The raw numbers seem to disagree with portions of this analysis. Clinton is looking to have received 6M less votes than Obama in 2012, and 9M less than in 2008, while Trump matched Romney / McCain vote totals from the same periods. This wasn't some raucous turnout by voters who hadn't been voting, spurred by overtures by Trump. It was a refusal to turn out among traditionally democratic voters -- many in states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where they were asked to vote for a politician who they could directly trace back to NAFTA and a significant inflection point in the stability of their homes, families, and towns.