Autism as a Disorder of High Intelligence
journal.frontiersin.org
journal.frontiersin.org
http://arstechnica.com/science/2011/06/kids-autism-may-be-re...
You need to be relatively "rich" to be able to afford sending your child to the psychiatrist. Most programmers in Silicon Valley are relatively rich. Therefore, more children are sent to the psychiatrist in Silicon Valley than in the "rest" of the population, so more children with autism are diagnosed.
I do believe that the "imbalance"-hypothesis he presents is a bit vague and proposes several imbalances according to different (and possibly orthogonal) models for intelligence, making it seem a bit unfalsifiable to me. Who knows. Behavioral neuroscience based on MRI(or similar modalities) is a giant sandcastle anyway, best not stack those results too high.
The short version, to me, was that general intelligence is based on several cognitive axes working together. I believe the paper lists 3-4 most of which were separable, like verbal scores, mental rotation tests, etc. And with Autism, you have 1-2 of those axes working above average but the rest not. To falsify, you could break down IQ tests for individuals with autism and compare some areas with the general population and also with each other. If they match the expected pattern, they may be onto something, otherwise the theory is incorrect.
> including full-scale IQ and a PCA-based measure of g (Clarke et al., 2015), childhood IQ, college attendance, and years of education (Bulik-Sullivan et al., 2015), cognitive function in childhood and educational attainment (Hill et al., 2015), and verbal-numerical reasoning and educational level reached (Hagenaars et al., 2016)
I bet all those markers are more closely correlated with income levels in childhood than with occurrence of autism (or anything else).
It could just be the case that IQ is partly genetic (in fact, it is) and that IQ may be a causal factor in income levels to a stronger degree than it is for autism or other things.
My summary: https://brainslab.wordpress.com/2016/05/07/shared-genetic-co...
Some more complex models recover some of that missing heritability, these slides are a nice summary: http://jvanderw.une.edu.au/Mod9Lecture_SNP_Her.pdf
There is a paper from 2011 looking at human intelligence (http://www.nature.com/mp/journal/v16/n10/full/mp201185a.html) and using a little bit of modeling they got the correlation up high:
>We estimate that 40% of the variation in crystallized-type intelligence and 51% of the variation in fluid-type intelligence between individuals is accounted for by linkage disequilibrium between genotyped common SNP markers and unknown causal variants.
However, look at that "unknown", because the same abstract says:
>Finally, using just SNP data we predicted ~1% of the variance of crystallized and fluid cognitive phenotypes in an independent sample.
Using their SNPs alone it's only 1%. I assume the "true" genetic variability (~~~heritability) is somewhere in between those two values, since the 40/50% number seems to assume that these unknown variants will be discovered (they haven't yet AFAIK, maybe they don't exist, maybe they do).
The summary is that it's pretty clear that among higher SES families IQ is more than 50% genetic (but environment still plays a very large role). However, many studies indicate that among lower SES families, environment is the dominant factor.
There's still conflicting evidence here though, because there are some studies that indicate that SES has little impact on IQ heritability. The argument is that SES has a much greater on the heritability of IQ in children than on that of adults.
Low SES environments are likely to cause malnourishment and other problems that cause people to fail to live up to their potential.
Thus, genetic explanations for inequality are more plausible among populations of high SES.
So what they could do here is show that Autism occurrence is more closely related to their measures than to income levels in childhood, but I don't think they did that (I confess I didn't read the whole thing).
"All four of these studies, which used diverse, independent populations and tests (or correlates) of cognitive abilities, have reported significant, substantial genetically-based positive associations of autism risk with intelligence, notably including full-scale IQ..."
I think the part of the sentence where they used "diverse, independent populations" and obviously tried to control for effects like income levels in childhood undermines your criticism. More to the point, the studies mentioned were about measuring the IQ of individuals with known alleles for autism. You can attempt to argue that childhood income may have a stronger affect on IQ than autism does, but the studies themselves showed there was some positive effect of Autism on IQ.
"Neurotypicals spend most of their cognitive bandwidth on mutual grooming and status-maintainance activity."
http://www.nimh.nih.gov/about/director/2013/transforming-dia...
Time for a new book.
I read the article; or at least a deep skim. Its examples, data, and arguments are pretty convincing. Lots of interesting data and citations provided in support of the theory.
If its a wrong theory, at least its well documented and interesting to think about and leads down interesting paths. Insert fairly obvious analogy to string theory.