7-Elevens Are Becoming Lifelines for Japan's Elderly
citylab.com
citylab.com
Competition in the industry is fierce. Chains are consolidating. Family Mart alone has bought AM/PM (2009), Cocostore (2015), and Circle-K (2016) over the last few years. Margins are becoming thin as traditional high margin items like the bento boxes and hot food items are under assault by Super market chains that (1) have begun offering these same items at bargain prices and (2) are staying open until later to cater to the long hours of corporate workers.
Convenience stores traditionally catered to the youth and "salary men", but with shifting demographics and shifting consumption patters of these traditional target segments, they have been eyeing the elderly as a "growth segment" since at least 2009 when I lived there as a "salary man".
[1] http://mainichi.jp/premier/business/articles/20150707/biz/00...
But there are two passages that stand out to me from the mainichi article
> 2位以下のコンビニチェーンの顧客がセブン−イレブンに流れていることがわかります。
> 今後、国内の個人消費支出の大きな伸びは期待できないでしょう。「このチェーン店の、この商品が好き!」と消費者から思われ、選ばれ続けることが、コンビニ各社が成長するために不可欠の条件となりそうです。
7-11 has done excellently against its competitors, stealing their customers away. But the industry as a whole has matured and has become a zero sum game. I would still contend that targeting the elderly as a growth segment that traditionally has not frequented convenience stores is an industry-wide growth bet that includes 7-11 as well.
Chalk that one up to amateur copywriting.
By visual inspection, though, I think you're likely right with regards to the changing customer mix. Another not-historically-core customer: working women, who might grab a few essentials (and possibly, a dinner) rather than making a full trip to the grocery store.
But with increased competition from a higher density of convenience stores, as well as other competing sectors (super markets, fast food, etc.), the inventory turnover rate has dropped from its peak years, and since these food items are perishable, it's now a point of risk for convenience stores who are expected to carry the items but have uncertainty over how they'll be able to clear inventory.
(by the way you're also spot on about the soft drinks. Also, copies have 70% margin)
[1] fascinating article about the finances of Oden operations and how scale is the make or break factor. http://thutmose.blog.jp/archives/18955371.html
(Summary: a deep dive by a convenience store operator on the microeconomics of offering a particular seasonal dish in Japan, in particular vis the logistical difficulties, cost structure of the offering, and knock-on effect it has on the conveniences store's other business.)
Appreciate the encouragement.
The convenience store chains selling Oden should realize where a sure growth area is -- Europe.
Here's an example: Breakfast https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGsrz4Rrxac
This varies quite a bit depending on where you are. We seem to have three different versions of Denny's here in the Dallas/Ft Worth area alone. One style thet looks like a classic diner, another that's your typical old Denny's architecture, and a few more that are brand new construction. I'm not sure if they're just testing out a concept, but it's been interesting to see that they're still branching out.
But for the next generations it changed. Young people gathering was seen as a problem to be corrected. Local 7-11's started playing classical music specifically to get rid of kids loitering.
I never thought of it before but what they've done is make certain that the baby boomers will be the last generation to support 7-11 and after that they will all die out. Don't know if it's played out that way in Japan or not.
As a traveller in Asia its actually really just been a "safe" ATM spot for me.
Older people sitting there all day, free WiFi, clean washrooms, thousands of restaurants.
Fun fact, FEMA has a "Waffle House index" [0] to determine how damaging a weather event such as a hurricane or tornado outbreak has been based on how many Waffle Houses are still open and what they're serving.
[1]: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/21/nyregion/elderly-patrons-e...
- I can pay pretty much any bill over the counter. (electricity, mobile/internet, ecommerce purchases from Lazada, flights booked with AirAsia, etc)
- There's a wide selection of packaged & refrigerated food that they can warm up for you; microwave meals, various types of toasties, congee/noodles (these are self serve, but they provide the hot water), etc.
- They sell alcohol in the fridges alongside soft drinks. I know that's normal in other parts of the world too, but coming from Australia, is unimaginable there.
- I think there is also a catalog of stuff I can order and pay for in store and pick up later. Not 100% sure because I haven't tried that yet.
Kind of like drive-through alcohol shops in AU.
http://philip.greenspun.com/images/pcd2488/nh-state-liquor-2...
(in an odd remnant of Prohibition, New Hampshire only allows wine and liquor to be sold by government-run stores).
In The Netherlands bills can be automatically deducted from your bank balance if you choose so, or we can easily pay them online regardless of bank through a joint system called iDeal.
In Australia there is definitely a massive gap between convenience store pricing and supermarket pricing, though. Probably to the point of paying 2x or 3x on some items.
They're more expensive in Japan, though not insanely so like in other places.
I'm always fascinated by the logistics side of a convenience store. They micromanage everything to its maximum efficiency/profitability. In the case of 7-11, there are almost 20,000 stores throughout Japan, and each store gets delivery three times a day. I read they predict demands each day based on its weather/holidays, and change its supplies accordingly. They also keep curating their product lines (typically, about 3000) including perishables. The whole system is amazingly massive and complex. They cram stuff in such a small space without violating the fire regulations and whatnot, yet they know how to display them in a visually appearing and approachable way. It truly feels like an art. cf. http://www.sej.co.jp/company/tenpo.html
On the other hand, they have a greedy corporate side, of course. I read they always have backup staffs so even when a store manager dies (each store is a franchise business run by a family) they can keep the store running.