A hard-core split was bound to happen as long as liberals/socialists didn't want to hear about immigration quantity. And it may happen again in France, as long as lefties don't discuss about problems we have.
A hard-core split was bound to happen as long as liberals/socialists didn't want to hear about immigration quantity. And it may happen again in France, as long as lefties don't discuss about problems we have.
Ah, one of those comments.
Most of the EU countries where immigration is currently an issue have had 'right wing' parties leading them for a very long time.
Immigration is just the easiest populist button to press to get a large number of people to vote against their own interests.
One of the problems underlying all this is not immigration per-se, but the rapid and unbounded expansion of the EU to include countries with a huge range of incomes and costs-of-life. Add to that the ability and willingness of people to leave behind their old lives and/or families in order to go abroad to make some money and you have an instantaneous problem.
But the powers that be have it right: in the longer term the only way the EU can work is by giving everybody the right to relocate to wherever they want. That way at some point it all levels out again.
Try to imagine a USA where someone from Texas would not be able to move to LA or NYC or the other way around. Border controls against movement on every state-border. If you find that hard to imagine try to come up with a really good argument why it should be any different within the EU.
Finally, there are people that wish to migrate to the EU from regions outside of it. The EU made a strategic mistake here, which is that they have been partially (together with the US) responsible for the destabilization of the region just outside of it. That this could lead to a huge influx of refugees was a risk they took knowingly, and that I feel it is only responsible to deal with. It would be nice if the countries that are not walking distance from those regions or that are protected by a body of water that is not easily navigable would take their responsibilities in this as well.
I'm sorry for my naivety but what does that mean? I've heard this so many times. Do they want German troops on their borders? Do they want to sit back and relax while Germany feeds, clothes, and shelters their troops and law enforcement?
Now, a common solution for the refugee crisis is not possible because the problem is not the refugee crisis. The problem is that the EU is TOO WEAK.
Perhaps a naive first step towards a solution could be that all member states cede the right to tax income to the European Union. We could follow up in a few years by ceding VAT to the EU as well. Follow the money. Member states shouldn't "contribute" towards funding the EU. The EU should have the right to collect taxes.
I'm sure there are a lot of subtleties involved here but this is what I see from outside. I'd appreciate any insight as to why the naive approach is valid or invalid.
I'm sure there are a lot of subtleties involved here but this is what I see from outside. I'd appreciate any insight as to why the naive approach is valid or invalid.
a) Would require a constitutional change in many EU states, especially Germany where some of the changes to the financial ESM were challenged: http://europeanlawblog.eu/?p=1057
b) Collecting taxes implies full budgetary control over EU states. This leads to ...
c) It would be very, very unpopular, especially in the current environment. It was bad enough when Greece effectively had to hand a budget veto to its creditors. Trying to make taxation EU-wide is basically a red flag to populist Eurosceptic movements everywhere.
Remember, the US only regards Federal sovereignty as superior to State sovereignty as a result of a brutal civil war the outcome of which is still not fully accepted. In the EU the member states are still sovereign.
Basically, all I see is a blanket "let's open the borders" call, that allowed people to simply cross a border. It renders the concept of borders, border-control, visas, regulations, passports all of that as null and void. For years, we've all followed the rule of law, visas and passports for travel, and now all of a sudden none of that matters because...?
Yet they failed in late 2014, because Greece couldn't continue funding the Greek part of them anymore, and refused funding from Germany for them (because Germany said they'd only fund Greek border guard if they'd be replaced with FRONTEX officers).
That finally happened in late 2015.
http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/home-affairs/what-we-do/policies/sec...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Border_and_Coast_Guar...
Or, its predecessor, FRONTEX?
In the meantime, the cost was huge for all parties, so all the pro-immigration camp has succeeded is to increase the cost of stopping immigration.
And it's not even about intra-EU migration. It's probably about the number of international visas granted.
I didn't even have an opinion on the Brexit. All I notice is there is little tolerance or understanding for the Leave camp.
No, he isn't.
> In the longer term the only way the EU can work is by giving everybody the right to relocate to wherever they want
and about non-EU immigration:
> I feel it is only responsible [...] to deal with the large influx [associated with] the destabilization of the region just outside it.
International visas are currently not harmonised. The UK is and has been free to run a regime that is as liberal or as hostile as it wants. Non-EU migration is not the fault of the EU.
Intra-EU migration is tied (politically) to the single market. The EU is currently making this clear to Switzerland. The cost of stopping intra-EU migration is leaving the single market, which is potentially a huge cost.
And then there's the real problem: a lot of people who the public considers to be "immigrants" are actually local nationals with nonwhite skin. All of the Bataclan killers were French nationals! There's no immigration policy that could have made a difference here without also having a time machine.
Once you realise that people complaining about "immigrants" also mean "non-white local nationals", suddenly there's no solution. Then you realise that people promising a solution are at the top of the slippery slope leading to the Final Solution, the very thing the EU was set up to prevent ever happening again.
And that's why MP Jo Cox was murdered a few days before the vote.
Yes, immigrants who have been accepted are all UK nationals and they belong there now. Now have we asked the country side UK people whether they want to distribute more visas in 2017 to non-EU, highly skilled, foreign workers, followed by a passport in 10 years? I'm being specific here because liberals tend to conflate xenomurderers with people who want a honest discussion about visa quantities.
Same thing in France. We are still allocating tens of thousands of visas to non-skilled non-refugee immigrants: "Family" visas - aka get your brother in, and all your family can immigrate. We also have the free hospital policy and we've made mistakes with massively accepting people for medical tourism. I have nothing against existing French nationals and I have been the first one to protest aside them against police/administration racism. But we haven't succeeded the battle of the ideas and, as you mention, we have created terrorists out of native French citizen who were exposed to racism. Whether it's the school which isn't free enough, or there university which isn't free enough, or the taxes for the poor which aren't low enough, or specific language/culture classes which don't transmit or values, there is a failure in our integration process. And until we guarantee that we integrate newcomers with our values, I want to postpone non-mandatory immigration as long as there's not enough budget for their teachers.
One of our values is that you, as a French person of 2nd generation, teach your kids to not burn the flag of the country you're in. Another is that we've fought for a century so our women are free, so there will be no sign of submission in women (and the church needs to align too). Another one is, if you're in, don't swap your PhD for smuggling 10k€ of illegal goods after 3 years (which I've seen). Another one is that school is free, so your son better work hard before you complain about racism.
Oh and before you complain more about racism, if I invite you home for programming lessons, don't touch my 8-year old niece (which I've seen). The guy didn't even go to jail, he was merely told off in a police interview with his parents (he's 16). I didn't want to say there's an anti-white movement, but when that happened, in 2015 and together with the two Paris attacks, I started wondering. And it's time we reset equal rules for everyone.
So there is a political question to answer, in every country, about how many visas we issue in each category, how we proceed to integrate everyone, and still make it fair for countryside people. And as long as the liberal answer is "Welcome everyone, all criticizers are racists!", then the answer will be... racism.
No, being an intra-EU migrant under EU free movement does not automatically make you a UK national. You retain your original nationality unless and until you go through the naturalisation process, which few have bothered with because it costs >£1500 and until now does not convey much benefit.
This is why people are worried about the Conservative party leadership candidates refusing to rule out expelling EU nationals - millions of people, some of whom have been here for years, are potentially affected.
> Now have we asked the country side UK people whether they want to distribute more visas in 2017 to non-EU highly skilled foreign workers, followed by a passport 10 years later?
No we haven't, but that's nothing to do with the EU? Generally the pressure has been to reduce "immigration", so the non-EU visa rules have been made more onerous, especially spousal visas.
Good, because I wasn't talking about those, slight misunderstanding. "Immigrant who have been accepted" = visa holder who is now a citizen = for example a ultra-highly-skilled newly-UK-national born in India.
> but that's nothing to do with the EU?
Absolutely nothing, and that's the problem: The English haven't been asked whether they wanted to increase visas, but their intelligencia did it anyway. So next time they had an opportunity to vote, be sure they voted against whatever the intelligencia wants, whatever it cost. Brexit was a vote against both their governing class and against their upper economic class (London). Yes, the cost is huge, but what other choice were they given?
That's why I said putting all "immigration" into a single category is that it conflates so many different things. The Brexit vote can only affect EU free movement immigration.
> So next time they had an opportunity to vote
Next time? What time period do you think this covers? People have been complaining about immigration since the Empire Windrush in 1948. The 'rivers of blood' speech was in 1968. This conversation about immigration has been happening my entire lifetime.
There's a handy graph widget here: http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/HTMLDocs/dvc123/i... which any reasonable eyeballing suggests that immigration has been in the hundred-thousands for about two decades across three Labour governments and two Conservative ones.
I was exxxxtremely specific in my last post about one very detailed type of immigration, and you are conflating "all types of immigration" AGAIN. You did systematically misunderstand and conflate everything that was misunderstandable in my speech, I don't know whether that's on purpose or not. That English people have been accepting or refusing immigration in the past is no question. The question is whether they want to add 1 million people in London in the next 10 years (it was the London plan before Brexit), and the English people didn't get to vote on that.
But you, and all the Remain camp together with you, make a full, complete denial that it is possible to discuss immigration quantities, although the visa bureaus exist in every country. And it's to break stubborn people like you that the People of England was required to break your toys, England, and Europe at the same time. Thank you for your stubbornness, here is the bill, please don't do the same in France and accept to discuss immigration quantities.
> Try to imagine a USA where someone from Texas would not be able to move to LA or NYC or the other way around. Border controls against movement on every state-border.
> If you find that hard to imagine try to come up with a really good argument why it should be any different within the EU.
Before the recent migratory crisis free movement of people was not really a very hard pressing issue, even after the inclusion of the former eastern bloc countries.
It only took the currently seen proportion when, as response to the migratory pressure and the reticence of neighboring countries, Germany (unilaterally) signaled that they would accept and welcome the migrants without a clear vetting or logistic process in place.
A more apt analogy would be if NAFTA, originally an economic treaty, evolved into a free movement treaty between the participant countries and then, as the result of some kind of adverse conditions in South America, Canada declared that they were willing to accept the South America migrants that managed to reach their country.
There would be a big migratory pressure on the southern Mexican border (the actual border of that union) and unable to control or unwilling to deal with the problem on its own Mexico started to organize the flow of migrants from its southern border to its northern, passing the problem along to the next country, the United States.
In that hypothetical scenario the parties opposed to the original conversion of NAFTA from an economic treaty to a freedom of movement treaty would be bolstered by this unforeseen and unrelated event.
Two notes:
1) nowhere in this analogy I'm making any statement of opinion or passing any judgement about rhe situation depicted
2) comparing NAFTA to the EU is more apt than comparing US to the EU because the states that make the later have a much stronger and older sense of their own national identity than those of the former.
But I don't believe it would ever reach the current proportions in all of the EU without the current migrant crisis and the lack of proper coordinated response.
The theory is that by including these countries in the Union their conditions eventually will improve (through EU funding and access to the single market) to a point that people won't have any reason to emigrate, basically removing the root cause of immigration.
It makes a lot of sense, but it is in the best of case a long and difficult process, and people facing loss of jobs and diminishing wealth will see solutions like "let's build a wall", or "let's get out of the EU" as appealing, it's human nature.
Maybe instead of going "all in, all the way" with the single market and free movement (that personally I have thoroughly enjoyed and consider it a huge net positive), the EU should have made the process more gradual.
They did. "Eu Transitional" is a google-able phrase for more info. The UK originally overrode those limits as they needed workers badly at the time, the situation reversed with later countries where the UK maintained the limits and other countries abandoned them:
Yes and since you mention responsibilities for destabilization, I would find it appropriate if the US felt some of it too. How many Syrian refugees have they accepted so far? 10k? It's pathetic, given that Europe is absorbing 100x or 200x the amount.
I'd suggest that the Nobel-peace-prize-winning US president should actually take some simple measures to help peace and accept more refugees into his country instead of shutting the borders.
Literally right now. People from Malawi are wandering around outside my house. All illegals of course. I have no idea why the police don't deport them but it must be a political decision by higher-ups. The ones I asked don't even lie about where they are from. They are very confident they won't be deported and I am curious about why that should be.
MENA countries have been troubled for many decades, often centuries. We can't take everybody merely because they are suffering. That would be like importing everybody from Boliva and Brazil because they have a lower standard of living than the USA. That is an extreme political stance to take.
“The number one reason why people leave Syria is not the bombs or the food or the cold, it’s because they want to find educational opportunities for their children,” Mr. Møller explains. “Every refugee is a migrant. Not every migrant is a refugee.” [ http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/05/15/un-director-admit... ]
"Six out of 10 migrants to Europe come for 'economic reasons' and are not refugees" - EU Vice President Frans Timmermans [ http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/six-out-of-10... ]
"The diversity of asylum applications shows the migrant crisis is driven by more than just Syria’s collapse.... Only 21 per cent were from Syria." [ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-view/11877088/N... ]
The vast majority of immigrants are simply looking to take advantage of European Union countries' superior infrastructure and aid/benefit programs.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-cornwa...
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jun/26/cornwall-fea...
Historically, the people that are in power now are the same guys with the same ideas and the same interests than the one that have been screwing them in the last 30 years. The vote is just giving them an immediate boost in power.
So they were mislead to follow the guy that has a consistent history of fucking them up. Maybe that's not technically directly voting against their own interests, but that does not look like the best decision one can take either.
edit: Note that you could probably say the same for the city workers. The UK has a consistent history of boosting its power. People working in the City, long term, are probably better off with neoliberal politic: they are on the winning side of the balance.
You argue that voters were misled and made a huge mistake because they didn't know what they were voting for, due to lies and misinformation, and thus voted against their own interests (not "technically" but in spirit). This is a summary of your argument.
But the article cites polls showing that Leave voters were far more skeptical of politicians and far less likely to believe them than Remain voters: 81% distrust for Leave vs 67% for Remain.
So given that you say both campaigns lied a lot, that would imply that Leave voters were less misled by propaganda and MORE likely to know what it was they were doing. Yet that does not appear to be the conclusion you have reached. Why not?
Believing that politician are lying to you does not make you informed, it makes you uninformed. For example, if you believe your GPS is not working, and you chose to follow its direction (or not), it does not mean you know the road, you are still picking at random. I conceded that it is the case of both sides.
As I explained, the reason I believe the Leave voters voted against their best interest is not based on the Brexit campaign, it is based on who they put in charge by doing it.
> Yet that does not appear to be the conclusion you have reached. Why not?
Don't get me wrong, as I alluded before, I'm in a position to actually benefit from the Brexit. I believe that the Leave voters are going to get the shit end of the deal.
I can believe they are informed as you suggest, or I can believe they were mislead. The difference is that I may vote against my interest for the later (eg: increase my taxes), but not for the former.
As final note: better NHS, better social security, more money, more job opportunities, vibrant country side full of activity, ... The fact that I don't believe it will happen does not mean I don't want it to happen. I don't mind being proven wrong, even if that means being ridiculed every 23rd of June, or looking stupid when my kid ask me why I was Remain.
Please don't be condescending and derisive in your argument if you politically disagree with them. I'm sick of seeing that, and it's almost always not productive in an ethical way.
Everyone has the right to be heard and share their opinion. If you are right, then you can win your argument on its merits, not on how you frame your opponent.
What is the condescending insult you're referring to by the way? Lefties?
'Lefties' used to dismiss another's point of view as invalid withiut actually explaining why is just baselessly tribal and antagonistic.
But yeah, definitely so re your second point, it is needlessly antagonising, and destroys measured political discussion (as it always has and always will)
What makes you compare the EU to the US, and not say, the Americas?
> The EU made a strategic mistake here, which is that they have been partially (together with the US) responsible for the destabilization of the region just outside of it. That this could lead to a huge influx of refugees was a risk they took knowingly, and that I feel it is only responsible to deal with.
I'm going to put this as bluntly as possible so there is no chance of a miscommunication.
Europeans don't want blacks and arabs in their countries. Nobody cares about being called a racist anymore. They want the blacks and arabs out.
In England and France there is a real threat of civil unrest if it continues. People have had it with their children being bullied in schools and the constant stories, real and unreal, of rapes and murders.
You have to ask yourself what a typical young European thinks of Anders Brevik. The ones I know think he was right on the money. As you probably know he wrote a manifesto which is a sort of prognosis/prediction rant. Since he disseminated that and killed the children on the island he has become very popular on the radical European right, a sort of terrorist version of Nostradamus.
To spell it out: it means they won't primarily be attacking blacks and arabs, they'll be attacking leftists open borders supporters and their fellow travelers. They don't hate the blacks and arabs per se, not in comparison to the contempt they have for the portion of the left which they see as traitorous and treasonous.
Attacking people for being different is a side effect in comparison to the urge to destroy your real competitors, people like you but competing for the same resources.
I respect David Cameron for allowing the referendum to go ahead and I respect the Austrians for allowing a recount of their votes after potential fraud was spotted.
Despite that I don't think good stewardship can prevent violence breaking out. Between social media and Islamic terror attacks there will be a reaction, probably starting in France.
> You have to ask yourself what a typical young European thinks of Anders Brevik. The ones I know think he was right on the money. As you probably know he wrote a manifesto which is a sort of prognosis/prediction rant. Since he disseminated that and killed the children on the island he has become very popular on the radical European right, a sort of terrorist version of Nostradamus.
> the contempt they have for the portion of the left which they see as traitorous and treasonous.
And the profound ignorance you have here of history would be funny if it wasn't so pathetically sad.
I'd recommend picking up a history book and educate yourself on what happens when far-right exremists start picking out groups of people among their own countrymen to label as 'enemies' or 'traitors'. It's a diversionary tactic meant advance an agenda of those seeking power that is almost certainly not in your interest or mine.
It was a tactic of the Nazis, of Stalin's Soviets, of the Khmer Rouge. Get a fucking grip.
The question I want the answer to is why is the left pushing all the buttons that will produce conflict. This is not a rhetorical question, it is both a statement of fact and a real question.
Let us not pretend inviting millions of foreigners to Europe is some kind of ancient policy of the left wing. This is one of the largest mass migrations in our history. This is a new thing. The response of the right is often reactionary. Classically their forms of terror are also reactionary. Which brings me to the question:
So why is this happening?
I understand very well why people from other countries wish to improve their circumstances, nothing could be more human. Like I already said, the main vitriol of the right is against their countrymen of the left persuasion, not the refugees/migrants. This is something not entirely comprehended by the media despite the terrorism of Anders Brevik and that ignorance is itself highly problematic because it underestimates the danger of reaction.
To put it technically; xenophobia is a second order effect.
I am asking you to explain the first order effect, the cause of allowing ancient borders to be superseded. Why is this happening?
If my posts make you angry then I ask you to resist replying. If I present an opinion it is because I believe it to be so. Liberals often ask questions of authority e.g. the so-called truth to power. I am doing same thing to them and calling them to account for their actions. If this is too blasphemous or irksome we can just move onto other topics.
There is no option for "make the foreigners cease to exist" or "make them stop wanting to compete their way up to our standard of living".
"Distrust" in general in the UK and the US is probably fed mostly by the spectacular rise of media management and post-truth politics. Trust is a valuable public resource: a high-trust society can get a lot more done because people don't have to spend all their time securing themselves and their business deals, but can trust that genuine infractions will be dealt with and normal non-harmful activities left alone. It's always possible for anyone to do well in the short term by breaching trust, but if too many people do this it's like overfishing (another EU issue). Once lying becomes routine we end up stuck in the wrong side of the Prisoner's Dilemma.