Why Do Millennials Hate Groceries?
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I love Costco too, but our apartment is too small for storing lots of bulk food items. My wife and I dream of having a bigger kitchen, pantry, and chest freezer someday.
When I was single I was averaging about 250 -> 350 a month. But I offset this by buying chicken in bulk at 40LB increments and that usually lasted me several months.
For two right now I'm average about 700 to 800 a month. I have a number of food allergies so ingredients or restrictive. The other half is as close to organic as possible.
I'd say the biggest contribution to the price is moving off farm sourcing. I don't have the time right now to process 40lb of chicken, or several cases of produce.
I'm working on getting better numbers, since it seems like a lot too, especially when I think about what I'm eating: toast for breakfast, leftovers for lunch, simple dinners. I'd really like to know!
Also that it seems like nobody has more than about three days of food in their pantry. My mother still puts up hundreds of quarts of canned vegetables every summer out of the garden, freezes enough other stuff to fill an entire full-size freezer, then they buy half a beef-creature from the farmer down the hill to fill the other freezer. And usually a couple hundred pounds of potatoes. There's probably enough food to keep them alive for two years.
Driving to pick up dinner each day would be just tedious.
Certainly there were moments when I worked at Google that I was like "Why do I bother going to the supermarket, when I get 10 meals/week at work and can easily Instacart the rest?", and it was really just force of habit that kept me shopping. But now that I'm doing a startup, I appreciate having habits that keep my burn rate low - my in-laws recently looked at their food budget and realized that "Oh, the reason we're not saving any money is because we eat out every day."
A better question is why we still have food warehouses that would be better operated by robots than people.
As a high-earning hyper-urban techy millenial (Brooklynite / software engineer) who doesn't particularly enjoy cooking, I'm wondering where the value proposition for groceries is when I can order from a huge variety of nearby restaurants, who will deliver hot, cooked food to my door every night for about $20/meal.
Considering there tends to be zero food waste with this option, I'm not sure I'm saving money by shopping for food, especially when I assign a value to my free time, which I like to estimate at half my hourly rate in calculations like this.
One roommate now will only eat with us if we add up the cost of ingredients and charge him fairly. Many of our dinners cost only a couple dollars.
Pasta with marinara sauce and dinner rolls: 1.33 / pound pasta, 1.80 jar of sauce, rolls 0.13 each. Serves 3-4 people for $5. 15 minutes (limited by water heating).
Tacos with guacamole: $3 pre-made guacamole, tortillas 0.5 / 12 pieces, beans 1.20 / can, salsa $2 / half bottle, tofu 1.5 / block, cilantro 1 / bundle. rice ~$1. Serves 3-4 people for $10. 20 minutes (lots of tasks, have to cook tortillas).
I won't break it down, but I can do a nice sushi dinner: various rolls, cold tofu, inari, miso soup, for 3-4 people for about $15. 45 minutes (lots of tasks).
In any case I can feed three adults for about ten dollars and 2/3 of an hour of my time. Usually there are enough left-overs to make a nice lunch for myself.
I enjoy eating out, and do so about once a week. Before I got married I ate out a lot. I would spend about $900 per month just for myself. Now I make an effort to cook dinner 6 days a week and spend a total of about 800 per month on food for both of us.
If I save approximately the same amount cooking vs eating out, but it takes me the same additional amount of time to cook (again, assuming you don't enjoy that), then as my income grows the smaller the savings become as a percentage and the larger the monetary value of a given amount of my time becomes worth.
For instance, pre-made guacamole, if it's actually made entirely from real avocados, is more like $6 where I'm at if you want enough to feed 4 people multiple tacos each -- so twice the price you're quoting here.
My general food purchasing scheme is to attempt to only purchase the foods I can get at the best prices. If I am shopping and see a 10 pound bag of organic carrots for less than $5 I will buy it and have lots of carrots that week. For example: carrot salad, egg-rolls (carrot filling freezes well), soup, or stir-fry.
I can always buy tortillas for about 3-4 dollars for at least 6 dozen. I freeze them into one dozen stacks and defrost in the microwave until they can be teased apart and finished on a pan.
Some of the best deals I get are at Whole Foods. They often have very good sales on frozen foods. Otherwise I get foods at Costco, a local family market, and Trader Joe's. In the summer I occasionally go to a flea market to get specialty items and seasonal produce.
A jar of $1.80 pasta sauce around here is probably going to be more closely related to ketchup than real pasta sauce.
> tofu 1.5 / block
Hm. You clearly have much better food prices than I do in general, I guess.
Everyone can always opt out if they're willing to drop enough things. A trivial way to opt out is to commit suicide. But are other ways too, such as moving into the wilderness and trying to make it there on your own. And that's comparatively much "cheaper" in poorer societies, since there is less to give up.
For instance, whereas in Medieval times serfs might have ran away from their lords and into the wilderness in order to avoid law and taxes, the majority of present-day criminals are found and captured in their own towns, while disgruntled citizens consider themselves to have little option but whine when it comes to taxes.
"Late stage capitalism" does indeed produce enough goods and services that people have the option of opting out. There's some pretty neat survivalist gear for sale nowadays. But they never really do.
That and to your last point is what I was thinking about. It's harder to "opt out" of a subsistence farming existence than it is to opt out of a society where you have access to time- & resource-saving technology that enables you to multiply your abilities, as well as basic necessities at a price that allows you to have disposable income.
That's one of the gripes I have about some of the faux-sustainability crowd: it's not sustainable if it's predicated on a USD$100,000+ income.
From a societal evolution standpoint it's been selected for extinction and we're keeping it alive because... why again?
One reason is because not all fresh goods (e.g. produce and meat) are created equal. Hand selection of those items is part of getting the most value our of your food dollars. You can likely overcome many of the other issues; price comparison, new product discovery, etc.; but you're still left with the inconsistency of items that come from dirt.
You do realize that many places have these things called seasons? I do have a farm stand just down the road from me which has excellent (albeit a limited range of) produce in August. January? Not so much.
We're just not the agrarian society that would be conducive to providing "hyperlocal produce / butchers".
High quality food delivery is certainly possible. From what I've seen of Instacart delivering from Whole Foods, it works pretty well. But it's a premium service and isn't available where I live.
I'm not going to say it's necessarily more complicated of a problem -- I chose the word "complex" purposely -- as it mostly just simplifies down to being more training data for the AI produce picker (or what have you), but it sure seems like the failure rate would scale up rather quickly in real world scenarios. That would just lead to waste we wouldn't otherwise have.
Or maybe I just prefer to pick out my own produce. It could go either way, CV isn't my field.
Either way, handling pantry goods in this way doesn't sound particularly unreasonable.
Many, many millenials aren't as fortunate to have a high-paying software engineering position like yourself.
For them, $20 per dinner every night is simply impossible.
If the price of not making that grocery run for 3 years is "I get to do a startup without permission of investors", would you still do it?
I do. I have a list, so I'm pretty much on auto pilot in the store. This is 45 min that I can let my mind just shut down. Completely analog, no screens, no job, no worries. Nothing. Just walk the isles, load a cart and scratch a list.
> who doesn't particularly enjoy cooking, I'm wondering where the value proposition for groceries is when I can order from a huge variety of nearby restaurants,
If you don't enjoy cooking, then there really is no value proposition. Unless you think you may get to the point later in life where you wish you'd saved a bit more money. But you're young so you're still bullet proof.
> Considering there tends to be zero food waste with this option, I'm not sure I'm saving money by shopping for food...
With proper meal planning and preparing, there shouldn't be waste. But again, you don't enjoy cooking, so that's the hurdle.
Considering my company provides breakfast and lunch, the high price for dinner isn't that bad. Also on weekends we're usually not home to cook, which increased the probability of wasting groceries we didn't eat during the week.
As millennials without children and good jobs who don't enjoy cooking, there isn't any reason to spend the time planning meals, renting a car and going to the grocery store on the weekend when I'd rather be doing anything else. If I lived in a smaller city, where I had a house and a car without an app that delivered healthy food, then it would have to change, but thats a boring life.
I'm disappointed when it costs more than $10 total to feed my family of 5 a hot cooked meal. 1.5 lbs of beef, 2 vegetables, and a few cups of milk is ~$10. This will increase as my kids get older, but God I can't imagine spending $20 per meal per person on food. Plus, the kids get to help see how the food is prepared, our oldest (7) can help cut veggies, everyone can help set the table, and best of all we know every last ingredient that does (and doesn't) end up in our food.
I assign a value to my free time too, and preparing fresh meals with my family is pretty damn valuable.
Cooking at home after with all that just reminds me that I'm not cooking with a family or whatever. I'd rather go sit next to strangers and have some human interactions with people who aren't Millennials working in tech.
http://www.forbes.com/forbes/welcome/?toURL=http://www.forbe...
http://www.guidingtech.com/13245/youtube-channels-learn-basi...
It will take some time to learn, and some epic failures, but within a few weeks you'll be making great food you can't wait to eat!
I guess so, relative to ordering cooked meals and groceries on line. But it's not quite binary. Any hunters and gatherers on Hacker News?
LOL.
That only works when you are choose to use that free time earning at that rate. Otherwise you are simply using mental gymnastics to validate your choice (which, since it is your money and your food, certainly does not require validation from others).
You can write off those last 30 minutes of work a day as the part that feeds you but ultimately you're spending over the odds for food you could have made yourself.
No robots yet but I hope that's not far off.
Honestly I feel almost guilty when they roll up to the deliver the groceries.
My local store uses Rosie for online shopping and states that only advertised specials are guaranteed to have the store price.
hmm, sure is a lot of energy waste though for every meal delivered.
Maybe in downtown, but I don't think the millennials who oppose grocery shopping are all clustered around areas where electric bike delivery is available. The would seem to be a very small representative subset.
I've tried grocery deliveries. Invariably not everything you want gets delivered. Produce and other fresh items may not be as good as you expect. Maybe if I had Instacart with Whole Foods but then I'd spend more and it's not available where I live anyway. Lots of people aren't quite as adverse to getting up from their computer.
I'll caution against drawing an equivalency between a lifestyle of eating take-out/delivery food vs. cooking (cooking, not heating up boxes of stuff) food you prepare at home.
In the former approach, you take what shows up. You can only control what you order and where you order from. In the latter approach, you can control what's going in to about as great (or little) a degree as you care to.
YMMV of course.
It claims that more people are eating out. But it may be that as income disparity increases, restaurant prices go up for the people who can afford to eat out. That would lead to an increased amount of money going into restaurants, even though the same number or even fewer people are eating out.
"So what’s the real story here? Yes, Millennials are shifting their spending toward restaurants and bars and away from grocers. But it’s not an unprecedented shift. They’re simply returning to their mid-aughts levels of restaurant spending."
"The big story here is not that young people are uniquely turning away from groceries. Rather, the story is a structural shift toward eating out at restaurants, among Millennials and their parents (and perhaps even their grandparents)."
I suppose that technically-speaking a Walmart (or Target) is not a "supermarket." But that seems like a distinction without a difference in terms of making statements about how a given demographic is moving away from grocery shopping.
ADDED: I don't like doing grocery shopping at Walmart in general because of generally sub-par meat, bakery, and produce. But I still use one to pick up packaged groceries simply because it's a bit closer than my nearest regular supermarket.
What if there was a mobile(not cellphone) grocer that frequented locations where people might consider buying from the grocer?
A grocer truck (like a food truck) could frequent train station parking lots as designated times allowing commuters to shop a couple of days' groceries. A grocer truck could frequent central locations in a neighborhood at designated times to allow residents to walk up to the truck to purchase groceries.
Upsides:
grocery when you need it without trips to the supermarkets
purchase less but more often than a once a week trip.
convenient location and timing to do grocery shopping
no parking hassles if the model is a walk up to purchase groceries.
downsides: limited choice (can be mitigated if grocer has a mobile app)
limited supply (again if there is an app and you can preorder the items are kept aside for you for a limited time before being sold) Perishable items cannot be set aside indefinitely.
limited pick up options (grocer can field location requests and can add a location if there is enough demand for it)
All this might have already been tried but I don't know of it. What other downsides do you see apart from the fact that some people would rather order from a restaurant than cook? This would not be for those people who don't want to cook.
The station near my work has three "supermarkets" within 50m of the entrance, catering to three different price brackets. There's nowhere to park, they sell very little other than food[1], and they only provide baskets -- they don't expect people to buy more than they can fit on a bicycle. They're open every day, from 7-22.
[1] They sell detergents and so on, but you can't buy a TV or a pair of jeans, or a huge box of anything.
The first problem would be a kind of rendez-vous game [0]. Given the available information, seller and buyers have to choose their location such that they maximize the likelihood of finding their couterpart. Whereas people might think "Oh! Don't mind if I do!" if they see an ice cream truck, that's much less likely with groceries. Generally, people walk into a supermarket with a general idea of what they're going to buy, if not with an outright list. If the seller has higher costs of moving around than his customers, he'll just pick a place as a fixed permanent position at or near his warehouse (a.k.a a "store") and make it known so that customers might come to him. An ice cream truck, on the other hand, will just move to where the crowds are.
The second problem is that grocers seem to compete on variety and price. While you could sell a large variety of products from a truck, you'd be able to get a higher return on your dollar if you increased scale (suppliers might give you discounts, for instance). So a fixed shop could offer as much variety as truck, but at a lower price.
If I was less broke I would go out more and maybe splurge at Target sometimes, and buy more stuff on Amazon so I don't have to carry it. But the 'neighborhood' Walmart has produce so-- I think actually they should count Walmart and Target as grocery stores.
Exceptions are dried spices, household goods, and oils which I buy in bulk. I did hate the time in line, effort etc. But also allowed me to check out for a bit.
Now I dread it, and do most of my orders through FreshDirect. I'm sort of in a food desert. There are two grocery stores two miles away from me. There are buses that run every 1.5 hours, and take 40 minutes to get there.
I hate it because I generally have to walk. It burns about 2 hours for me. I have to carry everything back in a backpack. Uber/Lyft is 30$ per trip. It's a bigger problem for impromptu meals. Or oh I need this but forgot about it.
The other night I wanted a salmon filet over a salad. I went to the store all the ingredients together was 22$. The pub next store has a salmon entree for 15$. Sometimes the value propositions are skewed.
Firstly when I was in the city, I didn't track my expenditure but would say I was spending more. This was in part because of a smaller kitchen and fridge. Because of the smaller kitchen there was less space to get items in bulk. The fridge didn't allow much meal prep. I'm the type to usually devote one day to cooking out of the week. But at the same time, I cooked more often due to convenience.
Secondly I feel like food prices are going up. My diet was very simple meat, produce, yogurt, protein powder. Those prices have stayed relatively flat. But when I started shopping for my girlfriend. It seemed like bread, soda, chips, etc. had gone up. I almost had sticker shock, when I went to get soda.
I'm also curious about the ramifications of living space. The millenial is often slated to be living in more urban areas. Where the kitchens often are not the best. I'm not asking for a Viking or Subzero range, but less than 10 minutes to boil water would be nice.
My apartment in the city had a Kenmore induction range. A piece of chicken on that took about 6 minutes to cook. My kenmore gas range at my house took 2 minutes to cook chicken. The cooking process was much quicker.
A number of my friends also don't know how to really cook. I'm not trying to be mean, but we're also seeing a proliferation of meal in a box busineses. That ship recipes to you. Is it ease of delivery, or ease of preparation? It was pretty much jumping into the deep end when I learned about my food allergies. Learning how to really cook, then figuring out how to substitute items.
Taking this back a step. I grew up with tv dinners, around the weeknight sitcom. I know alot of people who grew up this way. A shift from family dinner, where at X time dinner was on the table and the family gathered around. Is there also an underlying shift to eat and be entertained?
I love cook. I love preparing a delicious meal for my family. We're foster parents and currently have two under three, and I know they're too young to really appreciate it, but I love preparing colorful, delicious meals for them.
One thing that really helps me at the store is a list. I have a wiki set up on our home server where I track menus for the weak and recipes for those meals. I also keep a copy of the grocery list. I print that out, scratch out anything we already have on hand, and take that to the store. Makes it all really simple and easy.
Once you have a dozen or two meals that the kids will eat and the parents enjoy, you can mix and match those and also rotate in some new ones to try. But you'll always have that base, so when that hectic week happens, at least meals won't be an issue.
I've been trying lists with Trello, Alexa, or the ShopRite app because I either forget to print the list, or the printer is out of toner, or I can't read my handwriting because my only free time was 2am and I couldn't see straight anyways. There's no elegant and complete solution out there that works for me yet.
My menus look something like:
October 21, 2016
* [[recipe1:recipes|Recipe One]]
* [[recipe2:recipes|Recipe Two]]
* [[recipe3:recipes|Recipe Three]]
* [[recipe4:recipes|Recipe Four]]
* [[recipe5:recipes|Recipe Five]]
* [[recipe6:recipes|Recipe Six]]
[[ShoppingList20161021:lists|Shopping List]]-----
October 14, 2016
...
Now, I can just click to pull up the recipe and or shopping list.
Recipes can be cut and paste from websites or a picture taken with phone from one of my cookbooks, etc.
I can cut and paste recipe to make new menus very simply or I can just copy entire menus with shopping lists; just need to edit the date.
Oh and I have a vpn running, so if I do happen to leave my list, I can still get to it.
My point is, millennials are young; young people don't cook. This isn't a big surprise.
The line right under the title says: Because they prefer chips from CVS and going out to restaurants. And, increasingly, so do their parents.
Honestly, I start thinking about the grocery store model and wondering if it needs to evolve.
Obviously, this doesn't apply to fancy restaurants, but it seems to me that due to economies of scale there should be some class of budget "eating out" offering that is actually cheaper than if you were to make it yourself.
The parts of the food chain that enjoy economies of scale are in raising, harvesting/slaughtering, preparing, distributing, and cooking the food. Plating the food and bringing it to your table has no economies of scale, good service has diseconomies of scale, and dishwashing has only mild economies of scale.
There is a category of food - store-bought prepared, grab'n'go, and fast food - that actually does move the cooking to the institution, and these foods aren't much more expensive than prepping them yourself (certainly cheaper when you count the cost of labor). You have freshness & selection limitations on them, though: since non-refrigerated food goes bad within an hour or two after being cooked, they're limited to those items that can move in sufficient volume that at the scale they're being cooked, they'll sell within an hour.
I suppose you're right that "fast food" might be cheaper, but it's so unhealthy. I would think some business offering rice, beans, lentils, teeeeny bits of meat, cheap but fresh vegetables could still come in cheaper than preparing food yourself, provided they don't have to wait your table or anything. Maybe they only offer one or two meal options and it's somewhat pre-cooked.
Incidentally, in markets where there are a fair number of health-conscious yuppies, you do get healthy fast-food restaurants, eg. Loving Hut in SF/BayArea. I hear Portland has a big food truck that scene that's somewhat similar.
Not to mention cost of the land, building, and repairs which are "free" in your own house because you're already paying for it.
By better I mean there are so many solutions to explore (the following two came to the top of my head):
1. Amazon style - buy & deliver quickly local marketplace (the local chains could easily compete as they'd have to maintain quality and price)
2. Uber pool style delivery - a truck that goes around delivering (with some kind of mobile app / website that has real time information on it's stock and the ability to reserve items @ a premium)
I understand that going to a restaurant is no better, but at lease I can call ahead, pick up the food and leave.
But this story reflects two universal truths about culture.
First, many cultural changes for which Millennials are
initially blamed really reflect broader trends affecting
even the oldest consumers. Second, many cultural changes
are really reversions to old norms.>The big story here is not that young people are uniquely turning away from groceries. Rather, the story is a structural shift toward eating out at restaurants
>So what seems to be a strictly Millennial trend is in fact part of a much broader cultural shift.
Sigh. At least you didn't write "for all intensive purposes".