Hacker News Reader

There's also a reverse version with the same mistaken assumption.

Gambler: "I already got five 6's. I must be on a roll! I'll surely get another one."

The correct assumption to make in this case would be that the dice is loaded. Same decision, different reasoning.

Well, getting five 6's in a row is 1/7776 , so I suppose it is debatable if one could establish the dice are loaded from such a small sample set.

Hot hand fallacy