Quantifying the evolution of individual scientific impact
science.sciencemag.org
science.sciencemag.org
The source: http://science.sciencemag.org/content/354/6312/aaf5239
From the source:
The random-impact rule allows us to develop a quantitative model, which systematically untangles the role of productivity and luck in each scientific career.
The model predicts that truly high-impact discoveries require a combination of high Q and luck (p) and that increased productivity alone cannot substantially enhance the chance of a very high impact work.
(Paraphrased) Where Q = Capability of scientist and potential impact of the chosen problem.
Disrupt the SV age bias by taking 50 experienced professionals, and giving them the freedom and resources to do whatever they like.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge%27s_law_of_headli...
It's meant to be humorous, but it's surprisingly accurate for many question headlines.