Why Do People Who Need Help from the Government Hate It So Much?
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
It's one reason I'm skeptical of basic income. Burying money and putting people to work "mining" it, as Keynes once suggested, might even be a better alternative. [2] :]
1.) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2202/1944-2858.1158/ab...
2.) http://quotes.liberty-tree.ca/quote/john_maynard_keynes_quot...
UBI depends on tax collection, but state is corruptible and companies are greedy. This puts people in a bad position, but, if you think about it, companies are going to be in a weird position too - when people are moneyless, who's going to buy their products? Is it sane to tax companies, give free money to people in order to buy products from said companies?
The solution should include breaking automation monopolies and empowering people. Instead of UBI, what we need is to spread the use of automation and AI technologies in all parts of society, with the aim of achieving self sufficiency on a country, region and community level.
Research in self sufficiency should also include solar energy, water filtration, sustainable agriculture and 3D-printing - all that is required to live off-grid. I envision co-ops formed of a few thousand people, farming land, making houses, offering education and health services for its members.
If we're not going to get jobs, we need to own and rely on automation instead.
In the past, people had work. Each person was inextricably linked to his/her work power. In order for companies to function, they simply had to pay people to work, there was no other way around it. But after automation, most people will have nothing to offer any more. So people lose their self reliance ability and become dependent upon the state, at the mercy of political and economic games.
A horror scenario I imagine is if the state does give UBI, but it is too small. It would feel like communism in the Eastern Europe where everyone had a "job" (mostly posing to work) and everyone got a salary, but it wasn't much. The joke going around was "We pretend to work, they pretend to pay us!" What can people do if the UBI is too small? Start a revolution? I'd bet on self-reliance as a much more stable solution.
Instead of collecting tax in a big pot and then doling UBI to everyone, self reliance splits the single point of failure, and allows more experimentation and ingenuity at grassroot level.
The same arguments were used at the advent of the industrial revolution. There will still be work after robotics, just not the same work.
If you will forgive some hyperbole: After the industrial revolution, you no longer needed peoples' hands, just their brains. Now we will no longer need peoples' brains.
Automation is a process that proceeds step by step, not a repeating pattern.
Hopefully there is still something left that means there will still be a need for a large number of humans. But I think it is arrogant to just assert that. For every part of what humans can deliver that you replace there is less left where humans are needed.
We don't know. But it has been true for every technology change since the discovery of agriculture so it is a high probability assertion. It might be different next time, of course, but the implication is that humanity won't create knew things to do as it has always done in the past. I don't see any evidence of a diminution of creativity but maybe you do.
Objectively valuable human endeavors could shrink to nothing, though we will probably at least buy ourselves time with genetic tampering and brain prostheses.
Perhaps humanity's salvation will come from selling hand-crafted goods? Maybe the AIs will keep us around like pets (see The Culture novels https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iain_Banks#The_Culture_novels)?
No sense in not charging ahead though. The potential upside is too awesome to leave on the table. We face existential risk regardless.
Of course it can. What has been consistent over centuries is that, as we've automated physical and intellectual labour, we've replaced it with other forms of physical and intellectual labour. Not in equal amounts, sure, but we've adapted. It's why we have, on average, more people in education for longer than historically, for example.
I agree it's fun to extrapolate this to some form of asymptotic future but just because we can envisage future X doesn't mean it will occur (William Gibson novels aside, of course).
This is all somewhat theoretical because any discussion of change to central banking systems ends up stymied by institutional resistance, public confusion, entrenched interests, and political reluctance. Nonetheless the option exists. If I was studying towards an economics PhD right now, I'd probably be modelling the comparative behaviours & outcomes of UBI-based monetary policy.
p.s. your vision of autonomous communities makes me dream of an end to nation states and a return to the sovereign municipalities of both the distant past and a [science-fiction future](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Diamond_Age).
I do not support means-testing SS because I believe in the program and want to see it continue. Means-testing will make it indistinguishable from welfare and thus politically vulnerable. UBI is the same.
This is key. The reality is irrelevant. What matters is how the culture chooses to interpret it. Social attitudes are not particularly rational.
Personally I find it hard to support UBI on any large scale without more understanding of the unintended side effects.
It doesn't even have to stop there. The information can also talk about how they as individuals can get involved in having a say in the future direction of the economy, including what to do with future tax, tariff, and bond revenues. If you treat people like the owners of their nation and give them a real piece of the pie and a real say over how it's governed, their learned helplessness [1] is liable to diminish!
This invites the question of whether socialist policies might have a better prospect in a hypothetical future US partitioned into ethno-states.
The major problem of means tested welfare is that if you want to do a low paying job that you lose more in benefits than you gain in income. The dependees are acting rationally in this regard, they didn't lose their "self-sufficiency".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Welfare_trap
UBI doesn't have this problem.
‘Now then, young man, don’t ask me to stop the Pumping. The economy and comfort of the entire planet depend on it. Tell me, instead, how to keep the Pumping from exploding the Sun.’
Lamont said, ‘There is no way, Senator. We are dealing with something here that is so basic, we can’t play with it. We must stop it.’
‘Ah, and you suggest only that we go back to matters as they were before Pumping.’
‘We must.’
‘In that case, you will need hard and fast proof you are right.’
‘The best proof,’ Lamont said stiffly, ‘is to have the Sun explode.'”
There is always a tension between short term gains and long term planning. I think history, economics, psychology, behavioral economics all pretty much agree that most people are terrible at long term planning and they will consistently sacrifice long term gains for short term gains in exchange for a much worse future for all involved.
I'm not as optimistic as the author of that book. I don't think there is a way to crack this nut and get long term thinking to be the norm. When even people who have cancer because of the kind of environment they live in are voting to weaken the power of the EPA what hope is there?
Of his works that I've read, "optimistic" is not the word I would associate with this particular book. It is cynical from the outset, with even the prologue making a point that scientific progress is mostly achieved out of spite.
As for the solution to the problem in the book ... IIRC it happens mostly by accident. The underlying tone in the story is that despite the importance of scientific advances, the driving force is always that of a personal vendetta. After all, in the story Lamont spends his career seeking revenge, trying to find a way to shoot the messenger of the uninformed and dangerous view.
Optimistic? I prefer jaded.
EDIT: originally I remembered it was a Heinlein book. Changed to Asimov.
What a crock of shit.
Notice we never see headlines asking…
- Why Do Tech Workers Who Need Software Patents Hate Them So Much?
- Why Do Billionaires Who Need Tax Breaks Hate Them So Much?
- Why Do Tenants Who Need Rent Control Hate It So Much?
…because it goes without saying that those people are smart enough to vote outside of their short term economic interest. Anyone accepting a food stamp, though, how dare they vote for anything except more food stamps!?
I consider myself pretty progressive, but come on. How would you feel about being told you "need" any law which happens to benefit your bottom line and being treated like an idiot for opposing it?
His point reinforced sort of the opposite in me, something else that I have been feeling for a long time: we need to understand that many people, now and in the future will have significant problems with immigration. Whether it's right, wrong or just illogical, we on the left do ourselves no favor by writing off their feelings as racism and not at least attempting to address them. Furthermore, this is a democracy, where they should have their viewpoint at least somewhat addressed, they certainly have the numbers to warrant it. It doesn't mean we buckle to racism, but it means we accept that wariness and fear of immigration is something that has existed in this world for a long time, and these sentiments are tied to real feelings people have to feel secure.
True, the real solutions to these insecurities are based on education and economic growth, not limiting immigration, but perhaps it's time we on the left said loudly "We hear you, and we understand."
Yes! A friend of mine was expressing exactly this sentiment to me the other day. One good result of this election is that it's made me aware of the sense of unhappiness and despair that a large portion of the country has; a portion of the country that I never think about or really ever sympathize with. These people have real grievances with the system that didn't help them, but those grievances are being overshadowed by their overtly racist and xenophobic solutions.
Everyone should take this away from this election: lots of people are unhappy for legitimate reasons and we need real solutions to help them, or the racist solutions will have a strong appeal.
The obvious technical solution is to greatly increase the number of legal immigration slots--boom, problem solved, everyone now has legal status.
Unfortunately this solution would not change the conversation. Why? Because most anti-immigration folks are not concerned about protecting immigrants from exploitation, they are concerned about Mexicans and Muslims. A bunch of legal Mexicans moving into their town is no better to them than a bunch of illegal Mexicans.
In fact they prefer to keep the system the broken way it is now, because it gives them a "rule of law" fig leaf to place over their racism.
There is a tremendous amount of work and economy in cities like Houston done by illegal immigrants. Ethics aside, there are those who benefit from this arrangement.
There are going to be 3 billions of people born in Africa, wanting to emigrate to Europe or USA. It's not going to work out, and it will get desperate unless Africa becomes a place where they want to live.
I agree that the left does no good by labeling Trump supporters as racists. This at best shuts down dialogue, and at worst falsely accuses well-meaning citizens.
But that doesn't mean the left must buy into a false narrative about Trump as a reaction to immigration or economic anxieties. Any such anxieties are a rationalization of Trump's support, not its driver. Efforts by the left to address these "anxieties" won't move the polls at all.
[1] http://www.vox.com/2016/8/12/12454250/donald-trump-gallup-tr...
Consider, too, that a wealthy democracy could simply refuse to help a poor neighboring nation, and let them all starve to death. That would be unjust, even though it would be perfectly democratic. This indicates that there is a fundamental problem with democracy; democracy is wrong. The flaw is not hard to find: the people most affected by the democratic decision are not those who get to make the decision. The basic problem of democracy is how the demos is defined.
It is very probable that many people have xenophobic and racist instincts. Racism may be biologically ingrained. Probably 10-20% of people would like all immigrants deported. They will never be happy as long as they are not living in an ethnically 'pure' state. That is a good reason for not allowing those views any political representation. We should exclude immigration from being a legitimate democratic issue, because democratic votes on migration always turn into racist populism. Just like we shouldn't put minority rights to a vote, neither should immigration be put to a vote.
Yes, immigration disrupts the way people live, but so does (for example) industrialization. The interests of the indigenous population and immigrants do conflict. But there is still no ethical reason to stop people moving to improve their lives, to limit immigration, or to confer migration veto rights on their present of former inhabitants.
For instance, it's not at all weird to feel like immunity for illegal immigrants would be unfair given that there is an immigration backlog for even highly skilled foreign workers. When there are millions of people in Africa and Asia who are both more qualified and more in need than the average illegal immigrant from Mexico, it's tantamount to arguing that geographic proximity should imply preferential treatment.
Chances are the legal (voting) Hispanic demographic has reached a sizable enough proportion of the electorate that Dems have decided they're worth annexing with some platform concessions. Slap on a veneer of compassion and all of a sudden it's a part of the progressive agenda. That they got away with it so cleanly and we're no longer questioning the logic of these policies is a demonstration of one way in which the liberal left can be bamboozled as easily as the Tea Partiers.
The movement to grant immunity to illegal immigrants is both ethical and pragmatic. Ethical because illegal immigrants who have been present in the US for more than a decade (more than half of them!) are de facto Americans, and it's wrong to deport Americans. Pragmatic because there's millions upon millions of them, and any deportation effort will be both very expensive and sure to accidentally sweep up some legal Americans.
Conservatives often pair this grandfathering-in with increased border and interior security. This is at least a thoughtful and consistent response.
The idea that Democrats have consciously decided to "annex" Hispanic votes gives far too much credit to the Democratic party: the hostility of Republicans explains Hispanic voting patterns much better. For example, in Florida, there are 40% more unaffiliated Hispanics than Republican-registered Hispanics [1].
[1] http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/03/09/democratic-e...
Your race shouldn't matter full stop.
Trade can be freer without the EU - no slow central bureau deciding with whom we are free to trade. No central price setting. No obligation for HM Government to open tender for public projects to foreign companies - which may seem protectionist, but it's not free trade unless you're free to choose as you please.
(of course, if there were no government, there wouldn't even be global trade in the first place, but I'm just talking about trade deals here)
The article had a tone about it of folk who feel "cheated", who did everything they thought they were supposed to and still ended up in a bad place. Ultimately these folk look at others who are receiving welfare and feel like the welfare recipients get it easy.
The article tries to paint some genuine frustration into the complaints, but it still sounds like people voting against stuff because a political machine told them to.
I feel bad and understand feeling cheated, but it also comes off as a bit petulant, especially with how they use their vote to just make matters worse in the hope of upholding some vague ideals.
Not to say that there aren't real issues, there are, but they are mixed in with racial rhetoric, hate for other groups, corporatist agenda and a heavy sprinkling of American Civil Religion and you get "Take your government out of my Medicare!" craziness.
Sometimes I like to imagine ridiculous scenarios -- in this case I imagine that Tea party is supported and funded by ultra-liberals, because crazies like birthers and so on are really effective at demolishing the conservative agenda by making them look insane and unstable by association.
To be fair, I also like to imagine that say some liberals are hidden ultra-conservatives and so they promote a steady stream of refugees to Western Europe. And there is no better way to turn people to nationalism and conservatism today that than.
So in my imaginary scenario each side is actually a false flag operation for the other side.
After all, the 'liberal' party in the US would be considered 'far conservative, but not extreme' in other western democracies. Not a lot of choice there.
What would be a minority party run elsewhere can be accommodated by the major parties in the USA. This is a strength of American politics, not a weakness.
How do I vote for a federal republican faction that won't bloc-vote to strangle legislation? You know, for those conservatives out there who want actual conservative governance, not fearmongering?
good luck on the paper. things are simple on an individual level and complex when looked at as a whole (think economics / behavior / incentives).
Equal amount per student present ('unfair' to absent students)? Equal amount per student enrolled ('unfair' to those who made the effort to come vs those who didn't). Amount of cake proportional to body mass (unfair to small students)? Amount proportional to grade? Amount proportional to degree of historic injustice to a minority? And so on.
The point of course being, there is no such thing as 'fair', only that policy makers (and the voters who vote for them) need to balance benefits and harms to different groups, and make a set of choices that have the most benefit and least harm, according to some set of priorities.
I think it's unhelpful when the implicit criticism of the "people who need help" is that they are too stupid or too evil to know what's good for them. We might want to at least explore the possibility that they value the freedom they feel they might lose from increased welfare above the purely monetary benefits they might gain.