Does anyone know which research he's quoting?
Does anyone know which research he's quoting?
But this matches what I am seeing right now as well as predicting for the future.
SaaS is a powerful distribution model but IaaS has gotten so good that it's in many ways easier to run many small things than one big thing. And when you run many small things huge benefits arise:
* security and isolation. Single tenant by default.
* control. Upgrade when it's convenient for your company, not your provider.
* Cost efficiency. Freemium SaaS requires burning VC cash. Open source + self serve demo doesn't
* customization. Set your own feature flags or add your own patches to fit the software to your business
Everything is cyclical. I think "install this software on your [cloud] computer" is going to be a big trend again.
Edit: I describe our thought process here if it's useful to anyone else: https://tomschlick.com/2015/11/29/lessons-from-building-mult...
Hybrid cloud is sort of being looked at but the rest of the world is still happy being on prem. Certain workloads have to be behind the firewall.
That being said, docker and the like is making this easier.
Outside the tech world, it's a good bet that any given business has a Windows Server variant with Exchange onsite (little battery UPS likely, fancy fire suppression or HVAC pretty unlikely) and Office licenses on every desktop. If there's virtualization it's VMWare. If they allow telecommuting at all it's probably Citrix.
The view of the tech world from SV, and from an IT contractor with a staff of ~45 acting as the IT department for ~500ish local firms in a sleepy Midwestern city, are very different.