Nearly 90% of San Franciscans cannot afford a median-priced home in the city
blog.sfgate.com
blog.sfgate.com
I'm American. I just don't understand why people here think so much space is so necessary. Just because we had that luxury for the last 75 years doesn't mean we always will. It's not even a bad thing.
I see a lot of merit in the rent + diverse investment approach (and that's what I've chosen so far), but this is needlessly dismissive.
Condos won't do for some households. They might be a better option if there were a larger variety of floorplans/sizes beyond 1-2 bedroom. And if HOAs were sane, which most aren't. Though I do appreciate them as a glimpse of what the world would quite likely be more like if a lot of libertarian ideas were adopted.
Renting can be nice, but it leaves you quite vulnerable to changes in demand for housing and consequent price changes. Better not ever be on a fixed income. And there are other ways you can end up being forced out of where you're at than being priced out.
> Just because we had that luxury for the last 75 years doesn't mean we always will.
But it's certainly worth asking why an economy that recently was able to provide one standard of living to more of its participants seems to have trouble doing so now. And housing is not just any luxury, not just any commodity. It's the matrix of communities. It's the geographic and social context of people's lives. Bedrock stuff.
You and iamleppert ask the same (good) question but I think that it has a somewhat simple answer: This economy still does provide housing to everyone...just not in the locations where several of those people want to be.
My hometown of nowheresville, SomeOilState on the former fringes of BigCity is a classic example. Just a handful of years ago, I bought my first house for under $150,000 there. It came with a 1/4 acre lot, a pool, three bedrooms and about 1,800sqft of (air conditioned!) living space. Not to mention the two-car garage. In the intervening time since I left that property, its value has shot to more than $200,000 (and it doesn't have a pool any more). But it now has the attractive quality of being a <30 minute drive to many new corporate headquarters and inside a suburb with a growing tax base so that suburb can afford large-city-style amenities. A friend of mine living just north of downtown BigCity lives in a townhouse right next to a light rail station. He bought his property six years ago and it has gone up in value 2.5 times; he regularly gets letters from real estate agents asking if he wants to sell to their clients for cash.
On the other hand, my 14-acre plot of land out in really-middle-of-nowhere, SomeOilState has gone down in value. There used to be three houses along the same country road as it. Now there is just one because the other two burned and were demolished and not replaced. I'd give away the plot if someone wanted it but no one wants to live there because there are very few jobs.
As a society, we've started deciding that we want to live closer to jobs and schools and shopping and amenities...not farther from them. And areas that had fewer jobs now, usually, have more of them because those jobs are moving around from other places.
On top of it all, those growing areas are experiencing pushback from residents--new and old alike--who object to new construction and more housing units. Therefore, the prices climb because, as you correctly pointed out, housing is not fungible.
And here's the thing: I still have an outdoor area, deeded to me as part of my condo unit, for doing things like having a small garden or woodworking (if I was interested in either of those, but they're the most common "but I couldn't possibly" rebuttals I've heard). I get a deeded parking space, can paint the walls whatever color I want, and even have approval from the (tiny) condo board to run all of the network wiring inside the walls I can stand.
Obviously I'm unmarried sans kids and pets, yeah? Nope, I have a spouse, a kid, and a dog. And you know what? We're all going to fit perfectly. The new place even adjoins a public park, is across the street from a 24-hour grocery, has frequent all-day (and 24-hour) transit, and is within walking distance of two of the best schools in the city. And all for about $200k less than a free-standing house in the same area.
I'm thrilled to not need as much space. And yes, parents, it is entirely possible do to so comfortably, even with your kid having his or her own bedroom.
A total price far over $200k is considered cheap?
When I lived in a metro area with a much lower median residence price, my commute to work by single-occupant vehicle was 40 minutes (to get that low of a house price) and statements like "be sure to not waste water, we don't have much of it" were commonplace on the news.
FWIW, I'm not in San Francisco.
It's the norm in Oslo to live in an apartment or rowhouse, but usually with very generous green courtyard space that let kids roam around and play. In the SF peninsula, most apartment buildings either take up the whole lot or fill most of their undeveloped space with parking lots.
I don't know why this isn't more common. Designs that maximize surface area for windows lend themselves to courtyards naturally. I particularly love the buildings with apartments on 3 sides and a fence/gate facing the street - you get both a nice community area, and an extra security layer (buzzers at both the front gate and the particular stairwell).
This seems like pie-in-the-sky talk from high-income earners.
It's not like people are just freely choosing to invest in a house over other investments. Instead, since they have to pay for housing no matter what, they are trying to mitigate loss, if not make a return, on the sunk cost of dwelling. If they are renting, they don't have "extra" money that they can arbitrarily put towards whatever they choose.
I don't know the population breakdown in San Francisco, but I would bet that the majority are not developers. Most Americans live paycheck to paycheck and have very little savings. Their house is the single largest store of wealth for people in America.
If they do have savings, it's likely to be in an IRA or a 401k, so they aren't free to apply that to whatever area of investment they like, either.
Also, remember that interest is front-loaded in the amortization schedule, and that disappears into the void same as rent. You can pay your mortgage for a long time without building substantial equity.
Yeah, either be worth a couple million, or buy property in a smaller city or town. If said city or town is lame, make it better. We live in one of the biggest countries in the world. You don't have to live in SF or Manhattan, nor are you entitled to.
Just because you don't want a house or it doesn't make sense for you doesn't mean thats the case for everyone.
The invest in something more diversified talk sounds like the ramblings of someone with a lot of money. The reality is that for most people their mortgage payment will be their largest monthly expense. Why wouldn't they want't that massive monthly payment working for them rather than just throwing it away. The alternative you suggest implies that they should pay that monthly payment (which is probably higher when renting) and then dump the same amount into diversified investments? Seriously?
Isn't the same true of houses? Don't you have to pay for roofs, water heaters, air conditioners, etc?
The entire problem with the rent solution is this: When housing prices go up, so does rent. I understand SF has some rent controls, but those aren't going to help a new renter. Sometimes renting is actually more expensive than the monthly payments of buying a house. I only need a minimum of space personally, but I do want a safe and clean place to live. That is difficult to find in cheap (and some mid-priced) rentals.
And as far as space is concerned: This has just as much to do with regulation as it does with people's comfort levels. I don't know about SF regulations, but I know some places limit how many people can live in an apartment, especially if they aren't related. Lots of places limit what sorts of buildings can be built in an area and place minimum space requirements on the units. And other such things. The smallest of the places I know of - a studio or a rented room with shared bathroom and kitchens - are difficult for a couple and certainly not appropriate for a family. Some places child services will take kids away if they share a bedroom with parents, though this might not be the case everywhere. Still, lots of people do live in small housing if it is available.
I'm stunned that this would be legal for all but a small class of dwelling (retirement homes, perhaps).
If you get pregnant you're kicked out? How does that even work logistically?
It hasn't been since 1988. You can no more refuse to rent to someone with children than you can someone who is black.
Pretty sure the Fair Housing Act would like to have a word with the landlords ("55 and older" communities excepted).
Some places child services will take kids away if they share a bedroom with parents
I'm pulling the [citation needed] card on this one.
That's not to say that renting, in whatever form, doesn't have its issues. I simply think that some of the issues you raised aren't real.
Another big reason to prefer a house is that Apartments are very often not family friendly and have very little sound proofing (to protect others from your crying baby and to keep others from waking your finally sleeping baby).
- Seattle[0]: Median sale price for a property classified as a condominium, $413k; median sale price for a single-family house, $672k.
- San Francisco[1]: Condo, $658k; single-family, $1.14m
On the other hand, I also thing we--as American society--need to have a discussion about what constitutes "comfortably." I have coworkers who are appalled at the idea that my three-person-with-pet family lives "comfortably" (kid has a separate bedroom, all of us have space for our hobbies, and there's storage) in a 900sqft house. We're moving to a 770sqft condo and the bulk of that "missing" space is reclaimed by going from a two-level house to a flat because the number of rooms is remaining the same.
There just isn't much overlap in square footage between houses and condos overall-- so I think it's still valid to compare houses to condos. Condos are cheaper because they are smaller. They don't make small houses anymore; that market need is met by condos.
They are cheaper than houses of a similar size, but, at least where I live, the HOA fees negate about 50% of the difference in price.
This is not magic. This can be fixed. It needs the knowledge, organisation, and will to fix it.
Build baby build; I would actually love to see this solved by taxing out building uses that are no longer congruent to the density of the surrounding area.
Historical landmarks could become immune if they are deeded over to public trusts as a form of museum or park.
Looking at the linked report, it just multiplied the monthly housing costs (for all markets) by 40 to get the minimum annual qualifying income. But how is putting a max of 30% of your income toward housing true everywhere?
But it might depends on the country and stuff.
Maybe some of the other cities nearby should pick up their fair share of residents.
It's hard not to see the entire 'crisis' as a bunch of techbros and hipsters squabbling over the same four city blocks in the mission.
Yeah, this is entirely accurate in my experience. I've lost a couple friends to the SF hype train, and all of them are complaining because the apartments that are walking distance from their offices cost too damn much.
Bitch, I live 25 minutes away from my office and have a 2 bedroom townhouse for the same price you pay to rent a spare bedroom. Granted, I live in San Diego, not San Francisco, but still.
Great beer, though, and I did really enjoy my neighborhood (South Park) when I didn't have to leave it.
THAT is your mistake. I would die if I tried to cycle to work every day. I take a car like a barbarian.
I've taken public transit to work every day for about 4+ years now, since I started working downtown. My commute to the Embarcadero is ~30 minutes. There's Bart, Caltrain and multiple bus routes.
Even with the higher salaries, high enough to afford the same caliber home, the stress of dealing with that market is a turn off. What if it turns out to be a bubble and the million dollar shack you bought is only really worth $200k. You could be trapped with an underwater mortgage easily. Not that I know if it is a bubble or not, but that is a large amount of risk that the employer is expecting the employee to take.
Which is why I wonder if you tried to shift the risk. Say, give up 30%(the supposed standard amount spent on housing) of salary in exchange for the company providing housing.
To do that they would have to build housing, and if you get permission to start building then you don't need to give it away as things should start to correct themselves.
NIMBYs don't want that though.
Just lately they passed proposition C, which will reduce the overall housing supply even more.