The forth black box paper seems to be quite close actually. The big difference is that I would like to go for higher level tasks. The low level variant - having code missing a few lines/functions and filling those is indeed quite well researched. More interesting would be the opposite: Having blocks of code (called components in my text) and letting the net find a good way to use them. Normally the way a programmer would build something like let's say the amazon website is sketching up a few ideas how it could look - cutting it into small parts and then writing (or reusing) the code for the small parts.

A lot of the "using AI for programming" papers (AI in this case being anything from nets to logic stuff) focus on building these small parts - I'm more interested in the levels above that. The "generating code from natural language/dialogs" also kind of misses my idea as it still assumes a "programmer" to tell it what to do (in the amazon example "display the products on a grid" or "make the buy button bigger"). The programmer would in this case either guess the right thing ("everybody has their products in a grid") or run something like A/B testing against some metric ("items sold" or "$ revenue") and then go back to the conversational programming tool and tell it "change the button". Why not skip the programmer and give the metric directly to the net? The thing I would like to get working is telling the net "here is a ton of different buttons, grids, lists and a lot of other UI stuff, and there are all our products - I want to maximize revenue - do whatever you like to get there".

Regarding the vague ideas: I believe (also totally unsubstantiated - though research in this area would be quite interesting) that writing down ideas first and then looking into them (either by reading other papers or doing own research) is far better than the other way round, because it has a higher probability of leading to something new, because you don't follow assumptions and errors others potentially made which could lead to a dead end. Of course there is a certain trade off, because if you try to reinvent everything you will not get to the point of something new.