See https://www.gobankingrates.com/personal-finance/how-save-mil...
Methodology: This GOBankingRates.com survey posed the question, “How much money do you have saved in your savings account?” to 7,052 people among all 50 states and Washington, DC. Responses were collected through a Google Consumer Survey conducted from Aug. 1, 2016, to Aug. 9, 2016, and responses are representative of the U.S. online population. The survey has a 2.6 percent margin of error.
In practice, savings accounts are never likely to significantly outpace inflation.
Nowadays with e-trade and the like, it's as easy to use much more sophisticated investment mechanisms than back then.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/29/there-are-now-117-trillion-do...
Banks weren't giving 5% interest out of the goodness of their hearts. They were giving 5% interest because they could leverage that deposited money to make more than 5% elsewhere. Today, they can get essentially interest-free money straight from the Fed, so there's no point in paying much interest.
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/just-explain-it/why-mortgage-...
> Affordability dropped to an all-time low as rates climbed to record levels. Simply put, mortgage rates priced most Americans out of the market, and it took years for home sales to rebound.
As a millennial who will not be retiring (period) unless severely injured, where else would I put my savings? My checking account rate is 0%.
Whole Term life insurance only can be "cashed in" after building 20+ years.
I'm holding some long term positions in stocks (risk), but honestly, I cant find anywhere else I would put the bulk than a savings account.
If you're interested, I'd check out:
- The Mr. Money Mustache blog (my personal favorite)
- r/personalfinance
- patio11 also wrote an article on investing recently: https://training.kalzumeus.com/newsletters/archive/investing...
A relevant MMM blog post (there are plenty others): http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/05/18/how-to-make-money-...
There are also a lot of other blogs if you're not into his philosophy or writing style.
Edit: Just for clarity, I know that you said you invest in stocks currently, but I was mostly speaking to, "I cant find anywhere else I would put the bulk than a savings account." I don't have a savings account, and I treat my investments like savings. You shouldn't need a lot of money in your current savings account, but you should have a lot in investments. If you feel the need to have a lot in your savings account, I'm guessing it means you take money out of it often, in which case it might as well be in a checking account. Just my $0.02.
Do you self-invest, or hire a professional, or mixed?
Currently I'm managing my own stocks. My employer, my IRA and other monies I'll never get to see.
The general consensus from what I've read on investing is that it's impossible to beat the market consistently, so "professionals" are no more skilled than someone picking out random investment decisions from a hat :) On average, the market as a whole grows, so there's no real reason to try to risk beating it.
The MMM blog covers all of this in great detail, but if you're interested in chatting more about this stuff (or if you want a referral to Wealthfront for reduced fees!), hit me up. My email is [myusername]@gmail.
[1] https://medium.com/@blakeross/wealthfront-silicon-valley-tec...
The slight addendum to this is that advisors can help with risk tolerance, tax efficiency, and explaining concepts, but as you mentioned Robo-advisors like WealthFront arguably do a good enough jobs at these topics to bridge the gap.
Interesting! I switched from Betterment TO Vanguard once I didn't need the guidance they provide (and corresponding higher asset management charges) anymore (target date funds in retirement accounts, life strategy funds in taxable accounts for extreme early retirement Mr Money Mustache style).
I will reach out if I choose WF, I'll do some research between the two.
Unless you have a reason to be risk averse, then continuing what you're doing is probably best (e.g. ETFs/mutual funds/stocks/bonds). Buying into the market is a great passive way to grow your wealth.
Saving has always been about taking a portfolio approach. Risk free investments have never had a great return relative to inflation. (Because basically they can't.)
And you'd be wrong.
Inflation as measured by the CPI-U-RS (not the "core" version, which excludes food and energy -- not "food, health, and energy" as you stated), looking at end of year indexes to get annual inflation over the Dec. 2005- Dec. 2015 period had a high of 4% per year in 2007 and a low of 0.06% in 2008, an average of 1.87% per year, and a total of 20.28% increase in price index over the 10 year period -- the average of that period is just over half the average annual rate of inflation (3.36%) of the Dec. 1977 to Dec. 2015 period, so its hardly been "very high" in the last 10 years.
And the last two years have been, while not as low as 2008, still not far from 0, with 0.76% in 2014 and 0.72% in 2015.
(Source: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpiursai1977-2015.xlsx + math.)
Yes, health case has certainly increased by significantly more than the CPI. As has housing in some areas (but not in others).
In any case, a 2% annual increase of prices still amounts to something like 22% over 10 years. But 2% is still pretty close to zero inflation relative to many historical periods.
Other options include real estate (either by directly buying property or via a REIT), "accredited investors" could angel-invest in startups, and some people really like owning gold/precious metals.
Unfortunately I don't have enough capital for real estate, but I've gotten some great replies to my (parent) on going for index funds.
EDIT: I invest in this in addition to my 401k which is 25% stocks and 75% a guaranteed return fund. I wouldn't recommend bitcoin exclusively.
Don't buy whole life insurance. It's a pretty bad idea.
Another way to look at those two busts: "hey, the market's on sale right now, the fixed amount I put in buys more shares right now".
I don't subscribe to the advice that I need 3 to 6 months of cash sitting in a 0.00% savings account "just in case." I'm not sure why I would need that much money for anything.
I can get several thousands of dollars from my brokerage to my checking account in a matter of days. Most other emergencies allow me to arrange payments. I don't know why this is such a bad idea, it has worked great for me so far.
Its strange how banks reward checking accounts but not savings accounts. I get no reward or benefit from my savings account. Due to holding the balance in my checking, I get all my ATM fees auto reimbursed. Its not much but its worth more than keeping it in zero interest savings.
There's also a time issue. I have plenty of credit so for less than a week I can use my CC and for more than a week or having to sell stock wait for the transaction to clear and transfer from my brokerage to my bank.
I have gotten into time crunches like when my old car died and I wanted $10K or so for the downpayment on the new car and I needed a cashiers check like that weekend, but in the end everything worked out alright.
Many years ago I used to participate in Treasury Direct back when the interest rates made that worthwhile. Treasury Direct is (was?) a US treasury program where they'd direct debit and direct deposit t-bills, bonds, etc. Kinda cool back when the interest rate made it worthwhile. I remember some years after I stopped using it they did very early 2FA and I still have a card covered with random numbers laying around somewhere. TBills were sold at a discount for various terms so magically $99XX would disappear from my account and then a month or quarter or whatever later $10000 would direct deposit reappear. Its not worth the effort anymore of course. Maybe if I had $1M.
I'm not sure why I'd need to save money anyway. Lets say I saved $10K and got $500K of medical bills or $500K of some kind of legal judgment against me, the only effect of having had $10K in the bank is that I wouldn't have enjoyed having it. Its not like the hospital or IRS would walk away satisfied with $490K unpaid.
Fidelity brokerage account, with very tight stops on any equities that are held in that account (to avoid a pinch should the market poop itself). It's not instantly liquid, as you'll have to wait three days after you sell equities. But my account is a margin account, so I can have nearly instant access to cash (at 7%-ish, IIRC) if I don't use the margin balance for trading (which I generally don't). IOW, I can extract cash from the account via wire transfer, check (if I can ever find the checkbook for that account), or debit card and because I'm using margin balance the equities don't need to get sold.
The caveat is that using the margin balance is for a short-term need, like maybe go buy a used car and pay the account back using other funds later. I would not recommend using the margin balance for, say, living expenses after loss of a job. For that you sell the equities.
(This is a question, not an answer, by the way. I have no idea.)
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bond...
(.27% for 3 month treasuries, just .79% for 2 year)
Longer-term bonds are significantly higher risk than a savings account.
These conditions that led to a higher interest rate are probably also leading to a higher inflation rate. So my $1000 is locked up for 20 years in an instrument where it's decreasing in real value.
But you wanted to know "What gives higher returns but near-zero risk?" and assuming by "risk" you meant "default risk" there you go....a high interest low denomination savings instrument backed by the federal government.
I don't deny that there are better investment vehicles than a savings account. I'm just asking whether there is something of similarly low risk with a better interest rate. Stocks are definitely not lower-risk.
See the chart below [0] - If you invested all your money in 1965, there is only a 8 year window at the end of the 90s where you would have averaged a 3% return per year. Much of the rest of the time you're looking at negative returns.
[0]: https://static01.nyt.com/packages/images/newsgraphics/2011/0...
A comment further up the thread asked for "very low risk"; the reply to that changed it to "near-zero risk".
Better to consider the type of risk you care about, and how much money you want associated with each type of risk. Checking accounts and index funds both make sense as part of an overall strategy. I don't know that savings accounts do, though, except perhaps as a purely organizational tool.
https://www.census.gov/people/wealth/files/Wealth%20Highligh...
(Direct link to spreadsheet here: http://www.census.gov/people/wealth/files/Wealth_Tables_2011...)
It's kind of difficult to fully read this 2011 survey since "percent holding" and "median value" is in two separate tabs, and it's hard to get a good sense of correlations. But the spreadsheet seems to show:
- Almost 70% of people owned a savings account, with a median value of $2,450 overall.
- 29% of people own a checking account, with a median value of $600
- 85% of people own a motor vehicle, with a median value of about $6,800
- 65% of people own a home, with a median equity value of $80,000
- 42% of people have a 401k, with a median value of $30,000
- 29% of people have an IRA account, with a median value of $32,000.
By far, it appears that housing is the most valuable asset many people own; at least, in every category, the median for housing is higher (sometimes up to 6 times higher) than the median for a 401K account. Also, it seems that a far more percentage of people have houses compared to 401Ks, the next largest category with >$10K median assets.
Now, is it a bad sign? The only things I can say:
A) Houses are hardly a "liquid asset".
B) Home ownership for many reasons is declining (http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/04/28/u-s-homeownership-...).
The later point makes me wondering if future generations' preparation for retirement may be impacted. The former is not a bad thing if you do have liquid assets for emergencies etc, but I can imagine there is a significant percentage which do not. (A 401K really isn't a great "liquid asset" for instance, and some probably don't have much of that.)
I cant reconcile how that large of a discrepancy is possible. Surely some people inherited houses or cars, or paid literal cash, but it cant be that many.
edit: This FDIC report [0] from earlier this month suggests only 7% of households are "unbanked", meaning they dont have access to a bank account (doesn't specify what type). That number makes way more sense.