I don't think there is a lot of crossover, I've published a few casual games that promoted things like Twitter and Facebook apps, and the conversion rate from portals to twitter and fb has been horribly low every time.
One game of mine that did about 1.2 million plays on portals peaked at I think 400 users on the Facebook version, which was promoted within the portal version.
Recently King.com launched a big facebook app called Funflow, which they linked to from over 100 games in ditribution and several large, many-millions-of-plays new releases. They've probably had close to 100 million plays across their games this year, yet their fb app hasn't quite hit 1 million users.
http://www.appdata.com/facebook/apps/index/id/212391322553