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I have a slightly unrelated question, but there may be medically trained individuals in this thread.

I'm a medical student, and it seems like most people in the field are rather cavalier when it comes to talking about the job outlook for physicians in most any specialty. Do you all think that some healthcare jobs will not be as vital in the next decade thanks to improvements in computing and AI?

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Also a medical student with an interest in AI. Healthcare jobs that rely on visual recognition (dermatology, radiology, some pathology) are probably the most likely to benefit in the short term (see Enlitic). Presumably a lot of other jobs require advances in Natural Language Processing/Understanding, as one of the big problems in health is the mostly unstructured nature of the data.

It is also possible that many healthcare jobs are essentially AI-complete problems - in this scenario, subjective opinion is not really a reliable marker, but lots of AI specialists give around a 90% chance of human-level machine intelligence by 2070 (there's a table in Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence with the actual figures).

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