Amazon Posts Another Blockbuster Profit
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I've also noticed the quality control has gone down the tubes, with 3rd party sellers shipping counterfeit goods. Amazon doesn't seem to be interested in regulating this.
If there was a company with Amazon's shipping speed but without all the shady 3rd party sellers, I don't think I'd use Amazon again.
But I often also find myself searching a community like reddit for product suggestions through google. query: "product name" reddit, and I may add in tags like BIFL (buy it for life) or frugal to try and trigger different results, so I can see what people who are less likely to be shilling have to say.
For example, while fan searching today, I learned more from https://www.reddit.com/r/BuyItForLife/comments/3ad5rl/bifl_r... than I ever could have from Amazon reviews, and it even made me realize I already have a fan that circulates, I'm just using it wrong.
5 star and 1 star reviews are usually garbage - either fluffed fake reviews, or reviews outraged about something unrelated with the quality of the product itself.
And that's where their amazing (by the standards of other etailers) return policy comes into play.
Same here. I stopped buying commodity electronics items (cables, power supplies, headphones, etc.) on Amazon, because of all the fake products that claim to be 100% original.
Even the Amazon basics brand does not live up to its standards. I recently bought an Amazon basics USB/Lightning cable, "Apple certified". The lightning plug was so lose, it fell right out of the iPhone.
I would consider a YouTube channel that primarily reviews things less trustworthy than a rando on the internet, not more.
Even if the YouTuber is totally trustworthy, "professional" reviewers are only going to give short term impressions, how its features and cost stack up in the market, etc. which I can research for myself. What I want to know about is long term experience, failure modes, etc.
Pretty much only Consumer Reports is in that business, and only for big ticket items like cars.
Maybe I'm just picky but I find reading/judging Amazon reviews a pain in the ass.
And it being a "social" thing, there's nothing stopping you from reaching out and having a conversation with reviewers.
Still, I would at least like to see something like what I mentioned tried.
I have some ideas on ways to tackle the fraud problem, such as with a trust-based ranking system, rewarding balanced feedback, purchase verification, looking for heuristics of fake reviews, and avoiding potential conflicts of interest.
It's not the primary concern of Amazon to make sure their reviews are authentic, where as it would be with a service dedicated to that very concern. In fact, positive reviews help drive more sales, so there's an inherent conflict of interest that I feel justifies the need to separate reviews from the place selling the things being reviewed.
That to me is a pretty good quick-window into the level of quality of the product.
When I changed cities a few years ago, I decided to sell the majority of my books so as not to have to ship them, and I made enough from those sales to cover about a quarter of my shipping fees for the rest of my stuff.
This is particularly true with what I've been buying lately--tools. The local home depot will just deal in a couple of brands for most tools, while amazon is virtually guaranteed to have dozens in all variety of size, power, options, price, and quality.
The price is usually better, as well, and then I don't have to load it into my vehicle, either. Poor UPS guy, though.
I've been searching for a drill press for months, and I actually just hit one today. Assuming it's not sold out from under me by tomorrow, I'll have a new one in the evening.
The last one I saw was sold within two hours of listing, and that was over a month ago.
"For the second quarter, Amazon recorded an $857 million profit, or $1.78 a share, compared with $92 million, or 19 cents, a year earlier, as sales rose to $30.4 billion from $23.19 billion. Analysts were expecting a profit of $1.11 a share, according to the average estimate compiled by Thomson Reuters.
Amazon had forecast sales of between $28 billion and $30.5 billion.
Helping prop up results was the Amazon Web Services cloud computing division, which rents computing power to other companies. AWS increased revenue to $2.89 billion, up from $1.82 billion a year earlier. The unit appears on track to exceed Amazon Chief Executive Jeff Bezos’s goal of reaching $10 billion in sales this year."
Bandwidth is dirt cheap outside of the Cloud, e.g. I'm getting 30 TB of bandwidth as part of my 64GB RAM / 500GB SSD / Quad-Core i7 Skylake for €39 /mo (https://www.hetzner.de/us/hosting/produkte_rootserver/ex41ss...). Which roughly equates to €0.0009 /GB that also includes the cost of hosting entire server with resources that would cost an order of magnitude more on AWS/Azure.
Enterprise level network equipment and infrastructure are extremely expensive. Unusually cheap BW rate usually means cheap equipment or over-subscription or not enough qualified support personnel. And in some cases under-selling to get penetration to a market.
The reason Google Fiber can sell cheaply because (AFAIK), in almost every town or cities that they deployed their network they negotiated special deals with municipalities or equivalent entity to get free access to existing infrastructure or get special deals. There is a reason why Google Fibre is not everywhere or they are not pushing it very aggressively. Because building networks are freaking expensive even for google.
BW may not have any value but building the network and maintaining it to serve you BW is expensive. Your BW cost is a reflection of the cost of your network.
Disclaimer: I own an ISP.
I am not sure if that is entirely true. At least, Google owns the fibers between any 2 google data centers. It is probably only the last-mile that needs municipality support.
Yes, you're getting cheap pricing from an oversubscribed line.
AWS only kind of makes sense until your bill starts approaching that of a full time engineer's salary. Then you can slash costs like crazy by rolling your own infrastructure (at higher risk of downtime). Or pull a Netflix and negotiate wholesale prices.
At least you can leverage Digital Ocean, Linode, etc to run varnish caches to offload bandwidth for things like static assets while keeping your main workloads on AWS. You can build this sorta thing in a couple days I'd say.
I've seen good arguments that the cloud services keep bandwidth costs high on purpose to restrict the types of services that attempt to use (or abuse) their networks. I haven't seen any other great arguments that explain the massive gap between a typical large dedicated host and eg Azure / Google / AWS (all of which can command far cheaper bandwidth costs).
- If you are trying to send a packet from one Google AZ to another, it will traverse Google network only, never hitting the public web.. without a VPN/VPC setup
- If you are trying to reach a service on Google Network, you hit the Google frontend at one of the many Points of Presence around the world, from which point it's a straight path to nearest DC
- If you are trying to reach a customer from your VMs on Google, your packet will be taken as close to your customer as possible on Google backbone
For "cheaper egress" there are CDN providers, and both AWS and Google have their own CDNs as well.
I guess the amount you can overprice is proportional to the value you add. But then is it really over pricing?
Taking all those orders in North America and shipping all that stuff made less money last quarter - $708 Million; than they made running AWS - $718 Million.
Time to spin off that loser business of shipping stuff to people's houses.
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=97664&p=irol-new...
or start doing it by drones, flying or crawling, doesn't matter.
Amazon is the online version of Walmart but much bigger and much more potential...they are taking over retail, both online and offline...just amazing
That value gap between Amazon and Walmart - ~$130 billion - can be argued to be solely made up of the market's valuation now slapped on AWS, based on the expectations of the coming three to five years. I've seen arguments getting routinely made by leading analysts and financial press that AWS is already worth nearly as much as IBM today. Is that true? Who knows, but it's clearly extremely valuable, whether that's $60 billion in market cap equivalent or $130 billion.
It remains to be seen, but I think it's possible that online retail might be similiar. Amazon is building huge, advanced distribution centers in many areas. Will this be enough to allow Amazon to have a natural monopoly, not just for one rural area at a time like Walmart, but for the entire country / world? I think it's certainly possible.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2002/05/20/doom-incorporat...
This is such a moot point.
That Amazon a "retail" company was able to roll out Kindle and popularise E readers (while handling distribution)...
That Amazon were able to roll out AWS, a highly profitable cloud platform...
That Amazon are in the process of launching automated drone delivery...
These facts are not coincidence, they are inextricable from Amazon being what it is - a tech company that happened to start with Retail as its cash cow. It's an innovative company that is not content sitting around getting fat the second it reaches some sort of comfort zone, and until running a company like this becomes the norm, they can afford to command higher PE ratios while people anticipate their next big blockbuster product.
To compare Amazon to Walmart, a company whose be all and end all is Retail, is missing the bigger picture.
(nb that's not to say that their current trading ratio isn't overinflated)
Only time will tell, but if Amazon continues bring users into their Prime ecosystem and AWS maintains its position, there's plenty of room to increase profits.
North America Retail Sales = $702 Million
International Retail Sales = $-135 Million
AWS = $718
NetFlix raising it's monthly price to $10.99 and we only get a sub par library of content..
With Prime we pay less and get much more
In the past year, they've produced 600 hours of new original content that earned 54 Emmy nominations, and you get it for less than the price of one premium cable channel.
Nobody, neither Netflix nor Amazon, is going to continue to have the kind of library Netflix did during its peak as a catalog of old movies. The lax and low-priced licensing deals they got back then are never coming back, not with the rise of online streaming as a mainstream channel for media: everyone's building their own content silos, everyone's aiming for exclusive control of something so you pick theirs, and everyone's asking an arm and a leg for their streaming rights since there's multiple bidders with big budgets involved now.
Netflix will have everything Disney puts out for the next few years; Amazon won't. Amazon will have all of HBO's back catalog for a while; Netflix won't. CBS All Access will have the new Star Trek TV series, nobody else will. Etc etc. That's the short-term future, and it's already locked up in contracts.
My experience is obviously not anecdotal
Have they run out of ideas to invest in? Why are they suddenly changing strategy and forcing their investors to eat massive taxes on retained earnings?
Alternatively, are they saving up for some massive investment in the second half of the year?
It's a software services business. Those rarely become commodities as a basic server business might. And once you have scale, your ability to sell your customers on an endless variety of new services becomes the real value, and that prevents the classic race to the bottom and it boosts customer lock-in dramatically.
AWS, Azure, Google are not primarily competing on compute / ram / bandwidth cost any longer, that's increasingly a meaningless sideshow (which is why AWS is no longer aggressively price cutting / matching). They're competing on what software services they offer, how easy they are to use and scale, etc.
Also a huge market with ~3 suppliers will likely not turn into a commodity business.