Google’s top news link for ‘final election results’ is a fake news site
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
(For example, critical thinking has helped me to date — I believe — because it's not worth going after me as you only need 50% of the population to win an election. Just as it isn't worth trying to write a Nigerian scam email that's good enough to get me because there is plenty of lower-hanging fruit.)
Speaking up and attempting to educate people if they are buying the propaganda is another "weapon".
Of course it isn't always effective but if enough people challenge someone hopefully they may reconsider.
Accurate analysis of content is still a part of literacy. How you do that without discernment, I have no idea.
I think people understanding arguments would be a nice step forward.
EDIT: (I am a perfect example) :D
Critical thinking is not a shield against your own bias.
You are correct, it is not, but at least it acknowledges that biases are there. Most people don't even know what personal biases are to begin with.
Re-read the comment you responded to. I agreed with you. What is it that you think I am claiming? My only claim (admittedly that I am aware of) is that fake news would have a harder time having impact in a climate where people practiced more critical thinking than they do currently.
fake news helps in reinforcing views already held, which matters.
(Not speaking for GP... Just a reminder that that is the context of what we are talking about)
But even if you want to go down that road that I am pretty sure that there would be plenty of self correction happening unless you decided to stay isolated from the rest of the world right after you read that. Thats obviously not whats happening at all.
You have any sources what so ever that proves that misinformation actually made Trump president?
"Global Warming is a Chinese Hoax"
"Ted Cruiz's father killed JFK"
"Obama and Hillary founded ISIS"
Is it even possible to separate that man from misinformation?
Edit: I have anecdotal "evidence" that some of his voters where swayed by this stuff from conversations I have had with Trump supporters. While that isn't enough to make the claim that misinformation is the sole cause of his election (a claim btw, that I have not seen made on this thread.. you are the one that brought it up), it does show me that its impact was greater than 0.
You forget that people gravitate towards what they believe in already. They aren't sitting there evaluation who to believe in based on the facts out there.
I agree, but it doesn't discount it either, it simply means greater than 0. Its not enough to draw a conclusion from which is why I haven't. My only claim is that critical thinking would lessen the non-zero impact.
EDIT: I had assumed this is what we were talking about, excuse my own biases, lol :D
Also, Clinton won women 54% to 42%.
I did a Google search (ironic, I know) for "Trump traitor gender" and I couldn't find columnists referring to Trump-voting women as traitors to their gender. Maybe I didn't look hard enough, but I think this illustrates the sort of problem we are faced with
http://www.chicksontheright.com/feminists-say-white-women-ar...
Perhaps that blogpost partially satisfies GP's assertion, but this little thread illustrates how difficult it is to fact-check political rhetoric, even in the absence of fake news.
Anyone who followed the election just a little bit saw plenty of that.
Here is another one that didn't take me more than one search either.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/republican-women-su...
If anything it proves exactly what I said.
In the interest of going forward instead of just arguing back and forth about sources, I looked for a few. Disclaimer: I am generally anti-feminist in my views. For reproducibility's sake, I used combinations of the following search terms: feminism, white women, trump, internalized misogyny, we need to talk, intersectionality. I also added tl;drs to each link but don't consider them canonical.
I didn't find enough posts outright calling women "gender traitors". I don't believe that is the most common feminist MO - they are more likely to blame "internalized misogyny" and "white women abandoning the sisterhood"(I guess that's close enough?), which are both long-standing narratives among feminism(feminists vs non-feminists, and the internal racial divide).
The rage I found was mostly on Twitter, feeding into my preconceived notion that Twitter is cancerous to actual discussion. Here's a quick twitter dump to illustrate:
> https://twitter.com/BDubBabyGirl/status/797128287206146048
> https://twitter.com/Karnythia/status/796350601449926656
> https://twitter.com/AnasuyaIam/status/796462867868512256
> https://twitter.com/NotYourBlkFrnd/status/796937029414096896
> https://twitter.com/TorraineWalker/status/796363979711021056
> https://twitter.com/MJStarLover/status/796246525647187969?re...
> https://twitter.com/NicCageMatch/status/796443880333811713?r...
> https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/796421710669115392?ref_...
> http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/nus-womens-officer-har...
-------------------------------------------------------
Past the twitter outrage, the articles I found were a lot more analytical and introspective. Like I said, the most common themes were "white women betraying the sisterhood", and women in general "suffering" from "internalized misogyny":
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLWv-hivjt4 - Women voting for trump are "fucking dumb"
http://forward.com/sisterhood/353945/so-um-about-the-white-f... - White women don't believe in feminism, they have "internalized sexism", they take comfort in playing the role of an object
(By the way, that last thing also happened vs Bernie Sanders voters, when Clinton supporter Steinem said women only vote for Bernie to make themselves attractive to "boys")
http://qz.com/835567/election-2016-white-women-voted-for-don... - white women have a history of betraying their sisters, white women choose men over women
http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2016/11/09/white_women_... - white women sold out the sisterhood (the one you linked)
http://www.advocate.com/commentary/2016/11/09/dont-blame-whi... - blame internalized misogyny, women just can't help themselves?
http://www.salon.com/2016/04/08/the_mystery_of_republican_wo... - more internalized misogyny (pre-victory)
https://bitchmedia.org/article/white-women-you-need-talk-abo... - "When the conversation started to slowly turn to blaming white women.."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/dear-white-women-we-mess... - Fellow white women, I’m done with you.
https://www.bustle.com/articles/194381-white-women-need-to-a... - internalized sexism
http://theslot.jezebel.com/all-along-it-was-you-1788758934 - White women care more about their privilege than their freedom to choose
https://www.bustle.com/articles/194493-white-women-failed-hi... - White women failed other women
https://mic.com/articles/159036/white-men-didn-t-win-the-ele... - the female misogynists who voted for Trump stood on the backs of others
http://reelgirl.com/2016/11/dear-white-women-who-didnt-vote-... - Dear white women, you fucked up
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/voices/2016/11/10/trum... - more internalized misogyny, women like patriarchy
https://dailyprogressive.org/2016/11/wtf-white-feminism-many... - Agreement with the Slate article
After conducting the search, I think that our internal narratives are easily reinforced by the bevy of media out there. Now more than ever it's important to be skeptical of "their side is worse", because the explosion of information availability makes it pretty easy to find negative views out in the open, especially ones that can make you very angry and emotional. That's pretty much the death of rational discourse.
Most of the stuff I found was analysis, or calls to action, not naming and shaming. Especially newspapers like the NYTimes, had multiple articles as CTAs to "stop shaming Trump supporters". A bit of a hopeful message going forward.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12841565
Someone is flagged & dead in this thread for daring to suggest that Meliana Trump might end up as first lady. Another (also flagged/dead) response called them a "poll truther" for that comment.
A lot of people want to blame "bad polling" for this, but they were biased towards Obama turnout numbers, which didn't happen, and ignored the fact that Trump was filling rallies and Hillary wasn't. Or how being viewed as a Trump supporter can be completely unsafe: See also:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2016/11/14/man...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNegGEoohK4
http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/trump-portland-oregon-protest-...
I know at least one family member was disowned by a friend of 11 years over this election.
But neither was the post saying "I have visions of Bill, passed out in a hammock on the White House lawn, surrounded by empties and cheeto packets." voted down, so that would tend to weigh against it being purely a matter of being a comment with no substance.
I'd say that it appears that people believed it was the type of political falsehood we're talking about here. I mean, it did say 'more than likely' so anyone who believed the 98-99% estimates should have considered it laughably false based on the evidence they knew. The other comment made a more specific, factual claim that couldn't be laughed off, though I saw many stories aghast that 538 would break ranks.
I can't find a source, but in part the consistency of the polls reminds me of the stories of how the measurements of some physical constant (g?) drifted over time because everyone felt beholden to the 'consensus' value, which was wrong. I wish I could find that, I think I saw it on HN a long time ago.
Obviously, it's 'safest' to use the same assumptions everyone else did. When 538 broke from the herd, a lot of people questioned them on it. Based on the results, they were at least 30+% more correct than the 99%ers. And I think all of them were operating on assumptions that have been invalidated.
I hope more institutions can look at viewpoint diversity more closely [2].
[1] https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/is-social-science... [2] http://heterodoxacademy.org/2015/09/10/welcome-to-heterodoxa...
But if you are implying that having a strongly-held political opinion is "bias", then I disagree. The idea that academics, or anyone else should be perfectly neutral (if that's your implication) doesn't really make sense.
Care to back that idea up?
Critical thinking isn't some magic sauce that once you learn it it allow you to approach everything with that.
You still need experience and to build up an intuition about where and how to apply it in a given situation.
Critical thinking is about as generalized as you can get. The definition google spits out is:
"the objective analysis and evaluation of an issue in order to form a judgment."
Im curious... when would you not try to apply critical thinking when making a decision?
A voter who doesn't have a job because of ex. globalization isn't going to apply the same critical thinking of a voter who is doing well and is benefitting from globalization.
We are all trapped by our frames of reference, no amount of critical thinking is going to change that and just because you know of critical thinking you aren't going to make better decisions.
Furthermore there are plenty of people who understand and apply critical thinking. What is really missing is constructive thinking but thats another thing all together.
In my opinion, we aren't there yet since there are huge disparities between education quality across the public school system. One solution (IMO) is to standardize funding; today school districts rely on local funding which can result in tremendous funding disparities (and by extension, disparities in education quality).
Pretending that propaganda and information warfare only affect dumb people is dangerous thinking.
The implicit solution you're suggesting would curtail the First amendment. That's a bigger threat to democracy than a misinformed populace IMHO. What we really need are annotations that are community driven. A "bs meter" if you will.
Edit: Corrected populous -> populace
1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_personhood#Legislati...
A law that prevents google algorithm to (not)take truthiness into account would probably be constitutional.
Updated accordingly, thanks for the correction.
Let's say identical articles get published in Huffington Post and Breitbart (since most journalism is reposting AP/Reuters/Youtube/Imgur/Twitter with a h/t at the end anyway, its not unbelievable.)
The HP article gets shared by the left-bubble and spreads rapidly. Now if The left-internet catches wind of a controversial Breitbart article, they attack. In left-internet the Breitbart article will perish, the HP, flourish.
Because there are 55 hundred million versions of the same article posted across thousands of sources, there are always variants of each story that exhibit each behavior in each community.
If Facebook/Google instituted a policy of denying ad payouts to fake news (assuming that could be reliably determined) then the problem would correct itself. Of course, content creators would argue that it's "entertainment" and that "no one really believes it" but that's another issue. :)
Story time...
The very first class I took in college was called Information Fluency, back in 2002. Among other things, it taught HTML and CSS (which I already knew) and then the professor did something really interesting for the capstone project, which was to have everyone create a fake website containing some big news and host it on its own domain (which weren't so easy to get back then). The more real-looking you made it, the higher your score. So you quickly learned to pay attention to little things such as copyright notices in footers, professional-looking logos, professional-sounding domain names, static pages for stuff like "organization history" and whatnot.
The best part though? As extra credit, the teacher sent everyone a list of ten links, which were either the fake websites created by other students, or real websites. If you were able to correctly distinguish the fake ones from the real ones, you earned the extra credit! So your overall score was a function of how well you fooled others, and how likely you yourself were to be fooled. :)
I got the highest score in that class. Mine was a website belonging to some fake space agency called Interstellar Space Sciences, and it was reporting on its front page that scientists had found trace of alien life on Mars. The story had fake citations from real people working at real organizations, as well as high-quality photos of what looked like the Martian landscape (actually Death Valley in California that I applied a reddish color filter to) and diagrams of organic molecules. I also had a "Contact Us" page where I listed my phone number, which several people actually called! For a period of three weeks I just answered all calls with, "Good afternoon, Interstellar Space Sciences, how may I direct your call?" and everyone fell for it, including some of my actual friends...
Anyway, I think my experiences in that class turned me into a super skeptic, and from then on I started to take all incoming information with a grain of salt, especially if it is reported in the news.
Only in some cases: consider how much money is spent on political advertising, and then all of the second-order work funding think-tanks, newspapers, magazines, TV networks, etc. to promote a particular viewpoint. I wouldn't classify Reason as a fake news source but they're an example of what that might look like. Here are their IRS filings from 2015 showing ~90% of their operating income coming from donations:
https://www.reason.org/files/2015-reason_990.pdf
What happens if one or two of their major donors decides this isn't the most effective way to support their viewpoint and they'd get more return at the polls by setting up a less ethical site?
How many Google Ads could you buy for $9M/year, and how quickly would that translate into organic page-rank? Now consider that Presidential campaign spending has been in the billion-plus range for awhile and ask how many activist donors would be totally comfortable dropping tens of millions for a couple of years to run a fake site if they thought it'd be more effective than a few more TV ads.
The concept has been weaponized already:
Russia and the Menace of Unreality: How Vladimir Putin is revolutionizing information warfare[http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/09/rus...]
The Challenge of Russia’s Anti-Western Information Warfare[http://www.diplomaatia.ee/en/article/the-challenge-of-russia...]
Same goes for weapons of mass destruction. Media just supported bogus claims of Bush administration to sway public support to invade Iraq.
Latest of all is ISIS - It's very hard to believe that American Military who monitors almost entire world failed to monitor a high risk area for such a long time that 30,000 strong army was able to train and arm itself to such an extent that they were able to defeat trained armies.
But the atlantic article itself reads like a propoganda.
There are ethnic russians who speak russian living as the majority group in a region called novorussia less than 150 years ago. None of that is false. Why not conduct a plebiscite there? These people will shit on India for kashmir or Israel for Palestine, but will turn a blind eye towards other areas. Propoganda it is too.
Take Novorossiya, the name Vladimir Putin has given to the huge wedge of southeastern Ukraine he might, or might not, consider annexing. The term is plucked from tsarist history, when it represented a different geographical space.
Then they link a yandex search for, what the context suggests, should be contemporary Novorossiya maps produced by Russian propaganda. But they seem to match this map, uploaded to Wikipedia five years before the Crimean invasion:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:RussianEmpireMap1800...
And it does look like southeastern Ukraine indeed. So?
I can speak about Kashmir and why plebiscite will not be a fair thing to do. Kashmiris now consists of Muslim majority as a result of systematic culling. This was not the case in 1970. With external support, an Ethnic cleansing of Kashmiri Hindus was carried out for decade and Media kept silent. In fact Indian Government itself was the culprit. In its policy of minority appeasement, they completely ignored mass culling of Hindu population.
A bigger issue is the radicalization of the 95%.
This is also not limited to the US, crappy fake and editorialized news that are as fact checked as a teenager's first date story is everywhere.
The example that really opened my eyes was the reporting in the NYT running up to the Iraq war, during which they falsely reported Saddam Hussain had large stockpiles of WMDs.
I'm not saying that mainstream media outlets report incorrectly at times - they do - but they are dragged over the coals for it, repeatedly. This new generation of Facebook-only news pages are so numerous that they are never called out loudly and clearly.
The most recent would be everyone getting the polls wrong by assuming Obama turnouts and ignoring the enthusiasm gap at the rallies. To his credit, Nate Silver realized we were just 'one normal polling error away from electing Trump' only to get attacked for not showing 98-99% odds of Clinton as you can read here:
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/nate-silver-huffington...
There's a reasonable range of disagreement. But a model showing Clinton at 98% or 99% is not defensible based on the empirical evidence. — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 5, 2016
The posts seem on the Facebook pages many people forward are knowingly incorrect. And they're not getting called out. It's a whole new ball game.
Anything you do to suppress information will trigger the Streisand Effect. Any censorship of it will be routed around because this is the internet.
The cure for bad speech has always been more speech.
A more recent media failure would be the Rolling Stone campus-rape article.
You're right – and it's a good point – that there are a lot of trash "news" sites being passed around on facebook that are obviously completely bogus, and no one ever bothers to debunk them.
But I don't see it as much more of threat to democracy than the sometimes-right, sometimes-pushing-an-agenda mainstream media we've had since forever.
When people rail against facebook (essentially a communication tool) "allowing" these fake news articles to proliferate, what they're essentially saying is people should only be allowed to share with their friends official "truth", as decided by some arbitrary third party.
That, to me, seems much scarier and like more of a threat to democracy.
So depending on how you define informed citizenry I don't think you are right. And I believe that way too much importance is being put on the fake news effect. It has nothing to do with why people voted like they did. If anything EVERYONE is living in a filter bubble and have been doing that since the dawn of man.
The voters who voted for Trump or Hillary were informed enough to make a choice because they voted on what they experience in their everyday. Thats the whole idea.
The idea isn't that someone dictates what it means to be informed (i know you didn't say specifically but you seem to imply something along those line)
News fake or not isn't what drive most peoples decisions and I would ask you to ask yourself if you changed your opinion on something that was you found out was fake. My guess is you didn't even when you thought it was right.
The whole idea with a democracy is that no one get to decide what is important to voters and so no one get to decide what they need to be informed about.
Politics about prioritization it's NOT an academic discipline. People who voted for Trump did so because of what they felt was important just like voters for Hillary did on her.
Who are you or I to say what information is the right information to judge based on?
For example, the climate change debate should be about how much effort to put into fighting it, whether regulatory or market-based solutions are more appropriate, etc. Instead, the debate is about whether it's even happening at all.
If we can't even agree on basic facts, what hope is there of choosing effective leadership?
You prove my very point. Your believe that the priority should be about how we should fight it. Thats your prioritization. You don't even have to be a climate sceptic to come up with another perspective which is. You don't need to worry about that, technology will solve it.
Agreeing on the basic facts has absolutely nothing to do with politics. Because even the basic facts aren't what drives politics decision making.
The problem isn't that people are arguing that "zero" is the correct answer to the question. The problem is that we lack a shared basis of facts, to the extent that about half of the electorate will say that the question itself is based on false assumptions.
There is not right prioritization here. Only the one people make. Thats democracy.
But there are right facts. And if the basis of someone's prioritization is "climate change isn't even happening, so of course we shouldn't do anything to fight it" then I think it's reasonable to call that position uninformed.
The problem isn't that some people think it's unimportant. The problem is that many people think it's not even real.
I.e. you can be as educated liberal as you want that does not mean that the facts you care about are more important than the facts som uneducated trump supporter cares about.
For a more political fact, Barack Obama either was or was not born in the US. People made political decisions based on whether or not this is true. For the argument I'm making, it doesn't matter whether or not it's true. It's that a fact is politically important.
If you're arguing that which facts are true is ultimately relative, I'm not going to chase you down that particular rabbit hole.
Perhaps what I'm saying is obvious and trivial to you, and we're speaking past each other.
What I disagree with is whether they impact the voters as has been claimed (not necessarily by you) and which I believe is the base of this whole thread here.
The critical thinking only help you based on your premise it doesn't give you the "right" premise IMO.
As for impact on voters: Do you think there were any voters that cast their vote in part on their belief whether or not Obama was born in the US?
Keep in mind many of the people who voted in Trump also voted in Obama.
1) There are facts.
2) Facts have an impact on voters.
The open question then is
3) The weight voters give these facts varies from voter to voter and fact to fact.
Is that fair? I can certainly agree to that. What do you think?
I agree that facts impact voters, but thats not really important. Whats important is which facts impact them.
I.e. the facts that a Trump voter cares about vs. the ones that a Hillary voter cares about.
I don't believe people voted based non-facts. They voted on the facts they know to be true and important to them.
I.e. I don't subscribe to some idea of a false consciousness.
My reaction is solely on the idea that people can't believe facts that aren't true, that they can't be misinformed, and that the news plays no role in misinforming them.
This goes back to
"Everyone in a democracy is informed, there is no such thing as uninformed voters per se...
News fake or not isn't what drive most peoples decisions "
The news is a source of information/facts for people. Some of those facts may be false, and people may believe facts that aren't true. People who believe facts that aren't true are uninformed/misinformed.
Perhaps a source of misunderstanding is I'm making little distinction between uninformed and misinformed, equating for these purposes misinformed and uninformed of the truth regarding a fact they accept. I do agree that people are subject to confirmation bias, fitting facts to what they believe more often than not. Jonathan Haidt's elephant/rider metaphor seems apt as well. This seems in line with your statements on how facts influence views.
I had to look up false consciousness. While I do think there are misinformation and disinformation campaigns (which is what some campaigning seems to be reduced to, nowadays), I don't subscribe to some purposeful, widespread, institutional, systemic propaganda machine. Some may argue that I'm likely just naïve.
By the way, I'm trying to reach some shared understanding. I'm not arguing for the sake of argument or just trying to argue against whatever you happen to say. I hope that's clear :) I don't think we're actually all that far off in opinion, if at all. Perhaps we're just prioritizing different parts of the equation.
Thanks for sticking with this by the way, and remaining civil. I'm sure you've noticed as well how off the rails a lot of these discussions can go.
Anyway yeah I think we are agreeing more than disagreeing.
My original point is just an objection to this idea that if only people were better educated we wouldn't have people voting for Trump. Thats not whats actually said but it's in there between the lines.
The reality is that we all have our different perspectives and are all right about things and wrong about other things.
That you are well educated and have learned critical thinking does not make you a critical thinker and that you are not less likely to be misinformed just because you are better educated and have learned about critical thinking.
In some ways although it might be a stretch I would argue that being aware of critical thinking makes you more likely to venture outside areas that you know about because you believe that your critical thinking is going to save you.
If this election underlined something once again for me it is that being educated and understanding what critical thinking is doesn't make you immune for that misinformation.
Evidence that this meets any reasonable definition of many voters? Even in the states that flipped, the numbers aren't such that mathematically many (or even any) voters need to have switched that direction. There's probably some, but I haven't seen any indictation in any source that suggests substantial numbers.
So, yeah, I'm sure there are some Obama/Trump voters, but I haven't seen a coherent case that there are a lot, just generous application of the fallacy of division.
Besides, mere facts are not enough; any decent writer can spin the same facts as positive or negative.
That is absolutely an editorial bias on the part of a search engine and Blekko was pretty up front about it. Similarly health queries would land on actual medical doctor written web sites rather than "fake" medical information sites.
But this is the thing, we would get complaints that we were "suppressing the truth" because conspiracy theorists and alternate medicine devotees would argue we did not provide results in line with their notion of the truth.
You can't really argue against that point of view, while you can disagree with it, a person's "ground truth" is often unique to them and their social circle. Thus if you want to serve your customer you need to support their desire to see the world through their own lens. But if you don't know who your customer is you can't really predict what their lens should be (that old "don't collect data on me!" principle which Blekko also followed). It makes for an interesting place to be.
That said, since Bing manages to weed out the fake news sites apparently so in that regard they have a higher search quality score than Google on this query. And websites that use their index benefit from that as well.
Should Google, Facebook and Twitter turn into clickbait-vetting institutions? No, we should educate citizens instead to make better decisions and I don't mean voting for Hillary makes you an educated voter just because someone said so.
[1] This discussion is borderline ridiculous. Would we have this discussion if Ms Clinton had won the election? I doubt it. The DNC should do some introspection, stop asking how did we lose this election and start asking why did we lose this election, accept in democracies upsets happen and stop this insane witch hunt and get their shit together because we entire world is going to need them.
I was told several times that Snopes is a liberal/democrat operative and has been proven to be wrong in the past. When requested, I was never provided with cases where Snopes was has been wrong. I was also told that PolitiFact.com was started and run by the Clinton campaign.
These "news" articles got even worse with the Podesta emails. It's easy for the blatantly false alt-right sites like InfoWars to make up stories and then these click-farming sites run those stories with even more sensational headlines. This was the case I saw with the "Spirit cooking" and claims that the Clinton camp was really a pedophile ring (using an email chain referencing kids in a swimming pool as "entertainment" as proof. In context, the emailer was someone speaking of bringing their own 3 kids to the party)
I don't know if these people were tricked, or if they were willfully ignorant because these "news" stories mad them feel justified in their preexisting hatred of all things democrat, liberal, and Clinton.
People who should know better STILL believe that the reason Clinton lost is that she really is "corrupt." "She is corrupt because of the email leak." The emails I read seemed extremely banal ("Should we be bad and get a latte?"), even inspiring in some cases (Chelsea communicating about the Haiti earthquake response). I never saw anything concrete that made sense to me come out of that, and I spent a good amount of time looking into it, including reading through the text of emails which had been cherry-picked as being supposedly "damning." Getting together with "elite" people is not in and of itself proof of corruption: how could she do her work as First Lady, Secretary of State, and Senator, without that?
Ranting about "corruption" is one of the tricks of demagogues. Just read this Wikipedia article and tell me that is not a spot on description of what we are witnessing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demagogue
It is so, so very tragic. People have still not realized what has happened. People are calming down when they should be panicking. The implications of this episode, just for our prospects of surviving Climate Change, are tragic.
Edit: words
But it's dangerous to generalize. I know a lot of older people who are incredibly technologically savvy and younger people who only care about the narcissistic and quick-consumption facets of technology.
This doesn't apply to all older people, of course. But on aggregate, I would agree with you.
The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution,
nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively,
or to the people.
To what extent the Federal government has or has not encroached upon States' rights has become a partisan issue in its own right, these days.Chesterton's fence strikes again.[0]
The electoral college addresses a real issue, and "the electoral college is a ridiculous system" is not an argument for removing/replacing it.
If you want to see the electoral college replaced or reformed, you need to at least demonstrate that you understand why it exists in the first place.
Hint: it's not because they weren't aware of the simpler "winner takes all" approach with the popular vote.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Chesterton%27s_fence
The real issue it (along with the 3/5 compromise, the structure of the Senate, and the limited term explicit protection of the slave trade in the original Constitution) addressed is that, in the early US, slavery wasn't all that popular in the states that were more urbanized and had economies and value systems that supported growth in the enfranchised population, so the system had to be skewed to protect the masters in the disenfranchising states for theme to feel secure in their "peculiar institution", even if that meant sacrificing the ideal of equality even among the enfranchised citizenry.
The 3/5 compromise was used to calculate the population-based component of governance, and at any rate, is no longer used so completely irrelevant today.
I gave more details is this response: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12969671
The electoral college was created as a part of the three fifths compromise. In order to get southern states on board, the framers needed to find a clever way to count slaves as population without letting them vote. Three-fifths plus the electoral college let them do that. It's an ugly hack that should be patched.
And don't give me any of that "republic" crap. As if anyone has any idea who their electors are, or cares. No voter honestly thinks they are selecting an elector qualified to relay popular opinion to the government. They're voting for the president.
The EC was imagined in an era where people thought the government would be more a federation of states than a central government. That is not what we have today. The system does not make sense in the current context.
Maybe you'll play the "regional interests" card. Sure. Is it any more fair that a minority candidate can be elected by the less populous states, rather than having a majority candidate elected by the more populous states? No. It's a facile argument that falls apart with any examination.
Given the poor modern justification for the EC, and all of the negative externalities it causes (election of less popular candidates, voter suppression and apathy in partisan states, etc.), it deserves to be abolished.
The electoral college is not racist, either. The 3/5 compromise of course came into any situation where population was considered (including the electoral college), as the country still had slavery at the time. We no longer have that compromise: blacks, women, men without land, etc. can all vote in 2016.
Abandoning the electoral college would just weaken the States, and if that's the plan, we might as well abolish the Senate too—it exists because of the exact same principle.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_College_(United_Stat...
> In Federalist No. 39, Madison argued the Constitution was designed to be a mixture of state-based and population-based government. Congress would have two houses: the state-based Senate and the population-based House of Representatives. Meanwhile, the president would be elected by a mixture of the two modes.
a) There is a structural imbalance in how the electorate is represented, especially considering congressional district gerrymandering (not directly related to the race for President, I know, and ...
b) People are in shock that a racist and a demagogue has been elected as President and searching for confirmation that a majority of our fellow citizens do not in fact believe in the reprehensible and Un-American values which Donald Trump and his rise to power represent.
The more the Electoral College diverges from the popular vote, the better case you can make for changing the system. And on the other side, if somehow the counts were wrong and the popular vote did favor Trump, that would greatly undermine the argument for reform.
If I live in California, I'm less incentivized to show up for the election because I think of it as a lock. Obviously I should still show up to vote elsewhere on the ballot, but I may not because I won't influence the election.
If we were measuring by popular vote, turnout would be a lot higher and the outcome would, likely, be a better representation of the country.
The electoral college distribute power, to some degree, based on geography. Geography is correlated with a large number of other "diversities" of American culture, from race, population density, to industry, to global warming risk, etc... Switching it to a straight majority would take power away from all of these subsets of society.
This election, it seems, it was "white rust belt" Americans that decided the election. In Gore vs Bush, it was Florida. Next time, it will be something else. It's all highly imperfect and somewhat random, but I see danger in solidifying power in what essentially will be people who live in cities.
In Gore vs Bush, it was Florida.
No, it was any state that Bush won. For example, had Gore won his own home state of TN, FL wouldn't have mattered. But any state shifting to Gore would have been enough. > when in fact, more people wanted the other person
The whole point of the comment you replied to was that you don't know that - can't know that. People voted under the current system, we don't know what their voting behavior would have been if the voting system would have been based on popular votes! For example, those in states where the winner was always clear from the start might have gone voting instead of staying at home, or they might not have voted for a 3rd party. It's not like the popular vote is 70%/30%, the total difference is far less than a single percentage point.And Trump does have a mandate. The system is at it is - it has been like that since the very beginning of this country. I may not agree personally, but he won, and I really don't see any positive point in attempts that try to reinterpret the result. Remember, some day the roles may be switched.
If anything, I think the current system suppresses the vote. I'm in a red state so my vote never counts.
Obviously it's too late for any change to the electoral college to affect this election. But we could know this in the future. You make what you measure and we're measuring the wrong thing.
Agreed. For most of us who wish to change or abolish the electoral college, the fact that people feel (mostly accurately) that their vote doesn't matter, and therefore don't participate in the electoral process, is the primary problem we would like to address.
To me, it seems that the people that should be pissed are the ones in swing states, since the winner-take-all nature of the EC means half of those states are completely un-represented.
Can someone point me out as why Americans differentiate republic from direct democracy? I reckon than in most of the world these words don't mean opposites. Republic means just "not a monarchy/aristocracy" where I live, and I reckon in most of the world.
(This is a genuine question, maybe there is a reason for the American usage of the term)
No, if there's an elected representative government, it's generally a representative democracy. Even when (as in the case of the UK) it's also a Constitutional monarchy, and so not a republic of any kind.
A direct democracy is one where voters vote directly on issues rather than representatives who make decisions on issues; basically no one thinks the US is like this, though many individual states in the US incorporate some degree of direct democracy via initiative and referendum.
I think it would be more accurate than your formulation to say "We are a federal republic with a very loose approximation of representative democracy, but most people think we are, or at least should be, a representative democracy (which would still be a federal republic, but also a democratic republic.)"
The US was created to be something like the EU: a confederation of states.
Everyone intuitively understands that Luxembourg and Malta need to have protections in the EU so that Germany and France don't always get their way. The only way to achieve this is to have some disproportionate representation for the smaller member states.
In the US we have become much more centralized since WWII and FDR and now we seem more like a regular country with a unified power structure. But the system we're built upon is still designed for a group of largely autonomous states.
Well, as much as is possible given the 13th, 14th, 15th, and 24th Amendments. But they also need to understand that the Electoral College was designed to reward disenfranchisement (which it still does) and protect slavery (which, at least in formal terms, it no longer does.)
The electoral college was indeed intended to ensure representation for all of the states, but it is definitely not working the way it was originally designed.
The original design assumed that the voters would vote for electors by name (i.e. the electors' names would be on the ballot, not the candidates' names), and the chosen electors would exercise independent judgment and vote for the candidate they thought would be the best president. We know this is the original intention, because the people who designed the electoral college wrote about this at length.
When some states started putting the names of the presidential candidates on the ballots instead of the names of the electors, James Madison and the other people who designed the electoral college were very unhappy about it. They felt so strongly about it that they proposed amending the constitution to require that ballots contain the electors' names rather than the candidates' names.
When electors are bound to vote for a certain candidate, it's clear that the electoral college is not working as it was originally designed.
If the elecrotates choose Trump, the electoral college will have failed its final test.
Abraham Lincoln with 39.8%.[0]
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...
If Google really wants to organize the worlds information and make it usable for everybody, they have to make sure Google news is a news source you can trust. Pagerank is not going to cut it.
A couple of suggestions:
- prevent less reputable websites from showing up for political queries at all
- ignore articles with headlines in ALL CAPS
- work with a dedicated team of editors, like politifact, to give websites an honestyrank
- be transparent, show honesty rank in the search results
Any other ideas?
source: run a legitimate news site built on Wordpress.
I thought the "news" results were supposed to be at least vaguely curated, and weren't just another way to show results from the entire web. How did 70news.wordpress.com end up in Google's list of "news" sites?
Edit: actually, it's still there if I use a desktop browser. It's on the main results page, but in the "in the news" section, not just in the main results.
What can Google do to prevent this from happening?
Actually very little. A strong argument can be made that market forces dictate people want their false opinions confirmed, and if you fail to provide that they will stop using your service.It is really no different then losing trust. If you assume a service as a bias, like say promoting an agenda you disagree with. You may start using that service less and less. Google combats this with individual search preferences. So it's search results rarely leave your internet safe space.
If you promote a honesty index you lose this safe guard. Suddenly search results will challenge people's opinions, and they may stop using the service.
- Stop censoring searches based on political party
- Stop working directly with political parties
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-01/wikileaks-reveals-g...
It's really sketchy of zero hedge to suggest that. Reading another article of theirs shows the same pattern. Leave the reader to make their own incorrect conclusions without providing any context. The article I'm seeing shows them quoting Putin who says that the west should allow for open discussion on all issues, instead of cracking down on his propaganda networks operating in the west. What hypocrisy! Russian media is one of the least free in the world! Zero hedge just lets him have the final word on their article, the reader left nodding his head in agreement with that Putin who tells the west how it really is. Disgusting.
It turns out that PolitiFact is run by people who have their own unconscious biases and put their own thumbs on the scale. So now what?
Of course, people who don't want to hear the truth -- most Trump supporters, in my experience -- will deny reality or will try to undermine it in non-truthful ways.
As a matter of fact, there are several other honest fact-checking sites besides Politifact. It would be somewhat interesting if these disagreed with Politifact's judgments, but they don't.
For example, I don't think they touched the claim that Trump has a secret communication channel with Russia, even though Clinton repeated it and demanded the FBI investigate it. (It was actually an entirely ordinary bulk email server sending out ads for Trump hotels.) A lot of people still seem to believe that one and think the FBI's rejection of it is proof they were conspiring to elect Trujmp.
Either way, it's certainly true that Trump repeatedly praised Putin, quoted Russian propaganda, disbelieved US intelligence about Russian hacking (it might have been an obese guy in a basement) and did nothing to disprove his links with Russia. This included being too scared to show his tax returns, which hasn't happened since Nixon.
At least when you elected Nixon, you didn't know he was a crook.
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/sep/...
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/sep/...
Putting aside sneering, though: let's assume for the sake of argument that PolitiFact really is neutral. And Google hires them to put a trustworthiness rating next to news search results. How many days pass before $YOUR_LEAST_FAVORITE_POLITICAL_FORCE realizes that PolitiFact is a single point of failure and starts scheming to influence it? Put it another way, they may be neutral today, but that's hardly a guarantee they'll be neutral tomorrow.
Doesn't work like that. Politifact takes a consensus of people who are experts in the topic, and its answers are subject both to peer review and to corrections from outside sources.
> Do you think that sneering at people who have an issue with PolitiFact is going to win them over to your side?
I'm damned sure that neither facts nor rational arguments are going to win them over, because they have been conned by a pathological liar. And as I pointed out above, he's a liar who has been supported by a lying alt-right media.
They live in the same sort of truth-free alternate reality as the whackjobs who believe in con-trails, think the moon landings were faked, believe Obama was born in Kenya, and don't believe in evolution.
As the judge in the Trump University fraud case pointed out: "victims of con artists often sing the praises of their victimizers until the moment they realize they have been fleeced".
And who decides which experts get to join the consensus, and which outside sources that proffer corrections should be listened to? You're dreaming if you think that a single-point-of-failure institution like this can ever be immune to the equivalent of regulatory capture.
> I'm damned sure that neither facts nor rational arguments are going to win them over, because they have been conned by a pathological liar. And as I pointed out above, he's a liar who has been supported by a lying alt-right media.
Yeah, see, that's the thing. We started at "We need a neutral, unbiased source of fact-checking!" and have reached the conclusion of "Because that'll help stick it to the people I hate!" In which case, one wonders how much "neutral, unbiased" was ever in the cards in the first place.
A lot of them are academics. They're not bozos dragged in off the streets. The approach isn't significantly different from how science works.
> In which case, one wonders how much "neutral, unbiased" was ever in the cards in the first place.
Spare me the bullshit. Facts are still facts. There's absolutely no rational way to pretend that Trump isn't a pathological liar.
I'm sure that would work fine : https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/785299709342654465
edit: by "manual", I only know what it was like on the news outlet side. You had to fill out a form, provide a real address and phone for contact info among other bits of company info, and the wait was several days if not a week. It felt like the process one goes through when a human has to verify the info, like an iOS app.
I know since I run a site that had similar scenario.
What if the real news list chooser doesn't like a certain website, so they black list it?
Isn't trying to control this unintentional or maybe even intentional censorship?
If someone else gets to decide its censorship.
In this case the publisher is reported as a "fake news site" but I would argue that any publication that cites sources that are not thoroughly researched and fact-checked should be considered a fake news site.
Huffington Post does this all the time- they link to their own articles and other sites' opinion pieces to make points and pass them off as legitimate fact-based sources.
The Trump bubble has to burst eventually and I think the American's that voted for him are in for a rude awakening when it does. I just hope the fallout doesn't bring down too much of the country.
Except that is it something that happens via automation rather than through methods listed in the book. Still the book is a good read if just to get acquainted with how one can manipulate media in this day and age.
They also have a bug with the interpretation links to snopes.com that has been reported to them[1]. I wonder if that affects any other site? I would doubt it would be just one.
1) after filling out their form on news.google.com, I posted here https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12384851
Though ironically it's now been bumped to second by the WaPo article about it.
Google does (in light gray) mention that there's still 20 electoral votes to account for. It does not, however, give any disclaimer to the very precise looking "popular vote" count[1], which will change significantly when those 20 EVs are finally accounted for, and change again if[1] more counting occurs. A whole lot of arguing is going on over that popular vote, which indications are actually puts Trump ahead even though Clinton is authoritatively presented by Google as having more. No major site is showing Trump having the 306 EVs which he will undoubtedly have; the stalling at this point is getting suspicious.
[1] - To clarify: the USA presidential election does not establish a winner from the straight count of all voters. Since we are the United States, voters in each state vote in their jurisdiction, the state decides how to handle the results, and then each state submits a set of votes (weighted by population in a way to ensure low-population states aren't invariably washed out by a dozen major cities elsewhere). We don't necessarily complete the vote count because, mathematically, there comes a point (usually) where the remaining votes simply don't matter (say, candidate T is ahead by 200,000 votes and there are 100,000 votes remaining to count) because the allocation of the state's electoral votes are provably complete (and because counting every vote usually gets pretty messy at the end; look up "hanging chad").
Also, consider Google often tries to answer questions based on text from high-ranking results. So while final election results may get you the Knowledge Graph section, asking a specific question about the election results may inadvertently cause Google to source it's answer from a bad link like 70news.
Here's one:
http://heavy.com/news/2016/09/keith-lamont-scott-charlotte-n...
Entirely cribbed from real news sites' coverage when it's not just innuendo. And yet when the news is fresh, Heavy.com is almost always at the top, beating out original coverage and even sites that do it much better (DailyMail comes to mind).
I get that prioritized placement of proper nouns in the headline and page title can boost SERP, but this is ridiculously effective SEO-gaming, the likes which were mostly stopped when Google's Panda was thought to drastically hurt content farms like Demand Media [0]
Even the article the WaPo screenshot, which is the very first link for "clinton vs trump", is just fluff:
http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/popular-vote-clinton-trump-hil...
The first 3 lines:
> There are millions of ballots that haven’t been counted yet from the 2016 presidential election. How many? The New York Times estimated on November 12 that there are 7 million uncounted ballots in the country.
How is this beating actual URLs to live poling data that have Clinton vs Trump in the title?
[0] http://searchengineland.com/google-panda-update-costly-11206...
Software engineers are smart- software engineers who work for Google and FB especiallly so. It isn't inconceivable that they, and the people they know, are smart enough to see right through fake news, and that the idea that anyone can be fooled by fake news is probably absurd to them.
Unfortunately in the real world, many otherwise normal, functional people just aren't equipped to do basic fact-checking.
Just yesterday, I got a forwarded fake news meme from my uncle, about a woman who had 11 babies[^]. My uncle, in his 50s, is a college dropout and of above-average (though not stratospheric) intelligence. He is simply not equipped (along with many others I know) to deal with a world where hostile, greedy and mischievous actors are working to shape their reality.
This is an example of where some diversity would help improve tech. The monoculture at the top seems to have isolated the industry from its customers and their intellectual weaknesses.
[^]It happened to be a Whatsapp family group, so I was able to see the story and tell him it was fake...my FB feed is already filtered to hide that sort of junk.
Should we expect less from the internet?
For those downvoting, read at least this:
http://nypost.com/2016/10/12/how-the-washington-post-killed-...
What is the baseline?
Also, these were clearly-identified opinion pieces. Fake news doesn't identify itself as such.
Nonsensical beliefs and faulty reasoning are deprecated (and ideally not represented at all) in any well informed clear thinking venue. Here that manifests, quite sensibly, by the downvote.
And any meritocracy would eventually eliminate nonsensical views entirely.
So the problem comes when a political movement harnesses nonsense while clear thinking people have systematical eliminated it entirely from their discourse. And after that movement's unexpected triumph, the clear thinkers try to understand what happened.
A hard problem I would say.
In other words, serious reporting (as opposed to opinion pieces) treated lies as though they were truths. This could only be considered harmful.
There has been quite a lot of discussion around this. See, for example:
The Death of 'He Said, She Said' Journalism http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/09/the-deat...
Big lie, little lie, and the media’s role in telling the difference http://www.cjr.org/criticism/trump_birtherism_lie_media.php
It’s Not Too Late for the Media to Fix Its Election Coverage: A final plea for sanity in how we report on Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. https://newrepublic.com/article/136848/its-not-late-media-fi...
There's also the issue of false balance (Edit: which is the point of your links, actually, so I'm just stating explicitly). I think the media, in an attempt to appear more unbiased, has been more giving air to statements which are misleading or arguably not true. Politicians have noticed this and taken advantage of it. (This is independent of actual bias in the media.)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/our-first-ame...
[1]https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/79783222980005068...
Yup. A lot of media organizations endorsed Clinton over Trump.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newspaper_endorsements_in_the_...
I've been (admittedly amateurishly) looking for research on media bias. Research is limited by its methods, and researchers hold opinions, results can be subject to confirmation bias, so this whole area is difficult for the every day person to sift through.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Media_bias_in_the_United_State...
I find it hard to believe that no bias exists, and I think a lot of journalists try to be objective, with varying success. The question to me is how much bias there is, how we can keep that in mind, and how we can agree on some shared understanding of facts.
It's also in the interest of these organizations to support the First Amendment. Hard to ask them to be against — or even neutral — the First Amendment, just as we'd expect for any business to support aspects of the Constitution or law that are in their own self interest (regardless of whether we agree with it).
It's also in the interest of Americans in general for strong First Amendment rights. It has broad support across parties. This kind of nuance doesn't fit easily in 140 characters or support the easy "us vs them" characterization.
Pretty hard to endorse Trump, given that he's a crooked racist and narcissist, a sexual predator, a pathological liar, and wholly unqualified for any public office. Given what he said in his speeches, not many companies would even hire him.
As a result, even Republican newspapers broke with tradition and endorsed HRC, except for one Las Vegas paper owned by one of Trump's backers.
> I find it hard to believe that no bias exists, and I think a lot of journalists try to be objective, with varying success.
There's a strong bias towards getting the truth reported, which is why the leading newspapers have trained journalists, fact checkers, subeditors etc, plus ombudsmen to handle complaints.
If you have the facts then you can argue about causes and solutions, and you might have (say) a more Democratic or a more Republican approach to those. Those opinions may involve denying at least some of the facts, but people generally choose the outlets that suit their own opinions.
The problems start when news outlets no longer care about facts, like Fox News, Breitbart, Drudge etc. Fox actually argued in court that it wasn't obliged to tell the truth because it was an entertainment channel.
The only thing I'll turn to these corrupt giants now is weather events. Can't slant those in any way. We need to break up the 6 corporations that control our media, ASAP.
Sadly, it's even worse than it sounds, because now even the alt-right websites can't tell the truth. For an interesting short piece about this, see the final section of "Donald Trump broke the conservative media" (1). Quote:
One of the chief problems, Sykes (2) said, was that it had become impossible to prove to listeners that Trump was telling falsehoods because over the past several decades, the conservative news media had "basically eliminated any of the referees, the gatekeepers."
"There's nobody," he lamented. "Let's say that Donald Trump basically makes whatever you want to say, whatever claim he wants to make. And everybody knows it's a falsehood. The big question of my audience, it is impossible for me to say that, 'By the way, you know it's false.' And they'll say, 'Why? I saw it on Allen B. West.' Or they'll say, 'I saw it on a Facebook page.' And I'll say, 'The New York Times did a fact check.' And they'll say, 'Oh, that's The New York Times. That's bulls---.' There's nobody — you can't go to anybody and say, 'Look, here are the facts.'"
"And I have to say that's one of the disorienting realities of this political year. You can be in this alternative media reality and there's no way to break through it," Sykes continued. "And I swim upstream because if I don't say these things from some of these websites, then suddenly I have sold out. Then they'll ask what's wrong with me for not repeating these stories that I know not to be true."
(1) http://uk.businessinsider.com/conservative-media-trump-drudg...
Edit/insert:
(2) "Charlie Sykes, a popular conservative talk show host in Wisconsin"
Yeah, no. I see the dung heap in front of me, I don't need conservative click bait news outlets to help me.
Ok, what's wrong with that? If that site/blog post has gained more traffic, social signals, backlinks, etc. etc than it's "competitors" shouldn't it naturally be top ranking?
Which is moot point until someone can scientifically prove the person who's calculations showed Hillary losing the popular vote are indeed inaccurate, correct?
It's like googling "moon landing date" and the first hit is a page that sincerely argues "the moon landing never happened."
And that's what I am confused about. Isn't google suppose to the show the most popular result based on a set of criteria?