i find it hard to believe that it could do worse than Twitter.
Snapchat's entire premise is based on ephemerality so even if someone were to advertise or brand, it goes away and is done. You can rewatch stories but even that is limited. Like twitter I don't see this product crossing over to a more general use of the population like facebook. Even expansion overseas will be hard because there are already major messaging platforms that have a strong foothold. Line, whatsapp, Snow ( snapchat clone), wechat and kikao. I also can't see them really expanding beyond the US.
This is of course not true for all markets and age segments but SC is extremely popular.