It sounds as though the author needs to combine the "How we improve conversion without A/B testing" section with user tests and data analysis to build stronger hypotheses. Since we've put more effort into the research phase, our success rate has improved dramatically.
The real value of A/B testing is validating meaningful hypotheses that help you learn what matters to your customers, not unrelated individual improvements. By only observing the overall trend, you miss out on this.
I wrote about this recently here: https://medium.com/@nickboyce/5-steps-to-a-better-a-b-testin...