Wrong.
One in 1.2 million flights crash. This is literally a "known chance".
Planes take off anyway.
One in 1.2 million flights crash. This is literally a "known chance".
Planes take off anyway.
Crashes are anaomolus events that happen for very specific reasons. Reasons that do not have any seeming connection to any other crash. I don't see how a retrospective could predict anything about the success of future flights.