Russians No Longer Dispute Olympic Doping Operation
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
Contrast that to doping in sport. Sport is zero-sum. For me to win, you must lose. And many performance-enhancing drugs can cause long-term health issues. Steroids can enlarge the heart and damage its valves. EPO can thicken the blood enough to cause embolism. If all athletes are doping, none of them benefit. They simply suffer more and die sooner. Doping regulations help solve this coordination problem among athletes.
>> Like most jobs, programming is positive sum. If you take modafinil or caffeine or carphedon, you'll write more software of higher quality (hopefully).
You can argue that olympic sports is positive sum then as well. If an athlete takes testosterone, he will perform at a higher level and push the boundaries of human achievement further, entertaining more fans. He won't reduce the quality of other competitors output.
>> And the drugs you take don't have long-term disadvantages. For example, modafinil won't give you early onset Alzheimer's.
This is absolutely unfounded, we don't have longitudinal studies on nootropic use and there are many anecdotal reports of the short and long-term side effects of drugs like modafinil.
>> Contrast that to doping in sport. Sport is zero-sum. For me to win, you must lose.
As I said above, if you argue this, then you can argue the same thing for software. For me to take adderall and outperform another employee (both intracompany and at other companies) makes the other employee lose because he was not willing to undergo the same health risks.
If I become a top performer with the aide of drugs and beat my coworker for a promotion, did he not lose as a result of my willingness to sacrifice my health? What about if my whole team does drugs and ships a better product with faster deadlines, causing another firm to lose the deal and go out of business?
As a thought experiment ask yourself this: if there are no disadvantages then why hasn't the human brain evolved to operate that way normally without medication? I suspect there are some trade-offs, even if they aren't readily apparent.
> …if there are no disadvantages then why hasn't the human brain evolved to operate that way normally without medication?
1. Evolution can't search solution spaces as efficiently as modern biochem.
2. Until very recently, humans were calorie limited. Stimulants like modafinil increase metabolism and suppress appetite. That would be selected against during a famine.
I'm not taking a position on Modafinil. It might be safe. It might not be safe. The point is that I don't know, and neither do you.
Not to mention: studies of modafinil show it has a slight neuroprotective effect.[1]
Biochemistry has nearly infinite degrees of freedom that have to be encoded by a small genetic code, evolution is far more likely to find a local maximum instead of a global one, sexual reproduction guarantees that genes are passed on in groups where one [mal]adaptation can drown out the consequences of all the others, and many drugs are only effective because they are some kind of chemical analog that effects a receptor or reaction that developed for an entirely different purpose (for example, cannabis is a psychoactive because of the endocannabinoid system, a set of neurotransmitter receptors involved in mood, memory, and appetite that likely evolved without exposure to the ancestors of cannabis). Evolution on Earth may have had billions of years but that is nowhere near enough to explore the entire solution space for survival in a constantly changing environment.
Where's the evolutionary pressure?
I would disagree; the more superhuman the feats, the more people are likely to watch. See, e.g., Cristiano Ronaldo.
Olympics is an one-off feat. You may take a drug to finish first despite risking obvious health issues. Why? You could receive money and fame for a lifetime as reward for one-off events.
Not to mention figure skating, or gymnastics.
The team sports and sports in which you get points for aesthetics are harder for robots, but I think they can do bobsleigh if not soccer.
Let me list some individual, no artistic points sports where I think building a robot that can beat a top human would be highly challenging:
- Pole vault
- Hurdles
- Wrestling
- Cycling - build a robot than can actually balance on bike and ride it properly
- Tennis
- Surfing
Not to mention the biggest challenge, which is that every single one of these sports would require a special robot, while humans are true generalists.
We are literally decades away from being able to build generalist robots that can outpace humans in the physical world over a range of tasks. Kinematics, balance, and locomotion are all hard problems in robotics, and it doesn't help for us to trivialize them.
Note also, that the race to find new steroids that are less detectable has not necessarily corresponded to finding those that are more safe and effective.
I recommend reading the retirement statement[1] that Nicole Cooke wrote a few years ago, which coincided with the Lance Armstrong doping revelations. It's a sobering look into how these dynamics work within a team and sport, and what they do to people who have the personal strength to opt out of cheating.
1. https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2013/jan/14/nicole-cooke-r...
At some point it becomes unreasonable to believe that only some sports are subject to doping problems when they all have basically the same opportunities, the same pressures, and the same human nature.
You clearly can't cite what % of athletes are dirty. Many likely get away with it. For proof look at the self admitted cheaters who got away with it for N years. Do you honestly think these were the only dopers?
Then look at incentive structure. Go 1% faster and win the race and make millions of dollars. Go 1% slower and get 5th place and nothing. Cheat and get away with it and make millions. Cheat and get caught and you get embarrassed. With this pay stuctute why wouldn't you cheat? It's the only logical path.
The best way to figure out this kind of thing is not a complete survey. It's a few data points and some game theory.
The substances available today for doping are minor buffs, though. Mildronate[1] increases cardiac efficiency/ throughput, for example. However, only a really well-conditioned athlete would gain anything from these substances. Even then we're talking about a 10-15% gain in efficiency.
What I'm personally really excited about are SARMs[2]. These are legitimate fountain of youth compounds that can increase bone density and possible muscle wasting due to age. We may finally have the tools available for viable life extension within this decade.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meldonium
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selective_androgen_receptor_mo...