Over one million people sign UK petition for second EU referendum
hindustantimes.com
hindustantimes.com
If you'd do that, you could achieve any result you want, just by doing it over and over until. Due to voter's fatigue and/or daily sentiment, results will vary, so you can pick a result by deciding when to stop.
It might make sense (though still be questionable) to repeat the vote if major facts changed, but I don't see that happening. The stock market shouldn't have been a big surprise, Cameron's resignation neither, nor the Leave faction retracting some of their promises.
As much as I don't like the outcome of the first referendum, I think it would be fundamentally undemocratic to do a second referendum.
A lot of people most probably didn't vote because they assumed the result from the pre-vote pools and for other various reasons. Now everyone is alarm, they won't be leaving it up to chance.
I mean, it's obvious that even though the UK may be paying more money to the EU than it receives, there are other ways in which the UK massively benefits from the EU, which will be gone after Brexit is done. So that money isn't all available.
It is also not very unusual for politicians to promise more than they can keep.
Personally I think the Leave voters just realised that what they thought was an irrelevant naming convention is going to have serious hardships in store.
Seriously: Johnson & Farage, the lead personalities of the Leave campaign have come out and said the £350 million doesn't exist. Others are saying, from the Leave campaign that we'll maintain the status quo with European trading. I'd love for us to take it back, but if they were going to do that they shouldn't have campaigned to leave.
The Bank of England had plans for handling the financial downturn, uncertainty, and avoiding panic. Seems that none of the politicians for Leave bothered to think beyond the vote itself.
Politicians campaigning on a specific point should face prison for fraud when they U-turn on this scale. I'm not happy just to shrug and say 'what scoundrels, eh'; it's bloody criminal, far worse than any of the normal criminal frauds.
See Cornwall, who voted leave but now want the money that they were getting from the EU to be protected.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-cornwa...
> It is also not very unusual for politicians to promise more than they can keep.
It's unusual for the lie to be so blatant, repeated so often, so obviously wrong, and retracted immediately after the polls close.
Here's a picture of Boris by a sign created for the Leave campaign. It says "Let's give our NHS the £350 million the EU takes every week"
https://twitter.com/mgtmccartney/status/746245181532418048
Here's a picture of their campaign bus. That says "We send the EU £350 million a week. Let's fund our NHS instead"
https://twitter.com/mgtmccartney/status/746245181532418048
There's a bunch of interviews with Leave campaigners saying this money would go to the NHS. (And also being challenged on it).
Here's Farage, on the morning of the results, explaining that saying it was a "mistake" to say the £350m per week would go to the NHS.
Also. It was a referendum, not an election. Farage wasn't officially representing "The NO Party" or making official policy statements. He's not even a member of parliament, never mind the government. So what he said or didn't say before the vote had about as much official standing as what your postman of milkman said —even if it did get airtime because of his notoriety.
Please try and think things through just a wee bit, before making such naïve suggestions.
For what is worth, he was criticising them (though not sure about this specific point) from before.[3]
1. http://leftfootforward.org/2016/05/boris-johnsons-brexit-bus...
2. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3584627/The-Boris-bl...
3.http://www.politico.eu/article/nigel-farage-ukip-leader-vote...
What if the next elected prime minister is elected on the promise of staying in the EU?
They won't win the election on that promise alone, and having a full-fledged campaign alongside this kind of promise is a HUGE gambit. Many people would be unwilling to risk a good chance at winning the election over one campaign promise.
The petition is signed by fewer folks than those that voted to remain in the EU, so it could "just" be a fraction of those that already voted calling for a second referendum. That's not the same as the people collectively deciding something different than before.
(Post edited after I was corrected about the petition's original creation date)
What if after seeing the results, plunging markets, Farage admitting the £350m to the NHS thing was BS, Calais saying they'll move the refugee camps to the UK by refusing to allow the UK border control to operate in France, there is now a majority wanting to remain? Should they ram through the exit against the public wishes because they were successfully conned in the first referendum?
That's a month before
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...
Or is 4% enough of a difference to eliminate errors?
A map of the petition signatures showed that most came from England’s major
cities, topped by London where there is a separate petition calling on
Mayor Sadiq Khan to declare the capital independent from the United Kingdom,
and apply to join the EU.
I'm not even sure how that could work, but it would certainly take a lot of the impact out of the Brexit and prevent much of the chaos that's caused the markets to react so strongly to the vote.As an Irish Nationalist myself, the only outside chance for Irish unification that I can see would be if Scotland voted to leave the UK first.
The Unionists in N. Ireland tend to identify themselves as "Ulster Scots"[1], so the advent of a Britain without Scotland in it might just be enough to loosen their attachment a bit. There is no great affinity for Wales and their attitude towards England is not much warmer than the Scots have for the 'Auld Enemy'
Things are going completely through the looking glass right now...
Still. If a few loyalists find they can carry an Irish passport, without it burning their skin, maybe that's something.
I'm hopeful that England will join the EU as a full member (including common currency) within our lifetimes. It would preempt any credible calls for an independent London.
Otherwise why leave in the first place...
But as a naïve foreigner, I can’t judge how plausible this is.
"In a 52-48 referendum this would be unfinished business by a long way"
Of course, he meant a 52-48 Remain win - but I think the same principle holds either way.
[What I see as more likely is that the UK invokes Article 50, goes through a financial crisis, and then the EU offer to cancel our Article 50 invocation and let us stay in the EU if we join the Euro and Schengen.]
I think if one more country votes to leave between now and then a renegotiation and some core constitutional changes become more likely.
The basic problem is that the Leave side lied about the benefits of leaving, but they were absolutely correct that the core of the EU has become a neoliberal financial dictatorship with rather thin democratic wrapping.
If bigger cracks start appearing in the structure the leadership is going to have a choice between accepting more real democracy, or having the whole thing come crashing down.
Currently there are no bigger cracks visible, but the economic foundations in most of the EU are very shaky - so who knows where we'll be a couple of years from now?
Why?
If it is positive, thing that it is highly dubious
Two years! Pretty sure it will be around. Now if you'd said, say, 20 years then you might have a point.
Personally I very much hope the EU is around in 20 years, but massively reformed. I think it needs far more transparency and clarity (no more "<insert random city here> Agreement"). Also every policy which doesn't have a good reason to be decided centrally should be delegated down to local level, even to sub-national / city / county level.
And you're right about the shaky financial foundations. I think the Eurozone, assuming it doesn't collapse, should be a separate organization entirely.
They aren't going to join neither
Also this is certain to make people even more pissed
Schengen does not make sense for the UK. (They have their own deal with Ireland because of Northern Ireland called the Common Travel Area which might go down the drain as well)
If that would kill the EU then the EU probably deserves to die. Otherwise it suggests that it only persists through the inability of its consituent populations to challenge the status quo.
The only specific grievance is EU migration and that just happens to be one of the four fundamental principles.
The EU's sheer brutality towards Greece is one of the reasons I abstained. They didn't have a democratic mandate to do that and the institution itself is being gradually changed in order to remove democratic oversight (that's one of the reasons they could be so fucking brutal). More real power exists in the ECB and EU commission now and the parliament is more and more toothless. That's wrong on multiple levels.
I'm pretty sure the British outside of the cities are rationally voting to reduce competition in the labour market. Just ask the "in" campaign:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/1218...
If the EU keeps preaching austerity, labor market suppression and other neoliberal ideas I expect it to dissolve in a decade or two.
Greece's failures are mainly self-inflicted and run far deeper than the handling economic crisis. It's a complex subject, not one you can cheapen by emotion crying out "Look at the poor greek who cannot afford medication".
Seriously...
It's nothing like the UK.
Although maybe letting them out of the Euro would be a good thing, but apparently there's no mechanism for that.
Nothing is solved. both remain and leave need 60+ to claim a mandate.
The Lisbon treaty was a result of complex negotiation, and Ireland was an outlier, requiring a constitutional change to implement the change. The change hadn't been effectively communicated, hence the negative initial vote. When it eventually passed, it was after a number of small concessions had been made to the terms of the negotiated treaty, and after a massive campaign to let the people understand what was at stake. The referendum also made it absolutely clear what the "next step" was for politicians, exactly what their mandate was, and exactly what the procedural effect would be.
Brexit, on the other hand, stated a simple (probably overly simple) question, with absolutely no details as to what the exit strategy would be (and actually no legal status either; parliament could legally choose to ignore the referendum results). There was no date attached to the question, no procedural detail, no mandate to perform the exit in any particular way, no bureaucratic clarity whatsoever. There were no "conditions" that could be "slightly changed" in a re-run. This was a blunt-force thwack with no nuance, no subtlety, and no room for renegotiation with the people.
In short, the Brexit referendum was about the least EU-like thing the UK could've pulled.
For example Turing was given a pardon after JGCumming of HN fame started a petition on there.
It's not perfect, it is "just" a voting site, but we have had a taste of direct democracy - we might just start to like it.
"We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based (on) a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum"
it would mean infinite loop of referendums without consensus.
And, as it says: "Government responds to all petitions that get more than 10,000 signatures."
It was very obvious in the weeks running up that this wasn't going to be a sure thing for either side.
They need a majority of a certain size of a turnout of a certain size.
The referendum had a good turnout (and it's disappointing to call 75% good) but for such an important change 52% vs 48% is pretty close.
That's not good enough for my local bowls club or allotment society or WI.
What are you talking about? That's exactly how it works! You vote for what you want and hope the majority votes the same and you keep doing it for the things you believe in.
No, it works when people make informed choices they understand. That didn't happen in this case.
It's quite funny to see the commentators who never saw this result coming are now the ones with all of the explanations as to why it has happened. Watching them evolve a new narrative in real time is quite funny. Apparently 50% of the country are racists, or so stupid that they have been easily duped by the bad politicians. There couldn't possibly be any other explanations.
I actually don't think that "one of the biggest geopolitical events of a decade" should be on HN if it is not directly connected to Tech.
Here is a more fitting article to be on HN: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2016/06/24...
There are plenty of other forums for talking about this subject.
In the past, i've found HN Comments about political issues to be of the least quality/value.