Stealth Boat the U.S. Government Won't Buy or Let Be Sold Abroad
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
This really bothered the USAF, because it was way ahead of military radars of the time. So there was a patent secrecy order, and Airadar disappeared. It was decades before such radars became common.
Smart organizations co-opt innovation if it surpasses their own knowledge and technology.
Most larger yachts that are built for rich people seems to cost around this ballpark, and for them I would expect that no new technology has to be integrated from scratch, in to the core design (as in: motors, geometry of the hull). Exceptionally ugly boats, like Venus built for the late Steve Jobs claim to cost $100M!.
With a innovative new concept, I expect a lot of individual systems to be prototyped, scrapped, reworked. Let alone the effort needed for designing this thing. This is a startup with 20 People (17 of them now being layed off) operating for several years building a SHIP.
Anyone having numbers for typical effort/money/time/headcount spent in designing and building novel boats?
Custom job - designed by marine architect and customer. Custom hull, and mostly off the shelf running gear, big Cummins in each hull etc. Passagemaker, goes anywhere other than ice pack, huge range - they did a Pacific crossing a few years back without a refuel.
It took a team of 20 on/off (they work on a dozen or so boats concurrently), lots of calls and meetings, and cost about $2.5m all said and done. One would assume the shipbuilder made a decent profit. IIRC it didn't require much tweaking after sea trials.
The materials tend to be the cheap bit, it's skilled labour and design that costs you.
So we have $9M left. There's a pair of 2000 shp turboshaft engines, something like the GE T700, costing around $2M total. Probably another $2M on drives and supercavitating propellers. Then there's all sorts of other equipment like radar, navigation, hydraulics etc. with $5M left. So I'm not sure it's entirely unreasonable.
But probably they're reporting a cost that's representative of what these would cost if someone went and ordered 10 of them.
Only because you've been desensitized by years of F35 budget overruns.
Without all the BigCo overhead you can build single prototypes with much less money.
The government shouldn't be forced to buy any type of military technology someone creates. But even if the government won't buy your tech, it still can be dangerous in the hands of other countries.
One could argue that if the government is preventing you from selling your tech abroad - there should be some sort of compensation for this. Others could argue that's just the cost of being in the business of weapons manufacturing.
According to the article, it simply rarely pays up; it's a shame they don't go more into why.
You can say that your product is worth $1bn until you're blue in the face, but there won't be any evidence of that without any buyers.
One reason for this turns out to be that if the agency settles, it comes out of their budget, but if the agency loses in the Court of Claims, it comes out of a separate Treasury fund for claims against the Government.
However given that the constitution is widely ignored by the US government today, with full support of the court system, it is unlikely that the constitution will protect anyone.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copyright_Clause
They've turned it upside down and made it protect the state instead. The constitution does not grant this power to the state.
People seem to forget what the constitution is, the Constitution grants government its power, if the constitution is silent on a matter than the government is suppose to be powerless, is not suppose to engage in that activity.
This means a whole host of things the government does, should be unconstitutional, but sadly the courts have interrupted the constitution to include powers it does not contain.
Well, sure, you could argue that, but that argument justifies every rule that exists now or might in the future.
Export controls are there to prevent killing machines getting in the hands of a countries enemies (or potential enemies in the future)
1. You live in the US
2. You believe the US government is moral and "good"
3. Any "enemy of the US" is evil
3 assumptions I am not willing to support
It isn't about believing your government is moral or good. Its about understanding that your government is responsible for the safety of citizens, and that your enemies will want to kill you (or at least kill your soldiers).
I would be much happier with US strategy if the discussion always began with metaanalysis of the motivations and origins of a putative enemy, with the focus on social and humanitarian means to prevent the formation of new problems.
Does it have any enemies?
Would you be upset if some local corporation sold breakthrough military technology to that enemy?
Yes the US has Enemies,
No I would not be upset is some local corporation sold breakthrough military technology to that "enemy"...
I lived through the first cryptowars, I do not have the desire to give the government that kind of power
I see the resurgence of the new cryptowars on the horizon, government can not be trusted to choose what information should be public and what should be secret
But you don't really need to assume any of that. If you just assume that spreading military tech is a net negative, then this is good. I don't support the US's use of drones, but I especially don't want other countries to have drones. I don't support the use of nuclear bombs, but I certainly don't want other countries to have them. Whether the country is good or not, I think advancing military tech is at best neutral, and at worst very, very bad.
Better stop using that GPS as well, and about 1000000000 of other common everyday technology that was created for military reasons.
The internet started as a ARPA research project, the fact that it is used by civilians today is not relevant to the conversation
You stated that "I think advancing military tech is at best neutral, and at worst very, very bad." GPS and the Internet are 2 prime examples of Military Tech has that massively improved the world. Nuclear Power being a 3rd, I can cite 1000's of others.
In practice that isn't, umm, practical. Consider the Falklands war - Argentina had Type 42 destroyers sold to them by Britain, and Exocet missiles sold by fellow NATO member France.
Reasons cited for control: NS (National Security), MT (Missile Technology), AT (Anti-terror).
I wanted to buy a new rifle stock from the USA, but apparently since it's over US$100, it's a controlled export (firearm component). It's a damn piece of timber with a couple of holes in it!
Apparently I'd need an export certificate to get it out of the USA, which of course requires stacks of paperwork. No issues getting it into New Zealand though, no restrictions at all (I think magazines and receivers are the only parts that require import certificates).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_Shadow_(IX-529)
The rumor was that the Navy didn't like it because the crew size was too small and no officer would want to be in charge of it as it would impact promotability. Also, Lokheed was not a traditional Navy supplier.
Congress didn't like it because it was too cheap. The best way to secure funding is to make it large and complex and involve as many congressional districts as possible.
Proof that Congress, as a whole, is as corrupt as we usually think it is.
Perverse incentives, sure. A poor use of funds, yes. Corruption, not really.
My guess is that he's blowing smoke on both the capabilities of the ship and the interest from other countries.
Just demilitarize the thing and sell as a billionaire's toy for the confidential getaway from the swimming Versailles of a superyacht you already have. "The dinghy? Yeah, it was so advanced the Navy did not know what to do with it so I got it on the cheap", I imagine it would make a great conversation piece.
Edit: I might be basing my mental model of billionaires too much on the writings of Neil Stephenson though..
That sounds about right.
I would also add that it may indicate that it has a very limited payload capability and very limited speed for its size. The Juliet Marine Systems' marketing brochure mention their Ghost achieves speeds above 30 knots, which in practice indicate that its top speed is 30 knots. That's the speed of a Zumwalt-class destroyer.
Meanwhile, the US Navy's littoral class ships have a top speed that goes above 50 knots, and the US navy has an assortment of small fast-attack crafts whose speed reaches 80 knots.
In fact, fast attack boats designed decades ago typically reach speeds above 40, and nowadays there are several military transport ships that reach higher speeds.
Qatar? Maybe since they have oil money.
I see this as a good thing.... IMO the protection patents provide are over rated in the first place (unless your a patent troll) for companies that are actually making something.
Of course it will not stop the State Dept from using ITAR to kill your business.
>Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) has weighed in on Sancoff’s behalf.“It doesn’t seem right for the U.S. government
What does not seem right is the US government can issue secrecy orders in the first place... That is what does not seem right. That seems like a clear 1st amendment violation to me.
I guess anti-air applications you can imagine this should be fine.
Also, after watching the video, it doesn't even look like it presents a closed Faraday volume through the windshield (there's usually a wire mesh with a specific transimpedance measured with conformal antennas). It looks like somebody made an angular catamaran, slapped "stealth" on it, and is surprised they don't get an exemption as an arms manufacturer and that the Navy isn't interested in their design.
LO is hard work - the compute time and LO stack up costs way more than the 15 million. And did this company take a scale model and do a full LO radar test out to 40GHz? Did they do field trials?
Some people actually DO that work, and it's hard and expensive. You can't just slap 'stealth' on things. I mean even the coating lifetime in production volumes in a sea-salt atmosphere is, by itself, a serious problem. Just... Ugh.
Alternatively, leave the boat and move to one of those countries and set up shop there.
I think the real lesson to be learned, never do spec work.
> Alternatively, leave the boat and move to one of those countries and set up shop there.
While this might allow them to sell the boat to somebody it might also get them in trouble if they ever plan on coming back to the US.
> The Navy and the U.S. Department of Justice declined to comment.
ITAR decisions are made by the State Department. Why not ask them?
Compensation sounds ridiculous.
In Holland there was a strain of bird flu created. I would have not been opposed to the government stepping in.
Nuclear proliferation is another obvious example.
You state that there are civilian applications. I would say that that is irrelevant. :-) I don't even know how to start addressing that argument. Is it okay to develop potential dangerous tech as soon as you can earn money with it through civilian applications? And why is it not possible to destroy the stealth boat and keep the "supercavitating pontoons"? Is there some dark tech-karma that requires a bomb made for every pill?
Or their goal from get go was to be able to become a defense contractor/supplier ?
[EDIT]:Just saw the video again. The primary goal indeed is to cater to the defense segment.
They already have a contract for similar with one of the regulars - Northrop or Lockheed or whoever. The project isn't going too well but they're not about to concede defeat, although they came close a few years back. Once in production they'll want US allies to buy from the same supplier for interoperability and profitability reasons, so will block the sale of the "wrong" product.
I mean, it's the only rational explanation - otherwise it'd be a no brainier to buy his boat.
*According to this one guy, who owns the company, by the way.
This is very likely a big part of this guy's problem. Either the tech isn't as good as advertised or he's unwilling to sell. Maybe he doesn't think he'll get fair value, I don't know. Now, one could argue that it's unfair that we have a system that forces the little guy to sell out to the big guy, but that's a different argument.
"the government served Sancoff with secrecy orders, which meant he wasn’t allowed to show the patents.....to anyone"
This pretty much makes the patents a trade secret now..
They can't order an Icelandic company to do anything, even if it happens to have American shareholders. And even if manufacturing is done in the US, the most they could do is seize the ships, and there are stronger protections for that.
The State department handles this, right? I suppose that's why defense companies like Lockheed Martin donate a lot of money to certain political campaigns.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/English_Electric_Canberra
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_B-57_Canberra
(This traffic went in both directions: for example the British Army's AH-64D Apache Longbow gunships are built by Westland.)
These regulations were written by very smart lawyers specifically to avoid any clever hacks (aka loopholes) like this.
ITAR is unconstitutional on its face, sadly the courts have upheld it.
Phil Zimmermann and MIT Press showed everyone how to get around ITAR, 1st amendment trumps all
Information should be free....
But this would make the US-American individual coming up with the ideas (the "intellectual property") export it to a foreign nation. Which is exactly what currently seems to be prohibited by putting a secrecy order on the patents.
> They can't order an Icelandic company to do anything, > even if it happens to have American shareholders.
This company then better not employ any American engineers.
That would be an export.
[1] e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_dVkeh7wUm4 - the boat at the start is about the same size.
But the secrecy order is a separate matter.
Second, what makes drawings suddenly less worthy of compensation than a single prototype? Don't they have value?
Third, it's not like the rules suddenly changed here. He knew the rules going in, and he built something he couldn't sell. That's a failure to find a market. Your idea opens up a scam of building impractical, yet dangerous weapons for government compensation.
EDIT: If its only dangerous.
But even under current laws, if you make a new drug the government must go through a process to make it regulated and classify it. It is not automatically illegal.
By default all things are LEGAL until they are made ILLEGAL, not the other way around. The one exception to this is Medication, where in order to claim it treats as specific illness it must be approved by the FDA to treat that illness, the drug itself if not illegal per say, it just can not be proscribed by a doctor to treat X until it is approved to do so.
Further even in the regulations of Dangerous drugs they do not prevent someone from finding a market in other nations for them. There are a whole host of medications that have been not been approved by the FDA that are sold in other nations.
Why would one do that, there is no law agaist making a boat, it is criminal to make a nuclear device.
Thus your argument is not only a Straw man but a moronic one at that.
>>>In fact I would expect to be thrown into jail without even seeing court.
Really? Then I feel sorry for the world you want to exist in. Even if you did build said nuke, I would expect you to get Due Process, but charged under the criminal laws of the land, and be held to account by a Jury of your peers
To believe the government should have the authority to throw you in jail with out trail is extremely dangerous.
Apart from that there is a lot not criminal, but highly suspect:
+ 200W laser: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUoe-9bKa0 + machine gun on quad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SNPJMk2fgJU
Regarding the court it's definitely not expressing my opinion, more like extra spices on the rant :) In case that wasn't obvious.
Danegeld.
Stealth means you show up on radar like a 15ft skiff (in the case of a ship) or a seagull (in the case of aircraft)
a seagull flying at Mach 1+ :) ... I know, i know, it is about distance you can detect the "seagull" from, not about classification.
I find the Gerald Bull story fascinating, definitely worth reading for anyone unfamiliar with it.
Now they want taxpayers to pay for their failed bet.
One way out of this for Sancoff is to have The Russians™ hack his computer system and "steal" all his secrets, they'd have to pay in Bitcoin or that other one that launched yesterday, what was it? Zcash.
Also, he could sell the rights to the movie in a couple of years. From his Russian hideout.