tally up all the legal immigrants that entered the country and all the people that have been naturalized since the country was founded.
Especially when an economy is not at full employment, like the the US.
I'd like to see a source on both of those parts. Each and every word chosen in the comment above is critical to the claim being made (artificial and uncontrolled; in particular).
If you are taking uncontrolled in it's most literal definition then you won't find a source, otherwise all you need to do is look at situation in the US with sanctuary cities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sanctuary_city
As an Australian, I find the whole concept a bit baffling. That a city just decides "If you make it to this city, we will protect you from immigration laws". I don't see how you could describe an immigration system as "under control" if all the rules can be thrown out the window if you get to a "safe zone".
I know this shooting has been referenced alot in the US and i think it's a good example of this, how can immigration be considered under control when a man can be deported 5 times and still get back in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_of_Kathryn_Steinle
> (2) Wages are artificially suppressed.
Well again, like all things in politics definitions are not always a constant. Artificial in this case could describe a host of valid definitions from Any government action on a free economy to overly burdensome regulations and mandates that force a market obviously in one direction. I'm sure some people would argue that taxation itself is wage suppression.
So for this case, I would say when you take the fact the US's labor particpation rate still hasn't recovered to pre-GFC levels http://www.politifact.com/virginia/statements/2016/jun/13/da..., the laxing of immigration laws combined with stagnating wages http://www.epi.org/publication/charting-wage-stagnation/.
I think you can definitely make an argument that wages have been suppressed by these policies.
(2) I'm not looking for political definitions. I'm looking for facts via research and data which show that wages are "artificially" suppressed due to uncontrolled immigration.
So far, I've only seen are plausible theories and hypothesis. Now, I'm waiting for actual data and research to back it up via a credible independent process.
I feel hopeful about the outcome of the election. I'm interested to see what can happen with an effective reset of corporate sponsorship in the highest seat of government. The nice side effect of businesses not believing that he could become president, is that they didn't have as much time to buy favours.
The proposed rules for regulatory bodies (one in, two out) could considerably reduce the financial and emotional cost of doing business in the U.S. and perhaps finally undo some long-standing pay-for-play regulations. As it stood, I would have felt terrified and uncertain if I were to start a business in the U.S. one year ago.
I don't think Donald Trump is necessarily any better of a person than the other candidates; but I think he has a better chance of doing good by accident. The alternatives seemed like they were trying to trick the U.S. into paying for their expensive lifestyles in spite of the consequences to the public.
This isn't that, it is rather the opposite.
I think that until now it is exactly the contrary you say
> The proposed rules for regulatory bodies (one in, two out) could considerably reduce the financial and emotional cost of doing business in the U.S.
And this is not in favour of the corporate sponsorship, is it?
I suppose outing all the evil environment regulations is very good for corporations and business but how about the actual people?
> I don't think Donald Trump is necessarily any better of a person than the other candidates; but I think he has a better chance of doing good by accident.
You seem to have a very specific definition of good. It only applies to corporations
Regulations are actively campaigned for by large businesses to create supply-side pressure (fewer, or no, new companies can meet the basic regulatory requirements of your business, therefore you control more of the market with more certainty).
If you want to talk about effective environmental regulations for people, we could start with strict liability for waste dumping. It took all too much time for Dow Chemical to see any pressure for water contamination scandals, and they still haven't faced much. The other major environmental case I can remember is U.S. EPA versus BMW, but that one is clearly preferential. If it were a U.S. car manufacturer, the penalties would be less dire with near certainty.
As for your last point, I'm sure you see the folly in it. Without getting too far into it, I'd like to point out that I gain nothing from the hegemony of established businesses. There's no reason to imagine that I'm out to make their lives easier.
Secretary of State: Exxon's chairman and CEO
Secretary of the Treasury: Goldman Sachs' CIO
Secretary of Commerce: The "King of Bankruptcy"
Secretary of Labor: CEO of Hardee's
Secretary of Education: From the Amway/Blackwater family
I could go on, but pray tell: What would be the point of buying favours when you are in the position of doling them out?
It is a lot easier to tell when the CEO of Exxon is being transparently preferential to Exxon, than it is to say for sure that the secretary of state is being opaquely preferential.
And even if he can manage to slip Exxon-preferential policy through without rejection, I would argue that the United States of Exxon is far better for Americans than the United States of Saudi Oil Money. That's what you got with the last Secretary of State.
You've been had.
He was elected to do better.
I would say that your question is a loaded one, one that assumes the worst of each of the people you listed. That they are all corrupt and would put their own businesses above all else.
A question that I don't see asked often (and when it is the answer isn't very apparent) is who else would be better suited?
Considering the Obama administration was heavily weighted toward academia and political establishment figures, something which Trump campaigned hard against, who else would you pick other than the biggest business leaders?
Consider that hillary won the suburbs of Philadelphia stronger than Obama in the last two elections, and yet trump still won the state...
I'm horrified and terrified of what this government holds for the future. It seems like the US is quickly abdicating its role as guarantor of peace (flawed as it was in that role's execution) and I worry deeply about the possibility of a divided and poorly-armed Europe being overrun by Russian influence or the Russian military. In addition, there is a terrible human cost to GOP policies with regards to healthcare, the environment, and of course telling Iraqis who put their lives on the line for the US that they can just go home and get murdered.
I worry that Trump's bluster about voter fraud has less to do with his injured pride at losing the popular vote and more to do with claiming reason to annul any GOP failures in the 2018 or 2020 elections. I can imagine a GOP supreme court, GOP congress, and military with GOP sympathies might be willing to go along with it.
The world's democracies, under both conservative and liberal leadership, have been too willing to infringe on their people's privacy, and I wonder where this goes if you extrapolate the trend over the next decade or two. The closest thing we have to a leader of the free world is Angela Merkel, and she's suffered politically for her policies.
Also wrt HN: like some others I am a bit surprised to see the strong Trump support here, but then, hate is so often over-represented behind the shield of anonymity.
The mythology of Trump casts him in the mold of the Silicon Valley archetype of self-made Ubermenschen like Thiel, Bezos or Jobs, who render the state and the status quo obsolete through sheer force of personal will and aggression.
He's going to discredit the axioms of the alt-right, disgrace the Republican party and, hopefully, ruin the office of President so much that actual core political reforms take place if for no other reason than to prevent anything like that from happening again.
1. What is the difference between elected dictatorship and democracy?
2. Will Americans stop screaming 'Murica', 'We are number 1' from now? This president and how elections are held in this country are a joke. So much for democratic process and respect for the office.
A population can keep willing electing a dictator and that dictator could even be popular, but that political system would not be a 'democracy' as you might normally recognise; it will espouse none of the liberal values that places like the UK and the US typically expect.
If basic human rights aren't guaranteed by the government, citizens may not be able to exercise their power. Other actors may therefore rule and govern.
As such, authoritarian regimes that denies such rights to its citizens can't be called democracies.
In countries where elected dictators rule you can vote for anyone you want, as long as its the dictator.
>Will Americans stop screaming 'Murica', 'We are number 1' from now? This president and how elections are held in this country are a joke. So much for democratic process and respect for the office.
This statement only holds water if you'd feel that same way if your preferred candidate won.
The fact that a bumbling idiot (apologies for my language)can become the leader of a country, fill the white house with 'swamp' leaders and within ONE WEEK sign so many executive orders and actions:
- without studying the history of why things are the way they are
- without appropriate counsel of stakeholders
- without any repercussions for such actions (no checks and balances provided by democratic systems)
I think my statement holds water regardless of who got elected president.
>> - without studying the history of why things are the way they are
In this case. Studying history about immigration from certain countries?
>> - without appropriate counsel of stakeholders
Who decides what is appropriate?
>> - without any repercussions for such actions (no checks and balances provided by democratic systems)
Chosen for by the US democratic system and exactly done as promised.
Turns out, that the specific Immigration Trump order is illegal.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/trumps-immigratio...
Arguably executive orders should not exist, nor should a powerful President. The Swiss system of a rapidly rotating presidency and strong "state rights" seems preferable to me. But the USA has strong elected Presidents and I never saw any American seriously challenge that setup, I hear more talk of states seceding than I see talk of changing the constitution to limit the power of the POTUS.
So I don't see your point. The people were given a (fairly crappy) choice, made it, now their preferences are being implemented. That's democracy.
Don't get me wrong. I think locking people who live in America out of the country because they happened to be on vacation at the time is outrageous, stunningly stupid. But maybe if prior generations of politicians had been more responsive to anti-Muslim sentiment things wouldn't have got so extreme now.
It's quite simple, it's not democratic in the sense that the majority of the population voted for another candidate, but in the end Trump got elected.
Final ballot count:
Hilary: 65,844,610 votes
Trump: 62,979,636 votes
Now, I understand these are the electoral rules in the USA and I'm not saying Trump won unfairly, but he certainly didn't win democratically since the majority of voters didn't want him there.
If this starts a movement to abolish the electoral college, great, but the core problem here isn't a few million votes. Even with a different system Trump could still have won. The core problem is that such a guy was able to even get close to the White House and the root cause is a dire failure of all the other politicians to address the concerns he addressed.
The people screaming that before this will mostly be proud of this action.
The number of refugees the US had taken from Syria was already pathetic. Stopping taking any is straight up evil.
As for democracy, this election actually wasn't an example of it. Millions more voters voted against Trump. The US Presidential election system is obviously broken. It was obviously a ridiculous system before the elections of 2000 and 2016 proved that it was.
Believe me, most Americans agree with you that our elections have become a joke. Congressional districts have been redesigned in the past 10 years to give Republicans a huge unnatural advantage in the House of Representatives. And the US Constitution itself gave us the undemocratic Senate and Electoral College. These things are by design. They were built to be safeguards against democracy run amok. But now the GOP has figured out how to make those safeguards work against the country. It's going to get ugly. It could happen really fast. I'm genuinely scared about the future of the US and the world.
And this is why, I'm of the opinion that the design needs to be changed.
How is the senate undemocratic? Isn't it the same as pretty much every other western democracy? I know it pretty much mirrors what we have in Australia except that we have a lot less states.
difficult and slow communication makes it harder for smaller actors to defend themselves against the tyranny of the majority, as plans get made without proper consultation with representatives of minority interests.
With easy information, however, news travels faster, and more elaborate plans can be worked out in the same time, and hence it is easier to account for minority interests.
I don't see how this at all explains the fundamental ideological differences between states and how less densely populated area's wouldn't be screwed if the system was changed to just be a popular vote or something similar.
Sure I can hear about how people in the middle states are dying because they have no jobs and are using record levels of hard drugs, but that doesn't mean people in the cities have to vote with them in mind.
According to NY Daily News: "Within hours of President Trump’s executive order limiting immigration from Muslim countries, green card and visa holders were already being blocked from getting on flights to the U.S."
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/trump-order-blocks-...
Can you please point me to the paragraph or item in the EO where it mentions this?
DISCLAIMER: Not a lawyer or even paralegal. Take this opinion of mine with a grain of salt.
There are numerous permanent residents who pay (or are forced to pay) US taxes on all global income, for the privilege of holding a Green Card and being a permanent resident.
> I hereby suspend entry into the United States, as immigrants and nonimmigrants, of such persons for 90 days from the date of this order (excluding those foreign nationals traveling on diplomatic visas, North Atlantic Treaty Organization visas, C-2 visas for travel to the United Nations, and G-1, G-2, G-3, and G-4 visas).
Therefore, it excludes everyone from those countries apart from the mentioned exceptions. The exception list does not include a GC holder.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/us/politics/refugee-musli...
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-immigration-gree...
[1]: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jan/15/iranian-amer...
[0]: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/world/middleeast/trump-vi...
Well, it seems that the current execute order is illegal.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/trumps-immigratio...
I think that there are international agreements and treaties that ban such draconian and vindictive measures.