The Chaos and the Craftsmanship of Shenzhen
rexstjohn.com
rexstjohn.com
From my personal experience, their software is absolutely atrocious. Talk to anyone who has built more than a toy app using their SDK and you'll be regaled with stores of insane hacks. For example, at least in the Phantom 2 days, they didn't provide any method to determine the capabilities or model number of the quadcopter that you were controlling. As a result, my friend's company had a hack that would rotate the camera gimbal until it hit a limit stop and use that angle to determine the model.
On the flip side, their "range extender", a required component if you want to talk to a Phantom 2 from an Android/iOS device, is really just an OpenWRT router acting as a 802.11g bridge.
There's a lot to be said about improving quality of Chinese hardware and software, but it's definitely not up to western quality levels yet.
Anecdotally, last year I worked for an Asian company which had an office in Shenzhen. They were not able to compete with western tech, in part because they didn't understand the benefits of cloud computing. They wanted to own all their own hardware and it really slowed down software development.
I also got the sense that most primary source programming resources are in English (stack overflow, etc.), and that unless your English was pretty good you might have a hard time keeping up with newer techniques. I think this will improve with time.
1. Go with a foreign cloud provider which has horrible latency thanks to the Great Firewall, and could get permanently blocked any time at the whims of the government.
2. Go with one of the big Chinese tech companies (Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent), where it's almost guaranteed that they will steal your idea/code/data, clone your product, and rely on their massive size and network effect to destroy you. They didn't get big through innovation like Western tech companies; they got big by stealing and government-backed monopoly.
3. Go with a smaller Chinese tech company that has reliability problems and could go belly up at any time.
http://m.baidu.com/news?tn=bdbjbody&bjaid=392506&bjdomain=la...
Gives us more of a reason to move to a Chinese provider for our CN servers.
(This is now simpler as we're standardizing on Kubernetes for deployments, so Kubernetes on AWS.cn vs Kubernetes on Aliyun should be equivalent)
- China is often criticized for the copying as violating IP, but one could also argue that copying and adding new changes to the copy is the lifeblood of open-source innovation and the nature of decentralized systems as well as human biological evolution. A great book that explores these ideas is 'The Evolution of Everything' by Matt Ridley. I recommend it.
"much of the “Efficiency” America has traded for lower cost manufacturing has come at the cost of our ability to bring all of the key pieces together at home."
- There is likely much truth in this statement by Andy Grove and perhaps American companies and leaders should take pause. Labor cost arbitrage in foreign countries like China and Mexico might be like a balloon mortgage for America where the costs are low upfront for some years, but then the large bill comes later.
If it could be summed up in one sentence, it would be "Everything is a derivative work." Instead of trying to claim complete exclusivity, they implicitly realise that everything someone creates is always built upon the knowledge of others.
Right. Sure. These are the kinds of beliefs often verbalized by people who never risked their own time and money to solve hard problems and had to face the risk and reality of the Chinese (or others) stealing the results of that effort.
Here's the difference, the "R" in "R&D" is the most expensive part. The "D" is cheap. By stealing they get the "R" for free and can afford devastating predatory techniques to own the market.
We devoted ten years and millions of dollars to solving a very hard problem. I decided we would keep all of it a trade secret.
Why?
Because, that was the only way to make "D" very expensive. Stealing something when the cost is just as high as having to develop it often scares away a lot of thieves.
It's one thing if you are developing a new set of headphones that don't really have much in the way of technical innovation. It's quite another thing when you are solving a hard problem (which can be risky, very expensive and require a long and constant effort).
You are thinking "expensive" is equal to "more money". Expensive, in this context, means far more than money. For example, risk. Sometimes company-ending risk.
I said "R" is expensive because it is often packaged with uncertainty. You have no idea if something is going to work or if people will even be receptive to the product.
Take SpaceX's landing rockets as an example. Hard and very expensive research. Lots of details nobody will ever know about. Lots of failures before success. And then, even with success, you have to make it repeatable and reliable.
One the "R" is done, "D" or building and scaling is, in relative terms, cheap.
Sure, it can cost billions to tilt-up a factory to build hard drives. Yet, you have a product and you have a market. You have an opportunity. You didn't have any of that before.
Wright Brothers: Hard and expensive R&D requiring YEARS of dedication. Once everyone knew you could build such planes (and how to do it) the "D" was cheap because it was done.
Sikorsky and helicopters is another AMAZING example of that. Helicopters got launched because of the Sikorsky's hard work and the unbelievable involvement of none other than Sergei Rachmaninoff (as in the pianist and composer) taking a leap and investing in the "R" that allowed Sikorsky to complete his work [0].
"R" is very expensive, in more than financial terms, that's why the Chinese copy rather than innovate.
That we are allowing them to get away with it is, well, disturbing.
[0] http://www.sikorskyarchives.com/Igor_Sikorsky_&_Sergei_Rachm...
"I think R cost is low, creating a poc is about 100th of the cost of a product (a proper product) but the risk of R is huge and therefore it's very hard to sustain and justify."
Which I think you have provided some good supporting statements for. I must really be missing something here.. Not sure what though!
Given the application I can't say any more than that.
If you find a shop that does require cash, you can stop a stranger in the street and trade cash for WeChat money. Or as the article said, the shop staff themselves can sell you cash using their personal accounts.
I'm sure these services have to deal with their share of fraud but the system is fundamentally more secure than credit cards which rely on trust. So there's the potential for lower costs and wider availability. Who needs the expense of PCI compliance when you never have access to your customer's payment credentials? It seems bizarre to think that in paying by credit card, you're effectively giving the merchant the username and password to your bank account and asking them to please not take any more money than they promised to.
I am surprised how anyone can pay with discount in an APP call "dianping". For a two week trip in china, I found out even Taxi driver will accept my Wechat payment and they don't even know english.
So does the author plan to move to Shenzhen, one of the world's most densely populated and polluted cities, in a country that doesn't have free speech?
I agree SZ has the best tech scene in China, perhaps due to its proximity to the freer Hong Kong, which has always been the major gateway to the west. I love SZ in many ways. But it takes a certain kind of person to want to live and work under those conditions and I doubt even the author himself plans to move there for the next 10 years.
Shenzhen is most polluted?
It's not surprising if you think about the difference between free speech and having censorship laws that limit peasants. I learned that when I first traveled around Asia.
Your ability to be creative is limited in China. People there can't make art that makes fun of Mao. They can't protest against local police corruption. They can't form groups that appear to be anti-government. For all of this you can be tossed in jail for a few days. Jail is demoralizing and disruptive.
If your contribution to society comes through speech that the government does not like, you'll be put down. You'll end up less willing to contribute to society than Americans who hate their bosses. Instead of a bad boss, it's a bad country leader, and that's much much harder to get out from under.
I suppose one day everyone in China could just decide to go to jail peacefully; that would be unmanageable for the government.. it could take a lot of noise to get that message out and there is some risk of violence. Police sometimes see themselves as judge and jury, and in China where speaking can be against the law, violence against peaceful protesters is not unheard of even in 2016.
Before I came to Asia I did not think much about free speech. If you asked me what made America great before I moved here, I'd have said it's complex. I wasn't even sure America is great.
Now I would say it's more simple: true democratic governments are not allowed to throw people in jail for speaking their minds.
The first step China can take towards sustainable economic growth, better research and education, is to prevent the government from imprisoning people for speaking their minds. You really need as many people thinking creatively and working hard as possible in order to be competitive. Society is about working together and digging out the best ideas. It's not about silencing people.
Until then, expect to see the most intelligent Chinese continue to leave to live elsewhere, pollution to rage further out of control, and free countries' companies to come and go from China. China's judicial system is worse than the free countries' for the same reason.
America gets its free speech by defining the word to mean any communication that's permitted to be free. If the law disallows something then by definition it's not speech anymore, or it's an exception that's so obvious nobody mentions it. Examples: Flag burning, copyright infringement, libel, slander, threats, incitement to violence, child pornography, false advertising, revealing state secrets and trade secrets, violating NDAs, sharing insider information about listed companies. Wow, there's quite a lot of things you're not allowed to say in America!
It's a bit like Athenian democracy where everyone could vote. Of course women, children, slaves and foreigners obviously weren't part of "everyone" so there's no need to mention them.
And then the US has these: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_speech_zone
Also sedition seems to still be illegal in the US: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sedition#United_States
Most of what you listed is not allowed most countries + more restrictions. Compared to most other countries America has fewest restrictions.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_Protection_Act
It's true most other countries have even less freedom of speech, but my point was that it's not black and white. Each country is different and none are very free at all. It should be called "fairly free political speech as long as you aren't too specific in calling for overthrow of the government" or a briefer form of that.
Also I don't think the author means it that literally. He wants to be in this time, not locally close to the development I think. "there" = "The next decade"
I certainly miss to pay stuff by phone or add contacts by just scanning their QR Code (without an extra app my iphone can't even add a normal contact from a business card with QR Code, despite the data in that code probably using the Apple created digital business card format).
The UK implements the same system, but there's very little marketing for it. Most people don't seem to know if exists. The little advertising there is, suggests the system is for paying back friends, not businesses. I assume the banks don't want to lose the cut they get from every credit card transaction.
There are a lot of invite-only app spaces, and you trust the one you see, but not a random internet guy. It's less about politics, more about government track down of "porn" (=prostitution) and corruption.
"you trust the one you see, but not a random internet guy" the one I see where? What invite-only spaces you know? Afaik everybody uses Wechat and other chat apps are mostly disregarded.