An App Saw Trump Winning Swing States When Polls Didn't

npr.org

> Democrats voting for Trump in droves.

Do we know that this was actually the case? At current counting Trump received something like 500k fewer votes than Romney did in 2012. It makes me think that there really aren't that many crossover voters or alt-right boogeymen.

We can be pretty certain its not the case. But that statement has been spreading around.

It's really easy to have an effective track record when n=1.

And when your chances of being correct are 50/50

Reply on news.ycombinator.com