‘Brexit’: Explaining Britain’s Vote on European Union Membership
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
Remain: establishment, scientists, under 44, high education, mid-to-high income.
Brexit: right wing, extreme left, xenophobes, low income, over 45, primary school education or lower
Sources: many, see for example the latest YouGov poll https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/docume...
Personally I was firmly in the 'stay' camp until a Polish colleague, who works in the UK courtesy of the EU, questioned why I would be so cautious.
His argument was that this opportunity will probably only ever arise once since those who have the power to grant a referendum are also those who most directly benefit from being in the EU. A 'stay' vote would basically close the door on any future reappraisal, whereas a 'leave' vote would not be fatal at those same people would immediately start planning how to rejoin in the future.
That was the most convincing 'leave' argument that I've heard to date.
On one side politicians were not able to explain the benefits of the EU to the UK people and on the other hand the ratio remain / leave is so close that there is no right answer if the majority wants it.
As far as I remember David Cameron was arguing that if the EU-parliament didn't vote some points that he suggested, he would vote "Leave" and now he wants to convince people to vote "Remain". Such a sad story.
Definitely for people like me ( IT ) no doors will be closed, but I doubt that a closed door for all the others will benefit the ordinary UK-person's life.
Just bear in mind that next years are general election in Germany, and if Britons will decide to leave, I can see that exit of Germany would become primary goal of all campaigns.
I suppose there have been referenda on dumber things. The point is it was disrespected by the government, it made things worse, but at least it let people blow some steam .
I believe the britons similary want to let some steam out, but it's a very passive aggressive way to do it.
Then there will likely be a fresh referendum in Scotland and Scotland will leave the UK and remain in the EU