Hacker News Reader

The day before the election, Nate Silver took a lot of heat from the left because he rated Trump's chance of success as being much higher than most other prognosticators. The day after the election, he took a lot of heat from the same people because he didn't rate Trump's odds highly enough.

View on HN

This has been fascinating to watch.

Conjecture: before the election, liberals wanted reassurance, so he took heat for not being reassuring enough, afterwards they wanted someone to blame for their shock.

Also relevant: people (other than gamblers) have no sense of what 70% means, so they round up to "Hillary".

Reply on news.ycombinator.com