The Spy Who Added Me on LinkedIn
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
The timing of the story is not a coincidence I am guessing. They mentioned the "election" so I am assuming it is playing along with the Russians have rigged the election and KGB agents are everywhere. And that's why Clinton's campaign resulted in worse Democratic election performance in 28 years. I don't know about anyone else, I but I am getting a little tired of blaming the Russians for everything. Wonder if editors would agree that we should be a lot stricter with our immigration policy and vet people better before letting them come in...
:-D that is a funny take at their life. they do have to live in "enemy" territory as a double life, living that itself would account their intensive training!
There is a constant fear of being caught. He was an illegal foreign operative in "enemy" territory. they were having his handler under surveillance for many years.
I assume it to be highly stressful, living a double life, the constant fear of being caught and thrown into prison or worse, fear of being killed one day.
Just being a spy does not mean that everyone is hostile to them, the article itself says, counter intelligence != catch then really fast, it means identify them and feed them incorrect intelligence, that way you control what your "enemy" gets from their operative, it is way cheaper that way rather than busting the spy rings. Also, this guy went too far, taking something given by foreigners into their secret office! That is ludicrous even by fictional standards(Jason Bourne novels).
The mind plays games!
If your wanna change an election why not hack a wider range of targets? I know that "Who gains most?" is one of the best ways to attribute blame in the intelligence world but I have not (like the North Korea / Sony hack) seen evidence that even nearly proves it was a hack directed by the Russian Government. Possibly a malicious sympathiser but hardly state level techniques...
Also, how slow and useless are the NSA that they weren't watching to protect senior people in one of the two major parties in the country? If so many intelligence folks are as sure as they claim to be that it's the Russians, where is the counter-response? You mean to tell me that the TAO can't do better then some leaks about Russian businessmen close to Putin - obviously that is one of his weak points but he doesn't care about that right now. I get that they don't want to reveal warfighting capabilities but seriously - if you think it's really the Russians, throw a shoulder...
I have nothing but disgust for Putin and his henchmen but at the same time I think there is a lot of value in reading/watching his full speeches directly. There is a lot of poor reporting these days in our Western media and it easier to make better predictions about his frame of mind by seeing exactly what he is saying - then monitor his actions. Many of the direct translations of his speeches about Trump are different from what has been reported. The Russians feel surrounded (by NATO expansion), by NATO intrusions of jets, submarines, Ukraine government change and they also feel humiliated from the 90s, Kosovo, Iraq etc etc. It's important that more people make a real effort to understand and internalise that understanding of Russian fears if we are to avoid a full on renewal of the Cold War...I severely doubt the Trump Administration has people who will be happy to walk back and reset things.
Privately, who knows what his intentions and relationships are. But since the media relies pretty much on only public statements from Putin, it seems only fair that we reserve any further judgement aside from that. Prior to the election, Putin expressed that he was glad to hear that Donald Trump wanted better relations. In the very next breath, he also cautioned that "who knows what will actually happen though if he's elected." In nearly the next sentence, he also expressed worry about Hillary Clinton's aggressive stance, then immediately countered with "but maybe she will change once elected to look for better relations." Of course, the media on all parts of the political spectrum overwhelmingly reported this as "Putin respects Trump", omitting his full, far more diplomatic statements.
I've been living in Russia for almost 2 years, and one thing I have learned on politics is that you really need to separate the Russian people from the Russian Government; your average Russian distrusts all politicians - most grew up during a time with very open corruption and when your political opinion could actively ruin your life if it was found out. They are very distrustful of the government, and in turn, tend to rely only on their family and friends. They believe government will do what it will do, and the Politicians here seem to be fine with that perception. There's far more focus on bring economic power back to Russia than there is on trying to stick it to the US. A few politicians for local elections tried to run on a "blame the US" platform, but they were largely ignored for the idiots they were. If there's some master plan from Russia to disrupt US Democracy, the end-goal isn't really clear from Russia's side.
They need to have 'plausible deniability' so it's hard to do without fully leaving your tracks and showing your hand.
In all honesty, can you imagine what's sitting in Bill's email? Or worse, browser history?
Further, why just drop Podesta's email? While he's important in political circles, the average American has no clue who he is.
I think if you really wanted to take down Hillary, you'd release all the nasty, snarky, etc email that you know she sent to people. Not just the nasty things she said about Republicans but other Democrats. Convince her colleagues that she'll insult and sell them out in a heartbeat and enthusiasm dips from both them and their supporters. With enthusiasm goes funding, rally attendance, and turns into a loss.
Also, while I get that the Russians have always been way better at HUMINT than the West is at SIGINT (or better at playing dirty?), it doesn't seem quite as successful any more. I accept there is definitely an element of "known unknowns" but the quality of access obtained by the past few Russian spies who have been uncovered has been pretty poor.
As for showing the world that Bill allegedly gets off to some freaky stuff or that Hillary is mean: Nobody cares. Hell, Supergirl (CW show), with their episode where Cat Grant gets hacked, summed it up pretty well with (paraphrased) "Oh whatever. I've said worse than that to her face"
Posting that would just get downplayed with genuine interviews with the wounded parties where they say "Okay. I am a professional adult. It hurts me that Hillary would accuse me of wetting the bed, but that doesn't really influence anything professionally"
Because once you become a "grown up", you kind of acknowledge that even your friends, let alone just your coworkers, might be jerks at times. It hurts, but you move on. Maybe you stop hanging out after work, but you don't let it impact work.
Whereas, stuff like the Podesta emails and the "anti-Sanders" campaign plays to a large portion of the Dem base as well as independents and lets them confirmation bias their way to the conclusion they made months ago. Sanders didn't lose because his appeal was very limited and even a lot of his supporters felt he was better as a senator than POTUS. He lost because of a conspiracy against him and bullying by people he thought were his friends.
All of which hurts the dems a lot, plays well to the news media, and motivates the trump-base by showing "she stole one election, don't let her steal ours"
Russia's goal was to create the perception that they're meddling in this election, so as to delegitimize the electoral process itself.
Quote:
A third element in the Soviet (and now Russian) toolkit is “active measures” — direct intervention by clandestine means in the politics of another country. Active measures may entail the following:
* Influencing the policies of another government;
* Undermining confidence in its leaders and institutions;
* Disrupting its relations with other nations;
* Discrediting and weakening governmental and nongovernmental opponents.
During the debates, along all the other entertaining stuff I saw (from both sides), I remember Hillary mentioning how not less than 17 intelligence agencies checked and told her it was the Russians. If you listen to the news, that's how you know something is a lie - they overemphasize stuff. If she is saying Coast Guard Intelligence went out of their way to investigate and tell her the Russians did it, you know it is probably time to stop worrying about Russians and worry about other stuff. (Another example, Cuomo from CNN said "it is illegal to read these documents, you have to come to use for interpretation", I knew, those documents have to be read, probably paying close attention...)
Looking at it from technical aspect, I would imagine any state actor who is not stupid, probably managed to hack into that server. Russians are good but they don't somehow have magic others don't have.
Moreover, note that James Clapper, the head of the OCI also lied to Congress about NSA in a very blatant manner: http://www.hasjamesclapperbeenindictedyet.com/
Also note from your source: "However, we are not now in a position to attribute this activity to the Russian Government."
This fast drifts into conspiracy theories, but it seems that the outcome of the election was at least partly determined by stories floating around on Facebook.
Not saying that any of this was influenced by the Russian government (I don't think so). But there is certainly not enough information to judge what they did or if it was effective.
There was a case earlier this year involving a pair of brits caught red handed spying in Russia - it made international news for a day, and that was it. Both were repatriated, and the matter didn't go any further in the public eye.
So - what I'm getting at - Russia declined a deal, and this lengthy exposé going into methods and so-forth is the fallout. In the instance earlier this year, Britain and Russia evidently played ball.
So, while it's perfectly valid journalism, I think there's also a bit of "throw 'em to the lions".
"Asked people for information" isn't saying anything. What do I miss? What were the secrets?
Sentenced to just 30 months in a low-security prison... must not have been too severe.
This article smells like DNC propaganda. Firstly, this is an old story. The heart of the news is about 2 years old [2] and it's Graff's first article for bloomberg [3] though he has been writing for Wire and Politico (his former paper)
Secondly, the author is exploring political career of his own in Vermont [4] and it's very possible his Politico article (that changed the blame to lack of technology skills by Hillary) [5] and this article are meant to curry favor for DNC players as he is making his own political bids.
Lastly, the author makes conclusion the hacks were done by Russians, perhaps one of the greatest foreign operations in decades, has undoubtedly been Russia’s successful effort to influence this fall’s presidential election through hacking however as others pointed out there is no clear evidence of this.
Overall, this shows the sophisticated state of political propaganda in US and how it operates to shape the minds of the readers. We're in for a bumpy ride.
(edited for formatting)
[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/gagraff
[2] https://www.ft.com/content/315343d2-a59d-11e4-ad35-00144feab...
[3] http://www.bloomberg.com/authors/ATEO_DMrDvA/garrett-m-graff
[4] http://m.sevendaysvt.com/OffMessage/archives/2015/11/06/garr...
[5] http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/hillary-clint...
Base salaries, doesn't include bonuses, benefits, etc.