Or had collided in the year 222 :)
I was just talking to my young sons the other day as we were watching the sunset that we are seeing something that happened 8 minutes ago. Cool to see them trying to get their young brains around this concept...
This is false, and so is the rest of that reasoning.
The collision did already happen, from our frame of reference. Its light arriving to us will be just a confirmation.
From some other frame of reference (one moving very fast in the line that joins Earth and the collision), it might not have happened yet.