Only humans, not computers, can learn or predict

> Given the fact that humans do have this inherent capacity and ability to imagine and create, future changes in markets or geopolitical conditions (that are mostly due to human actions) cannot be predicted based simply on past events.

Does the author mean there is some non-neurological reason we are able to 'imagine and create'? The neurological connections in our brains certainly are a function of 'past events', even in the case of creativity. There could be we have some random number generator in our brains that somehow create new and unexpected connections, which we then call imagination, but I see no reason why this cannot also be implemented in a computer.

Machines as simple as thermostats can be said to have beliefs, and having beliefs seems to be a characteristic of most machines capable of problem solving performance.

John McCarthy : Ascribing Mental Qualities to Machines, 1979

http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/ascribing/ascribing.html

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