Irish Economy grew by 26.3% in 2015
irishtimes.com
irishtimes.com
GDP and GNP are similar for most countries but Ireland is a small open and agile economy with a huge presence of foreign multinationals. Profits of these companies are often declared in Ireland but repatriated back to their host countries. Hence the disparity between the two figures.
Ireland also entered a harsh recession from 2008 to 2014 so an element here is also simply making up for lost ground.
This comes at a time when Ireland is bracing itself for Brexit. Ireland is massive trading partner of the UK. Ireland buys a similar amount from the UK as France for example.
The strategy seems twofold - get the EU to empathise with Ireland so that the UK doesn't have to got though a hard exit and introduce a hard border. While also trying to rob all the companies looking to relocate to an EU location from London.
For me whats interesting so much value being added to the Irish economy with relatively little actually coming from construction. Something Ireland was little too dependant on.
I don't see anyway around the hard border. If border EU countries are required to protect their border as I've been lead to believe then Ireland now has to do that unless UK excepts freedom of movement.
Whatever happens with Brexit, it's very unlikely there'll be a "hard border" between the UK and ROI. The UK and ROI have a common travel area agreement that predates, and does not depend on, the EU.
The ROI, like the UK, is not part of the Schengen agreement area and so is outside the "EU border" anyway. It's very difficult to imagine a scenario where Ireland would want to give up the CTA in favour of Schengen, even given the circumstances of Brexit.
Even if the UK fails to negotiate full free market access or a free trade agreement with the EU, any restrictions would almost certainly relate to services, not the free movement of goods.
Yes, but remember: Ireland is not part of the Schengen area. EU citizens (along with everyone else) go through border checks when entering Ireland from outside the common travel area.
That information may be shared with the UK as part of the common travel area agreement, so it doesn't make a difference whether someone enters the common travel area in Ireland or in the UK.
And of course, being allowed to enter a country (whether checked or not) does not necessarily mean you have the right to reside there and seek employment.
The Schengen area, on the other hand, guarantees that people can move across borders without border control. Border control is done at the Schengen area borders, whether that be land borders, sea ports, or airports.
A country such as the UK can continue to be part of the Schengen area without being part of the EU. So anyone can fly into Ireland, where the border checks would be carried out.
From there, the person could freely cross the border to the UK, but they would not have the right to live and work there. In order to do so (legally), they would have to apply for a UK visa and work permit.
However, at the moment neither Ireland nor the UK participate in the Schengen area, so border checks will be conducted according to existing agreements between the UK and Ireland. From what I understand, if a person can freely enter Ireland, they can freely enter Northern Ireland. However, from what I hear, there are additional checks when traveling between Northern Ireland and the UK, so the UK can further control who comes from Northern Ireland.
UK's not in Schengen.
Or I mean, Irish citizenship rules are very lax re: US citizens of Irish descent in particular, what was to stop them migrating to the UK en masse while we were in the EU?
Predate isn't a synonym for supersede. Ireland gave up her sovereignty to make individual trade/free movement deals upon entering the EU. In fact the whole point of the EU is that we operate as an economic bloc.
EU law and policy does supersede any arrangements made between Ireland the UK before EU membership.
The CTA thing gets trotted out regularly by professional journalists and career politicians in Ireland but it's mistake to think the CTA has any real power over the EU.
UK will have to accept EU migration and contribute to EU purse but doesn't have a seat at the table making the whole referendum a fruitless pursuit that cost the UK political clout.
Conversely the Germans may see Brexit as a threat to the EU (particularly if the UK does well outside the EU) and may veto the UK joining the EEA. The UK performing poorly outside the EU would act as a disincentive to other members who may be weighing up leaving.
Another alternative to the hard border between N.Ireland and Ireland is a hard border between N.Ireland and the rest of the UK. Though some saying having to use a passport to travel within your own country defeats the purpose of the country.
The Leave campaign made it crystal clear their rationale and the most notable were not allowing EU immigration and not giving money to the EU. For the Tory government to ignore the mandate would be politically catastrophic and would result in the same problems from the right e.g UKIP that caused this whole mess to begin with.
It seems more likely that there will be a whole raft of specific agreements over the coming decades that will facilitate a more constructive EU-UK relationship.
None of the leave campaign are in a position of power so what they wanted, whatever it was, is not an issue.
The only place we were stopped was at the British army checkpoint at Newry. Your car entered a concrete "pen" made up of movable concrete barriers. They pointed remote controlled cameras at the occupants and checked your license plate. If all was well you got a green light and drove on your way, again no id required. If you were about to have a bad day you got a red light and an arrow instructing you to drive into a holding area (or a different barrier operated memory is vague on the details) for further checks.
The border with the Republic (on the old road, the R132 now) was unguarded, you just drove on into "the south".
If an EU person flies to Dublin, walks across the border to Newry, and lives a full life there, has UK immigration policy failed?
There are some border controls between Ireland including Northern Ireland and the UK now. If you look out of place, you should be prepared to be challenged.
Interestingly, an Irish or UK citizen born in the British Isles need only convince the immigration officer of their bona fides, even without a passport.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Ireland%E2%80%93Un...
Here is the law:
http://www.irishstatutebook.ie/eli/1997/si/277/made/en/print
Checks by air and sea are authorized and implemented. The UK Border Force also performs spot inspections.
The UK has a similar veto which gives it a powerful negotiating tool - a single member can prevent every decision by vetoing it.
The Germans could veto but the UK can veto everything and delay leaving till it gets most of what it wants - effectively halting the EU.
Any attempts to circumvent veto can be vetoed.
Or if it does invoke article 50 how does it plan on keeping this veto power after the two year negotiating window expires?
Few discussions about the outcome of negotiations mention veto, a blunt instrument the UK has often employed in the past.
The referendum doesn't mention a mechanism or timescale.
Northern Ireland should just pull out of the UK already and the whole island can return to being Ireland, and solve the problem with land borders.
This idea wouldn't be as simple as it sounds if you account for the sociopolitical context. Today actually is a perfectly timed example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Twelfth#Controversies_and_...
As an Irishman, I've always thought even of the nationalists up north as a different breed; their mentality is defined by what they're in opposition to. Toxic politics; everything is looking inward rather than forward.
A lot of the Irish define themselves, historically, in terms of opposition to the British.
What does this even mean? "define themselves, historically". The nation, certainly but you are conflating disparate notions to project a stereotype.
Explain why the Irish are the largest naturalised community inside the UK?
If you put away the thesaurus, maybe it'd be easier to figure out what you're saying.
Of what relevance is Wales and Scotland, when the comparison was specifically between NI and ROI? Or indeed, what naturalisation has to do with with it?
Maybe you should read the thread before injecting your opinion.
What do you think "British" (/Britain) means? What do you think 'defining oneself historically' means, if anything? Are you Irish?
There are many ways to define oneself as an individual. I'm talking about how many Irish see their own country from a historical perspective.
If you doubted that even meant anything, then how could you conclude that I was "project[ing] a stereotype"?
There are many ways to define oneself. "Defining oneself historically" is something Americans in South Boston do.
I'm not sure what you find confusing about "op stated "A lot of the Irish define themselves, historically, in terms of opposition to the British.""
The Irish aren't, never have been, opposed to Britain, Great Britain & North Ireland nor the United Kingdom.
I've clarified above what I mean by "historically" - Do you have anything to add to this in the context of the post I was replying to?
> I'm not sure what you find confusing about "op stated"
I'm confused because by 'op' you seem to be referring to me...
> The Irish aren't, never have been, opposed to Britain, Great Britain & North Ireland nor the United Kingdom
"The Easter Rising (Irish: Éirí Amach na Cásca),[2]
also known as the Easter Rebellion, was an armed insurrection in Ireland during Easter Week,
April 1916. The Rising was launched by Irish republicans to end British rule in Ireland
and establish an independent Irish Republic while the United Kingdom was heavily engaged
in World War I. It was the most significant uprising in Ireland since the rebellion of 1798,
and the first armed action of the Irish revolutionary period."
also, no need to educate me on my history my friend. I understand it deeply but I'm not defined by it. As are the vast majority of my countrymen.
Ahh, when you run out of ideas but can't stop talking. Nice.
My point is pretty clear. The Irish don't hate the "british" because of historical matters. As much as you'd like to think otherwise.
By 'point' I mean what it has to do with the context of the thread: A comparison of mentalities between NI and ROI.
I'll respond as I like TYVM.
you really can't stop, can you?
Again, I'll reply as I like. Step off as you like.
I think any opposition that existed was to British military _occupation_ and economic exploitation of Ireland, not opposition to the British per se.
In addition Irish identity is much richer and deeper than simply opposing something or someone. I recommend a brief dip into the rich literature and music of the island so that you don't make this embarrassing error again.
I really don't think that condescending tone was needed, regardless of parent's knowledge of the subject matter at hand, we're above that here.
1) nothing more than being opposition 2) inherently racist (focussed on being anti another ethnicity)
then I will take your rebuke and downvote as evidence of either a lack of thought or a deliberate attempt to insult.
Stick to Scotland friend. You may actually know something about it.
You're just throwing around that accusation to justify bad behavior. It's easy to attach any label when you have such loose definitions ("anti" "ethnicity").
> nothing more than being opposition
You added "nothing more", which plays the same role as the "just" in "just a theory" - turning a statement in context into a straw-man.
> then I will take your rebuke and downvote as evidence of either a lack of thought or a deliberate attempt to insult
Isn't that convenient. I take the lack of content in your post as evidence of the same.
> Stick to Scotland friend. You may actually know something about it.
Sticking with the condescension, eh?
If you know something about this topic, why not show us?
In context of why I made such a comparison: Is NI history not deep?
> so that you don't make this embarrassing error again
You missed the point, so please don't pile smugness on top of it.
This is very true. It might not be true everywhere but many of us find the Northern Irish to be a different breed. I can see the NI identity potentially resolving itself into a separate country proper.
To be honest this may go back much further than any English/Irish conflict. I remember reading in a historical fiction derived from the Annals of the Four Masters about Brian Boru becoming the High King and the clear differences observed between Southerners and Ulster, and that's over a thousand years ago.
To non-Irish-folk: Yes, just like the North in Game of Thrones. The English, Scots and Irish alone have enough intrigue and violence to sate even George R.R. Martin!
Here's a tale from my clan that sounded quite GOT-like. Irish people are known for using colourful metaphors and this time it caught up with one of them.
Once upon a time a man was raiding cattle. Cows were money in those days and 'accidentally' collecting them from the valley of your neighbours was more or less irresistible for many a ruffian.
The cattle raider passed into the Forest with cow in tow to escape from any pursuers. It is ancient forest with great big tree trunks and everything to be seen is an ocean of green, maybe something like this: https://www.flickr.com/photos/aapamire/4371421987/in/photost...
Newly confident in his new possession the thief comes to a glen, it is a long, deep, narrow valley. As soon as the cow makes an appearance the raider is surprised. He flees but is pinioned to the floor. Unbeknown to him, my relatives had been waiting for him at the other side of it.
"No!" he cries, "Sure it is only a head of cattle I were borrowing and don't I have wife and child to feed or they shall go hungry this night. God forgive me! My wife will be so angry if I don't have my hand on the door by midnight. I swore an oath I'd be back this evening! Please show a man mercy!"
My relative replied: "By God this is serious! Sure you can not be breaking oaths!"
So they took him back to his cottage and nailed his hand to its door.
Here is the opinions of the Irish and Northern Irish people on the issue of unity within the past year: http://www.rte.ie/news/primetime/2015/1104/739633-prime-time...
Given that Northern Ireland is now majority Catholic I would imagine Catholic unionists would be very against Brexit and many Don't Knows are now in the UI camp. I don't know what the new figures would be but I'll love to seem more polling on this post Brexit referendum.
http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2013/Political_Attitudes/NIRELND2....
From what I recall, NI is not in a position to fund itself without UK assistance. Ireland would have to foot that.
The bigger issue is that such a move (a united Ireland) would spark a new round of terrorism and instability.
An argument frequently trumpeted by the No campaign in 2014 during the Scottish Independence debate with their unionist press lackeys trotting out the same tired old "too wee, too poor, too stupid" articles that were debunked time and time again.
Deficits aside, economically speaking. these people have no imagination. Who's to say Scotland would continue with the same ruinous economic policies as implemented by Westminster, our priorities are somewhat different.
Once Scotland goes, NI should be a near certainty to follow - leaving us and probably Wales (who seem to have a better grasp on the costs of needing to balance the books alone).
Ahem. Wales is a net beneficiary of the EU to the tune of hundred of millions of pounds per year and they voted for Brexit. Something tells me the Tories in Westminster won't exactly be tripping over themselves to send a ton of more cash to the valleys with a potential economic downturn on the horizon due to Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/27/wales-...
NI is actually a pretty expensive place to run.
I think that's what parent means. That the EU not force Ireland to protect the border, that they make an exception with UK.
>Ireland has to do that unless UK accepts freedom of movement No? Ireland can do whatever the EU wants, independently of whether UK accepts or does not accept freedom of movement.
Real work is done in one location using real infrastructure then real tax is avoided using tax loopholes and countries who want a higher standard of living than their value added labour allows.
1. A fair number of companies to relocate to Dublin post Brexit.
2. Large indigenous growth coming from Irish startups. Slowly the scene has been building and maturing for years.
3. You'll have to take a 50% wage cut if you come to Ireland. American software developers are paid approx 2x their Irish counterparts.
* Lower (but not atrocious) salaray * Lower cost of living (even during the present rent crisis it's nowhere near as bad as the bay) * (Subjective) more relaxed lifestyle. * Gorgeous summers * Challenging winters if you like sun. (I don't really, and even I get sick of it around Jan/Feb)
Find info in my profile if you want to ask questions.
But for anyone to claim that Ireland would experience this sort of growth without being the go-to tax avoidance location for the likes of Google, Apple, Facebook and fill in the blank--is ridiculous on its face. Through the phenomenon of "income stripping" these tech companies essentially gift their IP to their Irish subsidiaries and then the subsidiary charges the parent company to use that IP, thereby stripping the parent company's earnings from the US--where the companies are actually located--to these tax havens.
In case you've been living under a rock you would know that Facebook has been fighting a lawsuit from the US treasury since 2010 over this exact situation.
Hillary is almost without question going to win the election. She has proclaimed that her husband would have a star role in regards to improving the economy. One of Bill's core economic ideas is to flatten the US corporate tax rate - lower the rate and remove various subsidies and loopholes - to make the US far more competitive with the rest of the world. If the US matches Western Europe on corporate tax rates - Europe has the lowest corporate tax rates of any major economic region - it'll begin pulling very large amounts of capital and major corporations away from everyone else.
Also much of the money passing through Ireland is simply for tax evasion not because actual business is taking place there. It's little more than a tax haven.
Here is an example of all those jobs created:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_Sandwich_(tax_avoidance)
I think his point was that Ireland tends to tax the workers rather than the companies. So those companies are still a benefit to the country.
Lucky for them the UK is also getting desperate and instead of having it's own work is going to "attract" companies with lower corporation tax.
Race you to the bottom.
The low rate works if you're a small economy with access to a much larger economy. With Brexit looming and given the size of the UK it doesn't fit either of these important criteria for the strategy to work.
I think Osborne lowered the rate the prevent an exodus of companies from the UK more than attract others to it.
Yes, the jobs need to be done, but those jobs might not be done in Ireland. Hence the Irish government and society is willing to have a low tax rate in order to get those jobs in Ireland (as opposed to USA). People in the USA might want those jobs in USA, but people in Ireland want those jobs in Ireland.
The UK, with it's oodles of "crown dependencies" is a much larger tax haven.
Is there the possibility of some bias there?