There seems to be some protocol by which operating systems automatically launch the login page upon connecting to the WiFi network. Unfortunately, it seems to fail pretty often and probably doesn't work for bridged connections.
And here's your answer: http://network-test.debian.org/nm
I assume this can continue "working" (with your noted caveat that it doesn't even always work today) forever, as the process that checks doesn't need to understand HSTS or to ever try HTTPS, regardless of what actual web browsers start doing.