Can payments persuade Canadian residents to move away from dying villages?
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
(Actually, the article is not that long, but the title is clickbait)
I thought the reason was going to be related to the increment of sea levels, as villages near the coasts will surely be affected sooner than later by the constant floods in the coming years. Anyway, I agree with the sentiment of the people mentioned in the article, it is not clear when the Canadian government will pay that money, some people with houses near the coast are retired, they just want to live a peaceful life near the sea, they don't want to relocate, so it is logical to think that this strategy of the government to offer money to leave the place will not work, at least not very well.
To me, saying "The Canadian government is doing X", is a statement about the activities of the Federal government. The use of the definite article implies singularity. A provincial government is not the Canadian government -- it's one of many in a federal system.
It might in some narrow sense be technically accurate to rewrite the headline "Texas Urges Court To Ban Enforcement Of All Federal Pro-Transgender Restroom Policies In Workplaces" to read "the US Government Urges Court To Ban Enforcement Of All Federal Pro-Transgender Restroom Policies In Workplaces", but it's misleading to the reader and drops a lot of important context. It leads to an impression of a much broader situation than actually exists.
This whole insane dispute was whether you could refer to the actions of one Province as being a program run by "The government of Canada" without hopelessly misleading any sane person into believing it was a federal program. You simply cannot. It's a massive misunderstanding of Canada's governments to think otherwise. On Provincial matters, the provinces are wholly independent and asinine pedantry about minuteau of how constitutional devolution of powers to states or provinces works doesn't change that.
The very country we're discussing here, Canada, does.
Federalism is not a uniquely American institution. Canada is a federal state: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_federalism
States (like all governments) don't have rights, they have powers. And those powers are usually detailed in the state constitution.
The federal Constitution limits the powers of states, assigns certain roles to the states, and reserves certain powers to them (or them and the people together), but generally the powers of the state are defined per state by the state's own foundational governing documents, just as the powers of the federal government are in its Constitution.
[1] Shelby County is a local government, a devision of the state of Alabama under the Alabama constitution. Holder is an attorney general, an employee of the federal government and, importantly, not an elected official. Suing the prez is a very different ballgame.
Then states all thought they could control what marriage meant (again, see above :-)), until they were again overruled by the supremes. I know there are rules and precedents, but I find it murky and mostly a political football (half the country is for states rights to trump the things they like and against states rights for things they don't like).
And the government of Newfoundland and Labrador is neither a part of, nor a subset of, the Canadian federal government. As recent as the 1949 it was an entirely separate country. It is a latecomer to the Canadian Confederation.
America is not unique in its federalism.
> Canada is under a single sovereign, with the provincial governments being smaller pieces without absolute authorities.
This is completely incorrect. In point of fact, Provinces have more power than the federal government (and, in practice, more power than states do in the US). Section 33 of the charter devolves power to override the federal constitution or acts of the federal parliament to provincial legislatures. This so-called not-withstanding clause effectively grounds British-style parliamentary supremacy at the provincial level.
Name one indictable offense unique to any province.
Name one indictable offense that has force in another part of Canada but not one or more provinces.
There is a real difference between the sovereignty of a Canadian province and a US state. In Canada the federal government has substantially more legal authority. Actually, a better way to look at it is that a province has a lot less authority.
Possession of Marijuana in BC vs the rest of the country.
Um, that is my point. All of Canada is under a single constitution and, technically, one Queen. The US has multiple constitutions, at least one of which (MA) predates the US federal. Find a Canadian province with a constitution allowing it to ignore actions of the national government, ignore without separating. I can cite dozens, hundreds of areas where US states can tell the feds to take a hike. In the community of nations, that is strange.
What about social services? We have public health care in Canada and seniors are the most expensive. Plus, with no industry where are they going to get medication and food? And it's not all seniors, the person in the article isn't leaving because he scared he won't be able to find work elsewhere.
So they also have a bunch of non-seniors they have to support as well. And no industry for them to participate in, whereas elsewhere in the province they could contribute to the economy and pay taxes. Instead of just being an economic drain on the state.
There is a reason the province decided it would be more economical to offer them money to leave than paying for the services for them to stay.
My point related to seniors was related to the increased medical care costs required for remote poorly serviced communities. They don't even have a fire department...
A tiny group can just burn garbage, or whoever is serving that town that's an hour away can have their truck spend 2 hours every other week to come pick it up.
It's not your decision. The collective system collapses if everyone is given the choose to opt out. Canada isn't going to let people suffer and die along in the woods without help just because they signed an opt-out form. Nor will the country allow seniors, who control most all privately-held wealth these days, to stop paying taxes because they want to live off the grid. Everyone is connected and everyone is expected to participate because when it hits the fan, everyone rushes in to help regardless.
I've had this discussion on countless climbing/skiing adventures. A person's choice to walk into the wilderness does not mean the government can abandon them to their fate once things go wrong, no matter what they say about not wanting help.
This a pretty strong argument against social services. These people who have paid their share into society are now being to forced to move because it's convenient for the government.
For perspective, draw a line between Vancouver BC and Alaska. 800km and you cross 2 connected roads, one of which being the highway to Whistler. Note all the unconnected little towns along the way. Those are the areas at issue.
https://www.google.com/maps/@50.8144629,-123.3765517,7z
Regardless of funding, there are practical limitations. Nobody could ever deliver something like 10-minute ambulance services to every resident. There probably aren't enough ambulances on the planet to station one within ten minutes of every Canadian. And a good number of those would have to be airborne. Roads are not the norm for much of the north.
There was a lot of petty crime committed by bored young people. My grandmother was punched in the face by someone prowling around her work at 6am in the morning. A cop was murdered, etc.
Apparently the town is doing better now as a tourist location for rich people; it has a beautiful lake that is heavily polluted by an upstream paper mill and dairy farming, but it was sad watching it slowly decay a little bit every day.
It's still probably a good test-case for that soon-to-be-more-common situation.
They're probably gonna be dead soon anyway.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalapana,_Hawaii
https://www.buzzfeed.com/mbvd/lava-approaches-homes-on-hawai...
Seems kind of daft to make it all-or-nothing AND set such a high bar. Why weren't the 85 residents who wanted to leave allowed to participate on their own, taking the money and leaving those 10 trolls behind to enjoy living in Nowheresville?
1. status quo
2. pay 85 people to relocate, keep paying to provide services for 10 people
3. pay 95 people to relocate; 10 of them really strongly do not want to relocate, but force them to do so anyway
4. pay 85 people to relocate, leave ten people to the wolves
None of these are very appealing.
From the viewpoint of the residents it will be a 25% tax cut (ballpark estimate) in exchange for the stoppage of all essential services, hardly a fair deal.
It also sounds like the federal government is spending money to support the area - instead of spending taxpayers money on growth (churn) perhaps a rebate on their federal tax as well.
Most governments won't ever do that, because it effectively means allowing a independent nation in their lands.
For example: I am from Brazil, and I am most certainly paying in taxes much more than I get in services, police is unreliable (even simple calls to emergency number because I saw shady shit, never worked, sometimes it didn't even connected at all), fire department is also unreliable (more than once they REFUSED to come, and I had to figure on my own how to handle a fire, once this resulted in half of the trees in my yard getting killed after some asshole made a huge debris bonfire on a empty area outside my house), my family purcahsed our own telephone cables and lines (literally), we purchased our own asphalt, we rely on private security, I was 100% privately educated, my health insurance is "private" (it is a private business owned by the Roman Catholic Church), electricity belongs to a private company, our military suck (in fact, I wasn't allowed to join the military when I signed up when I was 18, with the official stated reason being: Lack of money to purchase basic training equipment).
So... what I am paying my taxes for? Taxes in Brazil are about 38% of someone income, on average (I actually pay more than that, according to my calculations my family pays about 60% of our income in taxes).
I would gadly move to a place with no public services + no taxes, to me this would be 100% profit, since right now I have no public services but still pay taxes.
____________
P.S.: I haven't downvoted you.
please, do not confuse anarchy with absence of political structure. if people invent a structure and voluntarily agree to follow its rules, this is anarchy (in fact this is the definition of 'anarchy'). when some group within the people invents a structure and forces others to comply with it, this is government. unfortunately the term 'anarchy' has been abused and its original meaning has been long lost.
P.S.: thank you for not down-voting, but rather explaining your point of view.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resettlement_(Newfoundland)
I'm looking through the government's publications to try to understand this better. Does anyone here know if the relocation assistance includes any help relocating the community intact to a new location, or are they simply being paid to dissolve the community and leave? It would be interesting to see these folks all given neighbouring properties in a city so they can hold onto their social capital together.
http://www.ma.gov.nl.ca/faq/faq_relocation.html http://www.ma.gov.nl.ca/publications/relocation/Community%20...
"The Government Game": http://www.wtv-zone.com/phyrst/audio/nfld/02/game.htm "The Blow Below The Belt": http://www.wtv-zone.com/phyrst/audio/nfld/07/blowbelow.htm "West Moon": http://www.wtv-zone.com/phyrst/audio/nfld/01/west.htm
"To a place called Placentia, well, some of them went, And in finding a new home their allowances spent; So for jobs they went lookin' but they looked all in vain, For the roof had caved in on the government game."
"Now they're scattered like dried leaves from hell to high water..."
A few of them are trying to re-center around tourism, but the most successful ones I know are attracting small tech companies. They offer a lot of support, and free / cheap office space, and it seems to work quite well.
I wish I had seen many of these small towns when the fishing industry was thriving. They are beautiful places but they're just a shell of what they used to be. So many abandoned homes, businesses, stages. If you've got FU money there's plenty of cheap oceanview property.
It's sad really. The Marconi Tower is there. Some of the earliest settlements in North America were founded in Newfoundland. It's one of the most beautiful places on Earth to boot.
If you visit you can still find traces of the abandoned communities. Most would just float their houses towards the main island. Some were left behind. It makes for an interesting hike.
Some people out there love it. Generations going back to the 1700's have made their life on those islands. I think some portion of the population will refuse no matter how much is offered.
What I don't get is WAY more expensive in places like London, Hong Kong, New York and San Francisco but I don't hear as many complaints or alarms going off in those areas. Why? Is this just me being oblivious?
Some places have been very expensive for generations, so it has been normalized.
No one complains about NY, London, HK real-estate because it's already understood to be expensive in the mainstream.
But Toronto real-estate being expensive is relatively new such that you have people who grew up in Toronto not being able to afford it in adulthood.
People are slowly realizing that TO is now just another global city out of reach to the middle class unless you make heavy comprises. Give it some time, and soon people will stop complaining about being able to buy a house with a backyard here as well.
I recently moved from an apartment to a house downtown with a tiny backyard, and it's a huge improvement. We didn't really use it in February/March. But the rest of the time it's awesome.
I think they're a ridiculous pain in the ass and largely useless but that's beside the point -- some people still derive enjoyment from them.
Now, I have family and kids and totally enjoy having it even though I only get to use it 4-5 months out of the year: - kids spend a lot of time there on the trampoline - my wife has an organic garden and beautiful flowers - my dog chases rabbits and squirrels - enjoy being outside without having to go to a park (reading books, playing with my kids) - family gatherings, BBQs and etc
There's no way I'm going back to living in an apartment or even a townhouse with no backyard unless I really have to...
So it has happened here too, but because the beast of London has always been pricey, then it kind of gets ignored, except by those in it and those not now quids in from the crazy prices.
Apparently low interest rates are a big driver. If they increase then many people won't be able to afford their mortgages.
This. You can really see the disparity when looking at the divergence between Toronto rental prices (what people who work can afford to pay with their jobs) and purchase prices (what investors can afford to pay, which probably includes a lot of foreign investment and homeowners remortgaging their homes to invest in a 2nd).
Rental prices haven't increased nearly as much as purchase prices.
This has to be one of the strangest complaints, along with shadow flipping, that's come out of the real-estate debacle here in Vancouver.
Builders need to achieve 100% or near 100% sell-through on units in a project. Doing that through a pre-sell is hard, so they've traditionally offered a small discount on pre-sells. Buyers have typically been ok with committing themselves to a pre-sell because of the discount. Everyone's needs are satisfied.
If a pre-sell buyer decides to flip the property immediately, what harm is there in that? Is it that you didn't get the discount? This has exactly no impact at all on the steady-state market price of property; it's just a matter of who the builder decides to give this small one-time discount to.
Worse, it's a distraction from the real reason that real estate has become so expensive in Vancouver and Toronto, which is foreign investment. The BC government imposed a foreign investor tax here and the market is now in a slow-motion collapse; I've been watching about 2 dozen detached houses on realtor.ca and none of them have sold. Some have already dropped their asking price by about 100k-200k and they're still on offer.
If you want a real solution to housing prices, kick out the foreign speculators.
http://www2.jurock.com/articles/columnist.asp?id=9370
But in 2008, worldwide financial markets tanked and with it condo markets in Vancouver. By December 2008, some 200 presale unit owners were offering their contracts on Craigslist - often at a loss. (On March 20, 2012 there were just 39.) When that did not work, many simply did not complete the deal and lost their deposit. Some lost not only their deposit, but where the price of the unit had fallen they were sued by the developer for the difference (developers won in many cases).
Needless to say, developers once burned have now tightened up the contracts. Buyers must realize that developers get their financing on the basis of pre-sales and rightfully expect and deserve all pre-sales in their development to complete.
Also, you then have issues with insider buying/selling etc. It's just not worth the hassle for the developers.
http://globalnews.ca/news/2823397/vancouver-pre-sale-condo-m...
Needless to say, developers once burned have now tightened up the contracts. Buyers must realize that developers get their financing on the basis of pre-sales and rightfully expect and deserve all pre-sales in their development to complete.
So, the pre-sale game changed. But probably for the better.
Builders offer the 'pre-sale discount' because they're trading return for security; they need to sell-through on the units they're building. If a bunch of the pre-sell buyers then flake-out and decide not to pay, the builders are in a hole.
The point that I'm making is that this has no effect on the trajectory of prices; its merely a small discount on the market price for those units. Pretending that this is a key driver of prevailing market prices doesn't help anyone; if the market wasn't already rising feverishly then 'shadow-flipping' and 'pre-sale flipping' would carry more risk and you'd lose money as often as you made it.
But here in Vancouver there are people who are upset that pre-sales sometimes don't include the general public. There are builders who've restricted pre-sales to friends and families, and this is perceived as 'unfair'; when these units do show up on the market, they'll be more expensive than the pre-sale price (of course! they no longer get the discount and the market rose in the 8 months that it took to finish the project!). I think there are Vancouverites who then assume that this difference is cumulative across the market and that it is the cause rather than the symptom of the ridiculous increase in cost of housing here.
And the only people I've heard about Toronto expenses from are my relatives living there, and a few people on the internet.
Whenever I heard about jobs in the big cities, I always hear someone remind people that living expenses in general are higher there, and to be careful of the salaries and what they're really worth.
Those articles tend to stay in the UK though.
The large disparity between local incomes and housing prices is a major reason why there is so much attention on the implications of foreign capital on Vancouver's housing market. It seems like there hasn't been as much concern or interest in Toronto, but there probably should be.
[1] http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/for-vancouver-hou...
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/vancouver/out-of-...
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/vancouver/canadia...
http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/chinese-police-run-...
It's just like the market collapse back in the late 80's when interest rates climbed into the double-digits; no discretionary seller wants to lower their price from $1.3 million when that was a feasible offer 2 months ago, but no one wants (or rather no one is left) to offer that price. The market just seizes and eventually non-discretionary sellers are left to define the market.
It won't make any difference at all to the dozen or so billionaires who are looking to buy their Nth house in Vancouver. But it has devastated the detached housing market below $5 million here and that will ultimately put pressure on condos and townhouses. I think the only reason it's working is that TO and Seattle don't have a similar tax; Vancouver has made itself less attractive, but only marginally so.
Those places have always been expensive to my memory, and I'm not a young man. But Toronto? Expensive? Get outta here! And if Toronto is anything like Vancouver, BC, you get the same expensive housing as (places with which I'm familiar:) Seattle and SV with 60% of the salary.
Also, regardless of the expense, NYC, SF and the like are where you go to get your "big break" or what have you. Sure, you'll pay $2000/month for a closet, but if that audition goes well you'll be on your way. Toronto? Fine city, last I was there. It's not, however, top of my list of cities when I imagine myself packing up to seek my fame and fortune.
There's basically four major cities a Millenial would consider: Vancouver, Toronto, Monteal, and Ottawa. (And I've heard the latter crapped on even by Canadians.)
Montreal is lovely, but if you're an Anglophone.
Compare with the United States: New York is a large city, but I could live in Philadelphia if I wanted to go slightly cheaper. If Seattle is to expensive, there's Portland.
It seems to me that basically everyone who wants to live in the "big city" seems to either cram themselves into Vancouver or Toronto. (Ottawa didn't seem to have the level of bustle I'd expect for a capital compared to say, London or DC)
So basically, the TL;DR is people in NYC or SF choose to be there. You basically pick a climate, then pick a price range.
There's not much call for my particular skill set, unfortunately. I interviewed for a position in Google X, but it was a very strange interview and I didn't get past that, despite giving a very thorough answer for the pre-interview problem they posed.
A big problem I have now is that I'm overqualified for a lot of jobs. Getting another grad degree probably won't help. To be honest, if I was to get a CS degree, I'd probably go straight for the Ph.D. instead. There's some things in computer graphics I'd love to explore. Unfortunately, the prof I'd want to supervise me left and is now working at Intel last I checked.
As a German I think it is beautiful that moving to Austria or Switzerland is basically the same as moving inside Germany. Depending on where you live, the cultural differences inside Germany might even be higher.
After that there are the English speaking countries, with a low language barrier, then the countries with very high English or German fluency (Netherlands, nordic countries etc.), which would make it easier in the beginning and the South, mostly chosen by the elderly to go on permanent vacations.
When the East keeps growing economically, it might become another great option, even for people without global customers. There are some culturally interesting cities with a good standard of living and dirt cheap prices.
I would advise Americans and Canadians to create something similar, it is great.
I've lived in Ottawa and it's big selling point for me is the various national museums. I used to love going to the National Art Gallery simply because of its architecture, but I did see an excellent retrospective on Escher (including a presentation by a guy who tried to take picture of places where Escher did drawings of) and one on Renoir's portraits. Skating on the canal is pretty big in the winter in Ottawa. A friend of mine commutes to work by skating on it. You're right in that it's not as busy as London or DC, though. I consider that a plus, but that's just me.
Montreal is beautiful, but you'd better learn to at least attempt French as you'll be treated better by the shops and restaurants for it. Other pluses are: the jazz festival, the comedy festival, and the F1 race. My sister and her family moved there in January as their jobs in Toronto were being phased out.
On a more serious note: there's a tectonic shift going on in the US too, it's just not as stark. Young'uns are moving to the cities enmasse, resulting in skyrocketing rents in places like SF, Seattle. The old American Dream of having a McMansion out in the 'burbs has largely died out. Now people prefer the urban areas.
"How many Newfies does it take to screw in a light-bulb?"
"Don't screw in that light bulb - the power-grid can't take the extra load!"
Great read, but probably off-topic.
That's not new. What also isn't new is that when those same people get married and have kids, they'll be looking to move out of that urban environment.
And all of that is completely unrelated to what the article is about.
What is new is that people are getting married and having kids much later, or not at all, and so they're staying in urban areas for much longer.
Sure, the ratio of IN:OUT probably leans toward IN, but I wouldn't say (at least around Seattle) that the desire to live in the bubs has died out.
It's tough. This isn't "the suburbs", this is way way off the beaten path. Six-and-a-half hours one way, by car, to St Johns, which at 70k people is still a pretty small and rural city by most standards. You're a couple of days away from anything resembling Big City living.
The local talent pool is more or less non-existant, so you'd either have to accept remote workers (in which case you're not saving the town population-wise, but you're at least stabilizing the tax base), or you'd have to pay above SF rates to convince people to move out to the middle-of-nowhere instead of SF, where they'd have a much lower risk of finding another job if the company stops paying the bills. And access to actual amenities.
The cheap housing will help a bit in recruiting, especially among people with young families or older Devs who aren't traditionally the target of startups, but the lack of anything remotely resembling a nightlife or entertainment options (maybe there's a local watering hole in town that doubles as the only restaurant) is going to turn a lot of people off. And that's not even getting into the one-room "school" situation, the fact that the nearest hospital is so far away they need to air-evac you if you become ill, etc. It's a tough, remote life unlike anything most urban dwellers would be used to.
And god knows what kind of internet connectivity even exists out there.
The problem is, without an urban hub it becomes difficult to foster the sort of connections it takes to accelerate a company to the sort of fast growth that's expected of today's unicorn-oriented startup economy. So you haven't heard of any of the software shops in NB or PEI, because they're all small, and if one is destined to become big it'll take some time.
Really remote communities are quite different. Nature actively tries to kill you and you spend a lot of your time just dealing with that. Also, with respect to kids, everyone's in the same school. So, you can't really segregate based on socie-economic or educational background of the parents.
Hahahaha that's what makes it awesome! :D
I'm presently adjusting to the complete lack of decent internet speeds. That has been my single biggest issue with moving to the country. As soon as I figure out alternate methods to delivering my work, I'll be a much happier person.
(Edited to add: thought I should say why. Besides fantastic scenery and wonderful people, the traditional music scene there is amazing. St. John's may be a fairly small city (100K), but there are more traditional sessions an easy walk from downtown than there are within an hour's drive of Detroit. Actually, possibly about the same number as in metro Toronto? It's just insane. Hell, last time I was there I was walking back from playing one session and got roped into joining a party of strangers who had an accordion and guitar going on the back porch.)
We saw some other tourists, mostly from nearby Canadian provinces. But from what I heard, there's almost zero tourism in the other seasons.
Popular public opinion but not actually true: http://web.archive.org/web/20160327033112/http://blogs.wsj.c...
https://video.vice.com/en_ca/video/Newfoundland-Coast/57bddb...
Over-fishing in the maritimes was mostly as a result of "free-trade" liberalisation including transferable/sellable fishing licenses which led to a decrease in small, family operations and an increase in massive, mortgaged industrial fishing operations.
The small family business typically engaged in long-lining (single lines with multiple hooks https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longline_fishing ) which did not require great capitalization/debt. These business became non-viable as larger operations flooded the market with fish caught by dragging -- a method which leads to the destruction of the seabed ecosystems which in turn decreases the catchable population.
This is one of the good references on the topic, pretty readable (Dean Bavington, _Managed Annihilation_, 2010 UBC Press): http://www.ubcpress.ca/books/pdf/chapters/2010/ManagedAnnihi...
Yes, the show points out exactly what you say. There was an increase in large scale, industrial fishing using huge trawling boats that quickly depleted the resources.
It seems this is an ongoing theme - as humans we just think natural resources will never run out.
This Canadian seems to believe that, in some real or legal sense, the land belongs to her and Canadians in general.
But "Canadian land" truly belongs to anyone in the global real estate market with sufficient cash. This is also true in the US.
I think people would be better off if they clearly recognized this reality. It isn't "your" country. Let that notion go. It's hurting you. There's no "you" there. Fly. Be free.
However, in the maritime provinces, with $250K CAD you can actually buy (completely pay for) a fully detached property with a decent house in an urban location.
I'd take the money and run while it's there for the taking. They are probably not going to up the offers for those who stubbornly wait it out.
If I remove the huge image and use a very "simple" stylesheet for this article, you get a very functional but much less catchy looking page: http://nacr.us/media/pics/screenshots/screenshot--11-20-16-2...
Thankfully, there are plenty of pieces of software for presenting web pages in these greatly simplified forms.
Almost every Bloomberg title is clickbait [1]. Probably Bloomberg should be flagged for title correction.
Perhaps: "Canadian government offering relocation to homeowners from some declining villages"
Financial news readers may enjoy Reuters, which has far less irritatingly misleading titles.
[1] source: Bloomberg.com